Oklahoma Republican senator James Inhofe has been one of the lone bright spots in Washington when it comes to media accountability, specifically on the issue of global warming. He's continuing his hard-hitting approach Wednesday with a congressional hearing examining how the media has been been trying to scare the public into siding with climate change alarmists:
Sen. James M. Inhofe, Oklahoma Republican and chairman of the Environment and Public Works Committee, will hold a full committee hearing tomorrow on "Climate Change and the Media."
The hearing will look at how the media has presented scientific evidence regarding predictions of human-caused catastrophic global warming, the senator's office said.
"Senator Inhofe believes that poorly conceived policy decisions will result from the media's nonstop hyping of 'extreme scenarios' and dire climate predictions," said committee Communications Director Marc Morano. "This hearing will serve to advance the interests of sound science and encourage rational policy decisions."
Among those who are scheduled to testify at the hearing are geologist David Deming of the University of Oklahoma; paleoclimate researcher Bob Carter of Australia's James Cook University; Dan Gainor of the Business & Media Institute; Naomi Oreskes of the University of California at San Diego and professor Daniel Schrag of Harvard University.
The hearing will be held at 9:30 a.m. in 406 Dirksen Senate Office Building. It can be watched live on the Internet.






















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I have a question. If the med
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 14:30 ET byI have a question. If the media pointed out that all scientific groups who study the climate agree that humans are causing global warming, would this be bias according to y'all? It would be a statment of fact. They could even throw in the fact that the petroleum geologists don't believe in it (I get a kick out of people who put stock in the AAPG while dismissing the NAS, for exmaple). This seems a common sense solution that gets across factual information without resorting to the word "consensus"--which some people seem to not like, notwithstanding the reality.
The alternative is whining about it on a blog and saying ridiculous things not supported by literature and research. Think about it.
"...ridiculous things no
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 14:39 ET by mattm"...ridiculous things not supported by literature or research." Ya mean like, "All scientific groups that study the climate agree that humans are causing global warming"?
Talk about ridiculous! All scientist once believed in embryonic recaptiulation, but they were wrong....
Think about that.
sigh
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 14:43 ET bysigh
Once, ALL scientists believed
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 14:48 ET by UnsaneOnce, ALL scientists believed the planets revolved around the earth, and the Ptolemaic model of the solar system even featured epicycles in a bid to explain apparent retrograde planetary motion. Debate on this was not allowed at all until Copernicus, Kepler and eventually Newton broke through.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
double sigh
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:03 ET bydouble sigh
Einstein's theory of relativi
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:06 ET by UnsaneEinstein's theory of relativity was QUITE controversial for many years and he didn't even get his nobel for it.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
<sigh>?
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 14:57 ET by mattm<sigh>?
1) At what point was this dec
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 14:45 ET by Unsane1) At what point was this declared a fact;
2) If a scientific organization makes a declaration of, well, anything, for whatever reason, do ALL the scientists in said organization immediately fall into line on pain of summary execution;
3) What is YOUR plan of action IF this is a fact? (I like the idea of the United States emulating France and going 75% nuke, for instance. That limits our dependence on imported energy sources, AND makes the guilt-ridden Leftists feel better by gutting our production of GHGs. Of course, as man-made global warming to me is theory and nothing more, I put much more weight on the former benefit, not the latter.)
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
I'm not answering you Unsane,
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 14:58 ET byI'm not answering you Unsane, but for interested reader:
1. It's an easy fact to disprove. If you find a scientific organization that argues against AGW, I'd be happy to consider it.
2. This is a decent point, and of course there are certainly some members who disagree. But science does not wait until every last person agrees. Statements by scientific organizations are still quite powerful. If any of them doubt global warming, I'm sure we'd hear about it from anti-warmers quite a lot.
3. Question 3 is irrelevant to the discussion at hand.
No, guiltwobbler, question 3
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:03 ET by UnsaneNo, guiltwobbler, question 3 is QUITE relevant, because I am asking you and on a previous thread you have stated that you are interested in getting the U.S. to "do something" about GW.
We should all be quite thankful that you have no political power. I can only imagine how many people who disagree with you on this subject would be executed if you were in power anywhere. Or indeed, if you were to personally lead the executions and exterminations of anyone who disagreed with you on global warming, how intense the resulting orgasm would be.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
I'm ignoring you unless you a
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:06 ET byI'm ignoring you unless you address the question I asked. I think it's a valid question about how the media reports on global warming. We are not discussing solutions at this time.
3) What does The Great Guiltw
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:10 ET by Unsane3) What does The Great Guiltwobbler want the United States to do? He cried about how the United States needs to "do something" on a previous thread, but yet, when you press him for specifics, guess what you get? Total deafening silence.
It's okay. The reason you are ignoring me is because either you have no solution or that you do and are too afraid to publish it. I understand totally. But since I critically think, I will continue to attack those who look upon things as dogma, and wish to threaten, intimidate, and dominate those who disagree with them.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
Get ready for a triple sigh.
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:09 ET by mattmGet ready for a triple sigh.
Are you deliberately missing the point? If most scientists agree on something, that doesn't mean it's true. And if there are social or political implications regarding a particular "scientific" tenet, it's even more unlikely to be factual. This is so obvious it's irrefutable, and renders your argument moot!
PS There are plenty of scientists who refute Global Warming on a daily basis.
Well, that is true, but would
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:20 ET byWell, that is true, but wouldn't you agree that if most scientists agree on something it is more likely to be true? Everyone points out the past instances when a scientific consensus has been wrong. We are talking a dozen or so major instances? Or less? How many times has the MINORITY of scientists been wrong? Thousands and thousands, but those cases aren't very interesting so we don't hear about them.
And it's safe to say there are social, political (and business) implications on both sides of this issue.
In any case, should the press NOT report general agreement in the scientific community?
tw ??????????????
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:31 ET by misterbill"First, you have to prove that the increase in CO2 is caused by humans - the venting of CO2 by volcanoes (including those under the ocean) and geysers and other natural sources (and also the natural absorption or sinking of CO2) is a estimate that defies error analysis. To what error band are we certain of the amount of emission of CO2 by natural causes?"
TW ?????
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:34 ET by misterbillNo I wouldn't. I don't wors
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:49 ET by mattmNo I wouldn't. I don't worship at the feet of scientists. Science is a continual search for knowledge. Knowledge is not arrived at by vote. The history of science is rife with examples of the majority being proven wrong as more knowledge is gained, which was my first point. Moreover, when there are serious social and political implications involved, skepticism of the "consensus" is even more justified.
In this case, there is more proof that global climate changes are the result of solar activity rather than anything happening on earth, including human activity. When you add to that the fact that there is political motivation behind the Global Warming movement (just as there was in the 70's with the New Ice Age movement) the conclusion that Global Warming is a politically motivated farce is even more likely than the idea that it even exists, let alone is caused by humans.
Thanks, mattm, for being anot
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 02:43 ET by Indiana JoeThanks, mattm, for being another person who remembers the "Coming Ice Age" scare of the '70s. I graduated HS in 1975, and I recall the concept.
Seems that what we now call "greenhouse gases" (carbon compounds) were supposedly causing a lot of the solar heat to reflect out into space without warming the Earth. Therefore, we could expect falling temperatures leading to a New Ice Age. The answer? Reduce the production of these carbon compounds which blocked the sun's heat from reaching us.
Now, thirty years later, these same gases are letting the sun's heat in, but NOT letting it radiate back out into space. They've suddenly become a kind of "one-way mirror," thereby causing "global warming." And the solution this time? Reduce the production of these same gases.
Funny how the same gases, in the same atmosphere are now having the OPPOSITE effect of what they were originally claimed to have. And, with the OPPOSITE result. But the SAME solution is being proposed, just for a different reason. Reducing so-called "greenhouse gases" may very well be a laudable goal. It just may not be the call to Armageddon that it's being made out to be, that's all.
So, maybe those of us whose memories go back more than 20 years can be forgiven if we're a little skeptical that this "consensus" is any more valid than the "consensus" of thirty years ago, a "consensus" that has been abandoned with nary a peep.
There is widespread disagreem
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:11 ET by NL207There is widespread disagreement within the scientific community and if you were anything more than a political operative you'd know that.
At the least, there are the following types of scientific opinions on the subject:
1. There are scientists who do not believe that human activity is causing global warming at all.
2. There are scientists who agree that humans are making some contributions to global climate but that these contributions are small in relation to the natural forces that shape Earth's climate.
3. There are Scientists who believe that human activity is responsible for all or nearly all of the observed warming of the last 150 years. These two groups are subdivided into those who believe this warming is significant and those who believe this warming is small.
4. There are scientists who conclude that we do not yet know enough about how the Earth's climatic regulatory system works to ascertain what impact human activity may be having.
5. There are scientists who believe human activity is causing global climate change on the same scale as natural forces.
One thing that IS clear: very, very few scientists believe that global warming of the scale forecast by prominent doomsayers like Al Gore is likely to occur and this is the whole point of criticism being leveled here at the MSM. They emphasize the extreme warming scenarios as if they are the expected outcomes. Consequently, most readers, viewers and listeners get the very wrong idea there is (a) some kind of real scientific consensus and (b) that consensus says tempertures will rise 6-11 degrees celsius, the polar ice caps will all melt and the seas will rise 20 or 30 feet.
Well, I don't know what it wo
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:32 ET byWell, I don't know what it would take to get you to understand you are wrong, and I don't have time to try.
So let's stay on point. We know that all scientific organization that study climate think AGW is an important factor. SO why can't the media report this FACT.
Correction: You don't have
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:20 ET by NL207Correction: You don't have the scientific expertise to win this argument with me. You may be able to BS some other folks. That doesn't fly here.
reason: The human portion of observed climate change observed since 1967 when the most recent warming began, is thought to be about half of the observed total change. This amount to about 0.3 degree C. This actually is not too far removed from the back-of-the-envelope estimate if one allows for what the actual thermal effect of earth's atmosphere is and considers what fraction of this CO2 actually represents.
So, Mr. Scientist, what is your explanation for the lack of warming over the years 1942-1967? CO2 concentration was growing at that time. Why did we observe no real warming over that interval, when we had seen great warming over the previous interval 1920-1941? According to the theory of AGW, this should not be the case, yet it was.
Over the months. We've come u
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 22:14 ET by danboOver the months. We've come up with the names of more scientists that are sceptical of AGW than Throatpecker has come up that states there's no question.
But Throatpecker has a consensus.
Interesting. There was once concensus that the earth was the center of the universe. there was once concensus that piltdown man (a forgery) was the missing link.
The end of the world has been postponed till after the taxes have been collected.
"Whoever undertakes to set himself up as a judge of truth and knowledge is shipwrecked by the laughter of the gods." Albert Einstein
It would take proof. This i
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:46 ET by mattmIt would take proof. This is something you do NOT have.
To be considered to be a scientific fact it has to be proven. Global Warming isn't even out of the hypothesis stage.
What will it take to get you to understand that a consensus of opinion is not scientific fact?
Science is NOT democratic?
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 20:19 ET by UnsaneWait...you mean science is NOT democratic and that scientific theories and ideas are not made valid by a VOTE of scientists in various organizations???
I may need to be revived...soon.........................
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
Note that in question 1 that
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:14 ET by UnsaneNote that in question 1 that I asked you about individual scientists that populate the organizations, not the organizations themselves. Nice way to ignore the point of the question. But then we should expect that from you.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
That was question 2.
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:23 ET byThat was question 2.
Evade, evade, evade
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:27 ET by UnsaneWhatever. I suffer from CRS. Answer the question any f#!?ing time...
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
My answer follows the number
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:32 ET byMy answer follows the number "2" in my response.
You know where the only place
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:40 ET by UnsaneYou know where the only place was in ther media where I have heard of the anti-man-made-GW-crowd on the MSM? A news special on ABC; I believe the title was Are We Scaring Ourselves To Death?, hosted by John Stossel (who, unlike most journalists, actually asks questions of people). Most interesting of all was the conclusion of the program: what is the biggest threat to humanity right now? Was it GW?
No, it was something far more complex and something that has followed humanity around sice ever: poverty.
(I am still mighty curious as to what your solutions are to man-made GW...what you suggest this most evil society on earth do in order for you to sleep at night...)
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
"...science does not wai
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:48 ET by fossten"...science does not wait until every last person agrees."
That's preposterous. You obviously do NOT understand science by definition. Science itself breaks down by hypothesis, theory, and fact or law. So far, man-made global warming is only a theory, and as such it is not appropriate for nations to incur trillions of dollars of potentially needless expense based on a theory which is debunked by many.
What you are really saying is "what if it's true? If so, then we better get busy killing our economies for the next 50 years." But it is not scientific to attempt to cause a panic in order to drum up support for a theory.
You will hear nothing outside
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:28 ET by NL207You will hear nothing outside scientific circles from the opponents of this AGW-as-fact opinion, because the MSM has done a fine job of burying these opinions and pro-AGW political operatives within the government have done an excellent job of steering grant money away from scientists who oppose AGW.
...
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:32 ET by Malcor1. You made an unsubstantiated claim that Global Warming was a fact. You reinforced this by saying the media points out that ALL scientific groups agree that it is a fact. This is untrue. If you wish to prove something as fact (which, according to the scientific method, you must do, not claim something is fact until someone disproves it), the burden is on you to list every single scientific organization that studies the climate, along with their positions on global warming. As you can not do this, your entire line of reasoning is invalid. You ask for him to provide one that doesn't support it, and yet you have not provided a list of all that do.
2. Your statement of 2 contradicts your statement of 1. If some in the organizations disagree, then they are clearly not all in agreement, are they? And as earlier stated by yourself and others, the media is interested in only publishing a single side. I definately consider that to be bias, don't you?
Oh, by the way, apparently a certain group of scientists recently declared that Pluto is not a planet. Is this a case of science not waiting for everyone to agree? Do those past decades of its classification of a planet now get overwritten because someone changed the rules?
3. No, Question #3 is the very point of the discussion at hand. You have yet to 'prove' anything, and you have no solutions or alternatives to present should you be correct in your assumptions.
1. No. Reread my first post.
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:46 ET by1. No. Reread my first post. Fine. Here:
"In the IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR), the most comprehensive compilation and summary of current climate research ever attempted, it was concluded that based on the balance of all available evidence and even considering uncertainties and areas lacking adequate research, the earth is undergoing a rapid warming trend that is outside the likely bounds of natural variations and this climate change is likely to have been due to anthropogenic emissions of CO2 from fossil fuel burning.
This statement has been explicitly endorsed by:
* Academia Brasiliera de Ciências (Bazil)
* Royal Society of Canada
* Chinese Academy of Sciences
* Academié des Sciences (France)
* Deutsche Akademie der Naturforscher Leopoldina (Germany)
* Indian National Science Academy
* Accademia dei Lincei (Italy)
* Science Council of Japan
* Russian Academy of Sciences
* Royal Society (United Kingdom)
* National Academy of Sciences (United States of America)
* Australian Academy of Sciences
* Royal Flemish Academy of Belgium for Sciences and the Arts
* Caribbean Academy of Sciences
* Indonesian Academy of Sciences
* Royal Irish Academy
* Academy of Sciences Malaysia
* Academy Council of the Royal Society of New Zealand
* Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences
in either one or both of these documents:
* http://nationalacademies.org/onpi/06072005.pdf
* http://www.royalsociety.org/displaypagedoc.asp?id=13619
In addition, the following institutions specializing in Climate, Atmosphere, Ocean and/or Earth sciences have published the same conclusions:
* NASA's Goddard Institute of Space Studies (GISS)
* National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
* National Academy of Sciences (NAS)
* State of the Canadian Cryosphere (SOCC)
* Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
* Royal Society of the United Kingdom (RS)
* American Geophysical Union (AGU)
* National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)
* American Meteorological Society (AMS)
* Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (CMOS)
If this is not consensus, then what in the world would consensus look like?"
The links don't cut n paste, but I got this list from here:
CONSENSUS!
Really, if a scientific organization means anything it has a web page. If there really were one that doubted AGW, you guys would have found it by now.
WHy dont' you guys demand the meida give equal time to all minority opinion on science? The flat-earthers want their time too!
No 3 isn't. Science first, then policy.
likely
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:57 ET by Celumnaz"Likely to have been"?
Why aren't they absolutely positive and why should I change my lifestyle for a "could be... maybe... possibly... we don't really know for sure"
Wish they would take that stance about military action in the middle east.
That's called science. If som
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 17:05 ET byThat's called science. If someone says "global warming is a hoax", well that person is not practising science (I'm looking at you Senator Inhofe!)
There is uncertainty. That in and of itself is not a reason not to act.
Edit:And how does "likely" get morphed into "maybe"?
there is uncertainty
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 17:14 ET by Celumnaz"There is uncertainty."
Which part is uncertain, that it was corporation made, or that the effects will be... bad?
Uncertainty... so it might, or it might not be a problem, or produced a certain way, right?
Nor is someone who says every
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 22:44 ET by danboNor is someone who says everyone agrees, practicing science.
We see those who disagree with us. You're either blind or choosing to ignore the large volume of disagreement.
"Whoever undertakes to set himself up as a judge of truth and knowledge is shipwrecked by the laughter of the gods." Albert Einstein
"outside the likely boun
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 17:12 ET by NL207"outside the likely bounds of natural variation"
This statement is utter garbage and is easily refuted by examining past bounds of natural variation. A case in point: The end of the last ice age about 11000 years ago. This event include a warming burst of at least 6 degrees C estimated by various techniques to have occurred in 10, 50 or 90 years, in any event, all less than a century. I know of no scientists who claim to have a certain explanation for the cause of this event.
Science first ... then policy? Really?
Which of the august bodies you name (a) does not have members who disagree with this conclusion and (b) are not government funded?
the answer is none.
...
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 17:41 ET by Malcor1. I read your first post just fine. "If the media pointed out that all scientific groups who study the climate agree." Except, last time I checked, the World Meteorological Organization and United Nations Environment Programme weren't all the groups who studied it. Maybe you should read your own post to see what I'm replying to.
I'll bust up their little statement right now. You quoted, apparently without understanding the absurdity of such a statement: "It was concluded that based on the balance of all available evidence and even considering uncertainties and areas lacking adequate research, the Earth is undergoing a rapid warming trend that is outside the likely bounds of natural variations..." Did you miss that part? You know, the whole part where they willfully ignore the flaws in their own system and dismiss them out of hand? How can you consider results that you admit you haven't bother to look into in the first place?
While we're at it, let's have a little fun. What is the definition of consensus? I'll pull from Dictionary.com to make it easy for you:
"1. majority of opinion: The consensus of the group was that they should meet twice a month.
2. general agreement or concord; harmony. "
Wow... that still does not add up to "all scientific groups who study the climate agree." One is because 'consensus' just represents what a majority of those included agree with, despite any internal contradictions. Two is because it still doesn't include ALL such organizations. Three is, well, just because you did not list every scientific group in existance that studies the climate. Good try, though.
THanks for posting the ones who have a 'majority of agreement', though. I'd post counters, except you can look on this page to find other links. You know, the ones you don't try to dismiss out of hand as partisan. As if United Nations organizations and committees are themselves nonpartisan.
I can't access Blogspot from here, sorry. Have a nasty case of filter-itis. But if you want counter-links, look farther down at the post. Quite a few you should check out.
I don't have to worry about patently proven untrue statements that don't qualify as science (flat earthers, for instance), especially when such can be disproven by a middle-schooler with a little knowledge of geometry. As far as I'm concerned, I don't want opinion on science being pushed to the rest of us as fact. Humanocentric Global Warming is an opinion, as is obvious due to lack of proof and existance of opposition. I'll be damned if they shove that agenda down my throat, nor use pseudoscience to try and prove it. Especially when it's exemplified in a statement which contradicts the very ethos of science itself.
3 certainly is. If science can't prove there's a problem, then people better not use it as an excuse to try and impose policy (ie: Kyoto). And if they DO try to push it as policy, it better be applied evenly to everyone... (see China's lovely inclusion into Kyoto... oh wait, it's not!)
Quick to judge, quick to anger, slow to understand
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:09 ET by UnsaneYet again, consensus was that in the 1500s, the planets and the Sun orbited Earth. Copernicus and Kepler put an end to that.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
Blinded by the light
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:12 ET by Barberiansorethroatwobbler,
There are numerous peer-reviewed papers that have been given in some of the esteemed journals that have editorial board members from some of the organizations above. These papers give examples that do not attribute the warming trend of the past 150 years to anthropogenic CO2 emissions. The problem with sheeple like yourself, you cannot or will not form your own opinion based on across the board research on such a topic. If you do not possess a working knowledge of chemistry /physics then get one or shut up. I've read your post now for over a week on this subject and not once have you cited anything but IPCC or Hansen or the scientifically challenged MSM.
Are these the same groups tha
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 21:15 ET by BufordAre these the same groups that 20 years ago were predicting a global ice age?
No. None of these groups issu
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 21:25 ET byNo. None of these groups issued a statement about a pending Ice Age.
Remember: it's easier to moderate this than read it
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 00:43 ET by UnsaneSort of like how those groups you tout are "issuing statements" about pending warming-caused global catastrophe?
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
These groups were more impart
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 19:09 ET by NL207These groups were more impartial and better scientists then. I don't think today's scientific leaders have the stature the leadership of 1975 did. That is my personal opinion based on my personal knowledge of sizeable sample of both groups. A good examlpe was Richard Feynman, who passed about 20 years ago. There are lots of brilliant men in the field today, but I can't think of a one of them who has his down-to-earth common sense. A man of his temperament would never successfully navigate the highly political waters to the top of today's scientific community. He just wasn't Machiavellian enough.
Don't know about these groups
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 02:55 ET by Indiana JoeDon't know about these groups, Buford, but I posted MY recollections of "The Coming Ice Age" scare back in the '70s up above. mattm seems to also remember that little brouhaha... I even remember the explanation... makes good reading, in re: the current debate on GW....
<edit> And today, there's a thread about the Newsweek story in 1975 about "Global Cooling." I love instant gratification! Dennis, your $10 is waiting... ;^)
Interesting you quote IPCC. D
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 22:40 ET by danboInteresting you quote IPCC. Did you know they have 2 definitions of climate change in thier new report?
"In the IPCC TAR document WG2SPM.pdf on page 3 (shortly after item 2.1 for those who access this document in some other format) ... "Climate change in IPCC usage refers to any change in climate over time, whether due to natural variability or as a result of human activity. This usage differs from that in the Framework Convention on Climate Change, where climate change refers to a change of climate that is attributed directly or indirectly to human activity that alters the composition of the global atmosphere and that is in addition to natural climate variability observed over comparable time periods."
So now if the sun causes climate change it will be evidence of Throatpeckers anthropogenic climate change and his fault.
They took lessons in language and definitions from Bill Clinton.
Further:
If you're not familiar with the FCCC, also notice where Article 4
requires the rich countries to pay the poor countries (items 3, 4, 5).
The Kyoto Protocol specifically mentions Article 4.
http://unfccc.int/essential_background/convention/background/items/1362.php
"Whoever undertakes to set himself up as a judge of truth and knowledge is shipwrecked by the laughter of the gods." Albert Einstein
Here's your rebuttal to this
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 13:43 ET by kirch66Here's your rebuttal to this nonsense, Mr. cut-and-paste facts person.
The Global Warming Folly
by
Radiologi-cal Protection in Warsaw. A multidisciplinary scientist, he has studied glacier ice samples from
around the world, analyzing traces of heavy metals and radionuclides. He is well known as an expert on
radiation effects, and has served as the chairman of the UNSCEAR (United Nations Committee on the
Effects of Atomic Radiation). Among his previous articles in 21st Century Science & Technology is "Ice Core
Data Show No Carbon Dioxide Increase, " Spring 1997, p. 42.
Zbigniew Jaworowski, M.D., Ph.O., and D.Sc., who is a professor at the Central Laboratory for
Despite billions of dollars and millions of propaganda headlines, the global warming
prophesied by the climate modeling industry is not scientifically real
The amount spent on climate studies worldwide has now reached the astonishingly high level
of about $5 billion per year.
for climate studies, not including the costs of satellites, ships, and laboratory construction.
1 In the United States alone, more than $2 billion is spent annually2
Climatologists have obtained this immense amount of funding by creating the vision of a manmade
planetary climate catastrophe.
In the 1970s and the 1980s, computer models of climate prophesied a doubling of the carbon
dioxide (CO2) content in the atmosphere during the next 6O years. The greenhouse effect of
this CO2 increase, together with that of other greenhouse gases released by human beings
into the atmosphere – CH4, N2O, CFC-11 (Freon), and CFC-12 – was supposed to increase the
average global surface air temperature by 5°C. In polar regions, the increase was projected to
be 10°C. Later, in the 1990s, climatologists truncated the computer model estimates of the
man-made increase of global temperature by the year 2100, first to 3,3°C
3,5 and then to 2°C.7
Climate warming caused by man-made greenhouse gases, is usually presented as a gloomy
catastrophe that will induce the mass extinction of animals and plants, epidemics of
contagious and parasitic diseases, droughts and floods, and even invasions of mutated insects
resistant to insecticides. Melting glaciers are predicted to raise sea level by 3.67 meters,
flooding islands, densely inhabited coastal areas, and great metropolises.
mass migrations and a host of other social and environmental effects –
never beneficial
According to one American climatologist, the "scare-them-to-death" approach seems to be the
best way to get money for climate studies.
man-made climate warming, stated this bluntly:
6, 8 There will bealways detrimental,.Dr. Stephen Schneider, a leading prophet of
"To capture the public imagination... we have to... make simplified dramatic
statements, and little mention of any doubts one might have.... Each of us has to
decide the right balance between being effective and being honest".
9
Great international organizations, such as the
the
Climate Change
The sources of these funds are the governments of many countries, the European Union, and
the World Bank. The IPCC, founded in 1988, became a leading scientific adviser to the
governments that are part of the
adopted in 1992 in Rio de Janeiro, and known for short as
World Meteorological Organization (WMO),United Nations Environmental Program (UNEP), the Intergovernmental Panel on(IPCC), and others, direct the immense stream of money for climate studies.United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change,"The Climate Treaty."
The IPCC reports, which have become bibles for bureaucrats and environmentalist fanatics,
accuse modern civilization of being responsible for global warming, and repeatedly state that
they reflect a true "
is totally false: The assessments, conclusions, and even the working method of the IPCC are
criticized by numerous scientists today. A more accurate description of the current situation
would not be consensus, but rather
consensus, or voting. There was no "consensus" for Copernicus’s idea, in his time, that the
Earth orbited the Sun.
consensus" of the scientific community. This statement about consensuscontroversy. Science does not progress via a process ofConsensus is not needed in science; it is for politicians.
Opinions critical of the IPCC reports have been expressed by many prominent, competent
scientists. For example, Or. Frederick Seitz, a past president of the
Sciences
former Chairman of the
U.S. National Academy ofand the American Physical Society, President Emeritus of Rockefeller University,Defense Science Board, and former Science Adviser to NATO, stated:
"I have never witnessed a more disturbing corruption of the peer-review process
than the events that led to this IPCC report."
authors of the IPCC reports, described the editing process of the IPCC reports as follows:
10 Dr. Keith Shine, one of the leading
"We produce a draft, and then the policymakers go through it line by
line and change the way it’s presented .... They don’t change the data,
but the way it’s presented. It is peculiar that they have the final say in
what goes into a scientists’ report."
11
About half of the scientists who took part in preparing the IPCC report of 1996 do not agree
with its conclusions’ –
hardly a consensus. Even the leading establishment science journals,
Science
and Nature, have exposed the IPCC’s lack of consensus and its wrong methodology.
Nature
one examines some of the scientific articles on the subject [climate warming
modeling], one finds virtually unanimous agreement that the models are
deficient."
research led
consensus-building around scientific accuracy will be permanently compromised."
devoted two editorials to the subject,13, 14 and an editorial in Science stated that: "If15 The incompatibility of IPCC procedures with the usual standards of scientificScience to write that "IPCC’s reputation for procedural correctness and16
Excerpt from:
http://mitosyfraudes.8k.com/INGLES/Warm.html
"The moment you give up your principles and your values, the moment you laugh at those principles and those values, you are dead, your culture is dead, your civilization is dead. Period." - Oriana Fallaci
All you have to do to arm you
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 13:39 ET by kirch66All you have to do to arm yourself against this tidal wave (pun intended) of misinformation and half baked "science" about Global Warming is to read my article that I wrote right after Al Gore's movie came out earlier this year. I am a former US Air Force weatherman and understand this subject better than most lay persons. Read the entire article, it touches on every point they try to use to whip people up about the subject. As you can see from some posts here there are people that simply are regurgitating the talking points of the media barrage that is proping this hideous subject up.
Human Induced Global Warming is Bunk
"The moment you give up your principles and your values, the moment you laugh at those principles and those values, you are dead, your culture is dead, your civilization is dead. Period." - Oriana Fallaci
tw,If man is responsible for
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 14:55 ET by Dave Rtw,
If man is responsible for causing "global warming." how do you explain the six ice ages that the gelogical record indicates that this planet has undergone?
Was it those eeeeeeevil republican cave men driving around in their SUV's?
I'm not arguing the specifics
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:01 ET byI'm not arguing the specifics of GW because I've answered this question about a million times. I'm happy to stay on topic, however.
(Oh I can't resist: Milankovitch cycles!)
Translation
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:04 ET by UnsaneTranslation: "WAAHHH!!! SHUT UP AND AGREE WITH ME!!!! HOW DARE YOU ASK ME QUESTIONS!!! WAAAAHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!"
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
You belong to me
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:09 ET by badanovFor the same reason we don't send up leftists politicians for their screwed up and failed economic policies we don't take scientists' opinion as good public policy.
And that science groups do have hold concensus on global warming is proof that global warming is less science and more agenda than anything else., and therefore not worth considering as public policy.
I don't follow the logic, the
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:31 ET byI don't follow the logic, the fact that scientific groups agree on global warming is evidence that they are not looking at science?
...
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:34 ET by MalcorThe fact that many of said scientific groups are funded and/or motivated by a specific politcal agenda is evidence that they are not following basic scientific doctrine, to whit, seperating their analysis of the results from the desire for specific results.
I'll count you in the "all sc
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:47 ET byI'll count you in the "all scientists are corrupt" camp, I guess.
cargo cult
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 17:04 ET by CelumnazBefore you start stereotyping, generalizing, and putting people into camps, did you miss daveinboca's post below about Nobel Prize winner Richard Feynman, and Cargo Cult Science?
guiltwobbler knows what's best for us...
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 17:44 ET by UnsaneSay, can you count me into the "all scientists are human and therefore susceptible to human nature" camp?
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
...
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 17:44 ET by MalcorWow, you go ahead with your oh-so-scientific lumping of people in with your preconceived beliefs. I don't know whether that's because of your own personal agenda, or your inability to distinguish the difference between "many of said scientific groups" and "all scientists are corrupt", but either way, it's plain to see that science is a field you should probably avoid.
What is with you liberals a
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 01:53 ET by liberal_bug_zapperWhat is with you liberals and this all or none dogma? You certainly hate it when we use it to corner you. So you cannot have it both ways, you either agree that some are corrupt, while others are not, or you must admit to the black and white statement that all of those you mentioned are corrupt.
First of all, I don't think anyone here disagrees with the theory of climate change. We just disagree that man is the primary or even a sizable cause of it. I think that our side has been very scientifically accurate in showing that human activity has only impacted the climate in a very small way, maybe around 1-5%. The rest is natural. CO2, exhaled by almost every single creature on Earth.... including insects, which in some estimations, outweigh humans 10 - 1 and our breath us all the same. Insect contribution to the CO2 quotient is probably near 10%. All animals are probably near 20-25%. The rest comes from rotting plants, volcanism and other natural phenomenon.
Second, no one has said all scientists are corrupt, we just look at where they get their monies, and come to the conclusion that their opinions may be colored by the politics and politicians who will decide on their funding.
"I'm not arguing the spe
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:21 ET by MassConservative"I'm not arguing the specifics of GW...."
...you know, things like those pesky little facts that don't support my arguments.
The issue with the media and the reason for hearings like this is that it is obvious that there obsession with Global warming is driven by politics and not science. Why continue to hype Al Gore's shlockumentary when there are dozens of scientists, individuals, websites, etc. that can shoot holes the size of the new Hummer 3 through his arguments with some basic analysis. www.junkscience.com is one website that comes to mind off the top of my head.
If they truly wanted to be seen as non-biased then leave it is a scientific debate and be willing to present both sides of the argument.
I actually answered his quest
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:26 ET byI actually answered his question. In two words.
There are very few working scientists who dispute human caused global warming. The scientific agreement of the organizations is one line of evidenc supporting this, so why should the media listen to a few scientists who disagree with the mainstream?
Because...
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:32 ET by UnsaneBecause, just as Copernicus and Kepler were part of a very tiny minority of scientists who thought the heliocentric model of the solar system presented a better explanation...
...that THEY MIGHT BE RIGHT???
And you wonder why I can think that you hate science and desperately want it to be dogma.
Oh, and the media will be more than happy to report the scientists findings that conclude man-made GW is bunk, but then they eagerly attack their funding sources. But no one DARES question the motives of those who proclaim GW is in fact happening; never mind that they are feeding at the trough of government money just the same. (Scientists still must eat and they don't work for free, from everything I gather.)
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
Two men versus the "mainstream": who was right?
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:00 ET by UnsaneCopernicus and Kepler were scientists outside the mainstream who suggested, quite preposterously to the world's scientific body at the time, that the planets orbit the SUN, not the earth. And, as it turned out, they were correct, not the mainstream. Such is the way science operates.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
The sum total of all your ans
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:31 ET by NL207The sum total of all your answers has been, "It is so because this amalgam of panels of government experts say it is so..." and what these experts say is by no means in agreement and by no means an imperative for government action.
to. wit. I notice your list of Scientific bodies includes the Chinese Academy of Science, whcih I will presume is the PRC version, since the Taiwanese body no longer presumes to call itself 'China'. If they really support this notion, then why is the world's largest polluter, the People's Republic of China, not taking action to stem this disaster? Could it be because they do not think this is a crisis?
"The sum total of all your an
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 09:35 ET by"The sum total of all your answers has been, "It is so because this amalgam of panels of government experts say it is so..." "
Come on, you know this is a lie. I've argued the science with you.
I've already shown the CHinese have done something--not enough. God, the same old crap gets brought up here again and again. I post a scientific artiucle analyzing GHG emissions in CHinese and people strat saying things like "I went to China, so I know better" Come off it.
TW must moderate because it's easier than critical thinking
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 13:49 ET by UnsaneWhat have the Chinese done? I had a miserable time coping with Beijing's pollution, they ratified Kyoto (because it does not apply to them in any way shape or form) and they will be the #1 emitter of GHGs in 2015. Do you have any reading comprehension skills or do you just flat out ignore inconvenient information? I lean towards the latter in your case...
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
And you've lost, repeatedly.I
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 18:48 ET by NL207And you've lost, repeatedly.
I've shown you conclusively that the 'experts' whose opinions you want us to accept have consistently overestimated future warming by providing a 'range' in which the real numbers fall into the lower part of. These same experts use models to predict future climatic conditions which all fail to correctly regress some part of measured recent climatic history. None of these experts have as yet provided any explanations of the drastic, naturally occuring climate changes earth has recently experienced in pre-historic times. I've never seen any of them discuss what might happen if one of these events were to take place now or how human CO2 emissions might interact with one of these events nor have you linked any such. Don't you think if they really knew what was going on in this system, some of thee answers would be forthcoming? In spite of these obvious defects in the AGW arguments, you want to institute fascist tyranny based on these predictions of doom.
When did I say anything about 'visiting' China? When did YOU provide any evidence the Chinese are actually doing a single thing to curb pollution rather than just talk about how they are going to curb pollution?
Same old crap? Your line is the same old crap. All we hear is how catastrophic this GHG situation is. And this from some pathetic little weasel who is not a trained scientist yet knows everything there is to know about the science of global warming. Simple question: What is the most important heat transfer mechanism in Earth's atmosphere and how large is it compared to the next most significant mechanism? A qualitative answer is sufficient. I doubt you can even answer this little bomb. But that doesn't stop you. You are ready to legislate every aspect of energy production anyway.
Calm down, sister!
Fri, 12/08/2006 - 15:23 ET byCalm down, sister!
I don't need science lessons from someone who can't read a graph.
Brevity is the soul of wit
Sat, 12/09/2006 - 17:17 ET by UnsaneBut you DO need science lessons. Fast.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
You said there are few scient
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 22:57 ET by danboYou said there are few scientists who dispute human caused global warming.
Your nose is growing.
Over the months this group have listed a large number of scientist who disagree. Many among the tops in their fields. Probably over a hundred. 60 here. 40 there. And quite a few individually.
"Whoever undertakes to set himself up as a judge of truth and knowledge is shipwrecked by the laughter of the gods." Albert Einstein
Top in their field and they d
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 09:41 ET byTop in their field and they don't publish?
Can we help it if your abilit
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 18:16 ET by danboCan we help it if your ability to find published works is rather limited.
"Whoever undertakes to set himself up as a judge of truth and knowledge is shipwrecked by the laughter of the gods." Albert Einstein
Wrong. There are very few w
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 01:59 ET by liberal_bug_zapperWrong.
There are very few working scientists who dispute global climate change, a distinction lost on you liberals. It is the argument put forth by disingenuous liberals who twist and tweak the truth until it is a bald faced lie that we're causing global warming that there is no consensus on.
Anyone who has studied history knows the climate has changed. We know because we are still finding creatures and humans in glaciers and in the frozen tundra that lived in a time much colder than today.
An Amazing Point for which no one has offered PROOF
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:34 ET by PSPCplThe definition of "fact" is that it is an objective and verifiable observation: it stands on its own and cannot be denied. OTOH, a theory, is an EXPLANATION for or an interpretation of a group of facts. As such, a theory is NOT fact: it is changeable. It is dependant upon the person(s) offering the interpretaion. The reason why it is not FACT is because there is insufficient factual evidence to make it a LAW. A scientific law is an explanation for a group of facts that has been proven and accepted as such by experts in the field.
The very fact that this earth of ours has undergone several ice ages is reason enough for all of us to question and distrust anyone who touts man's use of petroleum products as the sole reason for global warming.
As to Unsane's question #3, it is most certainly relevant. Don't come on here and wail about a problem and fail to offer any constructive debate as to how to solve the issue. Personally, I don't think we can because it will take a global agreement that no one in the Third World would be willing to make. The UN won't go into Darfur. How can it make ALL the world stop using oil and coal?
Why should Americans be the only ones to reduce their use? If the Chinese, the Indians, the Russians, and the EU won't, then neither should we. And don't give me that global leadership crap either. We have shown what needs to be down with Islamo-fascists and how much support have we had? The French saw first hand what it means to have these people in their country in great numbers and they still won't help us. I am tired of us having to be "global leaders" when it means we have to bend over "for the greater good" but no one else has to share the pain. If you don't believe me, check on what the Germans, the French, and the British had to say about how they would be unable to meet their obligations under the Kyoto Accords.
So scientists don't agree on
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:43 ET bySo scientists don't agree on the THEORY of gravity, the THEORY of evolution or general relativity THEORY?
But it is a FACT that all scientific organizations that study the climate agree that humans are causing global warming. Can the media report this fact or not?
Again, find someone else to argue the specifics of AGW if you want. I've done it to death here.
Actually, guiltwobbler, besid
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:52 ET by UnsaneActually, guiltwobbler, besides telling people they are wrong or irrelevant, you haven't done a damn thing to explain why AGW is allegedly a fact. Nor will you dare tell us all what we should do that would constitute doing something about it in your eyes.
Correction: that's the LAW of gravity.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
Boy do you need to go back to
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:52 ET by fosstenBoy do you need to go back to elementary school. Gravity is a law. That's because it has been proven. Evolution and relativity are only theories; neither have been proven to be laws yet. Global warming is only a theory. It is not a fact; nor is it a fact that ALL scientific groups believe in it. It's interesting that you won't even bother to go to the links provided you which show the alternate explanations. Wonder why you are so afraid to have your wittle bubble burst.
...
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:44 ET by MalcorActually, not to assist the other guy, but the Theory of Gravity is, in fact, a theory. We can observe its effects, but do not know its cause Oh, we know that a mass will somehow exert a force upon another mass, but we don't know how... is it a form of undetectable energy? Some sort of extremely small particle exchange?
Science makes a distinction between Theory and Law. A Law is certain and proveable, the results capable of being understood and reproduced. A Theory is reserved for something observable, which science believes to be true, but either does not know the exact process of how it works (Gravity) or because the results of an experiment involving it can not be replicated for whatever reason (an example being Evolution... science believes it is possible, but it is impossible to prove because of the limits of the scientific method--a person must be able to reproduce an experiment and gain the same results, and as yet no human has sufficient lifespan to actually produce or reproduce such an experiment).
Humanocentric Global Warning doesn't even rate high enough to be a true Theory, as it is not a majority agreement, it is untestable, and it is far from being close to fully understood. It's somewhere on a lower rung, probably best classified as a "hypothesis" (translation: A 'guess' as to the expected results an experiment will produce).
And those theories have actua
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:03 ET by taznarAnd those theories have actually been tested. The "Man is causing global warming theory" has not been tested and has not been rigorously defined. At this point theories (there are more than one) on global warming are about equivalent to describing the theory of gravity as, "things fall".
IOW, climate changes and life on the planet contributes to it (there used to be very little oxygen -damn plants). Its been happening for millions of years. Why panic now when we don't even know what to expect, if changes in human behavior will make any difference, or even if climate change will be detrimental?
The media don't report fact.
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:43 ET by NL207The media don't report fact. They exaggerate, making claims that only the most extreme scientists make. the widely accepted numbers for the human contribution to date do not justify governmental action of any kind and these MSM types know this. So do you, but you don't want to admit this publicly here. In fact, you won't even admit that natural causes CONTRIBUTE to the observed climate variablility. This is a totally asinine position, resting on the absurd assertion that natural variability has ceased since humans began emitting greenhouse gases.
The truth does not sell copy. The MSM wants to sell copy, hence they have little interest in the truth. Sensationalism sells copy.
When you're correct, i will
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 23:16 ET by danboWhen you're correct, i will say so.
Gravity exists. And probably evolution and relativity. Lots of evidence there.
However. Though we know gravity exists, last time I looked. No one knew for sure what caused it. As someone who studied evolution, there is a whole lot of evidence that evolution occured. Drawin, however, was really off in what caused it. And I for one don't think we can do anything but guess on it's cause. The same is probably true of relativity.
Is there climate change? Yes. It's changed many times in the past and is forever changing. Up and down. Warming. Probably, we're coming out of the little ice age. And may be beginning to cool for a while.
You however, are arrogant enough to state with confidence that climate change is caused by one thing. Man. That is where you haven't a clue.
What causes the environment to change? That big ball of hot gas in the sky? The planets orbits? The sea? Volcanos? Or the tailpipe of a n SUV?
"Whoever undertakes to set himself up as a judge of truth and knowledge is shipwrecked by the laughter of the gods." Albert Einstein
Don't get me started on evolu
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 09:56 ET by fosstenDon't get me started on evolution. It doesn't exist. Darwinian evolution hasn't been observed in any way, just invented and put into models.
Even more amusing is how the
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:49 ET by UnsaneEven more amusing is how the Canadians are struggling with meeting the Kyoto Protocol. I'll have to break that down sometime later, but just in case you can get free web access, you can read all about it on economist.com: check out the 20 July 2006 edition; the article is called "Interpreting Smoke Signals".
To guiltwobbler, as he has shown on a previous thread, it is ALL about the evil United States. When I pointed out that China (exempt from Kyoto, by the way) will be the world's #1 emitter of greenhouse gases in 2015, guiltwobbler decided to cry instead about "per capita greenhouse gas emissions" and how this evil nation will lead the world in that category until mid-century.
To me, if you care THAT MUCH about per capita greenhouse gas emissions, you really don't care that much about global warming and much more on restricting individual liberties and freedoms. Sounds to me that guiltwobbler is angry that the United States doesn't have a population that is 80% farmers, like China does, and thus the United States needs to be punished severely for daring to industrialize faster and sooner than China. (Proving that this is NOT about science therefore and all about socialist.)
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
all consensus
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:15 ET by Celumnazall scientific groups who study the climate *Don't* agree that humans are causing global warming, so in that case the media would be lying, no?
Can you name a group?
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:28 ET byCan you name a group?
It is the published view of t
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:37 ET by gtinessIt is the published view of the Met Office that is it likely that more than half the warming of recent decades (say 0.3 degrees centigrade out of the overall 0.5 degrees increase between 1975 and 2000) is attributable to man-made sources of greenhouse gases – principally, although by no means exclusively, carbon dioxide.
http://www.cps.org.uk/cpsfile.asp?id=641
Oh, and nevermind the 0.4 degree drop in temps that preceeded that. And, of course, it is 18 pages. I realize that's a lot to read.
Then there's the larger picture: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2006/11/05/nosplit/nwarm05.xml
Yes, they believe humans are
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:45 ET byYes, they believe humans are changing the climate. More than half. That is on the low side of estimates.
that's substantially differen
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:46 ET by gtinessthat's substantially different from the original assertion. SUBSTANTIALLY
which is at the very heart of these hearings and this discussion. the remaining 18 pages goes far beyond that though. show systematic distorting of historic climate data to fit a desired outcome...
why?
Well, the group you mention--
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:54 ET byWell, the group you mention--and I just checked them out--is a think tank, so I don't think they qualify as a scientific group. Yet, they still believe in a human component to the warming. That's informative.
and I'm not denying a potenti
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:59 ET by gtinessand I'm not denying a potential human component to the possiblity of global warming.
I'm merely suggesting that a true debate has been stuffed so far...with the help of media. that pamphlet (from a think tank) refers to information from many groups: scientific, economic, and political. In fact, it's titled, "the politics of climate change" or some such thing.
the telegraph article is...stunning. It shows the UN using 10 yr old, widely refuted climate models in it's LATEST report (among many other things). Why? And further, why is no major media outlet catching on to this?
how can one assess the validity of a global warming theory let alone human contribution in that context??
What about the opinion of a m
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:04 ET by fosstenWhat about the opinion of a meteorologist? Would that count in your book?
Think Tanks Not Smart??
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:11 ET by PSPCplI bet that there are more than a few scientists (who are members of some pretty heavy duty think tanks) who would take umbrage at that self-serving dis-qualification of their group efforts. Since when is how a group is organized and named make them more or less credible, e.g., The Union Of Concerned Scientists, The Sierra Club, etc., etc. If their work is scientifically sound, what does it matter how they are named?
bear in mind please
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:17 ET by tumblerBear this in mind:
The title of "scientist" is not a license to promote political agendas in the world at large. Not all "scientists" are even remotely acquainted with global warming "science". Or did you think it was their top common denominator? The vast majority of scientific minds are occupied in other fields. Only a small number of them are into "warming theory". And they have NOT reached agreement. It leaves but a smaller group pushing their views as fact. Against many others who call this science JUNK --
Almost all climate scientists
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:52 ET byAlmost all climate scientists agree on warming. Go to www.realclimate.org to see.
Throatwobbler, can I call you
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 17:06 ET by Ruths husband BenThroatwobbler, can I call you Throat? I feel like I know you. Listen, when I go into a room, I turn on the lights, turn up the thermostat (or down, depending on the season). What I mean, is that it is part of human nature to change the environment around us to suit our fancy. We don't have fur, do we? Well, not our own anyway. So, we are genetically predisposed to control our environment. Now furnaces were invented long before airconditioners, weren't they.
So, just think about it this way, mankind is learning how to turn up the global thermostat. Maybe in a couple of decades we will learn how to turn it down. Wallah! Central heating and Air for everyone! Surely a lib like you would agree that it is a right for everyone to live in the sublime comfort of perfect weather. Think of it as industries contribution to the common good.
Now you can relax and spend your time coming up with a screen name that is not so.... embarassing. Throatwobbler. You know, I know a guy named Carroll, but it wasn't his fault, his dad named him that. But you chose your screen name.
Well, it's actually a Monty P
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 17:31 ET byWell, it's actually a Monty Python reference.
By the way, you could be right, but what if we don't find a way to turn it down? This is being studied, so combating global warming does not equal killing the economy as some here people suggest. I am a capitalist and I like money. The thing is, if you replace your lightulbs with energy efficient ones, you save money. If you find ways to drive less, you become richer.
I'm sure we'll adapt, but the cost could be very great.
...
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:07 ET by MalcorOK bud, I'll go with ya for a sec... we'll pretend that Global Warming is caused only by humans instead of the dozens of other, natural causes (solar emissions, planetary climate cycles, modified emissions and greenhouse effects due to volcanic eruptions and erosions of areas containing various chemicals, etc, etc).
Assuming all this... what if? What if we don't find a way to turn it down? Beings as the planet has gone through at least a half dozen ice ages and their reverse on record, so what? It corrects its own cycles, as it always has before. Worrying that it won't, and actually believing it, will result in the Axtec-like belief that one must make 'sacrifices' else then sun won't rise again the next day (well, we know how that one ended up, don't we?). Primitive peoples went ages believing that the sun might not come up the next day unless God A defeated Obstacle B and the sun was brought back from Underworld C to warm the world again. And then they applied the same template to the seasons once it was fairly certain the days weren't to be worried about. Combating 'global warming' is simply a process of allowing the natural 'checks and balances' of the ecosystem re-assert themselves. No offense, but the modern Humanocentric Global Warming phase is little different than the previously-listed beliefs above, except that it's imposed on an even larger time frame... and by people who should know better.
And combating the non-existant Humanocentric Global Warming effects DOES work to ruin the economy. Again, look at Kyoto and the results of it, as well as which nations actually followed through (and to which it was applied). See something here? With such harsh restrictions, you can't honestly state that the economy wouldn't be effected. And then expecting only certain nations to do it while others are exempt? PLease.
We will adapt because we always do, and our species has hit the point of critical mass to where pretty much every other form of life would have to go extinct to drag us along with it. Personally, I'd rather bone up on personal survival skills in hotter climes than worry about a non-proven, absurd problem. At least then I come out of it a better person, as opposed to one who's wasted a significant chunk of lifetime and effort.
Malcor....Your last paragraph
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:47 ET by Clear thinkerMalcor....
Your last paragraph explains clearly, in a more civil manner than I can muster, concerning global warming/cooling/whatever, how I feel about the subject. Thanks!
...
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 17:47 ET by MalcorHumanocentric Global Warming is a humorous thought exercise, but nothing more. Come to think of it, I almost wish it were true... I'd like to turn up the thermostat by about, oh, ten degrees across the planet. Nice and toasty!
I still wonder about his response to global Martian warming, though.
Whoa. Real climate is Mann c
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 23:27 ET by danboWhoa. Real climate is Mann covering his own rear end and legacy.
Nothing but objective scientist there.
"Whoever undertakes to set himself up as a judge of truth and knowledge is shipwrecked by the laughter of the gods." Albert Einstein
You miss the important points
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 19:00 ET by NL207You miss the important points. Almost all scientists agree that it has gotten warmer in the last 35 years because we've accurately measured that its gotten warmer in the last 35 years. They do not agree on much else.
Not all scientists agree with Mann's tree ring extrapolation of temperature. Why? Because Mann's results are in conflict over several intervals with temperatures inferred by other methods such as ice cores, animal remains, plant remains, human records, etc.
Not all scientists agree that all of the warming of the last 35 years is attributable to CO2 increase.
Not all scientists agree that CO2 is responsible for the warming of the 20's and 30's.
Not all scientists agree that the magnitude of any human caused warming is dangerous. They don't even agree about what the magnitude of such warming might actually be.
realclimte.org is a pro-AGW scientist activist site. It is not impartial in the debate any more than the Union of Concerned Scientists is impartial. No scientist published there is going to be contrarian.
...
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:48 ET by MalcorMan... that sure blew holes in the 'all scientific groups agree' canard, didn't it? I especially like how you try to disqualify them with your opinions, but pipe in that they might have a chance of agreeing with a portion of your premise.
Way to represent science there.
Please explain how a partisan
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:54 ET byPlease explain how a partisan think tank is a scientific organization?
So Greenpeace is a scientific organization now?
...
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 17:49 ET by MalcorAt the exact same moment you explain how it is impossible for a scientific organization to be partisan.
But, I'll turn it around on you. The UN is partisan. The UN's organizations wrote your quoted TAR. Please explain how groups of partisan think tanks qualify as scientific organizations.
The UN also gave us food for
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 23:31 ET by danboThe UN also gave us food for oil.
"Whoever undertakes to set himself up as a judge of truth and knowledge is shipwrecked by the laughter of the gods." Albert Einstein
wobbler, if you are the one
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:50 ET by John in CAwobbler, if you are the one, which I suspect you are, moderating unsane's comments, then it's boorish behavior on your part. Unsane is pretty much a thoughtful, respected poster on NB'ers. Typically the posters who act trollish are the one's who get moderated to out of sight. Even thought most of the posters here disagree with your GW opinions, no one is moderating them out of sight.
Which, IMO, proves that you are a boorish bore.
Give a Democrat Party free America a chance!
I am. If he comments on the q
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 17:01 ET byI am. If he comments on the question, I have no problems. I have pointed out that he made a decent point upthread, but he continually insults and baits. That's what a troll does.
To guiltwobbler, its personal
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 17:51 ET by UnsaneNo, I have asked very simple questions and pointed out some very uncomfortable information. Of course, being human, I give in to my love of bitter, vitriolic sarcasm to make a point...but I am man enough to admit that failing. (Actually in the case of some Leftists it makes a rather strong point.)
Of course, you have NEVER insulted or baited ANYONE in the entire time you have been on NB, so I guess you are pretty much above the fray, aren't you?
I'll re-pose a question you have continued to avoid: what, in your mind, constitutes the United States "doing something" or "taking action" on global warming?
I eagerly anticipate your ignoring it, or getting others to ignore it by moderating the comment. Because to you, it's personal now. Sad.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
I remember you complaining wh
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 23:35 ET by danboI remember you complaining when you were moderated.
If you don't like someones opinion. Too bad. Don't read it.
I guess you 're on the side of censorship.
"Whoever undertakes to set himself up as a judge of truth and knowledge is shipwrecked by the laughter of the gods." Albert Einstein
Ignorance and prejudice go hand in hand
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 00:46 ET by UnsaneIndeed, guiltwobbler cannot stand the thought of having his religious dogma questioned at any cost. So instead of dealing with the counterarguments, he takes a chickensh*t way out. Typical Leftist: incapable of dealing with dissent.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
You are a liar. I never compl
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 09:45 ET byYou are a liar. I never complained when I was moderated. Prove it or STFU.
guiltwobbler: "I'd rather silence people who disagree with me"
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 13:57 ET by UnsaneIt is much easier to moderate comments and to run around calling people "liars" than debating, isn't it?
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
Pay no mind, stifling debate is what throatwobbler wants
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:00 ET by UnsaneWorry not about guiltwobbler "moderating" my comments. He is demonstrating what Leftists and GW dogmatists wish to do: stifle/suppress debate and opposing thoughts/ideas.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
http://www.aim.org/media_mo
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:38 ET by MightyMouthhttp://www.aim.org/media_monitor/A347_0_2_0_C/
"There are two types of people in this country; those who provide freedom and those who enjoy it." MM says...
dissent
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:46 ET by CelumnazOregon Institute of Science and Medicine?
I don't think they study the
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:50 ET byI don't think they study the climate.
Climate does not effect medical issues?
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:54 ET by UnsaneSo climate does not impact medical concerns?
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
climate group?
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:07 ET by Celumnazare you Sure they don't study the climate?
On the left of their site, under "Policy Declarations"
"scientists researching atmospheric and climate problems"
I've read stuff on SEPP that refutes it and the reports that supposedly prove it, from what I've seen, usually have portions that basically say "we don't really know".
Edit Note: "Policy Declarations" is on the SEPP site.
Edit Note 2: On the OSIM site it's under "communications" on the left
So are humans causing global
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:55 ET by fosstenSo are humans causing global warming on Mars too? That would undercut your argument significantly unless you can show how we are doing that.
TW, Why bother when you won't listen
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:59 ET by PSPCplWhat would be the point? You have accepted mand-made GW as a "fact" based on your beliefs. In other words, you have taken it on faith that GW has been caused by the actions of man and that nature has nothing to do with it. Yet you mention cylces.
So let me ask you a hypothetical (and obvious) question. Say that we do not emit GHGs and the earth was going through its cylce or warming and approaching the zenith of temperature associated with that cycle, what would you do to stop global warming?
Let ask you another hypothetical question. If we were appoaching an ice age, what would you do to stop it?
Finally, I will pose my last hypothetical (maybe) question. What if the underlaying cause of GW had nothing with anything that was occurring on this earth and everything to do with the amount of energy that the sun puts out? Given the existance of cycles in nature, I can't imagine why the amount of energy that the sun puts out does not vary over time.
YOU mention that there are such things as cycles in nature: if things in nature are cyclic, then we would have warming anyway and would have to face this issue at some point in the future. And after that, we would have a global cooling period, i.e., an ice age. And again, we would have to deal with that.
You can't have your cake and eat it too. There are either cycles or there are not. Since most of use agree that there are, we will have to deal with what nature brings either way.
tw,You appear to hold the opi
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:04 ET by Dave Rtw,
You appear to hold the opinion that when a scientist asserts something that it is somehow written in stone. That's crap. Scientists are, more or less, every bit as political as anyone else, and their scientific opinions can be influenced by their politics. In a perfect world, that shouldn't happen, but it does.
I know a few scientists. I have a couple in my family, including one way out at UCSF who has her very own lab. From 1989 to 1995 I was employed by one of the larger environmental engineering companies that existed in this country at that time. There were no less than 10 licensed geologists there, as well as biologists and a couple of other types. A few even had PhD's and one whose father wrote for the AJC. It was a very politically diverse crowd. Believe me, I worked, traveled and ate with these people for over five years, and I can tell you they rarely agreed on anything!
Global warming was discussed ad nauseam, and there was no agreement even there, except in one area. Far, far more study will be needed before any conclusions can be reached. In the context of geological time, humans have been present on this earth for about the length of a flashbulb going off. I'm talking a split second, if even that.
Climate change has been happening on this planet eons before we got here, and it will be going on long after we are gone. To say that man has even a fraction of the power to interfere with the climate of this planet in any significant way represents supreme arrogance.
if pigs could fly would we ca
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 20:16 ET by buddycif pigs could fly would we call them pigs? What would be a "statement of fact" if their were no objective proof, just computer projections, to prove it. You make a statement that is simply not true.
Liberals like to mix up the facts. Is the earth warming? Most scientists believe the earth is warming. I believe it is doing so in some places.
Just because most believe there is a warming does not equate to a consensus that man is the cause? I don't know, the scientists do not know, there is no "all scientific groups who study the climate agree". They don't agree on this.
Finally, if man is the cause why are the ice caps on mars receding? Might it be solar energy effecting mars and earth? Why is it colder where I live? What happened to all the hurricanes we were suppose to have? Why would ANYONE believe anything Al Gore says? What caused the earth to warm during the ancient periods of the dinasours. What caused the earth to warm after the most recent ice age? What is "normal" for the earth?
I have to come clean. I reall
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:42 ET by Ruths husband BenI have to come clean. I really do. This has been bothering me for quite some time and I want to get it off my chest:
It's me. Yes, I am the human being that is causing all this global warming. You see, I live in Missouri and, well frankly, it gets miserable cold here in the winter time. I thought, if I just expel a little more CO2 and methane (easy for me), I could get the temperature up, oh two more degrees in the winter time. I don't mind it so much in the summer as it is hot as hades anyway and I have a sprinkler.
Who knew ALL OF THE SCIENTIFIC GROUPS would notice!? I thought I would slip it by some of them. Boy, are those guys thorough! Good news though, I am cutting back on the beans and breathing as shallow as possible. I'm even practicing throat wobbling and hugging fur bearing creatures (although it really pissed that bobcat though). Baby steps, baby steps.
Things should return to normal in a year or two. Sorry for the inconvenience.
Ruth, Try Hugging Your Husband
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:30 ET by PSPCplStop trying to hug fur-bearing critters that can fight back. Go hug your husband. BTW, if you stop eating the beans, I bet you could get your husband to stop fighting you as well. LMAO at the humor. It was needed.
Thanks for the complement, bu
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:42 ET by Ruths husband BenThanks for the complement, but in the interest of full disclosure, I am a guy, the husband of Ruth aka Ruth's Ben (but I have had that fantasy). My personal opinion based on solid scientific fact (my father used to say it all the time) is that global warming is caused by kids leaving the back door open. I don't seem to have much of a problem with global warming as long as I don't run out of freon. Being progressive, I like to think locally but act globally.
Ben, My Bad
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:51 ET by PSPCplI apologize! Substitute in "wife" for "husband" and I guess it would be okay. Given my better half, I know she appreciates it when I limit my bean intake (as do her dopplegangers, my 13 yoa twin daughters).
You people in Missouri have n
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:40 ET by daveinbocaYou people in Missouri have nothing on the people in Wisconsin, who are even more environmentally delinquent than the Show-Me state: http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/200612/01/eng20061201_327245.html
Chinese can't drink milk and don't BBQ steaks on the barby, so they are ginning up a bunch of "scientists" to prove that cows should be illegal.
The Hindus will side with Wisconsin and cheese-eating surren... France and even the Alpine Swiss in fending off this anti-IndoEuropean cabal.
No, I live in the middle of c
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:50 ET by Ruths husband BenNo, I live in the middle of cattle country USA. Lots and lots of steakburgers here. And yes, those puppies can sure emit methane (makes me jealous).
I didn't know the Chinese can't drink milk (I can't either due to a milk alergy - makes me fart, well then again, I guess I can). The Chinese would probably love the Missouri state food though, pork steaks. My God, if there wasn't 9 inches of snow on the ground out there, I'd be barbequeing some right now.
Seriously, the Chinese don't eat steak because they've never had a ribeye that came from a corn feed steer that hung for 30 days. Get 'em hooked on that and they will give up their rice bowls in a heartbeat. If God didn't mean for us to eat animals, he wouldn't have made them out of meat!
!
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:54 ET by MalcorAh yes. Vegetables aren't food. Vegetables are what food eats!
Ben, PETA member and proud of it
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:55 ET by PSPCplI am a member of the Proud of Eating The Animals group here in PA. Our bumber sticker is "I Love Animals: They Taste Great!"
We have a similar group here
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 17:13 ET by Dave RWe have a similar group here in Atlanta known as People for the Eating of Tasty Animals. The only stipulation is that the meat has to be grilled on charcoal, as we feel that if God had intended for us to grill on gas, there would be propane tanks growing in trees.
Hunting and fishing? Not my thing. BUT!
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 17:58 ET by UnsaneIn spite of the fact that I am not a hunter or big on fishing (cardinal sins in AK),and in fact have needled people for engaging in such pursuits (why do that when you can go to the store and pay other people to kill the food for you?), I am a member of the AK Chapter...simply because even though I personally do not get the fascination with hunting and fishing, I refuse to prevent anyone who wants to do so from doing so, for this IS a free country...and besides, animals ARE in fact mighty tasty when grilled, BBQed or otherwise prepared.
As Jim Rome once said: "Being on top of the food chain rules!"
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
Talking about WI and being
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:59 ET by John in CATalking about WI and being emitters of GHG's, I was in Minnesota a couple of winters ago (is that too much of a leap?). So, it's about -20 before the windchill, which this CA boy had a tough time wrapping my brain around, and I go to the store. There in the parking lot are dozens of cars, all with exhaust coming out the tailpipe. A survival technique I presumed to keep their blocks from freezing up while they were in Wal Mart. And some self preservation so they'd have a warm interior to jump into.
Even here in the desert in the heat of summer, we don't keep our cars running to keep the interiors cool.
Maybe the answer to resolve global warming is to make everyone in cold weather climes to move to warmer locales. But then dammit, who would raist those great beef cattle, and grow all the corn, and just generally be the good upper midwest people that makes this country so great. Guess we'll just have to overlook those folks' survival techniques and let them keep their vehicles running during extreme cold weather...Carry on!
Give a Democrat Party free America a chance!
A great bumper sticker!
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:20 ET by UnsaneBumper sticker seen in Anchorage: ALASKANS FOR GLOBAL WARMING
(and since I am from TX, I fully understand your allergy to cold)
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
And just think how much eas
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:28 ET by John in CAAnd just think how much easier it would be to extract that oil from the Alaska tundra.
Give a Democrat Party free America a chance!
The cold CAN be your friend
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:38 ET by UnsaneIn some ways it is actually easier to do in subzero temps. The environmental damage the heavy machinery can do while traversing the tundra under such conditions is minimal - because the ice protects the fragile tundra surface. Test wells for oil can be drilled during these conditions and when the spring thaw comes, due to the ice shielding the tundra surface during those operations, you can barely notice anything happened there over the winter. The prime season for drilling operations in Deadhorse/Prudhoe Bay therefore is the dead of winter, not the summer months.
On a visit to Barrow, some way west of the oil fields and near the very northern tip of the United States, our tour guide was asked if the dead are buried in the winter or do they wait until spring. The comment was made that it is actually easier to do that during the winter months (though the specific reasoning escapes me at the moment).
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
Un, thanks. I kinda knew th
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:50 ET by John in CAUn, thanks. I kinda knew that after reading a pro drilling ANWR site. It was just sorta a throwaway line to rile liberals. You know, like drill everywhere, drill deep, drill often.
Give a Democrat Party free America a chance!
Thought you might have been uninitiated...
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 19:01 ET by UnsaneGotcha. I figured I'd post that, just in case...
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
Since the MSM toots the horn
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 15:53 ET by RunningBeerSince the MSM toots the horn for GW my first impression is that facts are surely being distorted. And if Al I invented the internet Gore is involved, that pretty much puts the quabaush on any expectation of hearing the truth.
While many scientists do agree there is some truth to GW, several reputable scientists strongly disagree with the notion that man is the prime contributor. They dispute even stronger that we can have any effect on changing what is primarily a natural phenomenon (which will change again like global cooling of the 70's)
I remember reading one pro GW report where they claimed more than 90% of worlds scientists are in agreement about GW. The interesting part is that nowhere near 90% of the world’s scientists do any research at all in the field of climate change. Go figure???
Yes, Al Bore does clinch the suspicion of complete BS
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:27 ET by daveinbocaThe High Church of GW does not permit latitudinarian dalliances with the scientific method. The Holy Curia of the Royal Academicides and pseudo-scientists like the inventor of the Information Highway and also the Lockbox, Earthtones Al Bore, have declared <em>ex cathedra</em> that whomsoever shall disagree with their exalted opinionations shall be subject to Inquisition and even "Windfall Taxes."
What used to be a democracy in DC is now evolving into a populist revival along the lines of Malthusian prophecies, Luddite wrecking crews, etc, as the WSJ opines:
<blockquote>environmentalists have been wrong about almost every other apocalyptic claim they've made: global famine, overpopulation, natural resource exhaustion, the evils of pesticides, global cooling, and so on. Perhaps it's useful to have a few folks outside the "consensus" asking questions before we commit several trillion dollars to any problem.</blockquote>
Often wrong but never in doubt, say the doctrinal heirs to Suslov in the old USSR and Cardinal Ottaviani in the ancient College of Cardinals. Or as the Wahhabis like to put it, <em>ijtihad</em>, their greatest enemy, as it is the Islamic struggle for the truth outside rigid categories defined by rigid strictures on independent thinking.
<a href="Richard">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Feynman">Richard Feynman</a> is possibly the most multi-talented Nobel Prize winner the US has ever produced, and is revered among seekers of truth as a prophet of the pitfalls of Big Science, which subsists on Big Problems. Feynman got his Nobel at 47, but went on to write peerless and eccentric analyses of the problems of science. His most famous, perhaps, was a lecture on what he called <a href=""Cargo">http://wwwcdf.pd.infn.it/~loreti/science.html">"Cargo Cult Science"</a> and here is an extract illustrating Feynman's point, amusingly, with a <strong>SENATOR</strong>, those revered fonts of utter integrity!:
<blockquote>I was a little surprised when I was talking to a friend who was going to go on the radio. He does work on cosmology and astronomy, and he wondered how he would explain what the applications of his work were. "Well", I said, "there aren't any". He said, "Yes, but then we won't get support for more research of this kind". I think that's kind of dishonest. If you're representing yourself as a scientist, then you should explain to the layman what you're doing -- and if they don't support you under those circumstances, then that's their decision.
One example of the principle is this: If you've made up your mind to test a theory, or you want to explain some idea, you should always decide to publish it whichever way it comes out. If we only publish results of a certain kind, we can make the argument look good. We must publish BOTH kinds of results.
I say that's also important in giving certain types of government advice. Supposing a senator asked you for advice about whether drilling a hole should be done in his state; and you decide it would be better in some other state. If you don't publish such a result, it seems to me you're not giving scientific advice. You're being used. If your answer happens to come out in the direction the government or the politicians like, they can use it as an argument in their favor; if it comes out the other way, they don't publish at all. That's not giving scientific advice........So I have just one wish for you -- the good luck to be somewhere where you are free to maintain the kind of integrity I have described, and where you do not feel forced by a need to maintain your position in the organization, or financial support, or so on, to lose your integrity. May you have that freedom.</blockquote>"
Back then, big science was able to get to the moon in no time flat. Feynman had a famous argument with NASA, one of the perps in the current Big Science call for GW Kyoto Kabuki. NASA had tested the O-rings and other paraphrenalia on its Shuttles and predicted that one out of 100.000 flights would be catastrophic.... Feynman had done his own calculations and predicted one out of fifty. So far, two catastrophic accidents out of 116 Shuttle flights. Who's more reliable? Feynman, or the frauds at NASA who will say anything and pose as scientists to get impostors like Rockefeller and Snowe to take their political agenda seriously.
Feynman's punch line is as follows:
<blockquote>Nature's phenomena will agree or they'll disagree with your theory. And, although you may gain some temporary fame and excitement, you will not gain a good reputation as a scientist if you haven't tried to be very careful in this kind of work. And it's this type of integrity, this kind of care not to fool yourself, that is missing to a large extent in much of the research in cargo cult science.</blockquote>
The fake science at NASA behind Shuttle reliability killed two crews. The Global Warming fiasco these fraudulent impostors, who incidentally want to erase The Middle Age Warming Period as irrelevant or even statistically unprovable, are akin to the professor at the University of Wisconsin who says the that 9/11 was a US/Israeli plot. Pretty soon he might have as many believers as the Royal Academicides and the NASA Shuttle Reliablity cult have on Global Warming.
<a href="Extraordinary">http://www.litrix.com/madraven/madne001.htm">Extraordinary Delusions and the Madness of Crowds</a> is online in its entirety, and I would commend the gentle reader if he simply clicks the link. Here's the first line in English:
<blockquote>"In reading the history of nations, we find that, like individuals, they have their whims and their peculiarities; their seasons of excitement and recklessness, when they care not what they do. We find that whole communities suddenly fix their minds upon one object, and go mad in its pursuit; that millions of people become simultaneously impressed with one delusion, and run after it, till their attention is caught by some new folly more captivating than the first."</blockquote>
Yes, it does read a bit like Gibbons <em>Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire</em>. But come to think of it, the delirious supporters of Global Warming hysteria have much the same agenda for the United States economic system.
Dave, Just Brilliant
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 16:44 ET by PSPCplThe problem is that Throat Wobbler will never accept anything that disagrees with his faith. He is a zealot and as such poses as much danger to us as any Islamo-fascist, Nazi, or COmmunist.
Okay, only Serious answers pl
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 17:22 ET byOkay, only Serious answers please.
1. All scientific organizations who study the cliamte agree that GW is real and human caused. Is it "media bias" to report this fact? Is it "media bias" to refer to this as a "consensus" in the standard meaning of "general agreement"?
I contend it is not bias, because this is a fact.
To disagree, it seems you have to believe either:
A> There is a scientific organization that studies the climate that does not support AGW.
---This is unsupported by any evidence I've seen. I'm open to finding a scientific organization that disagrees, but no one has shown one. I have shown a list of the major organizations, so A seems to be unreasonable.
B> The media should report minority views out of proportion to their influence in the debate.
---This is harder to disprove, but it would be unreasonable to offer minority opinion on a cancer story, for example, unless that story was specifically about minority scientific opinion.
C> Somehow the organizations quash a massive disagreement and publish these statements anyway.
---I would imagine a lot more scientists would come forward. A few have, no doubt. But we're talking a couple dozen or so across all scientific groups. This one seems to be unreasonable. Where are the the skeptics?
D> Scientific groups make this claim to keep the $$$ coming in.
---Well, this would be a conspiracy theory, and requires a high burden of proof on the one making the argument. Fraud on this massive a scale would be hard to hide.
There are probably more objections, but I think I've made my point.
I'd rather be warm than cold
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 17:35 ET by RackieAll this seems to prove Rudin's Law - " In crises that force people to choose among courses of action, most people will choose the worst one possible."
Okay, a serious answer: I g
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 17:52 ET by Ruths husband BenOkay, a serious answer: I googled "are there any scientific groups that don't believe global warming is caused by man?" and guess what, if you sort through the schaff of hits, you find out that there are some. Quite a few in fact.
Here's two links:
http://www.motherjones.com/news/feature/2005/05/some_like_it_hot.html
http://www.cato.org/pubs/regulation/regv15n2/reg15n2g.html
Now of course motherjones trashes these groups as just being funded by big oil (hiss, boo!). But if you are serious, you know that, being funded by big oil doesn't mean they are wrong, it just means they have money. Money is good for many things, including doing research.
I am not going to continue with this discussion, because I need to get some work done today, but it is clear that not everyone agrees that:
1. global warming is really happening.
2. man is responsible
3. that it is necessarily a bad thing.
Of course everyone who has those beliefs is either stupid (because they don't agree with the tree-hugging self haters or is owned by big money. It can't be because they just disagree. That being so, it makes sense to deny them a seat in the marketplace of ideas, instead it is better to run hysterically off an evolutionary cliff like lemmings. End of my seriousness. It is giving me a neck-ache and taking the fun out of reading and posting on this blog.
Oh, and I am not too familiar with Monty Python, more of a Three Stooges fan.Thanks for the serious respon
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 20:07 ET byThanks for the serious response.
The groups listed by mother jones are reffered to as "piblic policy" groups, os they would be the equivilent of Greenpeace. Thay may have sceintist members, but they are not the same as something like NOAA or the AGU.
I never said "everyone agrees" so that point is well taken. BUt the vast majority do agree.
Mnay of the critics of AGW use contradictory evidence and tedious, repetitve arguments to "refute" AGW. Scientists get tired of debunking these claims again and again, so that is why there is such animosity against critics. There are a few who appear to be sincere, but there is a powerful lobby against doing anything about climate change.
AS to your point below about the "lone man" having more success at science, as I pointed out earlier, this does happen. But for every Einstein there are a thousand or more people pushing their own theories that don't make any sense. People only pay attention when they are proven right, which is almost never.
throatwobbler,Tell me when an
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 20:25 ET by Barberianthroatwobbler,
Tell me when and where these scientists debunked Khylyuk and Chilingar et al 2006.
Tell me when and where these scientists debunked Larson and Clark et al 2006.
Tell me when and where these scientists debunked Svenmark et al 2006.
Pray tell us, inquiring minds want to know!
The Crickets are chirpping....
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 20:33 ET by Guy Arthur ThomasI think the Crickets will continue chirpping while wobbler searches for an answer.
: )
If you claim to be a conservative, please don't disgrace yourself and conservatism by thinking and arguing like a liberal.
........yeeeesssssss?
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 20:38 ET by BarberianI hope the long silence is due to vigorous researching.......not!
The voices in his head have
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 20:38 ET by Jack BauerThe voices in his head have taken a coffee break.
Proud member of the all-powerful and vast
militarist/industrialist/capitalist/zionist-bagelist complex
Well, I don't know about the
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 21:21 ET byWell, I don't know about the first two, but I'm familiar with the Svensmark paper. Here's what RealClimate has to say about it:
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2006/10/taking-cosmic-rays...
The major problem seems to be that there's no trend in cosmic rays to explain the warming by this vehicle. And the vehicle has lots of questions to be resolved. And there are many other concerns, as a co-author of that paper seems to agree in the comments section.
It's interesting that those who dispose of Hansen's body of work going back two decades are eager to jump on the first Danish paper that meets their ideological view.
Very good, a response!
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 21:45 ET by BarberianThe flaw in your response from Climate Science was their statement that Svensmark stated that this was the answer to all the past climate occilations. That is false and is not stated in the original. The fact that the Royal Society (one you yourself tout as a reputable publication) reported on it contridicts some of your earlier premises of their total agreement on AGW. You cited an opinion not born of scientific scrutiny.
What about the other two.
Furthermore, can you cite any websites other that Real Climate to support your claims. Why not try CO2 Science, Climate Science or World Climate Report?
It was stated in the press re
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 22:00 ET byIt was stated in the press release that GCRs affected "everyday climate" which is certainly not proven by the lab experiment. Not even close.
The Royal Society published it because it's an interesting and possibly valuable experiment, but, as Real CLimate points out, the claims in the press release (and those taken up by AGW contrarians) are exaggerated.
Real CLimate are actual climate scientists. Most others do not have websites because they publish in the literature, unlike most contrarians.
I'm not familiar with the others, but CO2science rpeatedly misrepresnts surface temp records and their write ups of climate articles differ--sometimes wildly--from the published abstracts and papers. No thank you.
Oh and I couldn't find the other citations, do you have them right? In any case, I'm not going to debunk every paper you throw at me. A paper (or ten) debunking them will come out soon enough (if they are wrong).
Start Debunking
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 22:12 ET by BarberianAgain Real Climate stated an opinion that was contested in the comments after. Seems to me the jury still out. There is a lot of consensus on atmospheric aerosols and cloud formation and it importance on the earths climate swings. Some are man made and some are naturally occuring. Along with land use/land cover and their effects on land temperature having a much greater effect than CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere.
As for the other two, still no reply and yes I do have them right. Start debunking.
Broaden your search habits.
They link to the press releas
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 22:24 ET byThey link to the press release. Look first, then post.
You mispelled the Khilyuk and Chilingar paper, genius. You also misspelled Svensmark. And then you chastise me for not finding it in time? Wow. Typical of this site though.
Don't you guys ever get embarassed when you get all indignant and then I show you are wrong?
Much easier to moderate than respond rationally
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 00:52 ET by UnsaneHow can you embarrass anyone by showing them they are wrong when you have yet to show any of us that we are wrong?
Oh, and on NB, the instant you call out someone's spelling, you lose the argument. It is an indication that you have nothing of substance left to argue. Which in your case is understandable. After Hanson, IPCC, some organizations (individual opinions are irrelevant to you unless of course you agree with them) and realclimate.org (a source that is beyond proper evaluation), what else do you have other than jumping up and down like a five-year-old screaming "I'm right and you're wrong!!!"?
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
Moron, It's not the spelling.
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 09:51 ET byMoron, It's not the spelling. I misspell all the time. It's him saying "Of course I got it right" and then I find out he made a mistake. Did he even check to see if he had made a mistake? No. And then he chastises me for not immediately finding the paper HE misspelled.
I'm really not surprised you can't grasp this concept.
Maybe he misspelled the paper on purpose. It is so bad. So very bad.
Moderating comments, TW's weak attempt at censorship
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 14:06 ET by UnsaneTemper, temper...look, I know that you are positively enraged that people just might disagree with you, and that you demand that evenryone immediately agree with you universally, but really, could you dispense with the middle school insults? I could care less about me, but it is saying much more about you.
Nonetheless, you don't call out spelling and grammar on NB. You know this. All it means is that you have nothing left to argue.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
"Nonetheless, you don't call
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 14:53 ET by"Nonetheless, you don't call out spelling and grammar on NB. You know this. All it means is that you have nothing left to argue. "
You are an absolute fucking moron. Or a lying asshole. Either way.
I'm not enraged. I'm laughing at you actually.
A question for guiltwobbler, and a bit of chiding
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 15:04 ET by UnsaneI am laughing even HARDER. I have truly gotten under you skin and supremely rattled your cage, and it shows with you coming up with your profanity-laced diatribe.
Temper, temper...
Keep getting angrier. I disagree with you. And I'm not going away. Neither are the other posters on here. And instead of spewing forth profanity as if it makes the point for you:
Try answering basic questions. Like the following: You say you are interested in getting the United States to "do something" about global warming. What constitutes "doing something" in your eyes? What constitutes "taking action"?
I would add my other usual litany of questions, but as it apparently would give you an aneurysm, I'll keep them away from you for now as I genuinely care about your health, even if I think you debate poorly.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
unsane --You are an absolut
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 15:09 ET by Jack Bauerunsane --
You are an absolute f+++++g moron. Or a lying a+++++e. Either way. I'm not enraged.
LOL -- no, one of our pet trolls doesn't sound even the tadest enraged does he?
Has anyone ever stroked out whilst blogging?
They're coming to take him away ha ha, to the funny farm --
Proud member of the all-powerful and vast
militarist/industrialist/capitalist/zionist-bagelist complex
On guiltwobbler - will he try to moderate this post?
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 15:20 ET by UnsaneJack, I think he was pretty close. If I had posted my standard critical thinking questions on global warming - you know, the ones he consistently dismisses because the answers, and indeed the way I came up with them does not agree with his world view - I am positive that would have done it.
So much for me not being compassionate.
Seriously, this is what zealotry gets you. He needs to calm down, learn to laugh a little, and stop having such a one-track mind on global warming. On an earlier thread he accused me of having no life; at least I read on various topics other than global warming, I have traveled, and I hang out with vast quantities of other people. What hobbies does he have that do not tie in to global warming?
:-)
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
I am laughing. Seriously. The
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 20:32 ET byI am laughing. Seriously. The public gets it. The media gets it. The scientific community gets it. Democrats get it. A lot of Republicans get it. Does it really matter if the bottom feeders at an ultraconsevrative site like this don't get it? No, in fact it helps. Because the world will keep getting warmer. The predictions will be borne out (as Hansen's have so far) and the credibility of the contrarians will sink. That is a good thing.
Mix it with the fact that a big oil supported senator is getting the boot from his chairmanship and I'm quite happy with the prospect of action.
So, deny away!
Why are you constantly asking about my hobbies? Do you have a man-crush on me? Gross.
Science is a popularity contest guys!!! - Guiltwobbler
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 21:53 ET by UnsaneWell, why did YOU ask about my hobbies on a previous thread? Would it be safe to say that YOU have a man-crush on me?
(Nah. guiltwobbler is the nicest, sweetest human being on the board, as well as the greatest scientist of all time. He would NEVER attack anyone's credibility, insult anyone, or hurt a single little flea. He is naturally just minding his own business when everyone overnight decides it would be a great idea to pick on poor, defenseless guiltwobbler.)
And why can't you answer a simple question: since you have clearly established that science is not a search for the truth but a popularity contest (can these same groups of people vote away the validity of Kepler's Three Laws of Planetary Motion, or the existence of the Cassini Division, or...etc etc etc.)...
What constitutes taking action to you? When you say you want the United States to "do something", what do you want to happen?
And what say you about proven instances when the consensus was successfully shot down by other individuals who saw a different way that ultimately turned out to be right?
And you wonder why I call you a dogmatist, why I say you are overwhelmingly consumed with guilt, and above all, as the post I am responding to indicates, that you HATE science with a passion?
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
OKay this my absolute last po
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 22:18 ET byOKay this my absolute last post. Here is a passage from the Khilyuk and Chilingar paper:
The total anthropogenic carbon dioxide emission throughout the human history is estimated at about 2.81•10^11 metric tons of carbon. Recalculating this amount into the total anthropogenic carbon dioxide emission in grams of CO2, one obtains the estimate 1.003•10^18 g, which constitutes less than 0.00022% of the total CO2 amount naturally degassed from the mantle during geologic history. Comparing these figures, one can conclude that anthropogenic carbon dioxide emission is negligible (indistinguishable) in any energy-matter transformation processes changing the Earth’s climate.
Are they kdding? They compare human CO2 emission with the historic emission of the planet? This is a joke, and the fact that you cite this as a paper worth debunking shows just how short the contrarian crowd is on real science.
Are they kidding?
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 22:27 ET by BarberianYou are truely pathetic. This is how all of you respond to that which you don't want to hear. Crawl back under your rock, the sky is falling!
Hey, you are the one who endo
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 10:01 ET byHey, you are the one who endorsed this "paper" When someone criticizes it, you say "that's how all of you respond". Show me how it is relevant that human emissions are tiny compared to natural CO2 emission thorughout geologic time? No scientist questions whether the CO2 rise is man made. It's easily provable by basic chemistry.
Moderating the comment: a poor form of censorship, TW...
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 01:00 ET by UnsaneYou have zero room to talk about real science when you so religiously cling to GW as dogma, as if it is a security blanket. At least those of us here who take the time to respond to your posts have our thinking caps on and critical thinking mode fully engaged.
YOU are the one who so passionately, deeply hates science that you are dismissive of other's questions, research, papers, and observations when you yourself have admitted you are not a scientist at all. If you had your way, judging by your behavior and comments, you would love to more viciously suppress, censor, silence, and exterminate all of those who might disagree with you even a little tiny bit. Why you must behave this way I cannot understand.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
Oh and one last parting shot.
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:05 ET by Ruths husband BenOh and one last parting shot. If history has shown anything it is that the mob is generally wrong. One lone man is more likely to be right, one voice rising above the crowd is more likely to be sane. That is why "million man marches" don't mean much to me. Or huge demonstrations. Oh, when the evening news asks everyone to log in or text message a survey "is global warming really happening?"
Being right is not a poll, an election, a majority rules type of thing. It is just being right. I have lived through many impending disasters. Perhaps this one is real. Well it is a shame that the scientific community shot its respectability wad with me back during the "Jupiter effect" days. Dioxin, secondhand smoke being worse than actually smoking, getting hit by a meteorite, aluminum causes alsheimers, and all the other issues that had great scientific consensus in their time.
I wonder if twenty years from now, you are going to be willing to admit that THEY were full of bull. No, probably you'll be wailing about the next "end of the world" scenerio.
Electrical lines and electromagnetic fields
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:15 ET by UnsaneRemember about 10-15 years ago the argument that electromagnetic fields present around high voltage power lines caused cancer?
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
And on today's Drudge repor
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:20 ET by John in CAAnd on today's Drudge report on cell phone cancer. A 21 year study shows no connection between cell phone use and cancer.
Give a Democrat Party free America a chance!
This gives me an idea... let'
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:53 ET by Clear thinkerThis gives me an idea... let's start a rumor that liberalism causes Cancer.
Liberalism causes Cancer
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:56 ET by BarberianI know the perfect way to apply radiation treatment.
Liberalism may not cause ca
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 19:14 ET by John in CALiberalism may not cause cancer. But it sure gives me heartburn.
Give a Democrat Party free America a chance!
heartburn
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 19:17 ET by BarberianThat is your body's natural defenses kicking in.
Wait a minute.... does anyone
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 17:36 ET by Clear thinkerWait a minute.... does anyone really care if GW is helped along by humans?
We (and a few dozen generations ahead of us) will all be dead by the time it effects the earth to a point where it would become unlivable. And, keep in mind that the earth will someday be unlivable anyway. Why else would SCIENTISTS want to find other planets to colonize?
This subject gets tiresome. If I were throatwobbler I would be more concerned with terrorists aquiring nukes!
A story or a "scientific cons
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 17:56 ET by StonefingersA story or a "scientific consensus" doesn't have to be factual: it only has to be sensational, for the MSM to "cover" it. That's how they sell newspapers and magazines, and attract TV viewers and radio listeners.
The current debate reminds me of George Orwell's 1984: "Oceania is at war with ________________; Oceania has always been at war with _______________."
This global warming fad is just another case of "chicken little journalism."
Here's just one article about GLOBAL COOLING from the same people who are now bringing us global warming...enjoy!
From a June 24, 1974 Time Magazine article entitled: "Another Ice Age?"
As they review the bizarre and unpredictable weather pattern of the past several years, a growing number of scientists are beginning to suspect that many seemingly contradictory meteorological fluctuations are actually part of a global climatic upheaval. However widely the weather varies from place to place and time to time, when meteorologists take an average of temperatures around the globe they find that the atmosphere has been growing gradually cooler for the past three decades. The trend shows no indication of reversing. Climatological Cassandras are becoming increasingly apprehensive, for the weather aberrations they are studying may be the harbinger of another ice age.
Telltale signs are everywhere —from the unexpected persistence and thickness of pack ice in the waters around Iceland to the southward migration of a warmth-loving creature like the armadillo from the Midwest.Since the 1940s the mean global temperature has dropped about 2.7° F. Although that figure is at best an estimate, it is supported by other convincing data. When Climatologist George J. Kukla of Columbia University's Lamont-Doherty Geological Observatory and his wife Helena analyzed satellite weather data for the Northern Hemisphere, they found that the area of the ice and snow cover had suddenly increased by 12% in 1971 and the increase has persisted ever since. Areas of Baffin Island in the Canadian Arctic, for example, were once totally free of any snow in summer; now they are covered year round.
Scientists have found other indications of global cooling. For one thing there has been a noticeable expansion of the great belt of dry, high-altitude polar winds —the so-called circumpolar vortex—that sweep from west to east around the top and bottom of the world. Indeed it is the widening of this cap of cold air that is the immediate cause of Africa's drought. By blocking moisture-bearing equatorial winds and preventing them from bringing rainfall to the parched sub-Sahara region, as well as other drought-ridden areas stretching all the way from Central America to the Middle East and India, the polar winds have in effect caused the Sahara and other deserts to reach farther to the south. Paradoxically, the same vortex has created quite different weather quirks in the U.S. and other temperate zones. As the winds swirl around the globe, their southerly portions undulate like the bottom of a skirt. Cold air is pulled down across the Western U.S. and warm air is swept up to the Northeast. The collision of air masses of widely differing temperatures and humidity can create violent storms—the Midwest's recent rash of disastrous tornadoes, for example.
Sunspot Cycle. The changing weather is apparently connected with differences in the amount of energy that the earth's surface receives from the sun. Changes in the earth's tilt and distance from the sun could, for instance, significantly increase or decrease the amount of solar radiation falling on either hemisphere—thereby altering the earth's climate. Some observers have tried to connect the eleven-year sunspot cycle with climate patterns, but have so far been unable to provide a satisfactory explanation of how the cycle might be involved.
Man, too, may be somewhat responsible for the cooling trend. The University of Wisconsin's Reid A. Bryson and other climatologists suggest that dust and other particles released into the atmosphere as a result of farming and fuel burning may be blocking more and more sunlight from reaching and heating the surface of the earth.
Climatic Balance. Some scientists like Donald Oilman, chief of the National Weather Service's long-range-prediction group, think that the cooling trend may be only temporary. But all agree that vastly more information is needed about the major influences on the earth's climate. Indeed, it is to gain such knowledge that 38 ships and 13 aircraft, carrying scientists from almost 70 nations, are now assembling in the Atlantic and elsewhere for a massive 100-day study of the effects of the tropical seas and atmosphere on worldwide weather. The study itself is only part of an international scientific effort known acronymically as GARP (for Global Atmospheric Research Program).
Whatever the cause of the cooling trend, its effects could be extremely serious, if not catastrophic. Scientists figure that only a 1% decrease in the amount of sunlight hitting the earth's surface could tip the climatic balance, and cool the planet enough to send it sliding down the road to another ice age within only a few hundred years.
The earth's current climate is something of an anomaly; in the past 700,000 years, there have been at least seven major episodes of glaciers spreading over much of the planet. Temperatures have been as high as they are now only about 5% of the time. But there is a peril more immediate than the prospect of another ice age. Even if temperature and rainfall patterns change only slightly in the near future in one or more of the three major grain-exporting countries—the U.S., Canada and Australia —global food stores would be sharply reduced. University of Toronto Climatologist Kenneth Hare, a former president of the Royal Meteorological Society, believes that the continuing drought and the recent failure of the Russian harvest gave the world a grim premonition of what might happen. Warns Hare: "I don't believe that the world's present population is sustainable if there are more than three years like 1972 in a row."
On today's Open Thread ther
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:06 ET by John in CAOn today's Open Thread there is a reference in the post about the letter one of the Maine Twins and Jay Rockefeller wrote to a Big Oil Company threatening them over their anti-global warming stance.
I find it rather ironic that a Rockefeller is threatening Big Oil. Of course, there is probably a bulk of American's who don't get the connection - and we can be fairly certain the driveby media won't point it out.
Give a Democrat Party free America a chance!
Nationalization is the answer!
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:29 ET by UnsaneMaybe we should ask the man who got his fortune from inheritances from his forefathers who founded Standard OIL (broken up in 1911 in a famous landmark Supreme Court case!) to put forth a bill to nationalize the entire U.S. oil industry. Wouldn't that just solve EVERYTHING? Works for PEMEX in Mexico!
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
And since profit and wealth
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:32 ET by John in CAAnd since profit and wealth from Big Oil is obviously profiteering, gouging and ill gotten, we should demand that the Rockefeller fortune be completely returned to the American people.
Give a Democrat Party free America a chance!
Better yet, if Jay Rockefelle
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:35 ET by Clear thinkerBetter yet, if Jay Rockefeller feels so strongly about the evils of big oil he should give up all monies that had their roots in big oil. Oh, but then he would be broke, too bad sucka!
Liberals... silly people, and hypocrites too.
clear -- Being lectured to about BIG
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 20:36 ET by Jack Bauerclear -- Being lectured to about BIG OIL by a Rockefeller is like being chastised about BIG BLOOD by a Dracula.
You could almost admire the chutzpah if he wasn't such a sanctimonious, patrician, effete prick.
Proud member of the all-powerful and vast
militarist/industrialist/capitalist/zionist-bagelist complex
Geez, Jack....To quote my fri
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 20:53 ET by BlondeGeez, Jack....
To quote my friend Pesky....
"You're killing me".
Laughing. Out loud!
Liberals GO BACK TO YOUR HOLE IN THE GROUND
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:09 ET by sandy1157It amazes me that liberals feel the need to come to conservative websites to try and push their agendas on us. I'm sick of them all. As for GW, come on we have heard this crap for as long as I can remember and heard its the end of the world as we know it by fear mongers since I was in grade school and I'd bet who ever the liberal is on here trying to push their liberal agendas on us thinks we're all a bunch of hay seeds and uneducated, THINK AGAIN GOOD BUDDY. I went through medical school with a GPA of a 3.9 on a 4.0 scale so think again. My English isn't that great but I still managed a 3.9 in English in every year of college but I'm southern and don't give a fig what liberals think about my bad English. Kisten push your crap on one of your liberal sites. If we wanted a liberal opinion we'd turn on the news! I don't know about others on this site but I'm sick of hearing ANYTHING FROM LIBERALS AND IF I EVEN WANTED TO LISTEN TO YOUR AGENDAS I"D GO TO THE DARK SIDE AND JOIN YOUR IDIOT PARTY BUT THANK GOD I'M NOT INSANE! I'm happy to see my fellow Republicans on this site stand up to liberals who find the need to come here on our turf and try and push their political agendas on us. We need more Republicans like the ones who write here on this site to stand up and get a back bone and stop taking the liberals bull crap!
What a relief. You went to
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:14 ET by John in CAWhat a relief. You went to med school, so at least you can type here and we can read what you wrote...:)
Give a Democrat Party free America a chance!
On your "turf"? W
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:14 ET by balboaOn your "turf"?
What is this, "The Outsiders"?
Look, you don't have to read dissenting opinions if you don't want to. Just skip them. Or go to a website that doesn't allow dissenting opinions, Soda Pop.
Turf?
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:43 ET by UnsaneDepends, balboa...you one of the "greasers" or the "socs"? :-)
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." -Sir Winston Churchill, British statesman (1874-1965)
Neither. I was the kid who on
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 19:18 ET by balboaNeither. I was the kid who on Monday morning at school said "Hey where were you guys? I couldn't find youse anywheres."
sandy1157....Remember libs look up to us orthodox thinkers
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 20:16 ET by Guy Arthur ThomasTake it as a compliment. Most libs and super libs know that their kind don't listen to each other nor participate in reasonable or intellectually honest discovery so they come here where grown-ups can be found. They are kind of like children fighting against what they know is true and authoritative but have yet to mature enough to accept it because their juvenille egos still control their need to debate what they know and understand to be the truth. But eventually some mature and come to the light.
If you claim to be a conservative, please don't disgrace yourself and conservatism by thinking and arguing like a liberal.
Calm down. Write yourself a p
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 20:45 ET byCalm down. Write yourself a precription for a smile!
Ooop you lied, you said abo
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 02:19 ET by liberal_bug_zapperOoop you lied, you said above that "THAT" was your absolute last post..... shame.... for shame....... he he he.
Seriously, you need to be more inquisitive. You don't question your dogma; you embrace it and condemn anyone who questions it. You scream (or write in bold) that we are heretics and you probably agree that anyone with influence who agrees with us should be put on trial "Nuremburg style".
Climate change is happening. Is it man made? No one has shown that with any reliable certainty. And not one climate model is reliable except as a rough estimate, and none have been able to predict the real climate change that has happened over the last 50 years, they’re quite far off.
Oh yeah, I forgot...making se
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:19 ET by StonefingersOh yeah, I forgot...making sensational scientific claims is a popular way for a "scientist" to stand out from the rest of the pack, attract the attention of pressure groups with agendas and money to spend, and GET FUNDED...or write books...or produce a movie.
Latest discovery...global warming is caused by...hanging chads!
It's Al Gore's "get even" strategy!
Since this another Senator
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 18:22 ET by John in CASince this is another Senator Inhofe effort, I just want to say to the Sooners on NB'ers how envious I am of you having two great Senators like Inhofe and Coburn.
Give a Democrat Party free America a chance!
Global Warming is a f
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 19:56 ET by james789Global Warming is a fact. Look at what was once the greenest, lushest spot on the planet 4500 years ago, over the coarse of roughly 1500 years this spot became the Sahara desert without any help from CO-2 spewing SUV's. 500 years ago, it was thought that Earth was the center of the universe. And today in the skys over Nashville, TN, FLATULENCE forced an emergency landing of an American Airlines flight bound for Dallas, TX.
If elected, I vow to repeal the 17th Amendment, change the
minimum military enlistment age to the minimum drinking age and push for term
limits for all politicians in federal government.
Fact
Tue, 12/05/2006 - 20:10 ET by BarberianThe aliens that built the sphinx and the great pyramids used enormous fossil fuel burning earth moving equipment and their upper management and entertainers drove hummers and diesel burning flying saucers.
The aliens that built the sph
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 20:21 ET by Jack BauerThe aliens that built the sphinx and the great pyramids
Damn those illegals, and their little green card men.
Proud member of the all-powerful and vast militarist/industrialist/capitalist/zionist-bagelist complex
Given that the whole reason f
Wed, 12/06/2006 - 00:09 ET by idahoguyGiven that the whole reason for the global warming hype is to push a socialist/redistributionist/punish america agenda, let's just concede that man-caused global warming is a reality. Fine. Now let's debate how to solve the problem. (sigh).
I propose cutting US government expenditures by 50%. Across the board. Eliminate the income tax. Close the borders. Deport the illegals. Overturn Roe v Wade. Privatize social security. Eliminate race-based preferences. Eliminate the minimum wage. Use jihadist profiling at airports. (sigh).
According to most liberals I hear from, these things would bring a swift end to American civilization as we know it. And getting rid of America would, of course, cut our consumption of those naughty fossil fuels. (sigh).