Oklahoma Republican senator James Inhofe has been one of the lone bright spots in Washington when it comes to media accountability, specifically on the issue of global warming. He's continuing his hard-hitting approach Wednesday with a congressional hearing examining how the media has been been trying to scare the public into siding with climate change alarmists:
Sen. James M. Inhofe, Oklahoma Republican and chairman of the Environment and Public Works Committee, will hold a full committee hearing tomorrow on "Climate Change and the Media."
The hearing will look at how the media has presented scientific evidence regarding predictions of human-caused catastrophic global warming, the senator's office said.
"Senator Inhofe believes that poorly conceived policy decisions will result from the media's nonstop hyping of 'extreme scenarios' and dire climate predictions," said committee Communications Director Marc Morano. "This hearing will serve to advance the interests of sound science and encourage rational policy decisions."
Among those who are scheduled to testify at the hearing are geologist David Deming of the University of Oklahoma; paleoclimate researcher Bob Carter of Australia's James Cook University; Dan Gainor of the Business & Media Institute; Naomi Oreskes of the University of California at San Diego and professor Daniel Schrag of Harvard University.
The hearing will be held at 9:30 a.m. in 406 Dirksen Senate Office Building. It can be watched live on the Internet.













Comments Policy
I have a question. If the med
December 5, 2006 - 14:30 ET by throatwobblerI have a question. If the media pointed out that all scientific groups who study the climate agree that humans are causing global warming, would this be bias according to y'all? It would be a statment of fact. They could even throw in the fact that the petroleum geologists don't believe in it (I get a kick out of people who put stock in the AAPG while dismissing the NAS, for exmaple). This seems a common sense solution that gets across factual information without resorting to the word "consensus"--which some people seem to not like, notwithstanding the reality.
The alternative is whining about it on a blog and saying ridiculous things not supported by literature and research. Think about it.
"...ridiculous things no
December 5, 2006 - 14:39 ET by mattm"...ridiculous things not supported by literature or research." Ya mean like, "All scientific groups that study the climate agree that humans are causing global warming"?
Talk about ridiculous! All scientist once believed in embryonic recaptiulation, but they were wrong....
Think about that.
sigh
December 5, 2006 - 14:43 ET by throatwobblersigh
Once, ALL scientists believed
December 5, 2006 - 14:48 ET by UnsaneOnce, ALL scientists believed the planets revolved around the earth, and the Ptolemaic model of the solar system even featured epicycles in a bid to explain apparent retrograde planetary motion. Debate on this was not allowed at all until Copernicus, Kepler and eventually Newton broke through.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
double sigh
December 5, 2006 - 15:03 ET by throatwobblerdouble sigh
Einstein's theory of relativi
December 5, 2006 - 15:06 ET by UnsaneEinstein's theory of relativity was QUITE controversial for many years and he didn't even get his nobel for it.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
<sigh>?
December 5, 2006 - 14:57 ET by mattm<sigh>?
1) At what point was this dec
December 5, 2006 - 14:45 ET by Unsane1) At what point was this declared a fact;
2) If a scientific organization makes a declaration of, well, anything, for whatever reason, do ALL the scientists in said organization immediately fall into line on pain of summary execution;
3) What is YOUR plan of action IF this is a fact? (I like the idea of the United States emulating France and going 75% nuke, for instance. That limits our dependence on imported energy sources, AND makes the guilt-ridden Leftists feel better by gutting our production of GHGs. Of course, as man-made global warming to me is theory and nothing more, I put much more weight on the former benefit, not the latter.)
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
I'm not answering you Unsane,
December 5, 2006 - 14:58 ET by throatwobblerI'm not answering you Unsane, but for interested reader:
1. It's an easy fact to disprove. If you find a scientific organization that argues against AGW, I'd be happy to consider it.
2. This is a decent point, and of course there are certainly some members who disagree. But science does not wait until every last person agrees. Statements by scientific organizations are still quite powerful. If any of them doubt global warming, I'm sure we'd hear about it from anti-warmers quite a lot.
3. Question 3 is irrelevant to the discussion at hand.
No, guiltwobbler, question 3
December 5, 2006 - 15:03 ET by UnsaneNo, guiltwobbler, question 3 is QUITE relevant, because I am asking you and on a previous thread you have stated that you are interested in getting the U.S. to "do something" about GW.
We should all be quite thankful that you have no political power. I can only imagine how many people who disagree with you on this subject would be executed if you were in power anywhere. Or indeed, if you were to personally lead the executions and exterminations of anyone who disagreed with you on global warming, how intense the resulting orgasm would be.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
I'm ignoring you unless you a
December 5, 2006 - 15:06 ET by throatwobblerI'm ignoring you unless you address the question I asked. I think it's a valid question about how the media reports on global warming. We are not discussing solutions at this time.
3) What does The Great Guiltw
December 5, 2006 - 15:10 ET by Unsane3) What does The Great Guiltwobbler want the United States to do? He cried about how the United States needs to "do something" on a previous thread, but yet, when you press him for specifics, guess what you get? Total deafening silence.
It's okay. The reason you are ignoring me is because either you have no solution or that you do and are too afraid to publish it. I understand totally. But since I critically think, I will continue to attack those who look upon things as dogma, and wish to threaten, intimidate, and dominate those who disagree with them.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
Get ready for a triple sigh.
December 5, 2006 - 15:09 ET by mattmGet ready for a triple sigh.
Are you deliberately missing the point? If most scientists agree on something, that doesn't mean it's true. And if there are social or political implications regarding a particular "scientific" tenet, it's even more unlikely to be factual. This is so obvious it's irrefutable, and renders your argument moot!
PS There are plenty of scientists who refute Global Warming on a daily basis.
Well, that is true, but would
December 5, 2006 - 15:20 ET by throatwobblerWell, that is true, but wouldn't you agree that if most scientists agree on something it is more likely to be true? Everyone points out the past instances when a scientific consensus has been wrong. We are talking a dozen or so major instances? Or less? How many times has the MINORITY of scientists been wrong? Thousands and thousands, but those cases aren't very interesting so we don't hear about them.
And it's safe to say there are social, political (and business) implications on both sides of this issue.
In any case, should the press NOT report general agreement in the scientific community?
tw ??????????????
December 5, 2006 - 15:31 ET by misterbill"First, you have to prove that the increase in CO2 is caused by humans - the venting of CO2 by volcanoes (including those under the ocean) and geysers and other natural sources (and also the natural absorption or sinking of CO2) is a estimate that defies error analysis. To what error band are we certain of the amount of emission of CO2 by natural causes?"
TW ?????
December 5, 2006 - 15:34 ET by misterbillNo I wouldn't. I don't wors
December 5, 2006 - 15:49 ET by mattmNo I wouldn't. I don't worship at the feet of scientists. Science is a continual search for knowledge. Knowledge is not arrived at by vote. The history of science is rife with examples of the majority being proven wrong as more knowledge is gained, which was my first point. Moreover, when there are serious social and political implications involved, skepticism of the "consensus" is even more justified.
In this case, there is more proof that global climate changes are the result of solar activity rather than anything happening on earth, including human activity. When you add to that the fact that there is political motivation behind the Global Warming movement (just as there was in the 70's with the New Ice Age movement) the conclusion that Global Warming is a politically motivated farce is even more likely than the idea that it even exists, let alone is caused by humans.
Thanks, mattm, for being anot
December 6, 2006 - 02:43 ET by Indiana JoeThanks, mattm, for being another person who remembers the "Coming Ice Age" scare of the '70s. I graduated HS in 1975, and I recall the concept.
Seems that what we now call "greenhouse gases" (carbon compounds) were supposedly causing a lot of the solar heat to reflect out into space without warming the Earth. Therefore, we could expect falling temperatures leading to a New Ice Age. The answer? Reduce the production of these carbon compounds which blocked the sun's heat from reaching us.
Now, thirty years later, these same gases are letting the sun's heat in, but NOT letting it radiate back out into space. They've suddenly become a kind of "one-way mirror," thereby causing "global warming." And the solution this time? Reduce the production of these same gases.
Funny how the same gases, in the same atmosphere are now having the OPPOSITE effect of what they were originally claimed to have. And, with the OPPOSITE result. But the SAME solution is being proposed, just for a different reason. Reducing so-called "greenhouse gases" may very well be a laudable goal. It just may not be the call to Armageddon that it's being made out to be, that's all.
So, maybe those of us whose memories go back more than 20 years can be forgiven if we're a little skeptical that this "consensus" is any more valid than the "consensus" of thirty years ago, a "consensus" that has been abandoned with nary a peep.
There is widespread disagreem
December 5, 2006 - 16:11 ET by NL207There is widespread disagreement within the scientific community and if you were anything more than a political operative you'd know that.
At the least, there are the following types of scientific opinions on the subject:
1. There are scientists who do not believe that human activity is causing global warming at all.
2. There are scientists who agree that humans are making some contributions to global climate but that these contributions are small in relation to the natural forces that shape Earth's climate.
3. There are Scientists who believe that human activity is responsible for all or nearly all of the observed warming of the last 150 years. These two groups are subdivided into those who believe this warming is significant and those who believe this warming is small.
4. There are scientists who conclude that we do not yet know enough about how the Earth's climatic regulatory system works to ascertain what impact human activity may be having.
5. There are scientists who believe human activity is causing global climate change on the same scale as natural forces.
One thing that IS clear: very, very few scientists believe that global warming of the scale forecast by prominent doomsayers like Al Gore is likely to occur and this is the whole point of criticism being leveled here at the MSM. They emphasize the extreme warming scenarios as if they are the expected outcomes. Consequently, most readers, viewers and listeners get the very wrong idea there is (a) some kind of real scientific consensus and (b) that consensus says tempertures will rise 6-11 degrees celsius, the polar ice caps will all melt and the seas will rise 20 or 30 feet.
Well, I don't know what it wo
December 5, 2006 - 16:32 ET by throatwobblerWell, I don't know what it would take to get you to understand you are wrong, and I don't have time to try.
So let's stay on point. We know that all scientific organization that study climate think AGW is an important factor. SO why can't the media report this FACT.
Correction: You don't have
December 5, 2006 - 18:20 ET by NL207Correction: You don't have the scientific expertise to win this argument with me. You may be able to BS some other folks. That doesn't fly here.
reason: The human portion of observed climate change observed since 1967 when the most recent warming began, is thought to be about half of the observed total change. This amount to about 0.3 degree C. This actually is not too far removed from the back-of-the-envelope estimate if one allows for what the actual thermal effect of earth's atmosphere is and considers what fraction of this CO2 actually represents.
So, Mr. Scientist, what is your explanation for the lack of warming over the years 1942-1967? CO2 concentration was growing at that time. Why did we observe no real warming over that interval, when we had seen great warming over the previous interval 1920-1941? According to the theory of AGW, this should not be the case, yet it was.
Over the months. We've come u
December 5, 2006 - 22:14 ET by danboOver the months. We've come up with the names of more scientists that are sceptical of AGW than Throatpecker has come up that states there's no question.
But Throatpecker has a consensus.
Interesting. There was once concensus that the earth was the center of the universe. there was once concensus that piltdown man (a forgery) was the missing link.
The end of the world has been postponed till after the taxes have been collected.
"Whoever undertakes to set himself up as a judge of truth and knowledge is shipwrecked by the laughter of the gods." Albert Einstein
It would take proof. This i
December 5, 2006 - 18:46 ET by mattmIt would take proof. This is something you do NOT have.
To be considered to be a scientific fact it has to be proven. Global Warming isn't even out of the hypothesis stage.
What will it take to get you to understand that a consensus of opinion is not scientific fact?
Science is NOT democratic?
December 5, 2006 - 20:19 ET by UnsaneWait...you mean science is NOT democratic and that scientific theories and ideas are not made valid by a VOTE of scientists in various organizations???
I may need to be revived...soon.........................
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
Note that in question 1 that
December 5, 2006 - 15:14 ET by UnsaneNote that in question 1 that I asked you about individual scientists that populate the organizations, not the organizations themselves. Nice way to ignore the point of the question. But then we should expect that from you.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
That was question 2.
December 5, 2006 - 15:23 ET by throatwobblerThat was question 2.
Evade, evade, evade
December 5, 2006 - 15:27 ET by UnsaneWhatever. I suffer from CRS. Answer the question any f#!?ing time...
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
My answer follows the number
December 5, 2006 - 15:32 ET by throatwobblerMy answer follows the number "2" in my response.
You know where the only place
December 5, 2006 - 15:40 ET by UnsaneYou know where the only place was in ther media where I have heard of the anti-man-made-GW-crowd on the MSM? A news special on ABC; I believe the title was Are We Scaring Ourselves To Death?, hosted by John Stossel (who, unlike most journalists, actually asks questions of people). Most interesting of all was the conclusion of the program: what is the biggest threat to humanity right now? Was it GW?
No, it was something far more complex and something that has followed humanity around sice ever: poverty.
(I am still mighty curious as to what your solutions are to man-made GW...what you suggest this most evil society on earth do in order for you to sleep at night...)
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
"...science does not wai
December 5, 2006 - 15:48 ET by fossten"...science does not wait until every last person agrees."
That's preposterous. You obviously do NOT understand science by definition. Science itself breaks down by hypothesis, theory, and fact or law. So far, man-made global warming is only a theory, and as such it is not appropriate for nations to incur trillions of dollars of potentially needless expense based on a theory which is debunked by many.
What you are really saying is "what if it's true? If so, then we better get busy killing our economies for the next 50 years." But it is not scientific to attempt to cause a panic in order to drum up support for a theory.
You will hear nothing outside
December 5, 2006 - 16:28 ET by NL207You will hear nothing outside scientific circles from the opponents of this AGW-as-fact opinion, because the MSM has done a fine job of burying these opinions and pro-AGW political operatives within the government have done an excellent job of steering grant money away from scientists who oppose AGW.
...
December 5, 2006 - 16:32 ET by Malcor1. You made an unsubstantiated claim that Global Warming was a fact. You reinforced this by saying the media points out that ALL scientific groups agree that it is a fact. This is untrue. If you wish to prove something as fact (which, according to the scientific method, you must do, not claim something is fact until someone disproves it), the burden is on you to list every single scientific organization that studies the climate, along with their positions on global warming. As you can not do this, your entire line of reasoning is invalid. You ask for him to provide one that doesn't support it, and yet you have not provided a list of all that do.
2. Your statement of 2 contradicts your statement of 1. If some in the organizations disagree, then they are clearly not all in agreement, are they? And as earlier stated by yourself and others, the media is interested in only publishing a single side. I definately consider that to be bias, don't you?
Oh, by the way, apparently a certain group of scientists recently declared that Pluto is not a planet. Is this a case of science not waiting for everyone to agree? Do those past decades of its classification of a planet now get overwritten because someone changed the rules?
3. No, Question #3 is the very point of the discussion at hand. You have yet to 'prove' anything, and you have no solutions or alternatives to present should you be correct in your assumptions.
1. No. Reread my first post.
December 5, 2006 - 16:46 ET by throatwobbler1. No. Reread my first post. Fine. Here:
"In the IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR), the most comprehensive compilation and summary of current climate research ever attempted, it was concluded that based on the balance of all available evidence and even considering uncertainties and areas lacking adequate research, the earth is undergoing a rapid warming trend that is outside the likely bounds of natural variations and this climate change is likely to have been due to anthropogenic emissions of CO2 from fossil fuel burning.
This statement has been explicitly endorsed by:
* Academia Brasiliera de Ciências (Bazil)
* Royal Society of Canada
* Chinese Academy of Sciences
* Academié des Sciences (France)
* Deutsche Akademie der Naturforscher Leopoldina (Germany)
* Indian National Science Academy
* Accademia dei Lincei (Italy)
* Science Council of Japan
* Russian Academy of Sciences
* Royal Society (United Kingdom)
* National Academy of Sciences (United States of America)
* Australian Academy of Sciences
* Royal Flemish Academy of Belgium for Sciences and the Arts
* Caribbean Academy of Sciences
* Indonesian Academy of Sciences
* Royal Irish Academy
* Academy of Sciences Malaysia
* Academy Council of the Royal Society of New Zealand
* Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences
in either one or both of these documents:
* http://nationalacade...
* http://www.royalsoci...
In addition, the following institutions specializing in Climate, Atmosphere, Ocean and/or Earth sciences have published the same conclusions:
* NASA's Goddard Institute of Space Studies (GISS)
* National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
* National Academy of Sciences (NAS)
* State of the Canadian Cryosphere (SOCC)
* Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
* Royal Society of the United Kingdom (RS)
* American Geophysical Union (AGU)
* National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)
* American Meteorological Society (AMS)
* Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (CMOS)
If this is not consensus, then what in the world would consensus look like?"
The links don't cut n paste, but I got this list from here:
CONSENSUS!
Really, if a scientific organization means anything it has a web page. If there really were one that doubted AGW, you guys would have found it by now.
WHy dont' you guys demand the meida give equal time to all minority opinion on science? The flat-earthers want their time too!
No 3 isn't. Science first, then policy.
likely
December 5, 2006 - 16:57 ET by Celumnaz"Likely to have been"?
Why aren't they absolutely positive and why should I change my lifestyle for a "could be... maybe... possibly... we don't really know for sure"
Wish they would take that stance about military action in the middle east.
That's called science. If som
December 5, 2006 - 17:05 ET by throatwobblerThat's called science. If someone says "global warming is a hoax", well that person is not practising science (I'm looking at you Senator Inhofe!)
There is uncertainty. That in and of itself is not a reason not to act.
Edit:And how does "likely" get morphed into "maybe"?
there is uncertainty
December 5, 2006 - 17:14 ET by Celumnaz"There is uncertainty."
Which part is uncertain, that it was corporation made, or that the effects will be... bad?
Uncertainty... so it might, or it might not be a problem, or produced a certain way, right?
Nor is someone who says every
December 5, 2006 - 22:44 ET by danboNor is someone who says everyone agrees, practicing science.
We see those who disagree with us. You're either blind or choosing to ignore the large volume of disagreement.
"Whoever undertakes to set himself up as a judge of truth and knowledge is shipwrecked by the laughter of the gods." Albert Einstein
"outside the likely boun
December 5, 2006 - 17:12 ET by NL207"outside the likely bounds of natural variation"
This statement is utter garbage and is easily refuted by examining past bounds of natural variation. A case in point: The end of the last ice age about 11000 years ago. This event include a warming burst of at least 6 degrees C estimated by various techniques to have occurred in 10, 50 or 90 years, in any event, all less than a century. I know of no scientists who claim to have a certain explanation for the cause of this event.
Science first ... then policy? Really?
Which of the august bodies you name (a) does not have members who disagree with this conclusion and (b) are not government funded?
the answer is none.
...
December 5, 2006 - 17:41 ET by Malcor1. I read your first post just fine. "If the media pointed out that all scientific groups who study the climate agree." Except, last time I checked, the World Meteorological Organization and United Nations Environment Programme weren't all the groups who studied it. Maybe you should read your own post to see what I'm replying to.
I'll bust up their little statement right now. You quoted, apparently without understanding the absurdity of such a statement: "It was concluded that based on the balance of all available evidence and even considering uncertainties and areas lacking adequate research, the Earth is undergoing a rapid warming trend that is outside the likely bounds of natural variations..." Did you miss that part? You know, the whole part where they willfully ignore the flaws in their own system and dismiss them out of hand? How can you consider results that you admit you haven't bother to look into in the first place?
While we're at it, let's have a little fun. What is the definition of consensus? I'll pull from Dictionary.com to make it easy for you:
"1. majority of opinion: The consensus of the group was that they should meet twice a month.
2. general agreement or concord; harmony. "
Wow... that still does not add up to "all scientific groups who study the climate agree." One is because 'consensus' just represents what a majority of those included agree with, despite any internal contradictions. Two is because it still doesn't include ALL such organizations. Three is, well, just because you did not list every scientific group in existance that studies the climate. Good try, though.
THanks for posting the ones who have a 'majority of agreement', though. I'd post counters, except you can look on this page to find other links. You know, the ones you don't try to dismiss out of hand as partisan. As if United Nations organizations and committees are themselves nonpartisan.
I can't access Blogspot from here, sorry. Have a nasty case of filter-itis. But if you want counter-links, look farther down at the post. Quite a few you should check out.
I don't have to worry about patently proven untrue statements that don't qualify as science (flat earthers, for instance), especially when such can be disproven by a middle-schooler with a little knowledge of geometry. As far as I'm concerned, I don't want opinion on science being pushed to the rest of us as fact. Humanocentric Global Warming is an opinion, as is obvious due to lack of proof and existance of opposition. I'll be damned if they shove that agenda down my throat, nor use pseudoscience to try and prove it. Especially when it's exemplified in a statement which contradicts the very ethos of science itself.
3 certainly is. If science can't prove there's a problem, then people better not use it as an excuse to try and impose policy (ie: Kyoto). And if they DO try to push it as policy, it better be applied evenly to everyone... (see China's lovely inclusion into Kyoto... oh wait, it's not!)
Quick to judge, quick to anger, slow to understand
December 5, 2006 - 18:09 ET by UnsaneYet again, consensus was that in the 1500s, the planets and the Sun orbited Earth. Copernicus and Kepler put an end to that.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
Blinded by the light
December 5, 2006 - 18:12 ET by Barberiansorethroatwobbler,
There are numerous peer-reviewed papers that have been given in some of the esteemed journals that have editorial board members from some of the organizations above. These papers give examples that do not attribute the warming trend of the past 150 years to anthropogenic CO2 emissions. The problem with sheeple like yourself, you cannot or will not form your own opinion based on across the board research on such a topic. If you do not possess a working knowledge of chemistry /physics then get one or shut up. I've read your post now for over a week on this subject and not once have you cited anything but IPCC or Hansen or the scientifically challenged MSM.
Are these the same groups tha
December 5, 2006 - 21:15 ET by BufordAre these the same groups that 20 years ago were predicting a global ice age?
No. None of these groups issu
December 5, 2006 - 21:25 ET by throatwobblerNo. None of these groups issued a statement about a pending Ice Age.
Remember: it's easier to moderate this than read it
December 6, 2006 - 00:43 ET by UnsaneSort of like how those groups you tout are "issuing statements" about pending warming-caused global catastrophe?
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
These groups were more impart
December 6, 2006 - 19:09 ET by NL207These groups were more impartial and better scientists then. I don't think today's scientific leaders have the stature the leadership of 1975 did. That is my personal opinion based on my personal knowledge of sizeable sample of both groups. A good examlpe was Richard Feynman, who passed about 20 years ago. There are lots of brilliant men in the field today, but I can't think of a one of them who has his down-to-earth common sense. A man of his temperament would never successfully navigate the highly political waters to the top of today's scientific community. He just wasn't Machiavellian enough.
Don't know about these groups
December 6, 2006 - 02:55 ET by Indiana JoeDon't know about these groups, Buford, but I posted MY recollections of "The Coming Ice Age" scare back in the '70s up above. mattm seems to also remember that little brouhaha... I even remember the explanation... makes good reading, in re: the current debate on GW....
<edit> And today, there's a thread about the Newsweek story in 1975 about "Global Cooling." I love instant gratification! Dennis, your $10 is waiting... ;^)
Interesting you quote IPCC. D
December 5, 2006 - 22:40 ET by danboInteresting you quote IPCC. Did you know they have 2 definitions of climate change in thier new report?
"In the IPCC TAR document WG2SPM.pdf on page 3 (shortly after item 2.1 for those who access this document in some other format) ... "Climate change in IPCC usage refers to any change in climate over time, whether due to natural variability or as a result of human activity. This usage differs from that in the Framework Convention on Climate Change, where climate change refers to a change of climate that is attributed directly or indirectly to human activity that alters the composition of the global atmosphere and that is in addition to natural climate variability observed over comparable time periods."
So now if the sun causes climate change it will be evidence of Throatpeckers anthropogenic climate change and his fault.
They took lessons in language and definitions from Bill Clinton.
Further:
If you're not familiar with the FCCC, also notice where Article 4
requires the rich countries to pay the poor countries (items 3, 4, 5).
The Kyoto Protocol specifically mentions Article 4.
http://unfccc.int/essential_background/convention/background/items/1362.php
"Whoever undertakes to set himself up as a judge of truth and knowledge is shipwrecked by the laughter of the gods." Albert Einstein
Here's your rebuttal to this
December 6, 2006 - 13:43 ET by kirch66Here's your rebuttal to this nonsense, Mr. cut-and-paste facts person.
The Global Warming Folly
by
Radiologi-cal Protection in Warsaw. A multidisciplinary scientist, he has studied glacier ice samples from
around the world, analyzing traces of heavy metals and radionuclides. He is well known as an expert on
radiation effects, and has served as the chairman of the UNSCEAR (United Nations Committee on the
Effects of Atomic Radiation). Among his previous articles in 21st Century Science & Technology is "Ice Core
Data Show No Carbon Dioxide Increase, " Spring 1997, p. 42.
Zbigniew Jaworowski, M.D., Ph.O., and D.Sc., who is a professor at the Central Laboratory for
Despite billions of dollars and millions of propaganda headlines, the global warming
prophesied by the climate modeling industry is not scientifically real
The amount spent on climate studies worldwide has now reached the astonishingly high level
of about $5 billion per year.
for climate studies, not including the costs of satellites, ships, and laboratory construction.
1 In the United States alone, more than $2 billion is spent annually2
Climatologists have obtained this immense amount of funding by creating the vision of a manmade
planetary climate catastrophe.
In the 1970s and the 1980s, computer models of climate prophesied a doubling of the carbon
dioxide (CO2) content in the atmosphere during the next 6O years. The greenhouse effect of
this CO2 increase, together with that of other greenhouse gases released by human beings
into the atmosphere – CH4, N2O, CFC-11 (Freon), and CFC-12 – was supposed to increase the
average global surface air temperature by 5°C. In polar regions, the increase was projected to
be 10°C. Later, in the 1990s, climatologists truncated the computer model estimates of the
man-made increase of global temperature by the year 2100, first to 3,3°C
3,5 and then to 2°C.7
Climate warming caused by man-made greenhouse gases, is usually presented as a gloomy
catastrophe that will induce the mass extinction of animals and plants, epidemics of
contagious and parasitic diseases, droughts and floods, and even invasions of mutated insects
resistant to insecticides. Melting glaciers are predicted to raise sea level by 3.67 meters,
flooding islands, densely inhabited coastal areas, and great metropolises.
mass migrations and a host of other social and environmental effects –
never beneficial
According to one American climatologist, the "scare-them-to-death" approach seems to be the
best way to get money for climate studies.
man-made climate warming, stated this bluntly:
6, 8 There will bealways detrimental,.Dr. Stephen Schneider, a leading prophet of
"To capture the public imagination... we have to... make simplified dramatic
statements, and little mention of any doubts one might have.... Each of us has to
decide the right balance between being effective and being honest".
9
Great international organizations, such as the
the
Climate Change
The sources of these funds are the governments of many countries, the European Union, and
the World Bank. The IPCC, founded in 1988, became a leading scientific adviser to the
governments that are part of the
adopted in 1992 in Rio de Janeiro, and known for short as
World Meteorological Organization (WMO),United Nations Environmental Program (UNEP), the Intergovernmental Panel on(IPCC), and others, direct the immense stream of money for climate studies.United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change,"The Climate Treaty."
The IPCC reports, which have become bibles for bureaucrats and environmentalist fanatics,
accuse modern civilization of being responsible for global warming, and repeatedly state that
they reflect a true "
is totally false: The assessments, conclusions, and even the working method of the IPCC are
criticized by numerous scientists today. A more accurate description of the current situation
would not be consensus, but rather
consensus, or voting. There was no "consensus" for Copernicus’s idea, in his time, that the
Earth orbited the Sun.
consensus" of the scientific community. This statement about consensuscontroversy. Science does not progress via a process ofConsensus is not needed in science; it is for politicians.
Opinions critical of the IPCC reports have been expressed by many prominent, competent
scientists. For example, Or. Frederick Seitz, a past president of the
Sciences
former Chairman of the
U.S. National Academy ofand the American Physical Society, President Emeritus of Rockefeller University,Defense Science Board, and former Science Adviser to NATO, stated:
"I have never witnessed a more disturbing corruption of the peer-review process
than the events that led to this IPCC report."
authors of the IPCC reports, described the editing process of the IPCC reports as follows:
10 Dr. Keith Shine, one of the leading
"We produce a draft, and then the policymakers go through it line by
line and change the way it’s presented .... They don’t change the data,
but the way it’s presented. It is peculiar that they have the final say in
what goes into a scientists’ report."
11
About half of the scientists who took part in preparing the IPCC report of 1996 do not agree
with its conclusions’ –
hardly a consensus. Even the leading establishment science journals,
Science
and Nature, have exposed the IPCC’s lack of consensus and its wrong methodology.
Nature
one examines some of the scientific articles on the subject [climate warming
modeling], one finds virtually unanimous agreement that the models are
deficient."
research led
consensus-building around scientific accuracy will be permanently compromised."
devoted two editorials to the subject,13, 14 and an editorial in Science stated that: "If15 The incompatibility of IPCC procedures with the usual standards of scientificScience to write that "IPCC’s reputation for procedural correctness and16
Excerpt from:
http://mitosyfraudes...
"The moment you give up your principles and your values, the moment you laugh at those principles and those values, you are dead, your culture is dead, your civilization is dead. Period." - Oriana Fallaci
All you have to do to arm you
December 6, 2006 - 13:39 ET by kirch66All you have to do to arm yourself against this tidal wave (pun intended) of misinformation and half baked "science" about Global Warming is to read my article that I wrote right after Al Gore's movie came out earlier this year. I am a former US Air Force weatherman and understand this subject better than most lay persons. Read the entire article, it touches on every point they try to use to whip people up about the subject. As you can see from some posts here there are people that simply are regurgitating the talking points of the media barrage that is proping this hideous subject up.
Human Induced Global Warming is Bunk
"The moment you give up your principles and your values, the moment you laugh at those principles and those values, you are dead, your culture is dead, your civilization is dead. Period." - Oriana Fallaci
tw,If man is responsible for
December 5, 2006 - 14:55 ET by Dave Rtw,
If man is responsible for causing "global warming." how do you explain the six ice ages that the gelogical record indicates that this planet has undergone?
Was it those eeeeeeevil republican cave men driving around in their SUV's?
I'm not arguing the specifics
December 5, 2006 - 15:01 ET by throatwobblerI'm not arguing the specifics of GW because I've answered this question about a million times. I'm happy to stay on topic, however.
(Oh I can't resist: Milankovitch cycles!)
Translation
December 5, 2006 - 15:04 ET by UnsaneTranslation: "WAAHHH!!! SHUT UP AND AGREE WITH ME!!!! HOW DARE YOU ASK ME QUESTIONS!!! WAAAAHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!"
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
You belong to me
December 5, 2006 - 15:09 ET by badanovFor the same reason we don't send up leftists politicians for their screwed up and failed economic policies we don't take scientists' opinion as good public policy.
And that science groups do have hold concensus on global warming is proof that global warming is less science and more agenda than anything else., and therefore not worth considering as public policy.
I don't follow the logic, the
December 5, 2006 - 15:31 ET by throatwobblerI don't follow the logic, the fact that scientific groups agree on global warming is evidence that they are not looking at science?
...
December 5, 2006 - 16:34 ET by MalcorThe fact that many of said scientific groups are funded and/or motivated by a specific politcal agenda is evidence that they are not following basic scientific doctrine, to whit, seperating their analysis of the results from the desire for specific results.
I'll count you in the "all sc
December 5, 2006 - 16:47 ET by throatwobblerI'll count you in the "all scientists are corrupt" camp, I guess.
cargo cult
December 5, 2006 - 17:04 ET by CelumnazBefore you start stereotyping, generalizing, and putting people into camps, did you miss daveinboca's post below about Nobel Prize winner Richard Feynman, and Cargo Cult Science?
guiltwobbler knows what's best for us...
December 5, 2006 - 17:44 ET by UnsaneSay, can you count me into the "all scientists are human and therefore susceptible to human nature" camp?
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
...
December 5, 2006 - 17:44 ET by MalcorWow, you go ahead with your oh-so-scientific lumping of people in with your preconceived beliefs. I don't know whether that's because of your own personal agenda, or your inability to distinguish the difference between "many of said scientific groups" and "all scientists are corrupt", but either way, it's plain to see that science is a field you should probably avoid.
What is with you liberals a
December 6, 2006 - 01:53 ET by liberal_bug_zapperWhat is with you liberals and this all or none dogma? You certainly hate it when we use it to corner you. So you cannot have it both ways, you either agree that some are corrupt, while others are not, or you must admit to the black and white statement that all of those you mentioned are corrupt.
First of all, I don't think anyone here disagrees with the theory of climate change. We just disagree that man is the primary or even a sizable cause of it. I think that our side has been very scientifically accurate in showing that human activity has only impacted the climate in a very small way, maybe around 1-5%. The rest is natural. CO2, exhaled by almost every single creature on Earth.... including insects, which in some estimations, outweigh humans 10 - 1 and our breath us all the same. Insect contribution to the CO2 quotient is probably near 10%. All animals are probably near 20-25%. The rest comes from rotting plants, volcanism and other natural phenomenon.
Second, no one has said all scientists are corrupt, we just look at where they get their monies, and come to the conclusion that their opinions may be colored by the politics and politicians who will decide on their funding.
"I'm not arguing the spe
December 5, 2006 - 15:21 ET by MassConservative"I'm not arguing the specifics of GW...."
...you know, things like those pesky little facts that don't support my arguments.
The issue with the media and the reason for hearings like this is that it is obvious that there obsession with Global warming is driven by politics and not science. Why continue to hype Al Gore's shlockumentary when there are dozens of scientists, individuals, websites, etc. that can shoot holes the size of the new Hummer 3 through his arguments with some basic analysis. www.junkscience.com is one website that comes to mind off the top of my head.
If they truly wanted to be seen as non-biased then leave it is a scientific debate and be willing to present both sides of the argument.
I actually answered his quest
December 5, 2006 - 15:26 ET by throatwobblerI actually answered his question. In two words.
There are very few working scientists who dispute human caused global warming. The scientific agreement of the organizations is one line of evidenc supporting this, so why should the media listen to a few scientists who disagree with the mainstream?
Because...
December 5, 2006 - 15:32 ET by UnsaneBecause, just as Copernicus and Kepler were part of a very tiny minority of scientists who thought the heliocentric model of the solar system presented a better explanation...
...that THEY MIGHT BE RIGHT???
And you wonder why I can think that you hate science and desperately want it to be dogma.
Oh, and the media will be more than happy to report the scientists findings that conclude man-made GW is bunk, but then they eagerly attack their funding sources. But no one DARES question the motives of those who proclaim GW is in fact happening; never mind that they are feeding at the trough of government money just the same. (Scientists still must eat and they don't work for free, from everything I gather.)
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
Two men versus the "mainstream": who was right?
December 5, 2006 - 16:00 ET by UnsaneCopernicus and Kepler were scientists outside the mainstream who suggested, quite preposterously to the world's scientific body at the time, that the planets orbit the SUN, not the earth. And, as it turned out, they were correct, not the mainstream. Such is the way science operates.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
The sum total of all your ans
December 5, 2006 - 18:31 ET by NL207The sum total of all your answers has been, "It is so because this amalgam of panels of government experts say it is so..." and what these experts say is by no means in agreement and by no means an imperative for government action.
to. wit. I notice your list of Scientific bodies includes the Chinese Academy of Science, whcih I will presume is the PRC version, since the Taiwanese body no longer presumes to call itself 'China'. If they really support this notion, then why is the world's largest polluter, the People's Republic of China, not taking action to stem this disaster? Could it be because they do not think this is a crisis?
"The sum total of all your an
December 6, 2006 - 09:35 ET by throatwobbler"The sum total of all your answers has been, "It is so because this amalgam of panels of government experts say it is so..." "
Come on, you know this is a lie. I've argued the science with you.
I've already shown the CHinese have done something--not enough. God, the same old crap gets brought up here again and again. I post a scientific artiucle analyzing GHG emissions in CHinese and people strat saying things like "I went to China, so I know better" Come off it.
TW must moderate because it's easier than critical thinking
December 6, 2006 - 13:49 ET by UnsaneWhat have the Chinese done? I had a miserable time coping with Beijing's pollution, they ratified Kyoto (because it does not apply to them in any way shape or form) and they will be the #1 emitter of GHGs in 2015. Do you have any reading comprehension skills or do you just flat out ignore inconvenient information? I lean towards the latter in your case...
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
And you've lost, repeatedly.I
December 6, 2006 - 18:48 ET by NL207And you've lost, repeatedly.
I've shown you conclusively that the 'experts' whose opinions you want us to accept have consistently overestimated future warming by providing a 'range' in which the real numbers fall into the lower part of. These same experts use models to predict future climatic conditions which all fail to correctly regress some part of measured recent climatic history. None of these experts have as yet provided any explanations of the drastic, naturally occuring climate changes earth has recently experienced in pre-historic times. I've never seen any of them discuss what might happen if one of these events were to take place now or how human CO2 emissions might interact with one of these events nor have you linked any such. Don't you think if they really knew what was going on in this system, some of thee answers would be forthcoming? In spite of these obvious defects in the AGW arguments, you want to institute fascist tyranny based on these predictions of doom.
When did I say anything about 'visiting' China? When did YOU provide any evidence the Chinese are actually doing a single thing to curb pollution rather than just talk about how they are going to curb pollution?
Same old crap? Your line is the same old crap. All we hear is how catastrophic this GHG situation is. And this from some pathetic little weasel who is not a trained scientist yet knows everything there is to know about the science of global warming. Simple question: What is the most important heat transfer mechanism in Earth's atmosphere and how large is it compared to the next most significant mechanism? A qualitative answer is sufficient. I doubt you can even answer this little bomb. But that doesn't stop you. You are ready to legislate every aspect of energy production anyway.
Calm down, sister!
December 8, 2006 - 15:23 ET by throatwobblerCalm down, sister!
I don't need science lessons from someone who can't read a graph.
Brevity is the soul of wit
December 9, 2006 - 17:17 ET by UnsaneBut you DO need science lessons. Fast.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
You said there are few scient
December 5, 2006 - 22:57 ET by danboYou said there are few scientists who dispute human caused global warming.
Your nose is growing.
Over the months this group have listed a large number of scientist who disagree. Many among the tops in their fields. Probably over a hundred. 60 here. 40 there. And quite a few individually.
"Whoever undertakes to set himself up as a judge of truth and knowledge is shipwrecked by the laughter of the gods." Albert Einstein
Top in their field and they d
December 6, 2006 - 09:41 ET by throatwobblerTop in their field and they don't publish?
Can we help it if your abilit
December 6, 2006 - 18:16 ET by danboCan we help it if your ability to find published works is rather limited.
"Whoever undertakes to set himself up as a judge of truth and knowledge is shipwrecked by the laughter of the gods." Albert Einstein
Wrong. There are very few w
December 6, 2006 - 01:59 ET by liberal_bug_zapperWrong.
There are very few working scientists who dispute global climate change, a distinction lost on you liberals. It is the argument put forth by disingenuous liberals who twist and tweak the truth until it is a bald faced lie that we're causing global warming that there is no consensus on.
Anyone who has studied history knows the climate has changed. We know because we are still finding creatures and humans in glaciers and in the frozen tundra that lived in a time much colder than today.
An Amazing Point for which no one has offered PROOF
December 5, 2006 - 15:34 ET by PSPCplThe definition of "fact" is that it is an objective and verifiable observation: it stands on its own and cannot be denied. OTOH, a theory, is an EXPLANATION for or an interpretation of a group of facts. As such, a theory is NOT fact: it is changeable. It is dependant upon the person(s) offering the interpretaion. The reason why it is not FACT is because there is insufficient factual evidence to make it a LAW. A scientific law is an explanation for a group of facts that has been proven and accepted as such by experts in the field.
The very fact that this earth of ours has undergone several ice ages is reason enough for all of us to question and distrust anyone who touts man's use of petroleum products as the sole reason for global warming.
As to Unsane's question #3, it is most certainly relevant. Don't come on here and wail about a problem and fail to offer any constructive debate as to how to solve the issue. Personally, I don't think we can because it will take a global agreement that no one in the Third World would be willing to make. The UN won't go into Darfur. How can it make ALL the world stop using oil and coal?
Why should Americans be the only ones to reduce their use? If the Chinese, the Indians, the Russians, and the EU won't, then neither should we. And don't give me that global leadership crap either. We have shown what needs to be down with Islamo-fascists and how much support have we had? The French saw first hand what it means to have these people in their country in great numbers and they still won't help us. I am tired of us having to be "global leaders" when it means we have to bend over "for the greater good" but no one else has to share the pain. If you don't believe me, check on what the Germans, the French, and the British had to say about how they would be unable to meet their obligations under the Kyoto Accords.
So scientists don't agree on
December 5, 2006 - 15:43 ET by throatwobblerSo scientists don't agree on the THEORY of gravity, the THEORY of evolution or general relativity THEORY?
But it is a FACT that all scientific organizations that study the climate agree that humans are causing global warming. Can the media report this fact or not?
Again, find someone else to argue the specifics of AGW if you want. I've done it to death here.
Actually, guiltwobbler, besid
December 5, 2006 - 15:52 ET by UnsaneActually, guiltwobbler, besides telling people they are wrong or irrelevant, you haven't done a damn thing to explain why AGW is allegedly a fact. Nor will you dare tell us all what we should do that would constitute doing something about it in your eyes.
Correction: that's the LAW of gravity.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
Boy do you need to go back to
December 5, 2006 - 15:52 ET by fosstenBoy do you need to go back to elementary school. Gravity is a law. That's because it has been proven. Evolution and relativity are only theories; neither have been proven to be laws yet. Global warming is only a theory. It is not a fact; nor is it a fact that ALL scientific groups believe in it. It's interesting that you won't even bother to go to the links provided you which show the alternate explanations. Wonder why you are so afraid to have your wittle bubble burst.
...
December 5, 2006 - 16:44 ET by MalcorActually, not to assist the other guy, but the Theory of Gravity is, in fact, a theory. We can observe its effects, but do not know its cause Oh, we know that a mass will somehow exert a force upon another mass, but we don't know how... is it a form of undetectable energy? Some sort of extremely small particle exchange?
Science makes a distinction between Theory and Law. A Law is certain and proveable, the results capable of being understood and reproduced. A Theory is reserved for something observable, which science believes to be true, but either does not know the exact process of how it works (Gravity) or because the results of an experiment involving it can not be replicated for whatever reason (an example being Evolution... science believes it is possible, but it is impossible to prove because of the limits of the scientific method--a person must be able to reproduce an experiment and gain the same results, and as yet no human has sufficient lifespan to actually produce or reproduce such an experiment).
Humanocentric Global Warning doesn't even rate high enough to be a true Theory, as it is not a majority agreement, it is untestable, and it is far from being close to fully understood. It's somewhere on a lower rung, probably best classified as a "hypothesis" (translation: A 'guess' as to the expected results an experiment will produce).
And those theories have actua
December 5, 2006 - 16:03 ET by taznarAnd those theories have actually been tested. The "Man is causing global warming theory" has not been tested and has not been rigorously defined. At this point theories (there are more than one) on global warming are about equivalent to describing the theory of gravity as, "things fall".
IOW, climate changes and life on the planet contributes to it (there used to be very little oxygen -damn plants). Its been happening for millions of years. Why panic now when we don't even know what to expect, if changes in human behavior will make any difference, or even if climate change will be detrimental?
The media don't report fact.
December 5, 2006 - 18:43 ET by NL207The media don't report fact. They exaggerate, making claims that only the most extreme scientists make. the widely accepted numbers for the human contribution to date do not justify governmental action of any kind and these MSM types know this. So do you, but you don't want to admit this publicly here. In fact, you won't even admit that natural causes CONTRIBUTE to the observed climate variablility. This is a totally asinine position, resting on the absurd assertion that natural variability has ceased since humans began emitting greenhouse gases.
The truth does not sell copy. The MSM wants to sell copy, hence they have little interest in the truth. Sensationalism sells copy.
When you're correct, i will
December 5, 2006 - 23:16 ET by danboWhen you're correct, i will say so.
Gravity exists. And probably evolution and relativity. Lots of evidence there.
However. Though we know gravity exists, last time I looked. No one knew for sure what caused it. As someone who studied evolution, there is a whole lot of evidence that evolution occured. Drawin, however, was really off in what caused it. And I for one don't think we can do anything but guess on it's cause. The same is probably true of relativity.
Is there climate change? Yes. It's changed many times in the past and is forever changing. Up and down. Warming. Probably, we're coming out of the little ice age. And may be beginning to cool for a while.
You however, are arrogant enough to state with confidence that climate change is caused by one thing. Man. That is where you haven't a clue.
What causes the environment to change? That big ball of hot gas in the sky? The planets orbits? The sea? Volcanos? Or the tailpipe of a n SUV?
"Whoever undertakes to set himself up as a judge of truth and knowledge is shipwrecked by the laughter of the gods." Albert Einstein
Don't get me started on evolu
December 6, 2006 - 09:56 ET by fosstenDon't get me started on evolution. It doesn't exist. Darwinian evolution hasn't been observed in any way, just invented and put into models.
Even more amusing is how the
December 5, 2006 - 15:49 ET by UnsaneEven more amusing is how the Canadians are struggling with meeting the Kyoto Protocol. I'll have to break that down sometime later, but just in case you can get free web access, you can read all about it on economist.com: check out the 20 July 2006 edition; the article is called "Interpreting Smoke Signals".
To guiltwobbler, as he has shown on a previous thread, it is ALL about the evil United States. When I pointed out that China (exempt from Kyoto, by the way) will be the world's #1 emitter of greenhouse gases in 2015, guiltwobbler decided to