NBC Nightly News anchor Brian Williams ended his newscast from Amman Thursday night with "a confession." Williams acknowledged: "We got something wrong. It wasn't just us. It was everyone in the news media and the folks in the federal government who are supposed to be the experts at predicting hurricanes. You may recall the dire predictions." Williams showed a clip from May of himself worrying about whether New Orleans was "ready" for another hurricane. He then reminded viewers of how the forecast was for "between eight and 10 hurricanes and half of those would be major, we were told, meaning at least Category 3."
Williams pointed out: "Well, the season officially ended today back home, and we are happy to report, what did happen, turns out, wasn't even close. There were only nine named storms, not 16 of them. Five hurricanes, none of them making landfall in the U.S. And only two of the storms, Gordon and Helene, were strong enough to be called anything close to major."
Now, will other journalists -- who eagerly hyped the dire forecasts for the first hurricane season after Katrina -- follow Williams' lead?
Dan Gainor of the MRC's Business & Media Institute penned a commentary this week, "Hurricane Hype Clouds Warming Debate: Despite wild weather predictions and warnings about global warming, media must watch quiet season blow by," with a look back at some of the media hype.
The MRC's Brad Wilmouth corrected the closed-captioning against the video for the recognition by Williams at the end of the November 30 NBC Nightly News from Amman, Jordan:
"Finally tonight, we have a confession. We got something wrong. It wasn't just us. It was everyone in the news media and the folks in the federal government who are supposed to be the experts at predicting hurricanes. You may recall the dire predictions. It was earlier this year, the night of May 31st. We were broadcasting from New Orleans that night on the eve of the 2006 Atlantic storm season. And this is how we opened the broadcast that night."Williams, from outside in New Orleans on May 31: "Good evening, and we are indeed back in New Orleans tonight because this is the eve of the start of the 2006 hurricane season. Along the way, we hope to answer the question: Are they ready for another one?"
Williams, back on live: "Well, the point was our country just couldn't afford another awful hurricane season. And the predictions, you'll recall, were dire. According to those government forecasters, as many as 16 different named storms were potentially headed our way -- between eight and 10 hurricanes and half of those would be major, we were told, meaning at least Category 3. Well, the season officially ended today back home, and we are happy to report, what did happen, turns out, wasn't even close. There were only nine named storms, not 16 of them. Five hurricanes, none of them making landfall in the U.S. And only two of the storms, Gordon and Helene, were strong enough to be called anything close to major. The reason, those forecasters say, the El Nino effect, a warming of ocean waters that makes a big difference in all that tropical storm activity. And for the record, by the way, long-term forecasting is an inexact science. And those forecasters are there when it counts and when we need them. Besides, it gave us something to talk about for just a moment other than this very troubled part of the world."
—Brent Baker is Vice President for Research and Publications at the Media Research Center





Williams, back on live: "Well, the point was our country just couldn't afford another awful hurricane season. And the predictions, you'll recall, were dire. According to those government forecasters, as many as 16 different named storms were potentially headed our way -- between eight and 10 hurricanes and half of those would be major, we were told, meaning at least Category 3. Well, the season officially ended today back home, and we are happy to report, what did happen, turns out, wasn't even close. There were only nine named storms, not 16 of them. Five hurricanes, none of them making landfall in the U.S. And only two of the storms, Gordon and Helene, were strong enough to be called anything close to major. The reason, those forecasters say, the El Nino effect, a warming of ocean waters that makes a big difference in all that tropical storm activity. And for the record, by the way, long-term forecasting is an inexact science. And those forecasters are there when it counts and when we need them. Besides, it gave us something to talk about for just a moment other than this very troubled part of the world."













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What the heck is wrong with W
December 1, 2006 - 07:44 ET by fosstenWhat the heck is wrong with Williams?
Does he have another job lined up yet?
Did Brian go out for a night
December 1, 2006 - 08:40 ET by hs29fanDid Brian go out for a night on the town with Danny Devito?????????
"Poor Liberal, he's educated beyond his intelligence"
Yeah, that's great; he admits
December 1, 2006 - 07:46 ET by The Real TonyYeah, that's great; he admits (but includes everyone else, other media and the government) that they were wrong. Nice confession, except for the fact that he dragged everyone else into it.
It would have better if he would have said also that we were wrong to report what we didn't know, to try and scare the hell out of you.
Someone correct me if I'm wrong but I didn't think the NOAA predicted that number of hurricanes.
Fight Terrorism at home - defeat a liberal!
Look I think you guys have th
December 1, 2006 - 08:17 ET by USA4freedomLook I think you guys have the wrong take on this, its because the Democrats took over, that the hurricanes are just plain scared of hitting us just like the terrorist are. Or that with all the wind from Washington with the likes of Kenney or Schumer it created a low.. pressure system over the east cost and kept the storms at bay. I’m just thankful that the “right party” took over so that all the good things will start to happen (well according to the MSM). I’m standing in the back yard looking for all that money to start to fall from the skies. I am being alert, just incase they drop Rosie instead. Come to think of it, maybe she had something to do with the dinosaurs disappearing, does anyone know if she has ever been to the Yucatan?
Well that’s the take on the weather from New Bern NC.
America is best described by one word, freedom... Dwight D. Eisenhower
LOL
December 1, 2006 - 10:40 ET by acumenLOL
Yes, thanks alot guys, from t
December 1, 2006 - 08:20 ET by dscottYes, thanks alot guys, from the rest of us who got dragged into your doomsday scenerio which jacked up our property insurance rates. How about coming clean and telling the Insurance Industry and the Regulators this whole thing was a mistake and they should re-adjust the actuarial tables to give us all a break from the 50 to 100% rate increases in insurance premiums???? How about the little guy that you claim to be for?
“The object of life is not to be on the side of the majority but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane.” – Marcus Aurelius
Hurricane predictions
December 1, 2006 - 09:07 ET by Barberian1. First iceberg spotted off the New Zealand coast since 1934.
2. Canadian city sets record cold for last 110 years.
3. Quiet hurricane season defies forcast for 2006.
4. Home owners insurance for hurricane prone areas skyrocket.
5. Brittany Spears quits wearing panties.
Blame it on Global Warming.
Professor Ivory Towers finds
December 1, 2006 - 09:15 ET by danboProfessor Ivory Towers finds that this years hurricane season is attributed to anthropogenic global warming. And warns that this is only the tip of the iceberg. With things sure to get worse.
"Whoever undertakes to set himself up as a judge of truth and knowledge is shipwrecked by the laughter of the gods." Albert Einstein
Things sure to get worse.
December 1, 2006 - 09:21 ET by BarberianGreat! What else can we expect Brittany to shed as things heat up?
kiss of life
December 1, 2006 - 11:00 ET by acumen"What else can we expect Brittany to shed as things heat up?"
Too funny. Breaking - Brittany brings new look of Vagina Monologues to east coast cumeback tour while hurricanes flee box office. Media asks if bush will change before events overtake planet. Gore scrambles to take better look at source of heated debate as Tipper prepares for kiss of life. Developing.......
Hurricane Brian
December 1, 2006 - 08:58 ET by P.J. GladnickHurricane Brian blew briefly hot with storm force winds and then quickly fizzled out.
Sad part is, the media has a
December 1, 2006 - 09:08 ET by danboSad part is, the media has a share of the blame for Katrina's deaths.
Every year, it's we're going to het hit by a major hurricane. And every bunch of clouds will become a cat 5.
I know people who evacuated from New Orleans for George to watch a dink come ashore in Biloxi with minimal damage. Then they left for Ivan to watch it come ashore at Pensacola. Then they stayed home for Katrina.
Guess if you spend enough time in cheap motels in the cotton fields of north Mississippi with bowevils running through your room, you stop listening to the hype.
Then the real big bad wolf comes.. And people die.
I wish all the little boys in the media crying wolf all the time would shut up. There are a few real big bad wolves. And we need to know when the real big bad wolf is coming. Forget the Chihuahuas.
"Whoever undertakes to set himself up as a judge of truth and knowledge is shipwrecked by the laughter of the gods." Albert Einstein
Crying Wolf!
December 1, 2006 - 09:16 ET by BarberianIt's a morbid thought but the "Crying Wolf" results in more media coverage on the resulting carnage.
Self serving? Could Be.
It keeps these idiots on came
December 1, 2006 - 09:31 ET by danboIt keeps these idiots on camera. Which is more important than news.
"Whoever undertakes to set himself up as a judge of truth and knowledge is shipwrecked by the laughter of the gods." Albert Einstein
"And for the record, by
December 1, 2006 - 09:31 ET by MassConservative"And for the record, by the way, long-term forcasting is an inexact science". Coming up next, Al Gore, and how Global Warming will kill us all in 25 years.
Funny how in this context long-term equals 6 months yet 'the debate is over' on Global Warming and the effects it will have on us over the next 10 to 20 years.
the next 25 years
December 1, 2006 - 09:43 ET by BarberianI'm sure Dr. Hanson will be able to explain the phenomenon will his usual preconceptual scientific analysis. Not to mention another excuse to pontificate on a national "soap box".
MSM refuses to mention the wo
December 1, 2006 - 10:17 ET by cunservatyveMSM refuses to mention the words "global warming" in all of the admission stories I've seen, though Al Gore and other liberal fanatics gladly touted that empirical evidence when it served their purposes.
The contention is that overall global temperatures are warming since the Industrial Revolution (so we're talking roughly 200 years), and climate science regularly touts various scientific data and empirical data to justify its position, including hurricanes, shrinking ice sheets, etc.
And if we're talking "GLOBAL WARMING," then you can't site the Pacific cyclones and ignore the fact that Atlantic cyclones didn't materialize as Al Gore and climatologists predicted. Global warming is GLOBAL; it's not hemi-oceanal, such that it will fit one's template to continue blind faith in the theory. I'm curious what the revision will be with several years of cooler weather; there will be a revision, though. Too many reputations are now at stake, should this giant farce fall on its face (and it will).
Yes, El Nino (in revision of the prediction) is now ascribed as the reason the Atlantic hurricane season went POOF! But remember that we have used Nostradamus's quatrains in the same way--describe what occurred after the fact by forcing/revising the prediction to fit the template.
In other words, science can be clever enough to hypothesize its way out of a corner, should it predict itself into a corner to begin with.
Cunservatyve military medical guy
They sound like a bunch of charlatans at a circus sideshow: "Pay no attention to that news editor behind the curtain."
Hypothesize it's way out of a corner
December 1, 2006 - 10:31 ET by BarberianI agree, but after several years where GW predictions do not come to pass, even the MSM will look more to the "skeptics" of AGW for providing new and controversial material. The past flip-flops of global warming / global cooling will continue. I just hope that it will come about before place insane economic sanctions on ourselves in a misguided effort to mitigate this falsehood.
Exactly, so let's start the
December 1, 2006 - 10:39 ET by dscottExactly, so let's start the bandwagon now with Global Cooling (Orbital Monsoon Hypothesis proposed by John Kutzbach at USC). There has got to be lots more money in the form of Government grants where the Global Warmers got theirs. I want my piece of the pie!!!
“The object of life is not to be on the side of the majority but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane.” – Marcus Aurelius
Global Cooling
December 1, 2006 - 10:53 ET by BarberianI think that the government should start right away requiring the Big oil companies to put a price cap on heating oil in order to deal with this pending disaster. We should also make a plea to Mr. Chavez to provide more low cost fuel to help. After all, did we not vote out all those little demons of the devil in the mid term election?
MA. suing EPA for not saving USA from global warming
December 1, 2006 - 11:18 ET by SportPoliticsMA. suing EPA for not saving USA from global warming.
Yep, Kerryville is suing the Enviro Protection Agency for not instituting CO2 controls.
I guess it went to the SCOTUS, and Scalia's first question was ~ Tell us oh great sages when this gigantic disaster is going to occur ~
There's a big todo about wether you can sue a regulatory agency for not acting when you can show any GW harm and any harm you recieve won't be any different than anyone elses.
Yep, the demidiots are going to start to try to force the government to do their will, by suing. Tyranny coming from the dems through the courts. Maybe they can sue Chavez for his heating oil he's flooding a few cities with.
Hear hour3 (#3) - slide it to 10 mins after it starts.
Link to Hugh Hewitt
sport -- Yep, Kerryville is
December 1, 2006 - 11:45 ET by Jack Bauersport -- Yep, Kerryville is suing the Enviro Protection Agency for not instituting CO2 controls.
Can't somebody check these mental cases into the nuthouse?
Maybe somebody might like to point out to them that Carbon Dioxide is ESSENTIAL for life on earth. And that in the far past CO2 levels were at least 5 times those of today.
God almightly. These people are profoundly stupid.
Proud member of the all-powerful and vast
militarist/industrialist/capitalist/zionist-bagelist complex
Inexact Science, Indeed!
December 1, 2006 - 10:35 ET by CGatton"...for the record, by the way, long-term forecasting is an inexact science..."
ROTFLMAO!
There are so many things ignored by the media in their hurry to hype global warming, that it would take a week of very lengthy blog entries to expose them all. As for this little piece by Brian Williams, there is a major connection missing...he failed to draw the parallel to the global warming hysteria.
"...despite the vast collective expertise of NOAA scientists, immense quantities of atmospheric and oceanic data, and unprecedented computing power, NOAA failed miserably in predicting weather events a mere six months into the future – and reiterated those same ill-conceived predictions at mid-season.
Yet global warming alarmists, including those at NOAA, expect us to unthinkingly buy into their dire forecasts of global warming – predictions that extend 100 years or more into the future. Forecasting global climate change decades into the future can only be described as orders of magnitude more complex than forecasting an imminent, six month-long hurricane season..." - Steven Milloy (full text here)
R/
Clyde
"...the aspirants to tyranny are either the...men of the state, who in democracies are demagogues,... or those who hold great offices, and have a long tenure.." - Aristotle, Politics, c350BC
No "kudos" to this
December 1, 2006 - 13:21 ET by OklahomaIsShapedFunnyNo "kudos" to this dude or his DNCBSABCNBCACLU soup network commrades. There is NO REDEMPTION for these people.
This is my first post on NEWSBUSTERS.... happy to hang with you all.
I'm from Oklahoma - the state with the 2 bad*ss Senators Jim Imhoff and Tom Coburn. If all the geeks in the Senate could drop bombs like these dudes we'd be miles ahead of giving thanksgiving to Brian Williams for his "No Doy" moment.
Oklahoma is OK
December 1, 2006 - 13:25 ET by BarberianWelcome, I also recently started my graduate studies at NB.
Okie -Inhofe
December 1, 2006 - 13:33 ET by misterbillOkie I am in Georgia, but my daughter lives in Broken Arrow and she truned me on to Sen Inhofe. What a guy. He speaks English and to the point. I read all his speeches re: Global Warming. We here in Ga are blessed (no sarcasm) with 2 very good Senators. (And a couple of darn good congressmen too!) How ironic that the most Democratic state of years gone by is now one of the most Republican.
Underlying motive, Brent
December 1, 2006 - 13:56 ET by Gary HallI suspect that there is an underlying motive at work here Brent. You see, the scientists here, William Gray and Phil Klotzbach at Colo. State, and Chris Landsea at NOAA who are so involved in these predictions, also find themselves being the spanking boys of the media because of their less-than-radical scientific position on global warming and on global warming's potential influence on hurricane frequency and intensity. Although these experts are willing to put their reputation on the line each and every year with their deeply researched predictions - and all for the purpose of protecting life and property - they are equally comfortable in announcing changes in their forcasts when they see shifts in weather patterns.
I suspect that the media has great interest in making these specific scientists look fallible. Recent changes in predictions from several of the promoters of global warming did not receive such attention.
Kudos, schmudos. This is just
December 1, 2006 - 14:43 ET by mattmKudos, schmudos. This is just another story that should have come up before the election.