Did Media Hype NASA Study Forecasting 110 Degree Summers in the South?

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Did you happen to see the reports last week predicting that summer temperatures in the southeastern part of the country could reach 110 degrees by the year 2080?

Well, according to a study just released by the Roger Pielke, Sr. Research Group, the media took “an otherwise interesting and informative research articlepublished in the Journal of Climate and translated it “into an almost hysterical claim of future weather.”

For those that missed it, here is an example of the hysteria as published by the Atlanta Journal-Constitution Wednesday in a piece marvelously titled “Ready for 110 Degrees? NASA Warns Climate Change Could Cook Atlantans” (emphasis added):

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Peak summer temperatures in Atlanta and the Southeast could reach as high as 110 degrees if climate change continues at its current pace, NASA scientists warned Wednesday.”

Yet according to Pielke, a meteorologist as well as the former Colorado State Climatologist, “only about 25% of the trends were explained by the model" used in the study.

Pielke pointed out that even the Journal’s report questioned the accuracy of the findings quoting directly from it (emphasis added throughout): “While the accuracy of the AOGCM projections is disputable, they characterize a plausible representation of the future climate…”

Isn’t that great? Yet, this study was used by the media to create a picture of stiflingly hot temperatures in our country just 70 years from now. This led Pielke to conclude:

These are remarkably serious shortcomings of the model study, yet the news media chose to headline the predictions from it as news without these caveats, and the authors did not correct the media’s misstatement of what their paper actually said (in fact they reinforced them!).

Pielke also mirrored the claims made by Dr. Robert Higgs concerning the reliability of peer reviewed articles:

Equally disturbing (or it should be to anyone who values scientific credibility) is that a peer reviewed journal elected to publish this paper in this form in which untested predictions for decades into the future were presented, yet the global and regional model could not even skillfully simulate recent climate. The publication of such clearly scientifically flawed research conclusions raises questions on whether the journal (in this case the American Meteorological Society Journal of Climate) is engaging in advocacy rather than being a balanced arbitrator of peer reviewed papers. Publishing predictions which are not tested, is not science.

Someone should tell soon-to-be-Dr. Al Gore and his sycophant devotees like Sheryl Crow and Laurie David. 

—Noel Sheppard is the Associate Editor of NewsBusters. Follow him at Facebook and Twitter.


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See? This is what happens whe

See? This is what happens when people do not put their trust in God, they behave so foolishly.         ----Debra...

Even if one put their trust

Even if one put their trust in God, one behaves foolishly.

Slightly off topic, but the m

Slightly off topic, but the mountains of Arizona has had an unusually cool winter/spring and actually had rain for the first time in May in memory.

Thats Global Warming for ya....

This is what is meant...

By "the debate is over". The MSM have already decided which theory is correct and will brook no doubt. Anything that supports their view is news and anything that refutes it or calls it into question is "irresponsible".

The day that "politician" became a career choice is the day we started losing the Republic.

This is what is meant...

By "the debate is over". The MSM have already decided which theory is correct and will brook no doubt. Anything that supports their view is news and anything that refutes it or calls it into question is "irresponsible".

The day that "politician" became a career choice is the day we started losing the Republic.

Oh, well.  Hey, they don't

Oh, well.  Hey, they don't call this town Hotlanta fer nuthin'. On the up-side, just think of all the money I will save using less charcoal.   :-)

One question, though. When I, along with my fellow Atlantan's are finally, ahh, "cooked," I wonder if we will taste just like chicken?

This republic will not survive the continued neglect of its people.- Neal Boortz.

More like soylent green. :-

More like soylent green. :-)

My uncle was an Army AB Parat

My uncle was an Army AB Paratrooper stationed on base in Georgia during the early 1960s (and the Cuban Missile Crisis).  When he tells his "stories" about living down there he always comments how it was above 100 degrees on a regular basis in the summer.  That was over 40 years ago.

The thing about the Global Warming Cult is that they now claim ANYTHING that happens in the news is the result of GW.  Any weather event, any animal oddity, any drop in grade school student test scores, any failing of The Captain and Tennille to sell records (CDs) today ...

It once hit 100 when I was a

It once hit 100 when I was a kid living in NJ, and I'm still here to write about it.

The liberal MSM has become an enemy of the USA.

Clear Thinker,Ahhh! So, YOU'R

Clear Thinker,

Ahhh! So, YOU'RE the one, huh???!

The funniest thing, NS

The funniest thing you said, Noel, was, "Did you happen to see the reports..?"  Was more like, "How could one miss it?"  (;~> g

Remember. It's as warm now as it was 400 years ago, maybe. Or longer, maybe. That's the science.

Is that "R", in R=.

Is that "R", in R=.52, what I know as "R squared".  Explained variance? If so they haven't got a clue.

They also don't know much about the coast. On the SE coast it's virtually impossible to get to 110. Though the interior can get a bit warmer. But places like Baltimore, DC, Savannah etc. Nope.

Wonderful warmer science. Experts?

"The urge to save humanity is almost always a false front for the urge to rule.”   H.L. Mencken

Back in 2000, winds from the

Back in 2000, winds from the Mexican deserts came in from the west and southwest and pushed out all of the tropical humidity from the Gulf in the San Antonio area.  Normally, I cussed endlessly about the humidity...but what happened as as a result of the loss of humidity to the desert influence shut me up for a long time.

It seems the Gulf moisture acts as a modifier of temperature.  Sure, temps will still hit 100 degrees easily in August, but not much more than that. With the desert influence, San Antonio hit an all time record high of 111 in early September 2000.  (And somehow I lived to tell the tale!)

"HAV3 TH3 BRIDG3S OF INSANITY B33N CROSS3D AND FOR3V3R R3TRACT3D???."  - Meshuggah, "3ntrapm3nt", from Catch Thirty Thr33 (2005)