Unbelievably Disgraceful Global Warming Hysteria by the AP

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The political battle over climate change has clearly taken a dramatic turn for the worse this month, for it now seems media are actually competing to see which outlet can present the most hysterical report concerning imminent planetary doom at the hands of manmade global warming.

*****Critical updates at end of post.

After ABC News published a disgraceful photo essay featuring computer generated pictures of drowned American cities at its website last Friday, followed by NBC News reporting Monday that Greenland's ice sheets are melting so quickly that it "could ignite worldwide disaster," the Associated Press on Saturday cautioned that "In about a century, some of the places that make America what it is may be slowly erased."

Seems almost like they're playing a game of "Can You Top This" doesn't it?

Sadly, as demonstrated by some of the following lowlights from this truly irresponsible piece of detritus, media are clearly putting on a full-court press to scare Americans into believing the world will quickly come to an end if we don't start doing exactly what soon-to-be-Dr. Al Gore tells us (emphasis added throughout):

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Ultimately, rising seas will likely swamp the first American settlement in Jamestown, Va., as well as the Florida launch pad that sent the first American into orbit, many climate scientists are predicting.

In about a century, some of the places that make America what it is may be slowly erased.

Nice way to start an article, wouldn't you agree? Sadly, that was just the beginning:

Rising waters will lap at the foundations of old money Wall Street and the new money towers of Silicon Valley. They will swamp the locations of big city airports and major interstate highways.

Excuse me, but Silicon Valley -- which this author lives just north of -- is nowhere near the Pacific Ocean, hence the term "valley." As such, this warning is absurd, and completely lacking any factual basis. But I digress:

Storm surges worsened by sea level rise will flood the waterfront getaways of rich politicians-the Bushes' Kennebunkport and John Edwards' place on the Outer Banks. And gone will be many of the beaches in Texas and Florida favored by budget-conscious students on Spring Break.

[...]

This past summer's flooding of subways in New York could become far more regular, even an everyday occurrence, with the projected sea rise, other scientists said. And New Orleans' Katrina experience and the daily loss of Louisiana wetlands-which serve as a barrier that weakens hurricanes-are previews of what's to come there.

Florida faces a serious public health risk from rising salt water tainting drinking water wells, said Joel Scheraga, the EPA's director of global change research. And the farm-rich San Joaquin Delta in California faces serious salt water flooding problems, other experts said.

Honestly, this level of fear-mongering by the world's leading wire service is totally inexcusable, and author Seth Borenstein should be required by his bosses to share views held by the hundreds and likely thousands of scientists around the world who completely contest the hysterical projections he has offered in this abomination.

After all, it is one thing for press outlets to only present one side of this debate. That's was media bias is all about.

However, when they begin to offhandedly paint such dire and vivid pictures of imminent disaster, it is certainly incumbent upon them to also offer the views of experts who in no way agree with these alarmist prognostications.

Yet, nowhere in this piece, or in the aforementioned reports by ABC and NBC, was one contrary analysis presented. As a result, this isn't close to journalism. This is alarmist propaganda that all involved in the news media should deplore rather than emulate.

It is indeed a sad commentary that three years after CBS News intentionally presented a fraudulent Air National Guard memo during an installment of "60 Minutes," the professionalism and ethics in this industry have actually deteriorated even further.

This raises an important question: Just how much worse can this situation get?

*****Update: Richard S. Courtney e-mailed me the following concerning this abomination with permission to reprint (emphasis his throughout):

Rarely have I read such a collection of unsubstantiated and scare-mongering twaddle.

Global sea level has been rising for the 10,000 years since the last ice age, and no significant change to the rate of sea level rise has been observed recently. Real studies and model studies of sea level change deny the untrue assertions in the article. And there are far, far too many such studies for me to cite them all. So, I provide the following as examples.

Church, J.A., White, N.J., Coleman, R., Lambeck, K. and Mitrovica, J.X. 2004. Estimates of the regional distribution of sea level rise over the 1950-2000 period. Journal of Climate 17: 2609-2625.

Cazenave, A. and Nerem, R.S. 2004. Present-day sea level change: observations and causes. Reviews of Geophysics 42: 10.1029/2003RG000139.

Lombard, A., Cazenave, A., Le Traon, P.-Y. and Ishii, M. 2005. Contribution of thermal expansion to present-day sea-level change revisited. Global and Planetary Change 47: 1-16.

Jevrejeva, S., Grinsted, A., Moore, J.C. and Holgate, S. 2006. Nonlinear trends and multiyear cycles in sea level records. Journal of Geophysical Research 111: 10.1029/2005JC003229.

In the above references, Church et al. say their "best estimate" of the rate of globally-averaged sea level rise over the last half of the 20th century was 1.8 ± 0.3 mm/year. In addition, they noted that "decadal variability in sea level is observed, but to date there is no detectable secular increase in the rate of sea level rise over the period 1950-2000." What is more, they reported that no increase in the rate of sea level rise has been detected for the entire 20th century, citing the work of Woodworth (1990) and Douglas (1992).

A continuing rise of ~2 mm/year for the next 100 years would raise sea level by ~0.2 m as it did during the twentieth century. And it is hard to see any justification for Andrew Weaver's claim that "We're going to get a meter and there's nothing we can do about it," unless he is talking about the next 500 years.

Cazenave et al. estimated that "the geocentric rate of global mean sea level rise over the last decade (1993-2003) is now known to be very accurate, +2.8 ± 0.4 mm/year, as determined from TOPEX/Poseidon and Jason altimeter measurements," and "this rate is significantly larger than the historical rate of sea level change measured by tide gauges during the past decades (in the range of 1-2 mm/year)." However, they attribute this apparent recent increase to "decadal variability" (resulting from e.g. "the Pacific Decadal Oscillation") and "geographical variability" that biases the sea level gauge results that they are comparing to the TOPEX/Poseidon satellite measurements. So, they also find no significant recent increase to the rate of sea level rise of 1-2 mm/year.

The work of Lombard et al. confirms the findings of Cazenave et al.. Lombard et al. investigated the temperature-induced (i.e. thermosteric) sea-level change of the last 50 years using the global ocean temperature data of Levitus et al. (2000) and Ishii et al. (2003). They found that thermosteric sea level variations are dominated by decadal oscillations of the major ocean-atmosphere climatic perturbations (El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Pacific Decadal Oscillation and North Atlantic Oscillation). In terms of the global mean, as they describe it, thermosteric trends computed over 10-year windows "show large fluctuations in time, with positive values (in the range 1 to 1.5 mm/year for the decade centered on 1970) and negative values (-1 to -1.5 mm/year for the decade centered on 1980)."

Jevrejeva et al. also say that "global sea level rise is irregular and varies greatly over time,". Importantly, they say "it is apparent that rates in the 1920-1945 period are likely to be as large as today's" (emphasis added). And they say, their "global sea level trend estimate of 2.4 ± 1.0 mm/year for the period from 1993 to 2000 matches the 2.6 ± 0.7 mm/year sea level rise found from TOPEX/Poseidon altimeter data".

Not only do real studies show no increase to rate of sea level change, the article you provide gives reasons for concern that are nonsense.

Far too few glaciers are monitored for any assessment of their total loss or gain. Some are growing and others shrinking. On average they have all been shrinking (with periods of growth) since the end of the last ice age 10 thousand years ago. The additional water to the environment from melting glaciers has been increasing sea level for that 10,000 years.

There is no threat of sea level rise from "disappearing ice sheets"; none, not any, zilch.

Arctic ice sheets are floating and, therefore, their complete melting would have no effect on sea level (as anybody can test by melting an ice cube in a glass of water and noting that there is no change to the water level). Antarctic ice is accumulating and, therefore, could be expected to reduce sea level by loading the Antarctic landmass with ice that would otherwise be water in the oceans. Furthermore, Näslund et al. used data on ice sheet bed and surface topography for western Dronning Maud Land in East Antarctica to calculate volume changes for that part of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet for scenarios of as much as 10°C warming. They say their model study is applicable to the Antarctic ice as a whole, and they concluded that it would take the ice sheet some 20,000 years to stabilize, and at a volume similar to the volume it now has.

(ref. Näslund, J.O., Fastook, J.L and Holmlund, P. 2000. Numerical modeling of the ice sheet in western Dronning Maud Land, East Antarctica: impacts of present, past and future climates. Journal of Glaciology 46: 54-66)

And the "warmer waters expanding" is a situation of 'no change'. The warmer waters have been expanding for 10,000 years and - as the above references demonstrate - the warmer waters continue to expand at unchanging rates.

Simply, there is no reason to suppose that sea level rise will be more of a problem in this century than it was in the last century or each of the previous ten centuries.

I expect more responses to this pathetic excuse for journalism in the next 24 hours, and will share them as soon as possible.

*****Update II: It appears that Borenstein may have misquoted one of his sources for this piece, or, at the very least, quoted him out of context. Toward the end of the article, Borenstein wrote:

Even John Christy at the University of Alabama in Huntsville, a scientist often quoted by global warming skeptics, said he figures the seas will rise at least 16 inches by the end of the century. But he tells people to prepare for a rise of about three feet just in case.

Well, I e-mailed Dr. Christy, and this was his verbatim response:

Noel:

Please note that there are no quotes in the comment. In other words Bornstien [sic] is interpreting my comments because none of my quotes were evidently in concert with the them [sic] of the story. Our main discussion was about sea level rise from hurricane storm surges. I spoke about this as the real danger - not 1 inch per decade (or about 16 inches per century). My point was that since storm surges are the real problem, so being ready for 3 feet is better than nothing.

Interesting, wouldn't you agree? According to Christy, he was speaking to Borenstein about sea level rises during hurricanes. But that's NOT what Borenstein reported.

See how this game works, folks?

—Noel Sheppard is the Associate Editor of NewsBusters. Follow him at Facebook and Twitter.


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The Sky is Falling....The

The Sky is Falling....The Sky is Falling.

I know absolutely nobody who believes we are in any kind of danger, and only two people who think AGW is real.

Most think it is a ripoff that the politicians are going to use to try and tax us more one way or the other.

They would be right too.

The msm will not stop...they have an agenda, simple as that, let alone even when they are proven wrong, like all good little leftist they never admit it.

I just do not pay that much attention anymore, most likely will the closer we get to election though, it will be interesting for the conservative side of the aisle, and it will make a difference on who I vote for too.

So AP and all the rest of your ilk in all walks of life with your agenda's...blow all the hot air you want, I could care less.

Isn't it amazing how they

Isn't it amazing how they use fear mongering when it suits their needs...

Hypocrites.

Beach Front Property

This is good news!!  My house in Alexandria and some property I have in GA may be beach front.  That helps my resale value!!

http://thelazytriathlete.blogspot.com/

Noel

where did the picture come from?

that would be a sea-level rise of over 260 feet as it is 301 to the top of the torch

  “The way to stop discrimination on the basis of race is to stop discriminating on the basis of race.”   -Chief Justice John Roberts

B

thanks

so it is not associated with associated press's article? 

  “The way to stop discrimination on the basis of race is to stop discriminating on the basis of race.”   -Chief Justice John Roberts

Grey Lady down.

Our Muslim/NationalSocialist/DemoTotalitarian controlled government would have knocked Ms. Liberty to the ground by then so it could easily be up to the torch in water.

Noel, I know you know by now...

The rules have forever changed, bit by bit.  We are at the point where truth and honesty from the media are no longer the rules of engagement.  It's no exaggeration.  The media has become a propaganda machine for the left.  A mere tool.  Wow.

Sadly, with the exception of Newsbusters and a handful of blogs, no one seems to care or mind.  Atlas shrugged.

Scout..... Bingo! Pathet

Scout.....

Bingo!

Pathetic and maddening at times. 

bt....

Ten years ago, even five years ago, this kind of coverage would have been unacceptable by most people.  But the media has lowered the bar week by week.  To the point where no one seems shocked or disgusted anymore.

I have been furious too in

I have been furious too in a number of areas and stories over the years too Scout...

Absolutely no accountability and reprimands equal exactly what we have now.

It really is beyond despicable.

I am glad my kids are grown...I feel angry about some of the generation coming up, look at how they must think so the heck what if we misrepresent and outright lie.....nothing is going to happen to me.

They would be right.

Disgusting.

Noel and Co. ...

Yeah, this really IS frightening! NO, not the story... the CLEAR AS DAY fact that, with Iraq cleaning up and the economy good, etc., and we're nearing the final-year stretch-run to Nov 2008, the MSM are simply throwing anything they can find to truly scare people to the left for the presidential election.

We get actually attacked on 9/11 by crazies who REALLY EXIST and who were increasingly attacking key locations around the globe for a decade leading up to 9/11, and have continued to attack or tried to attack, and the left screams that the right has been using "scare tactics". Meanwhile, this 99% fabricated GW craze has been thrusted down our throats daily, and there is no solid proof that it is happening, and if it is humans are probably 3-4% responsible, so there's not much anything can be done to reverse it.

It's pure political-driven agenda evilness, what the entire MSM are doing... and this AP crap goes out to all the major outlets, including AOL.com's homepage, that millions see.

It's easier for a coward to

It's easier for a coward to attack a non existent problem that won't shoot back, than to attack a real enemy with a gun. 

But you can pretend you're brave, and concerned. Don Quixote style.

"There is a clear attempt to establish truth not by scientific methods but by perpetual repetition."
- Richard S. Lindzen, Ph.D. Professor of Meteorology, MIT

Anti-Hysteria Movies

This will only get worse until we get a regular network to air a movie like one of these:

The Great Global Warming Swindle (Video) (1hr 14min)

CBC: Documentary: Doomsday Called Off (Video) (44min)

Climate Catastrophe Cancelled (Video) (25min)

Penn and Teller - Bullshit! - Environmental Hysteria (Video) (29min)

 

The Anti "Man-Made" Global Warming Resource

PT

Thanks for the links. I'd downloaded "The Great Global Warming Swindle" some time ago. Just watched the Penn and Teller vid (loved it!), though it was kind of creepy seeing the liberal ape in it's protestatory habitat--gave me an uneasy feeling...gotta go bathe now. Anyway, thanks.

 

Never use your gun to pistol-wip a Liberal. That could mar the finish.

Good to hear

No problem and please share these with everyone you know. :)

The Anti "Man-Made" Global Warming Resource

Is that the one where they

Is that the one where they also interview the hand chosen expert on the environment. Who couldn't answer any of the questions? She could gest give the hype. that one is a priceless gem.

"There is a clear attempt to establish truth not by scientific methods but by perpetual repetition."
- Richard S. Lindzen, Ph.D. Professor of Meteorology, MIT

"Spokesperson Kate"

Yes, she is THE spokesperson for the Rainforest Action Network.

"Spokesperson Kate" 

The Anti "Man-Made" Global Warming Resource

That was a must see video.

That was a must see video. Shows how much these self proclaimed experts know. And funny as all get out. One of my favorites.

Also good. But not as funny but scarry is this one on another aspect of the self proclaimed experts.

"There is a clear attempt to establish truth not by scientific methods but by perpetual repetition."
- Richard S. Lindzen, Ph.D. Professor of Meteorology, MIT

How about the other one:

How about the other one: "Nice Treeeee" 

The Anti "Man-Made" Global Warming Resource

This global warming stuff leaves me cold...

I find it simply amazing how our funny little liberal friends are frightened to death by this phantom phenomenon, but have so far demonstrated no healthy public fear over the very real object of our nightmares: Islamic fundamentalism. Mr. Gore's flim flam carbon credit scam isn't going to be worth diddly squat if terrorists set off nuclear devices in the U.S., or if Iran manages to wipe Israel off the face of the earth. How do you "offset" nuclear fallout, Mr. Gore? For our sake, put you ample money where your even ampler mouth is and start battling our most urgent problem!  Then maybe, MAYBE I will listen to that other minor concern of yours.

baxter...

Took the words... right out of my mouth.

Well, I also wrote something similar above :)

 MSM = disgusting (my favorite word)

Sorry MrShy!

I was so outraged by the article that I hit "add new comment" without checking out all the others!  Yours point was extremely well made.  It just proves that we know what the left's ultimate motive is, and we have to be the real and rational voice in this debate.  I'm tired of liberals endangering our lives!

<sarc> Don't you know? 

<sarc> Don't you know?  The science is settled. There is a concensus. (I wish I could write that the way Algore says it!).<sarc off>

There are a lot of environmentalists who believe that, at this point, our situation is dire, so it is actually irresponsible to present the "other" view.

Are they ignorant, stupid, or evil?


NBC News reported Monday that Greenland's ice sheets are melting so quickly that it "could ignite worldwide disaster," the Associated Press on Saturday cautioned that "In about a century, some of the places that make America what it is may be slowly erased."

Okay, let's take a look at this claim. The earth's surface is roughly 200,000,000 square miles, and about 70 percent of that is water (the world's oceans). So that's about 140,000,000 square miles of water.

It is estimated that the Greenland ice sheet is losing water at the rate of about 50 cubic miles per year (using satellite gravity measurement techniques). Assuming the rate holds steady, that's 5000 cubic miles per century.

The rise in sea level from this amount of water would be 5000 cu-mi / 140,000,000,000 sq-mi = 0.000036 miles.

0.000036 miles x 5280 feet / mile = 0.19 feet

0.19 feet x 12 inches / foot = 2.3 inches

So, according to these bozos, a rise in sealevel worldwide of 2.3 inches will submerge most of the east and west coasts of the U.S. This is obviously a copious amount of fresh horse dung.

What is probably more interesting is why these people continue to propagate nonsense: are they ignorant, stupid, or evil? It's gotta be one of the three, I can't imagine any other possibilities.

Pure evil!

Excellent example marvl. Those who accept GW on faith are igorant, those who knowingly propagate the falshood of GW (the gorical) are unquestionably evil. They demand that you sacrifice the comforts of modern life, infact that you sacrifice your very life  as evidenced by statements that overpopulation is a major cause of GW, so that they may continue there affluent lifestyle. Justifying themselves by buying "carbon offsets".

 As to the "consensus" of the networks and the scientits that GW "could ignite worldwide disaster,". No concensus, no matter who or how many believe it or wish for it, will ever alter the facts of reality.

 

"In any compromise between good and evil, only evil can profit." Ayn Rand

Noel; proportional relationship?

"This raises an important question: Just how much worse can this situation get?"

The answer may be in how much lower their ratings go. To me there seems to be a direct correlation between the MSM's declining market share and their increased hysteria over this particular issue as well as others they hold near and dear to their hearts. They have become fanatics.

Reminds me of the tale of the woodcutter who didn't take time to sharpen his axe (or in the case of the press, check the facts). Over time, his burden became greater, his efforts more labored. His results more insignificant. Finally the day arrived when he could cut no more.  

  

 

The early bird gets the worm, but the second mouse gets the cheese.  ~ Unknown

Or the Little Boy Who Cried

Or the Little Boy Who Cried Wolf. That I think killed a lot of people in Katrina

"There is a clear attempt to establish truth not by scientific methods but by perpetual repetition."
- Richard S. Lindzen, Ph.D. Professor of Meteorology, MIT

Noel, I finally responded on your methane thread ...

and see you already have more up - man you are prolific!

However, I fail to see how you get from Seth Borenstein`s AP post to your assertion that "media are clearly putting on a full-court press to scare Americans into believing the world will quickly come to an end if we don't start doing exactly what soon-to-be-Dr. Al Gore tells us", or to calling it "totally inexcusable" "fear-mongering" and an "abomination" offering "hysterical projections". Borenstein`s post is very clear that he is summarizing what sea level rises scientists think will happen in a century or so, irregardless of what we do now. Did you miss these quotes?

"We're going to get a meter and there's nothing we can do about it," said University of Victoria climatologist Andrew Weaver, a lead author of the February report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in Paris. "It's going to happen no matter what—the question is when."

Few of the more than two dozen climate experts interviewed disagree with the one-meter projection. Some believe it could happen in 50 years, others say 100, and still others say 150.

And far from "hysterical projections", Borenstein makes no mention at all of James Hansen`s concerns about the accelerated melting in Greenland that was not factored into the latest IPCC report, and in fact concludes with a note that John Christy, "a scientist often quoted by global warming skeptics, said he figures the seas will rise at least 16 inches by the end of the century. But he tells people to prepare for a rise of about three feet just in case."

Why do you paint what John Christy or the other scientists say here as hysteria, or the piece as a whole for the proposition that we have to start what Gore says, or that doing so will stop what scientists see as an unavoidable meter sea level rise over the next century?

Wouldn`t a more accurate take be to note that adaptation will cost money, and money spent on trying to slow climate change will have no effect, at least for this currently built-in sea level rise?

And as to why the increased level of reporting on climate change matters, I imagine you are aware of the various meetings this week that the US will participate in and host, and the deal announced yesterday to finally eliminate production of CFCs (which you suggested in your last note to me that the "leftists" don`t care about)? http://abcnews.go.co...

Is there nothing here praiseworthy in your view? If not, when will you devote equal tiome to raking the Bush administration over the coals

Regards,

A Curious BlindSight

"I do not know what is true. ... But in the midst of doubt ... I do not doubt that the faith is true and adorable which leads a soldier to throw away his life in obedience to a blindly accepted duty."
- Oliver Wendel Holmes, Jr.

BS

BS,

Do you believe there are scientists around the world -- potentially a huge number -- that disagree with Borenstein's claims in this piece of detritus? If so, isn't journalism about presenting both sides of an issue? Or, are you comfortable with only the alarmist position being represented?

Borenstein claimed that he interviewed more than two dozen scientists, and few disagreed with what he presented. Shouldn't he have at least offered ONE of these views? This seems quite reasonable to someone such as myself who is in regular contact with at least 50 scientists that disagree with EVERYTHING presented in this abomination.

That said, I'm curious: How many scientists do you engage with on a daily basis concerning this subject? Please advise. ns

Noel, as you note,

Noel, as you note, Borenstein did report that some ("few") of the more than two dozen climate experts interviewed disagree with the one-meter projection, and closed with a prominent reference to one who does disagree - Christy, who is reported as expecting 16 inches (less than half of a meter). Is that not reporting "both sides"? Who else should he have quoted? And if "everything" in his piece is an abomination, then does that mean you disagree with Christy, too?

If some of the 50+ scientists you are in regular contact with disagree Christy and the other scientists who Borenstein cites, I`m interested in hearing. You might refer the latest IPCC AR4, but the press has certainly covered how that report does not address ice sheet dynamics, hasn`t it?

By the way, the question of whether a one meter rise over the next century is likely or not aside, I still fail to see how you conclude that Borenstein`s piece is part of a "full-court press to scare Americans into believing the world will quickly come to an end if we don't start doing exactly what soon-to-be-Dr. Al Gore tells us". The reporting makes clear we are talking about gradual rises over a century, that scientists are saying that there is little we can do to avoid. The implication of the piece is that we should begin to get ready for climate changes that we can expect, not to take action to change our impact, if any, on the climate. This is message that scientists like Christy have been saying for some time. I fail to see how this message is irresponsible.

"That said, I'm curious: How many scientists do you engage with on a daily basis concerning this subject? Please advise."

What`s the point of this question - are you making an implicit argument from authority? If you consult with lots of scientists, that`s great, and I am happy to be informed.

Sincerely,

Uncertain vision

"I do not know what is true. ... But in the midst of doubt ... I do not doubt that the faith is true and adorable which leads a soldier to throw away his life in obedience to a blindly accepted duty."
- Oliver Wendel Holmes, Jr.

Welcome back, Dave High.

LMAO-Long time, no see.

So, how's life been treatin' ya?

How's the wife and my kids? :-)

I've been wondering for days who it is that you remind me of, then last night I read your comment directly above, and it all came flooding back.

Hey, if you behave this time, perhaps you'll get to hang here a little longer.


Regards,

Dave R.


When I'm president, privatization is off the table because it's not the answer to anything.
-Hillary Rodham, September 3, 2007 AARP Legislative Conference.

Thanks for the welcome. You`ve got a right to hate me, `coz

I`m the mangy dog that named you, Sue! ;-)

"I do not know what is true. ... But in the midst of doubt ... I do not doubt that the faith is true and adorable which leads a soldier to throw away his life in obedience to a blindly accepted duty."
- Oliver Wendel Holmes, Jr.

John Christy's comment was out of context

The AP author Seth Borenstein interpretted John's comment out of context, notice it is not quoted. This is going to be very embarrassing for Seth. 

The Anti "Man-Made" Global Warming Resource

Noel: "It is indeed a sad

Noel:

"It is indeed a sad commentary that three years after CBS News intentionally presented a fraudulent Air National Guard memo during an installment of "60 Minutes," the professionalism and ethics in this industry have actually deteriorated even further." [emphasis mine]

Off topic, but you're not suggesting CBS knowingly used false documents, are you?

Jer

Jer

Jer,

Are you serious? You think Mapes and Rather made an innocent mistake? Just weeks before a presidential election?

I guess my level of skepticism is greater than yours on many issues, not just anthropogenic global warming. And all this time I was led to believe that conservatives were desperately yearning to preserve the status quo, and it was liberals who were more inherently distrusting of authority figures. :-) ns

Noel: I think Mapes and

Noel:

I think Mapes and Rather didn't do their job, and may in fact have been actuated by political motives [although I believe even the Thornburgh report dismissed "bias" as a causative factor].  However, I am confident they were not aware of the inauthenticity of the documents.

But it may be best to save that debate for another time and thread.

You probably are more of an AGW skeptic than I am, but I have never taken a position on the issue, other than saying my mind isn't made up, and I encourage skepticism.  What was your reaction to John Christy's quoted comment in the article?

Jer

 

Jer

Jer,

I didn't see a John Christy quote. What I saw was a supposed paraphrase.

Here's what Christy said in front of Congress on May 2, 2001:

In the past 150 years, sea level has risen at a rate of 6 in. ñ 4 in. (15 cm ñ 10 cm) per century and is apparently not accelerating. Sea level also rose in the 17th and 18th centuries, obviously due to natural causes, but not as much. Sea level has been rising naturally for thousands of years (about 2 in. per century in the past 6,000 years). If we look at ice volumes of past interglacial periods and realize how slow ice responds to climate, we know that in the current interglacial period (which began about 11,000 years ago) there is still more land ice available for melting, implying continued sea level rise.

One of my duties in the office of the State Climatologist is to inform developers and industries of the potential climate risks and rewards in Alabama. I am very frank in pointing out the dangers of beach front property along the Gulf Coast. A sea level rise of 6 in. over 100 years, or even 50 years is minuscule compared with the storm surge of a powerful hurricane like Fredrick or Camille. Coastal areas threatened today will be threatened in the future. The sea level rise, which will continue, will be very slow and thus give decades of opportunity for adaptation, if one is able to survive the storms.

ns

 

 

Noel, you're right, it

Noel, you're right, it was't a direct quote, but it was a rather specific declarative statement.  I am wondering, since you are in regular contact with 50 scientists who dispute everything in the article, if it might not be too difficult for you to confirm the accuracy of the "supposed paraphrase" of Mr. Christy's remarks.

If true, Christy appears to now predict a sea rise for this century which, when compared to the data presented in his testimony, is well over twice the rate for the past 150 years, and at least 8 times the average for the past 6000 years.

If false, AP has some 'splaining to do.

Thanks, Jer

jer

didn't Noel give you Christy's quote?  How does what Christy said compare with the (supposed) paraphrase?

but then i see Noel is here so best to let him answer you

Supreme Court,  National Security,  Borders,  Fiscal Restraint, my litmus test for President.

Jer

Jer,

I have no idea what Borenstein was referring to. My search for Christy's statements regarding sea levels all point to his various Congressional testimonies that are all similar to what I've already copied here. I've sent an e-mail message to Christy, and will share his response once I get it.

As for AP having some 'splaining to do, don't kid yourself. Today's media can report anything they want with total impunity. That's the point!  ns

Thanks, Noel, for your

Thanks, Noel, for your inquiry to Christy.

Regarding your point about "reporting anything...with total impunity", it would seem if Christy's alleged remarks were grossly mischaracterized, he would be eager to correct the record, and capable of doing so.

Jer

Jer

Jer,

See Update II! ns

 

Well done, Noel....Your

Well done, Noel....Your abiliy to get straight to the source of the conflict, and the speed with which you did so, is very impressive. 

I assume Dr. Christy [in his e-mail response] intended to state "...because none of my quotes were evidently in concert with the theme of the story." [my emphasis--Dr. Christy having omitted the "e" at the end of "them"]

Apparently, I'm going to have to do some basic research (sigh!) on climatology, sea levels, negative effects, if any, from melting glaciers/ice flows, etc. 

For example, Courtney and Christy, still seem to have slightly divergent views on historical sea level variations.  Courtney asserts there has been virtually none, or an increase so minute it is measured in millimeters, even in the last century.  On the other hand, Christy testifiied the increase in sea levels had been averaging a couple of inches per century, and in the past 150 years had averaged over six inches.  Am I reading that correctly?

Anyway, thanks for your superb efforts.

Jer
 

Jer

I believe that Richard Courtney could more accurately be described as stating that there hasn't been a significant variation from the historical long-term RATE of increase in sea levels. He doesn't dispute the sea level is increasing, just that he doesn't think the long-term rate is increasing although it does show variation on a decadal scale.

Jer, read Courtney again.

Jer, read Courtney again. I think you will find that Courtney claimed not 2 mm per century, but 2 mm per year. 2mm per year would make 200 mm per century, which is approximately 7.87 inches per century. (1 inch = 25.4 mm.)

"A communist is someone who reads Marx. An anti-communist is someone who understands Marx." Ronald Reagan

Thanks MikeB, this doesn't

Thanks MikeB, this doesn't bode well for the success of my global warming research--if I can't even distinguish between the words "year" and "century". 

Jer

Does Christy stand by what he said six years ago?

I would note that Christy`s statement from 2001 is both stale and seems to downplay the recent rather obvious accelerating increases in sea levels by a disingenuous picking of measurement points. Sea levels rose rapidly as we came out of the last ice age until about 8,000 years ago, but with sea levels still rising gradually until about 2,000 years ago, and then remained relatively constant until about 100 years ago, after which they have begun to increase at accelerating rates. The IPCC says:

Global sea level rose by about 120 m during the several millennia that followed the end of the last ice age (approximately 21,000 years ago), and stabilised between 3,000 and 2,000 years ago. Sea level indicators suggest that global sea level did not change significantly from then until the late 19th century. The instrumental record of modern sea level change shows evidence for onset of sea level rise during the 19th century. Estimates for the 20th century show that global average sea level rose at a rate
of about 1.7 mm/yr.

Satellite observations available since the early 1990s provide more accurate sea level data with nearly global coverage. This decade-long satellite altimetry data set shows that since 1993, sea level has been rising at a rate of around 3 mm/yr, significantly higher than the average during the previous half century.

http://ipcc-wg1.ucar...

Wikipedia notes: "From 3,000 years ago to the start of the 19th century sea level was almost constant, rising at 0.1 to 0.2 mm/yr. Since 1900 the level has risen at 1 to 2 mm/yr; since 1993 satellite altimetry from TOPEX/Poseidon indicates a rate of rise of 3.1 ± 0.7 mm yr/."
http://en.wikipedia....

I look forward to hearing the results of your direct follow-up with him as to whether or not he has changed his views, or if Borenstein has grossly distorted them.

Regards,

BS

"I do not know what is true. ... But in the midst of doubt ... I do not doubt that the faith is true and adorable which leads a soldier to throw away his life in obedience to a blindly accepted duty."
- Oliver Wendel Holmes, Jr.

Mixing sources

You cannot mix tidal guage measurements with Satellite measurements and claim there is a increased trend. You must use one source and show an increase from that source's data. If none exists, there is no increased trend.

As you can see Christy's comments were grossly distorted. 

 

The Anti "Man-Made" Global Warming Resource

This all sounds like a bad

This all sounds like a bad Bond movie. Next they will claim theres sharks with fricken lazerbeams melting the glaciers. Confimed by the scientific community. This mutated breed of sharks was brought about by the rapid change in the global climate due to AGW.....and Noel its gonna get alot worse...election time? should be interesting. Take some time and stretch those fingers there gonna be rattling away non-stop...

 

The term yellow journalism traditionally refers to news organizations for whom some combination of sensationalism, profiteering, propaganda, journalistic bias or jingoism takes dominance over factual reporting and the profession's public trust. If one may construe gradations of bias, then Yellow journalism may be considered less subtle and coarser in content and execution than media bias, though bias is indeed evident......Hmmm I'll take propaganda for $1000 Alex....the answer is....MSM

I'm sorry, you failed to

I'm sorry, you failed to provide the answer in the form of a question.

In the category of propaganda for $1000, the correct response is: What is the MSM? 

"A communist is someone who reads Marx.  An anti-communist is someone who understands Marx."  Ronald Reagan

 Awww Crap! "When you

 Awww Crap!

"When you can't make them see the light, make them feel the heat"         R. Reagan

Louisiana's disappearing wetlands.

The lost of Louisiana's wetlands is less an issue of rising sea levels. As there apparently hasn't been that much lately. Unless you adjust the data with that sinking guage in Hong Kong.

Rather it's an old problem and has to do with the nature of delta geology.

The Mississippi River delta and south Louisiana are sinking. The geology changes near my home. And you can tell driving down I-10 when you make the transition. And the very levees we've built to protect us have aggravated the problem.

The Inconvenient truth.

Louisiana  1743

Louisiana Mississippi Coast 1768

Louisiana 1863

 

The LSU chart room has an old French map. It shows Bayou Lafourche with a pronounced crow foot. (It was the old channel of the Mississippi.) That crow foot was long gone before I was born and even long before the USGS 1930 series maps of the area.

Another hype shot to ----.

Of course de Nile has the same problem. The fact that Cheopatras Alexandria is deep under the Mediterranian. Maybe AGW goes back to the Romans. All those chariots.

"There is a clear attempt to establish truth not by scientific methods but by perpetual repetition."
- Richard S. Lindzen, Ph.D. Professor of Meteorology, MIT

the nature of delta geology

danbo, you are exactly right - the chief problem is that the delta`s eroding due to lack of replenshiment as the Mississippi is channelled to the Gulf. Much of the coastal region is also subsiding from decades of gas extraction.

Can`t do much about ground subsistence, but we could (and should) certainly start rebuilding bayoos and barriers islands - by deliberately releasing Mississppi silt through the levees, and letting this be a locally controlled project. But no - we will ignore all lessons, and simply rebuild levees, over which residents of NO will have no management or quality control, while using the Mississippi only for navigation.

The continued role of the feds here is simply a recipe for further mismanagment and disaster. Shippers are getting net subsidies from this, at the cost of residents who have no control. Shouldn`t the levees be owned, controlled and maintained by locals?

"I do not know what is true. ... But in the midst of doubt ... I do not doubt that the faith is true and adorable which leads a soldier to throw away his life in obedience to a blindly accepted duty."
- Oliver Wendel Holmes, Jr.

Shaking in my boots

Right now I live about 45 miles from the NC coast. Our elevation is about 38' above sea level. Contrast that to my daughter who lives about 10 miles from the ocean in Pensacola. The elevation there is about 60'.

I guess I need to get out of here and get down to Florida. 

Aren't parts of the CA coastline above sea level? You see the hills next to the beach all the time.

Do I look worried? Not in the least. This article is total BS. By the way, I have always wanted to live on the beach.

Here's one other thing to think about, Marine Corps Air Staion Cherry Point, New River Air Station and Camp Lejuene are even lower in elevation than here. I don't hear politicians talking about moving them out of harms way. If GW is happening there is no way we can stop it.

Plans need to be made to evacuate the US coastline NOW! Ray Nagan needs to get those flooded school buses ready and get the hell out of NO by the end of this week because they are below sea level.

 A bona fide and certified member of the beer guzzling, NASCAR watching middle class.

Ricklail

Isn't that the Neuse River that flows beside Cherry Point?

I recall in one of the hurricanes from several years ago there was a pretty good surge up as far as New Bern. That is also a pretty massive river, probably one of the widest in the country if I'm not mistaken.

rick... I live in the

rick...

I live in the mountains here in NC, and I for one am looking forward to this global warming thing. I'm hoping my front yard becomes Ocean front property! 

Get Email updates from Fred http://socialnet.imwithfred.com/email_alert_july_26.html

The Evolution of Delusion

All rivers are gonna' rise silly. These people are as crazy as the young earther's and the anti-genetic crowd.

Replogle globe

I'm looking at a 30+ year old Replogle globe of the Earth. I see a very distinct seaway around the Arctic including Amundsen Gulf and open water all the way to Baffin Island.  Didn't I just read that this was going to happen by 2020? Looks like the folks at Replogle could predict and accurately map it 30+ years ago. Hmmm.

We know the Antarctic ice mass is actually increasing at this point, so leave any mention of that out of the news.

So we must focus on Greenland (don't let those Viking settlements under the ice fool you).

As to the Arctic ice cap, don't mention to anyone that the ice cap is actually floating , it will spoil the scary story.

global propaganda

I wonder how many different ways the lunatic left will rewrap this stinking fish and try to resell it .

I live near the Gulf of Mexico .On the water and I have not seen a
consistent rise in water levels in the 6 years I have
lived here. If the water is rising in Pakistan India or Greece or where
ever something tells me it must rise here as well. We have daily
and seasonal changes but overall the normal mean average is the same .

The left has no wish to discuss or debate this issue . Their only
agenda is to sell it. I have asked this question many times and no one
has ever answered. Why does the AGW crowd assume that melting ice
flows into the sea and NEVER changes state again ? By nature the 3
states of water are solid ice ,liquid water and vapor. We cannot
measure or accurately calculate the swirling oceans of water
vapor in our atmosphere. If global temperature increases the rate
of evaporation will logically increase. and the system is a self
regulating loop that is constantly readjusting. The engine of
this dynamic is of course the sun.

How arrogant is the argument that man is causing the climate to change?

 

Clinton's Beach Front Property

I'm new here.  Have I missed the discussion of the beach front property that the Clinton's were to be purchasing in Costa Rica, or was that my imagination?  I guess they don't care what it's value will be in 50 years when it's underwater? Or are they not "true believers?"

delete double post

delete double post

No, I still don't understand the "game"

I do know that Christy is a skeptic who nevertheless publicly supports the IPCC process and conclusions, even though his expectations for climate change have consistently trailed his peers. I also know that Christy's expectation for sea level change (16 inches/century is about 4 mm/yr.) is even greater than the accelerated rate of 3.2 mm/yr. over the past decade (precisely measured by satellites), which is greater than the 1.8 mm/yr over the past century, and that the average rate of change from 2000 years ago to about 100 years ago was near zero. See the Frasier Institute's "Independent Summary for Policymakers" prepared by Ross McKittrick and others.
http://www.uoguelph....

I also know that Christy advocates getting ready for a changed climate and for climate risks as a more cost-effective approach than trying to mitigate. I also recognize that that is essentially the message that Borenstein conveyed, even though the scientists he quoted said that they expected an increase of about 2.5 times (not 10 or 100) that of Christy. That hardly seems like hysteria, and certainly not a message to jump on the Al Gore bandwagon to immediately change our energy policy.

However, I would agree that Borenstein should have specifically noted that the one-meter rise that the scientists were mentioning was outside of that the ranges projected by the IPCC. It would have been useful to have more of discussion of the reasons for that - such as new information on ice sheet dynamics. Perhaps he should have also provided more balance by citing to others who are more optimistic than Christy, as well as to others who are more pessimistic.

I also recognize, as much as I disfavor any government action, that unlike other resources that free and fair markets can allocate efficiently and create wealth, no one owns the atmosphere, so markets do not reflect either the value of the air or the costs associated with economic behavior that affects climate. But this is a point that I made on the methane thread and that you, as an economist, should already be fully aware of anyway. This is what that underlies the support of famous Republican economists like Greg Mankiw (and other Nobel Prize winning economists) to support carbon taxes and they certainly are serious and don't seem to view climate change or related policy as a "game".

By the way, did you notice the EPA's recent release, trumpeting the fact that the EC has joined the EPA's "Methane to Markets Partnership", which is an international initiative to reduce global methane emissions through multilateral cooperation - and that none of the MSM seem interested? http://yosemite.epa.gov/opa/admpress.nsf/1ef7cd36224b565785257359003f533f/416074351d70350c85257360004b6bc8!OpenDocument

Is this a type of measure that you can support?

Regards,

20/20 Blind

"I do not know what is true. ... But in the midst of doubt ... I do not doubt that the faith is true and adorable which leads a soldier to throw away his life in obedience to a blindly accepted duty."
- Oliver Wendel Holmes, Jr.

Are you clueless?

"The Game" is how Borenstein disgracefully tried to imply that John's Hurricane Storm surge warning of 3 feet was his prediction of sea level rise. There is no excuse for it period. Seth was trying to use John for political gain and public support on the issue by lying about the context of what John said.

Since no one has asked John what his predictions actually are, his quote of 16 inches could simply be in line with what the IPCC is stating and does not reflect his personal opinion. It is all about the context.

The reason John generally agrees with the IPCC report's stated observational data is because the actual scientific report is not hysterical or alarmist.

And there is no "accelerated rate" mixing data sets does not prove anything is accelerating. Satellite and Tidal guage measurements are two different things and cannot be lumped together. That is propaganda.

The Anti "Man-Made" Global Warming Resource

Christy, to his credit, keeps changing his mind.

I presume you've noticed as well.

There has very clearly been an accelerating rise in mean sea level, as precisely measured by satellites, and rates of rise have been creeping up, as both Christy himself notes in the quote Noel provided and as MCKittrick and others state in the Fraser Institute's "Independent Summary for Policymakers":
http://www.uoguelph....

While global sea level rose by approximately 120 metres during the several millennia that followed the end of the last glacial maximum, the level stabilized between 3000 and 2000 years ago. Since then, paleo sea level indicators suggest that global sea level did not change significantly: the average rate of change from 2000 years ago to about 100
years ago is near zero. The instrumentally-based estimates of modern sea level change provide evidence for an onset of acceleration at the end of the 19th century. Recent estimates for the last half of the 20th century (1950.2000) give approximately 2 mm/year global mean sea level rise. New satellite observations show that since 1993 sea level has been rising at a rate of 3.1 mm/year.

The rate is expected to further increase as the planet warms further, and apparently many scientists do think that one meter in a century is likely:

http://www.colorado....
http://energycommerc...
http://www.pewclimat...

Do you sincerely think that there is nothing to plan for and adapt to - as opposed to try to slow?

Blind AND clueless

"I do not know what is true. ... But in the midst of doubt ... I do not doubt that the faith is true and adorable which leads a soldier to throw away his life in obedience to a blindly accepted duty."
- Oliver Wendel Holmes, Jr.

Stop Spreading Propaganda

No there has not been a clear acceleration. You are mixing data sets. You cannot take the difference between Tidal Guage measurements and Satellite altimitry and claim an acceleration, that is ridiculous.

Satellite monitored sea level has only been measured since 1992 and has an uncertainty of 3-4mm. Hello! That is more then there claim of 3.2mm/yr. Also Concurrent tide guage calibrations are used to estimate altimeter drift.

Regardless Satellite monitored sea level has shown NO ACCELERATION. Stop spreading propaganda.

The Anti "Man-Made" Global Warming Resource

Ross McKittrick and the

Ross McKittrick and the Frasier Institute are propaganda? And Christy himself? They're as conservative as they come. And they show a definite acceleration - even if you throw away the best evidence, which is the precise satellite measurements.

How is it that you know what is happening better than them?

"I do not know what is true. ... But in the midst of doubt ... I do not doubt that the faith is true and adorable which leads a soldier to throw away his life in obedience to a blindly accepted duty."
- Oliver Wendel Holmes, Jr.

Global Warming???

htt://smokersclubinc.com

Global Warming!!

$125,000 thousand dollar reward to any person that can prove 'man' is the
cause of Global Warming

http://www.junkscience.com/

Thomas Laprade
Thunder Bay, Ont.
Ph. 807 3457258