The Washington Post has released a new poll purporting to show Michael Steele trailing Ben Cardin by eleven points in the Maryland Senate race.
Cardin Steele 10/26/06 LV 54 43
The poll of likely voters over sampled Democrats by 8 points based upon election results from 2004.Party affiliation for the new WaPo poll:
Dem. Rep. Ind. Something else No opinion10/26/06 RV 56 30 11 3 1
Party affiliation as per exit polling in 2004, which in itself may have been a skewed sample given that the exit polls were so far off the mark in many states:Democrat (48%) Republican (30%) Independent (22%) A recent Rassmussen poll had Cardin up by 5, while a Survey USA poll had the race tied - via Real Clear Politics. With two seemingly skewed WaPo polls in the RCP average adjusted and including the two other polls, it's quite possible the race is a dead heat.