New Poll Reflects Media’s Negative Impact on Economic Perceptions

Photo of Noel Sheppard.

A new poll released Wednesday gave extraordinary evidence as to how continued negative reports from a bearish media have impacted the public’s view of the economy.

As reported by Reuters (emphasis added):

Two-thirds of those surveyed, 66 percent, said the direction of economic policy was fair or poor.

Yet, these same folks are very optimistic about their own economic condition:

Story Continues Below Ad ↓

But on a personal level, Americans feel relatively secure and comfortable with their own finances…nearly 70 percent feel very or fairly secure in their jobs.

While 14 percent rated their personal financial situation as excellent and 10 percent as poor, the vast majority found themselves in the middle. About 43 percent rated their finances as good, and 43 percent as fair.

The stock market is at all-time highs. Unemployment is near record-lows. 70 percent of the population feel very or fairly secure in their jobs. And 86 percent rate their finances as good or fair.

Yet, 66 percent of the nation thinks the direction of economic policy is fair or poor?

Is there any other answer for this absurd dichotomy in opinion than the media’s 24/7/365 pounding of Bush economic policies?

After all, people’s own personal feelings about their financial well-being comes from what they see, correct? Nobody needs Katie, Brian, or Charlie to tell them how secure their job is, and what they’ve got in the bank.

By contrast, the larger national view has to come from the press. And, as this has been nothing but negative since George W. Bush was first inaugurated in January 2001, it makes sense that folks are displeased with economic policy regardless of how well they’re personally doing.

This should make it easy for Democrat politicians in the upcoming elections to convince folks that things are actually quite bad regardless of the facts.

As such, the following could certainly occur in November 2008:

  • Stocks at all-time highs
  • Unemployment near all-time lows
  • People pleased about their own financial condition
  • But the overwhelming majority of people believe the economy is doing very poorly.

The media should be so proud of themselves.

—Noel Sheppard is the Associate Editor of NewsBusters.


Comments Policy

All comments are owned by whoever posted them and are subject to our terms of use. They should not be assumed to represent the views of NewsBusters.

Viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.

The Media's Economy

Noel:

   It was, of course, this same tactic that put Clinton in the White House in 92.  The media worked hand in hand to convince people that the economy was in the tank when there was really no problem.  I remember Peter Lynch saying at the time that every time six people got laid off in Peoria it made the national news.  They'll stay with what works until the people catch on to what's going on.  It is the Media's Economy which has nothing to do with the real situation but is inversely related to which party is in the White House (always good for Dims, bad for republications), like the number of homeless a few years ago.

Faulkner

Faulkner,

There's no question they did. In fact, despite the reality that the recession ended in 1991, Clinton and his media minions convinced America that the economy was doing quite poorly in 1992.

Of course, nothing could be further from the truth. In fact, if you recall, one of the reasons Clinton backtracked from his middle class tax cut promise was due to just how strong the 3rd quarter GDP numbers came in after the election. And, the GDP grew by over 5 percent in the 4th quarter of 1992 -- its strongest during Bush 41's reign -- before Clinton was inaugurated.

As such, the economy was actually beginning to explode BEFORE Clinton was elected. Unfortunately, that's not what the media told people, and a good man was replaced in the White House by one of the most crooked Americans ever to live.

The media should be so proud.   ns

To be exact, Federal

To be exact, Federal statistics show the recovery began in March of 1991, or a year and a half before Clinton got elected on the "it's the economy, stupid" mantra. Many years later, the NY Times in an editorial admitted that the 1991 start of the recovery went "unreported" at the time. Of course by then, their boy had been in power for over half a decade...

Try doing a Google search using these keywords:

"NY Times 1991 economic recovery unreported"

and here's the first hit you get:

"World news about Guinea, including breaking news and archival articles published in The New York Times"

 

Del

Del,

You are correct: http://www.bea.gov/b...

If you put in 1990 to start, you'll see that GDP grew by 2.6% in Q2 '91, 1.9% in Q3 and Q4. In '92, the numbers were 4.2%, 3.9%, 4.0%. and 4.5%.

Yet, a dishonest candidate, along with a dishonest media, had people thinking we were still in a recession.

It's really disgraceful when you think about it.   ns 

 

The media should be so

The media should be so proud of themselves.

They are, I'm sure.

What troubles me is the fact that so many lazy (sorry) Americans refuse to take it upon themselves to find more accurate information, and not just in the area of economics. After all, it is out there, and, with the advent of the internet, not all that difficult to find, either.

I also blame our educational system to a point, as the teaching of economics, like history and even basic mathematics (now 2+2 = whatever little johnny wants it to), appears to be verbotten academic territory these days.

My formal economics education consisted of one quarter of micro & one quarter of macro economics in college. From what I've seen, that puts me in the top 2% in economics knowledge among the general population.

Now that is scary.

Help Fred defeat the RINOs, along with the Hitllary-Obama Axis, & win the White House in '08.

i don't care what any fake

i don't care what any fake conservatives say, this economy isn't that good... i own some stock so i've made some money, 

but with the billions of dollars we're borrowing and printing off to pay for a war to build another country while our own falls apart (founding fathers would be so proud)  the value of the dollar plumits, so middle class people like myself are hurt the most, my money is becoming more and more worthless. 

Huh?

We don't care what any fake economists say.

The economy is doing better than you Liberals want to admit.

_______
Fred Thompson and Ann Coulter walk into a bar. The bar is instantly destroyed because that much awesome cannot be contained in one build

I agree. America is a

I agree. America is a third-world country nowadays!

I mean, Good Lord, I am so sick and tired of seeing "Help Wanted' signs all over the place, and I was especially upset when my 401k statement came in the mail with a 7.5% gain for the quarter. My new job, new house, and new car are also a testament to how horrible of a country I live in. If only we were safe from those fake terror threats....

 

Sacj

Sacj,

Can you tell me the last time the federal debt declined?

Furthermore, can you tell me exactly how the dollar's decline has negatively impacted you? As inflation is in check, can you tell me what is costing you signficantly more now other than energy?

Finally, can you tell me how the current value of the dollar relates to its previous lows in the '90s and '80s? ns

 

Noel,  I'm afraid that

Noel, 

I'm afraid that Sacj's answers would be:

No, no, no, and .......(wait for it)...no.

As someone with an MBA in Finance and Operations Mgmt. from one of the top 5 schools in the country, I have lots of fun with my many Lib friends about the incredible economy we have had for the last few years and the best they can ever do is say " ...but the TV just said new housing starts are down, or new jobs are below estimates (which is why they are called estimates...)"

No matter how low unemployment gets, or how much the Fed's tax revenues expand from the exploding economy (caused by the Bush Tax cuts), the TV news will never mention it, they just search for the one dim bulb in every report and repeats it until the parrots are squawking, "The economy sucks, the economy sucks"...   We have to accept that most of the sheeple are economic idiots and will never pay enough attention to see through the constant negativity of a media with an agenda. 

The problem isn't with the economy, its with the sheeple and the unbelievably biased media. I want to see a poll of people who get their economic news from the WSJ or Barron's vs. those that just watch TV or the NYT......    The bias would be pretty evident then.

if we were to believe

if we were to believe everything bush and the wsj said then i would believe that we need amnesty because illegals fill jobs americans wwont do, "there is a great demand for (shh cheap) labor" roars the wsj....

i was lead to believe that when thee is an increase in the demand for labor wages go up not down?

jobs in many industres have seen great depression in wages, and bush and the wsj think thats great. america can only thrive on an unlimited flow of unskilled uneducated labor according to bush. 

 Sajc, God himself could

 Sajc, God himself could come down and tell you "The ecomomy is great" and you would blame the drugs your on.  GET A GRIP!!!!

The only thing you should feel when shooting insurgents is the rifle recoil.

 

Sacj

Sacj,

Could you name the many industries that have seen wage declines since Bush took office? Please provide a link to the Department of Labor to prove your assertion. Thank you.

Let me help you in your search. This is a link to the Bureau of Labor Statistics: http://www.bls.gov/d.... All the information about employment is there. I'd love you to find a list of industries that have seen "great depression in wages" since Bush was first elected.

I await your verified response with great eagerness. ns

I'm not asking you to

I'm not asking you to believe Bush or the WSJ editorial pages....   but the financial pages are solid. The information about interest rates, unemployment, new job creation, manufacturing indexes, etc. have a spotless record of being dead-on, and there are thousands of accountants, auditors, and actuarial science majors out there making and checking all of these numbers.  The numbers don't lie, the economy is fantastic by all accounts, this despite the ridiculous growth in federal spending, higher interest rates and higher oil/energy costs.... and more importantly, despite the constant drumbeat of negativity from the Lib Media.

 Your change of subject to amnesty and this supposed "great depression in wages" is irrelevant.  I disagree with amnesty and am all for the fence and even stricter policies such as a $5000 fine for every illegal alien employee of a company.  Your concern for falling wages is based on illusion and lies.  It isn't happening, show me facts defending this that are more substantial than an Olby rant or Joy Behar on The View.... otherwise you have simply fallen for and are regurgitating false propaganda.

Again, the parrots squawk, " The economy sucks, the economy sucks...." ...and all the birdbrains believe them.

SoftRight...

Out of curiosity, do you favor Income Tax Reform? Why or why not? If yes, what kind? Do you support privatization of Social Security? Why or why not? If yes, what kind?

[This is not an ambush, just seeking the opinion of someone with a Finance MBA.]

If conservatives are RIGHT, then liberals must be WRONG.
Thompson/Rice

I don't have time to do

I don't have time to do this justice.... but here goes....  Income Tax Reform....

In general, if you are going to tax for any reason other than simple revenue generation to fund basic gov expenditures, you should tax things you oppose or wish to discourage...cigarettes, alcohol, excessive luxury items, under cost imports, etc.  Consequently, you should subsidize things you do want....kids, certain crops, oil exploration, R&D, etc.  In a rational market, you will get less of what you tax and more of what you subsidize, right?  So taxing income is ludicrous and destructive, do we really want to discourage income generation and even worse use a progressive tax that gets more discouraging as you go?.  Obviously not, and yet that is what the current progressive tax system does.  We want people to make income, right? So we shouldn't discourage/tax income, that is self defeating.  We should tax expenditures and destructive luxuries.  So, I favor a simple Sales Tax approach for generation of Fed Revenue.  There is room to vary the tax but I would prefer a simple 3 or 4 tax rates at most  (Like food at the lowest rate to impact the poor the least, up to gasoline and luxuries at the highest rate) This system fairly taxes the poor at lower rates since very small fractions of their income goes to high rate luxuries and also ensures that the wealthy still pay more in taxes since their discretionary income goes to higher taxed items.  The true beauty of this approach is that it is all done at the cash register, like state sales taxes... no one really even keeps track of what they paid in state sales tax because it is done at every purchase and collected on the spot, no deductions, no accountants, no hours of agonizing over the different forms, its just done.  It also discourages excessive consumption and encourages savings since they don't get taxed...  this lowers interest rates and makes more business opportunities feasible and profitable.

 Social Security...... the government should not be in charge of retirement planning and definitely shouldn't be buying one generation's votes with the next generation's money in a Ponzi/Pyramid scheme of collossal (and soon to be disasterous) proportions.  The solution is complex but relies on the same basic market principles that I mentioned above and would involve subsidies for retirement savings accounts and higher tax penalties for those that don't save for retirement, they do not have the right to be irresponsible and impose their retirement burden on others.  Just as cigarette smokers or the morbidly obese should not be able to push their excessive healthcare costs off on to others through socialized medicine. 

SoftRight...thanks

You pass!!! ... Great answer in my opinion. I strongly favor a National Sales Tax also and I also do not believe that it would have to be as high as many claim. Personally, I would include a sales Tax on ALL Real Estate transactions, even re-sell. This inclusion in the Sales Tax I personally believe alone would generate plenty of revenue.

If I could opt-out of Social Security and take even a portion of what I contributed and invest it myself, I would.

Thanks for taking the time to answer.

If conservatives are RIGHT, then liberals must be WRONG.
Thompson/Rice

Social Security

I recently examined my social security statement. I took the entire amount for each year and and calculated the gain in the DOW for the following year, (the most conservative method I could think of), instead of spreading the amount throughout the current year as would actually occur. I currently would have at least $83,000. Extending a modest 8% gain each year at my current salary would give me over $650,000 when I retire. That's not including IRA's, etc.

 I would opt out in a heartbeat if I could.

  Ignorance is bliss. It's easier to repeat a mindless slogan than to do some actual research.

pbanks

pbanks,

I heard that congress opted out of the system.

I wonder why...

I'm not a liberal

I'm a conservative with many libertarian views, one being take care of your own country first before taking care of everyone elses.  

our borders are broken and bush acts like a child because he didn't get his amnesty so now he wont protect americans by securing the border. 

off point i know

no, i'm not an economist and i know everyone is enjoying record gains in their 401ks and stock portfolios, i am too.  

many of you are smarter than me on this issue i concede, so please tell me why its good that we borrow all our money from china to wage war, while china builds their own military up...and how printing money off to finance the gov't rediculous budget is good in the long run?

Sacj

Sacj,

Did any of my questions imply that you were a liberal?

Regardless, you suggested that the economy is doing poorly because of expanding debt and a declining dollar. My view as an economist is that expanding debt and a lower dollar are only concerns of the media when a Republican is in the White House. However, during the Clinton years, debt went up every year, and there were points when the dollar declined. However, this wasn't considered a calamity.

The reality is that the value of the dollar and the size of the federal debt in the short run have very little impact on the economy. After all, we've been expanding federal debt since the '30s. There have been many times when the total debt as a percentage of GDP, tax revenues, etc., was much higher than today. Yet, it didn't cause a depression or any economic cataclysm.

As for the dollar, there have been times since we moved off the gold standard in the '70s when the dollar has been lower. No calamity then, either. In reality, given the international nature of today's economy, a low dollar helps American companies.

For instance, take a look at what the dollar has done since 2006: http://futures.tradi.... Down, down, down, right?

Yet, what has the S&P 500 done during that same period: http://futures.tradi.... Up, up, up. right?

Think there's a correlation? I do, as do most honest economists not interested in advancing a liberal agenda. Why? Because a lower dollar makes American goods cheaper around the world thereby increasing sales of American products and services. Period. And, if the idiots in the media and on the left were the slightest bit honest, they'd be reporting this.

As for the debt, well, we're on mostly the same page there. I'm pretty disgusted by the lack of fiscal discipline exhibited by this current iteration of Republicans. As for China buying our paper, why should we care who's willing to lend us money? I've been hearing this same stupid argument for 27 years. In the '80s, it was Japan and Germany that held "too much" of our debt, and that was going to kill our economy. Do you remember our economy dying?

Now, it's China. Well, this is the fastest growing economy on the planet, right? Much like Japan and Germany before it, that means China has a lot of money flowing towards it. And, since a consumer boom has yet to occur there, this gives Chinese corporations and the government a huge surplus of cash. Shouldn't we be happy that they want to invest their surplus dollars here? Are you suggesting it would be better for us if they were investing their money elsewhere?

Honestly, I've never understood this reasoning. The nervous Nellies are always fretting about some country investing in American assets. Wouldn't it be worse if nobody was interested in U.S. securities? Honestly, think that through. It doesn't take a genius to recognize that other countries being interested in investing here is a good thing, not a bad thing.

As for us printing money, well, the European Central Bank has very tight restrictions on the growth of euros. This restriction, though acting to increase the value of the euro against other currencies, has also kept the economies of the EU close to recession, and well under their growth potential. As a result, some EU nations have double-digit unemployment, and sub-par gross domestic products.

Do you think it would be wise of our federal reserve to adopt a similar policy towards monetary growth that leads to higher unemployment, weaker stocks, and slower wage growth? Forgive me, but I don't. ns

 

noel great post, thanks

noel

great post, thanks for clearing some things up for me.

one thing though, in regards to the similarities between china now and germany in the eighties.. it seems to me that the chinese do things to our currency over there that are againt our own trade rules, and we do nothing about it. and china's growing military might is a little disconcerting.  germany wasn't growing at this rate and conducting secret military tests and operations financed by the american consumer.  

the swift meat packing plants that had those controvercial illegal alien raids months back that was all over the news...well i read that the wages went down around 13% since they started hiring illegal workers....i will try to provide links to back that up though. but there are similar reports in the roofing and landscaping industries though. 

but again, i do appreciate your earlier responces, and you obviously have a universe more knowledge on this subject than i do. 

Sajc

Sajc,

Well, China's yuan is pegged to our dollar, and in a fashion that very much helps them. The reality is that if they allowed their currency to float, it would be much stronger, and the price of their products wouldn't be anywhere near as cheap as they currently are. We would like this to change without question. Although they've done a revaluation recently, it's not enough.

And, as you stated, they have some trade practices which give them an unfair advantage. No question. However, to a certain extent, these are somewhat unrelated to them buying our treasuries, for, trust me, we're thrilled they're investing here. In fact, one could be cynical and come to the conclusion that we're almost happy with the unfair trade practices because it increases the moneys they have to invest here. Or, am I being too cynical?  :-)

As for Swift, you can't look at what one company is doing and paint a broad brush across the entire industry. Wages across the entire landscape have been rising since 2003, and faster than inflation since 2005. If there were many industries going in another direction, this couldn't be the case. ns

Just curious-on your world,

Just curious-on your world, what is defined as a "fake" conservative, and what is a "real" conservative? And do you also have "fake" and "real" liberals (oops, my bad, I mean "progressives") as well?

i feel a lot of

i feel a lot of conservatives site the founders a lot when it suits them but completely ignore them on other things.  

i love the usa so much that it pains me to see the country deteriorating within while we spend billions offshore for the sake of other countries. washington warned us about this.  i believe real conservatives are the truest of patriots, and patriots care more about the future of thier own country than some country in the middle east that would rather blow itself up than try democracy.

the conservatives that say they like bush because he good on nat'l security but turn a blind eye to his leaving the country wide open to terrorist attacks on a daily basis because he hasn't done a thing on border security since 9/11

2 Bushes

First term Bush is very different than second term Bush. His failure to achieve tax reform, social secuirty reform, and secure our borders has left many conservatives displeased with him.

His tax cuts and SCOTUS appointments have been terrific, though. Spending has been too high eventhough the deficit just decreased.

If conservatives are RIGHT, then liberals must be WRONG.
Thompson/Rice

This morning the Today Show

This morning the Today Show covered the sustained stock market rally.  According to them it's been going up not because of the US economy, but because of the growing world economy - I think they named China specifically.  Go figure.

We have suffered through

We have suffered through the overnight and demonstrated the insanity of the dem focus, not to mention justify the results of the new congressional polls. Why not introduce legislation to protect America's borders by building the wall, continuing taxes as they are, eliminating the death tax, increasing military spending, reenacting line item veto...

Why isn't it time to stand up for ourselves and show our country who the dems are?

JDW

News media: Scoreboard for terrorists

 

On the other

On the other hand.....

One of the major reasons for the Republican takeover of Congress in 1994 was a misperception of voters regarding the state of the economy under
Clinton, largely as a result of gloom and doom reporting and predictions by conservative pundits and talk radio.

Exit polling revealed overwhelming numbers of Rebublican voters held completely erroneous views with respect to inflation, unemployment, deficit reduction and purported recession.  A significant number indicated their source of "news" was talk radio.

I agree. Nationalized

I agree. Nationalized health care, gun control, Clinton, and the deficit had absolutely nothing to do with it.

Looking at the exit polling data, I do not see anything about a "perceived poor state of the economy".

Thanks for playing, though.

 

 

Roger, I believe I said

Roger,

I believe I said "one" of the major reasons--not that there weren't others as you pointed out (although the "deficit" is something also mentioned by you and your sources).

My comment was based on my recollections from an article I read over a dozen years ago.  I believe my memory of it is accurate, but I'm certainly not infallible.  If mistaken, I'm not above groveling.

I'll try to dig it up.  In any event, thanks for your response.

Jer

 

I find a distinct

I find a distinct difference between someone saying something was a "major reason" and then finding two sources where that "major reason" does not even appear on the radar, let alone as a "minor reason".

 

You may proceed to grovel at your leisure.

 

Jer

Jer,

One of the major reasons for the Republican takeover of Congress in 1994 was a misperception of voters regarding the state of the economy under Clinton, largely as a result of gloom and doom reporting and predictions by conservative pundits and talk radio.

Exit polling revealed overwhelming numbers of Rebublican voters held completely erroneous views with respect to inflation, unemployment, deficit reduction and purported recession.

Could you please provide some evidence of this? Some links to articles from that time verifying your assertions? How 'bout the exit polls claiming such?

Pretty please? With sugar on top?

The reason I'm asking, Jer, is that in the approaching 13 years since the Republicans took over Congress in 1994, this is the first time I've ever heard such an assessment.

After all, unlike the socialists on the opposite side of the aisle, we Republicans actually enjoy economic prosperity, and revel in the facts therein.

With that in mind, as the GDP had grown by 5.5%, 4.1%, and 5.3% in the quarters leading up to Election Day 1994, and the S&P had rallied above 400 for the first time in history, while the unemployment rate dropped back below 6%, your entire premise is totally absurd.

As such, I'd like you to back this up, hopefully with some links to reputable sources if at all possible.

As always, I am breathless with antici.....pation. ns

 

Noel,

Noel,

Please note my above response to Roger. (And since you said "pretty please", I'll look extra hard for the article.)

In the meantime, don't you recall that after the passage of Clinton's Deficit Reduction Act, Gingrich "guaranteed" the economy would be in recession within a year, and Limbaugh "bet a million dollars" that all of the major economic indicators would take a downturn? When it didn't happen, they came up with about five different explanations other than give Clinton a shred of credit.

Anyway, I'll try to find the article. But please keep breathing. I enjoy your posts.

Jer

Jer

Jer,

Sure. I remember all kinds of predictions about what would happen if Clinton raised taxes contrary to his campaign promises. Maybe more important, do you remember his campaign promises? Do you think he would have been elected if he had told Americans that he was going to raise their taxes rather than cut them? Or, is that not relevant?

Regardless, I'm not sure how that relates to this discussion. Your contention was that one of the major reasons Republicans took over Congress in 1994 was due to them and talk radio personalities stating that the economy was doing poorly. Irrespective of predictions made concerning Clinton's budget, I'd be very interested in seeing evidence of your assertion.

That said, which economy under Clinton was better: the one when he had Democrats controlling Congress and raised taxes, or the one when he had Republicans in control of Congress and was forced to cut taxes?

Be honest. ns

P.S. Did you see this comment from me about three weeks ago: http://newsbusters.o...?

Noel,

Noel,

Economy under Clinton: "good" while Democrats controlled Congress; became even "better" under Republican control

Regarding your linked comment: Yes, I did read it shortly after you posted it and I spent a good deal of time crafting a long response explaining my political philosophy, as well as addressing once again the issues raised in the topic under discussion, but, more importantly, expressing my sincere gratitude for your kind and conciliatory remarks. I then clicked on "Preview comment" and it evaporated into cyberspace leaving omly a message saying "Access to page denied". I initially thought I had been banned. But I guess it was just a glitch.

I won't burden you by rehashing the less important parts of that response, but I will reiterate my gratitude.

Jer

Jer

Jer,

Well, what you experienced wasn't a glitch. The "old" NB had a timeout function wherein if you didn't create an action, your account logged out. As such, depending on how long it took you to write your reply, by the time you pushed "Preview," you had been logged out. This new NB doesn't do that.

Too bad. Would love to have seen that. :-)

Economy under Clinton: "good" while Democrats controlled Congress; became even "better" under Republican control

Agreed. And I would say the former was true because the recession had ended in early 1991, and was beginning to explode before Clinton was inaugurated. As honest people were aware of that, the concern by folks like Gingrich and Limbaugh was that tax hikes would squelch off the growth, and would lead to a recession.

Fortunately, Republicans came to power in 1995, and by 1997 had forced Clinton to lower taxes. As you know, the real economic explosion under Clinton occurred in the latter part of the decade AFTER taxes were cut. Sadly, the overwhelming percentage of liberals and media members refuse to accept this fact. ns