If you go to Google today and search on the phrase "warmest decade" you will get a result set with thousands of breathless articles claiming that 2000 to 2009 is the warmest decade on record. This is on the cusp of an announcement from the UN climate talks in Copenhagen where world leaders are desperate to speed past Climategate and refocus the world's attention on their apocalyptic global warming agenda.
The media that couldn't bring themselves to report on the growing scandal surrounding falsified data is all on board with reporting this latest news. Yet it is clear that the Huffington Post, CBS News, the New York Times and others didn't even bother to check the data that was released from the the UK MET (UK Government Department of Climate and Weather Change). If they had they would have immediately discovered what I found, that the US csv (comma delimited) data dump from 1851 to 2009 is erroneous in its compilation. The January column for each year shows period information instead of temperature records and the latitude appears transposed as well. It appears that they incorrectly shifted the column headers when compling the dump. (Load the raw file into Excel and compare it with the UK csv data to see the erroneous data columns side by side. Data provided by the Guardian UK.)
This data was provided as a means to "dampen the row over the hacked climate science emails".
The Met Office also released the raw data from around 1,500 global monitoring stations in an effort to satisfy critics who have demanded that researchers be more transparent with their data in the wake of the email hacking row at the University of East Anglia. (UK Guardian, Met Office figures confirm noughties as warmest decade in recorded history)
Don't jump to any conclusions that this is some sort of conspiracy or that the data itself is incorrect. That can not be surmised without extra information. It is just another indication of the desperation by a group of scientists, policy makers and scare mongers that are too sloppy to check their own facts and figures; even before releasing it to the whole world as proof to counter valid questions concerning the validity of their data.
With full unquestioning faith we are expected to buy into this sloppy sort of science as a foundation toward making public policy that will affect nations of the world's people for generations to come. If they can't even get the release of the simplest of data sets correct then what are we to wonder about what it is that they got wrong?
Since I fully expect them to fix this error (I would) you can find the originals that I downloaded here, UK, and here, US. Terry Trippany is The Watcher at Watcher of Weasels. You can follow us on Twitter. The image accompanying this article appeared in the UK Guardian article reporting on the announcement.





















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Comments Policy
"Liberal" Liars
Tue, 12/08/2009 - 15:18 ET by iveseenitallIs that guy holding GW "data"-- or a hanging chad? Either way, it a lie!
NEVER,NEVER rust a "liberal"
They wouldn't know the truth...
Wed, 12/09/2009 - 01:27 ET by unkeeafIf it hit them in the head. Shameful is much to docile to describe what they really are.
Get a look at this shameful garbage:
http://bit.ly/8W1Rhq
MSM = PR firm for the Democrat Party
Wow - if I did work that
Tue, 12/08/2009 - 15:20 ET by Hoosier DaddyWow - if I did work that sloppy I would be looking for a new job.
One Big A$$ Mistake, America
The lamestream media is very
Tue, 12/08/2009 - 15:21 ET by d1carterThe lamestream media is very quick to publish any bit of information that supports there vested interests, others not so much. Why check to see if the data is correct when it is what you have been looking for to counter the deniers. If it turns out to be incorrect, hey it happens.
The data is bogus even on quick inspection
Tue, 12/08/2009 - 15:38 ET by habbyguyBesides the shifted data (a novice Excel error), look at the name of the stations where the readings were taken.
Virtually all of them are "cities", and it's well-known that the cities themselves HAVE gotten warmer because of the added mass, asphalt, and energy usage. So it's clear that taking ONLY the data from the urban areas, you're going to naturally show warming. Obviously, cities occupy only a miniscule portion of the globe, so a slight amount of warming IN the cities has little effect on the global temperatures.
Let's see the RURAL data sets instead, where urban encroachment hasn't caused any deviations in the "natural temperature trends".
Habbyguy, I suggest you not
Tue, 12/08/2009 - 15:53 ET by needleHabbyguy, I suggest you not hold your breath waiting for more honest and properly representative earth temperature data.
And I say that even if it means polluting the atmosphere with CO2.
- Relying upon the Liberal Media for your information is like relying upon an embezzler for your portfolio management.
- I didn't leave the Republican Party; the Republican Party left me.
This could be "enhanced"
Tue, 12/08/2009 - 16:20 ET by d1carterThis could be "enhanced" data....?
Inspired typo
Tue, 12/08/2009 - 15:42 ET by Cranky Gordon"incorrectly shited the column headers"
Correct or incorrect, you speak the truth.
Thanks CG
Tue, 12/08/2009 - 17:10 ET by Terry TrippanyEven the spell checker couldn't prevent that slip from getting in!
Mac or PC?
Tue, 12/08/2009 - 15:43 ET by JerseyJWell don't blame us if the csv dump doesn't line up, Excel is beneath us ... we're Mac guys.
Save the rainforest ... emit more CO2
I'm going to try that with my bank
Tue, 12/08/2009 - 15:43 ET by c5thenGet a data dump of my on-line accounts and then "import" into Excel and swear to them that the data in the account ballance column is indeed my ballance and not my phone number.
AGW is the 2nd biggest hoax in history, Right behind "No, really it's OK to eat the fruit from that tree, Adam", and right in front of "We can spend our way out of the current recession".
Throw 'da bums out!!!
Before it's too late.
www.loyaltoliberty.com
Who's who of Global Warmers
Tue, 12/08/2009 - 15:49 ET by BluegillI have researched the persons that were involved (copied) in the hacked emails. The media is going to have to search for new sources since the people copied in this conspiracy are the Who's who of the Warmers. Lead authors of the IPCC, Head of AMS, NOAA, NASA, GISS, Hadley, CRU. People like Karl Taylor head of AMS,who shared the Nobel Peace prize with Al Gore. Reporters like Andrew Revkin of the NY Times. James Hansen of NASA. The list goes on and on!
scientific v scholatic
Tue, 12/08/2009 - 16:10 ET by Keith Phillips"There are but two ways of forming an opinion in science. One is the scientific method; the other, the scholastic. One can judge from experiment, or one can blindly accept authority. To the scientific mind, experimental proof is all-important, and theory is merely a convenience in description, to be junked when it no longer fits. To the academic mind, authority is everything, and facts are junked when the do not fit theory laid down by authority.
- Robert A. Heinlein - Short story "Life-Line" 1939 -
IS there any qiestion
Tue, 12/08/2009 - 16:20 ET by 10ksnookerLeft that our f********* up world is lamestream media driven?
This might well be their last scam.
So
Tue, 12/08/2009 - 16:24 ET by JustAlWe have columns of numbers. Does anyone know any of the following:
1. Were the same model instruments used at each station?
2. Were the instruments routinely calibrated at each station?
3. Were the personnel all trained to use the instruments in the same way? Were they then periodically monitored?
4. Were the temperatures adjusted for altitude (barametric pressure) differences?
5. What sort of variation do you suppose we would get if everyone attending a pro football game was given an identical thermometer and asked to write down the temperature at the moment the announcer told them to?
inconvenient questions
Wed, 12/09/2009 - 03:29 ET by konoSome good questions there, Al. Some thoughts:
#1 -- good. Different models may measure differences with varying accuracy. e.g., one model may register temp variations accurately, while another may register a 10 degree jump when only an 8 degree jump occurs.
#2 -- good. Falling out of calibration will corrupt the results, perhaps even badly.
#3 -- maybe relevant. If reading is just a matter of writing down digital measurements at a particular time, there's not a lot of procedure to vary between personnel.
#4 -- probably not relevant. They aren't comparing one station to another, but each station to previous readings from the same station. As long as the altitude of each remains static, the time-phased comparisons won't be affected by their altitudes.
#5 -- interesting, but relevant only if a station's thermometer moves, or if conditions at the station vary in some way that introduces qualitative differences between measurements. (e.g. if an instrument is read every day when it's in the shade, then the procedure changes to read it each day when it's in the sun)
Hi Kono
Wed, 12/09/2009 - 09:48 ET by JustAlMy rational for #3 is twofold, first, there were no digital displays to record before the late '80's so for most of the period in question people had to read a mercury thermometer, so parallax as well as variability in human eyesight would come into play. Of course, both of these would be small and the warmmongers would point out that they "should" be random and cancel out.
The second reason is the purely human factor. Recent events show clearly that "scientists" cherry pick, tweak, trick, and massage the data to support the "company line." If the guys at the top will do this then what will the poor working stiffs at the stations do? Can you imagine a more boring job? I remember an incident many years ago, I was a research chemist for a household name company, a young apprentice salesman was doing a tour of duty in the lab running some very, very monotonous experiments all day long for a week. I stopped to check what he was doing and found that by noon he had already filled in the data for the entire day. Maybe it was apathy, maybe just a desire to give the company the picture it wanted. But people are the most difficult variable to control in science. Always remember, if you are a hammer, the whole world is a nail. So, if you are a climate scientist the climate is always in need of fixing.
#4 was meant to support the relevance of #3, but you improved on it by pointing out the scenario of the thermometer moving. While it is unlikely the thermometers did move, certainly urban encroachment moved toward them. The warmmongers insist they have theoretical formulas to eliminate this factor. I have my doubts about this since the encroachment would be to different extents for different stations and for each station at different times, and would be of different compositions (ie are they surrounded by industrial parks, or residential areas, or airports?).
In point of fact by using "global averages" they are to an extent comparing stations to each other, whats more, even if it is comparing one station to itself over time, consistency is important. If they adjust for barometric pressure at a particular station, have they always done so and have other stations around the world at similar latitude and altitude also done it the same way?
I know I'm talking about very minute variables, but over time the devil is in the details. My argument all along is that it is beyond the ability of good science to build a baseline sufficient to prove or disprove that "global temperature" is changing. The current science is certainly better than it was 150 years ago, but it is not perfect, I read somewhere that the NASA satellite data actually was dependent on the CRU data for calibration. And that's just talking about the data for 150 years, when you go back further and use other secondary indicators with no way to calibrate with primary measurements the wheels really do fly off the wagon.
Thanks for considering my questions and allowing me to expand on them.
I wonder what a competent
Tue, 12/08/2009 - 16:25 ET by BKeyserI wonder what a competent defense attorney would say about the "evidence" provided in this case...
Indeed
Wed, 12/09/2009 - 10:07 ET by JustAlI've also wondered what FDA's response would be if a pharmaceutical company presented data that was this statistically valid. Let's see, what percentage are we talking about; 150 years of actually being able to measure temperature vs 4.5 billion years.
It would be roughly the same as legislating that every citizen had to take a new and potentially dangerous drug after testing a fraction of a fraction of a fraction of a single dose.
Even if the data were correct - last 10 yrs the warmest
Tue, 12/08/2009 - 17:02 ET by Gary HallEven if the data were correct - last 10 yrs the warmest for the past 150 years or so - I propose that what is being missed in the MSM driven lack of intelligent discussion, is a bit of perspective for the broad population to consider.
I think that it could start with a discussion like this. During the past several cycles (lasting 300-600 years each) the earth's climate has warmed and cool. According to a consensus of global scientific studies, the earth's climate in the moment is probably no warmer, nor is more extreme than it was during the Medieval Warm Period of 800 to 1300 A.D.
Should I say, "The science is settled on that - there is no debate."
The earth's climate has been warming up for the past 400 years or so - after cooling for the 500 years before that. This repeats time and time again.
Additionally, most of the warming during the past 150 years or so - that warming that these alarmists are so friggen concerned about - occurred prior to CO2 beginning it's "alarming rise," which was in the 1945-1950 period of time.
Worldwide cyclonic activity and intensity did not increase in the 2nd half of the 20th century. There is no increase, in recent decades, in the rate of sea level rise - it's just chugging along as it has for thousands of years. The Arctic ice has been refreezing recently (that can occur much faster than melt cycles). In summary, it's a fact that much of the commonly presented (by the Gorites and/or the MSM) stories of recent dramatic climate events, or change, as being proof of AGW are either false, exaggerated or completely out of any historical context; Katrina is but one of the easy ones to explain. In fact, they don't even stand on their own two feet when one takes the discussion of AGW off the table, and are simply talking about weather and climate events.
The science held by the IPCC which says that horrific events are destined to occur because of Anthropogenic greenhouse gas increase, is scientific theory. It is not science yet, as there is no proof that it will occur; rather it is a view held by many scientists and politicians. Many other scientists do not share that view.
The fact that it's been warmer for the past decade or so, was to be expected. Why? Because science told us so - that evidence is in.
(;~/ gary
The state controlled media
Tue, 12/08/2009 - 17:04 ET by George S PattonThe state controlled media spreading lies while the GOP stares at the ceiling and sits around licking their fingers which they just pulled from their rectums. Who knew?
Freudian Slip?
Tue, 12/08/2009 - 17:31 ET by NewsDudeTerry, re the Met Office messing up the column headers.
Your first draft of this column (since corrected) described it perfectly when you wrote: "...they incorrectly shited the column headers."
A lot of people in the MSM should have the 'sh*tes' after swallowing a gaff like that.
Missing Data
Tue, 12/08/2009 - 17:41 ET by habbyguyHmmm, very interesting.
I downloaded the data set for the US, then worked up the average numbers by year. Sure enough, I show a very slight increase during the last decade or so.
Then I noticed something "funny" (and not "ha-ha funny").
A lot of the data for the years 1999-2008 is MISSING. I noticed that there were very few cities reporting through most of the time period, ramping up to 85 cities by 1948, then holding pretty steady, climbing to 88 cities in 1987-1990, and dropping to 86 cities in 1991-2000. Then a funny thing happened - five cities "disappeared".
The cities with missing data in the post-1999 timeframe are:
Del-Rio, TX (2001-2007)
Cape Hatteras, NC (2007-2008)
Little Rock, AR (2007-2008)
Clayton, NM (1999-2008) (near Colorado border)
Washington DC (2001-2007)
Mount Washington (1999-2008) (generally the coldest US temps!)
Aberdeen, SD (2001- 2007)
Marquette, MI (2001-2006)
Blue Hill, MA (2001-2006)
The average latitude of the missing city/years is 40 degrees (about the southern edge of Colorado / mid New Jersey)
So what do you suppose happens to the averages when you eliminate the data above? The only real "warm city" that has missing data is Del Rio TX. A couple other "warmish cities" have only a couple years of data missing. But almost all the others are what you'd have to consider as "coldish cities".
Why do all these (generally cooler) cities mysteriously "disappear" from the data during much of the last decade?
missing cities
Tue, 12/08/2009 - 22:34 ET by CiampinoNow, you wouldn't be insinuating that if that missing data were to reappear and be factored in, it would MAYBE SHOW A COOLING TREND?
LOL
You betcha...
Wed, 12/09/2009 - 10:25 ET by habbyguyI would imagine just eliminting the Mount Washington, NH data would alone show a warming trend. I'm going to do some more Excel number-crunching and plot the average latitude of the temperature readings that ARE there (to see how it correlates to the temperature).
Shemp Too
Tue, 12/08/2009 - 22:37 ET by slickwillie2001Re: "thousands of breathless articles claiming that 2000 to 2009 is the warmest decade on record", Shemp Smith on Fox News started off his 7pm news report with the same nonsense.
Did anyone ELSE try to
Wed, 12/09/2009 - 00:33 ET by phryingphishDid anyone ELSE try to compile this data?
1. The station usually had two components that when the data was imported to excel would take two columns, but not always. Sometimes it had one component. That shifted all the other data left one column.
2. Because of #1 the state data was missing in the places where the station data was only one column.
3. The year heading was over the location data.
4. a column was missing in the headder row to line things up better.
All this could be fixed and the data made to line up, and the correct states could be filled in, it would take less than an hour to do this. But that still leaves much of the data missing, or in some cases it doesn't pass the "smell" test, i.e. the data is too far out of line with other data for the same year and the same station (June temp = 12, July = 28). I would have to work very closely with the data to see if I could come up with anything that could be used repetitively. How would you compair 5 years of data, all from Key West, to another 5 years of data from Portland Main and Buffalo NewYork? Unless you have yearly data from the same stations, unbroken (by more than one month), anything you get would be "best guess", and I don't care who you are your guess would be as good as mine.
Re Siting
Wed, 12/09/2009 - 11:29 ET by slickwillie2001The siting of temperature measurement stations was the biggest 'global warming' scandal until Climategate, and anyone not aware of it has maybe limited their news sources to MSNBC. Stations have been moved, a significant number of them contravene the siting rules, some of them have ended up in the middle of an asphalt parking lot, or under an air-conditioning condenser, or even a barbeque. This report would be hilarious, if many billions of our tax money were not at stake:
Is the US Surface Temperature Record Reliable? [PDF] http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com
When the Warmists found out that independent investigators were looking into siting, they quickly tried to hide their locations to stop the investigations, but it was too late, and too many of the locations had been revealed. So much for open debate!
A website has also been created to track locations of measurement stations and accept reports from independent investigators on their locations: http://surfacestations.org/
Excellent Point Oh Slick One!
Wed, 12/09/2009 - 11:47 ET by JustAlAnd it goes nicely with this that I posted in another thread:
"
As the cold war ended, weather stations started getting closed down, primarily in Siberia and Canada, I suppose ICBM targeting needed accurate weather information.
If the linked graph is true, and it should be fairly easy to determine that, then the reported global temperature very suddenly jumped into a higher moving range just as roughly a quarter (correction, make that roughly half) of the monitoring stations shut down.
Not only that, but around the same time, the stations that were left decreased the number of days of reporting actual readings and substituted more assumed numbers.
This gave the warmmongers an opportunity to create from whole cloth new formulas to, replace the data from the now closed stations. So one has to wonder what the data would look like if only the data from currently existing stations was used and all data from stations not actually still reporting was discarded.
Add to this the formulas created to supposedly compensate for the urban heat island effect and you now have guesstimation squared.
http://www.uoguelph.ca/~rmckitri/research/nvst.html "