Here’s something you’re unlikely to see in an American newspaper or magazine: global warming might actually be good for the planet and its inhabitants.
This radical idea was advanced Monday by the German magazine Der Spiegel which did something I can’t imagine a U.S. publication having the nerve to do in this highly politicized environment: offer readers a comprehensive, balanced view of the pluses and minuses inherent in a warming earth.
How delightfully extraordinary.
Unlike most American media reports on this issue, Spiegel, in an article ironically titled "Not the End of the World as We Know It," wonderfully began with a little history on the subject to put things in a proper perspective (emphasis added throughout):
Svante Arrhenius, the father of the greenhouse effect, would be called a heretic today. Far from issuing the sort of dire predictions about climate change which are common nowadays, the Swedish physicist dared to predict a paradise on earth for humans when he announced, in April 1896, that temperatures were rising -- and that it would be a blessing for all.
Arrhenius, who later won the Nobel Prize in Chemistry, calculated that the release of carbon dioxide -- or carbonic acid as it was then known -- through burning coal, oil and natural gas would lead to a significant rise in temperatures worldwide. But, he argued, "by the influence of the increasing percentage of carbonic acid in the atmosphere, we may hope to enjoy ages with more equable and better climates," potentially making poor harvests and famine a thing of the past.
Doesn’t sound like what soon-to-be-Dr. Al Gore and his band of not-so merry alarmists are proffering as they travel the world spreading doom and gloom on the subject, does it?
Regardless, Spiegel addressed how previous cold periods – including the Little Ice Age that began in the 1300s – caused temperatures that:
...were too low for grain crops to mature. Famines and epidemics raged, and average life expectancy dropped by 10 years. In Germany, thousands of villages were abandoned and entire stretches of land depopulated.
Spiegel continued:
The shock produced by the cold was as deep-seated it was long-lasting. When temperatures plunged unexpectedly once again in the 1960s, many meteorologists were quick to warn people about the coming of a new ice age -- supposedly triggered by man-made air pollution. Hardly anyone at the time believed a warming trend could pose a threat.
It was not until the rise of the environmental movement in the 1980s that everything suddenly changed. From then on it was almost a foregone conclusion that global warming could only be perceived as a disaster for the earth's climate. Environmentalists, adopting a strategy typical of the Catholic Church, have been warning us about the horrors of greenhouse gas hell ever since -- painting it as a punishment for the sin of meddling with creation.
Spiegel advanced a more reasoned approach:
Keeping a cool head is a good idea because, for one thing, we can no longer completely prevent climate change. No matter how much governments try to reduce carbon dioxide emissions, it will only be possible to limit the rise in global temperatures to about 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) by the end of the century. But even this moderate warming would likely have far fewer apocalyptic consequences than many a prophet of doom would have us believe.
For one thing, the more paleontologists and geologists study the history of the earth's climate, the more clearly do they recognize just how much temperatures have fluctuated in both directions in the past. Even major fluctuations appear to be completely natural phenomena.
Additionally, some environmentalists doubt that the large-scale extinction of animals and plants some have predicted will in fact come about. "A warmer climate helps promote species diversity," says Munich zoologist Josef Reichholf.
Hmmm. A warmer climate helps promote species diversity. Think you’ll be reading that in the New York Times any time soon? Or how about this:
Improved regionalized models also show that climate change can bring not only drawbacks, but also significant benefits, especially in northern regions of the world where it has been too cold and uncomfortable for human activity to flourish in the past. However it is still a taboo to express this idea in public.
For example, countries like Canada and Russia can look forward to better harvests and a blossoming tourism industry, and the only distress the Scandinavians will face is the guilty conscience that could come with benefiting from global warming.
Spiegel also debunked some commonly held myths:
Meanwhile, the Kiel Institute for World Economics warns that higher temperatures could mean thousands of heat-related deaths every year. But the extrapolations that lead to this dire prediction are based on the mortality rate in the unusually hot summer of 2003, for which Germans were wholly unprepared. But if hot summer days do become the norm, people will simply adjust by taking siestas and installing air-conditioning.
The medical benefits of higher average temperatures have also been ignored. According to Richard Tol, an environmental economist, "warming temperatures will mean that in 2050 there will be about 40,000 fewer deaths in Germany attributable to cold-related illnesses like the flu."
And debunked another myth the alarmists love to disseminate:
According to another persistent greenhouse legend, massive flooding will strike major coastal cities, raising horrific scenarios of New York, London and Shanghai sinking into the tide. However this horror story is a relic of the late 1980s, when climate simulations were far less precise than they are today. At the time, some experts believed that the Antarctic ice shield could melt, which would in fact lead to a dramatic 60-meter (197-foot) rise in sea levels. The nuclear industry quickly seized upon and publicized the scenario, which it recognized as an argument in favor of its emissions-free power plants.
But it quickly became apparent that the horrific tale of a melting South Pole was nothing but fiction. The average temperature in the Antarctic is -30 degrees Celsius. Humanity cannot possibly burn enough oil and coal to melt this giant block of ice. On the contrary, current climate models suggest that the Antarctic will even increase in mass: Global warming will cause more water to evaporate, and part of that moisture will fall as snow over Antarctica, causing the ice shield to grow. As a result, the total rise in sea levels would in fact be reduced by about 5 cm (2 inches).
It's a different story in the warmer regions surrounding the North Pole. According to an American study published last week, the Arctic could be melting even faster than previously assumed. But because the Arctic sea ice already floats in the water, its melting will have virtually no effect on sea levels.
That can’t be true. Al Gore says we’re all about to drown.
To address such nonsense, Der Spiegel published an interview Tuesday with German biologist Josef Reichholf who stated:
The climate is increasingly being turned into a scapegoat, to deflect attention from other environmental crimes. A typical example is the misleading debate over catastrophic flooding, which is in fact caused by too much development along rivers and not by more extreme weather events, which we can't change anyway.
Reichholf also debunked the global warming extinction of species hysteria:
It's nothing but fear-mongering, for which there is no concrete evidence. On the contrary, there is much to be said for the argument that warming temperatures promote biodiversity. There is a clear relationship between biodiversity and temperature. The number of species increases exponentially from the regions near the poles across the moderate latitudes and to the equator. To put it succinctly, the warmer a region is, the more diverse are its species.
[…]
And this can also be clearly inferred from the insights of evolutionary biology. Biodiversity reached its peak at the end of the tertiary age, a few million years ago, when it was much warmer than it is today. The development went in a completely different direction when the ice ages came and temperatures dropped, causing a massive extinction of species, especially in the north. This also explains why Europe has such a high capacity to absorb species from warmer regions. It just so happens that we have many unoccupied ecological niches in our less biodiverse part of the world.
Maybe this is why Reichholf stated: “Personally, I'm even looking forward to a milder climate. But it will also not pose any major problems for mankind as a whole.”
How refreshing to read the other side of the argument for a change, wouldn’t you agree?
—Noel Sheppard is the Associate Editor of NewsBusters. Follow him at Facebook and Twitter.




















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I read the article and much
May 9, 2007 - 10:40 ET by NortonPeteI read the article and much of it has been discussed in other European publications (even the BBC ). I think its easier to discuss it in socialist Europe because everybody is "green" and there isn't the agenda that takes place here in the US media. Nothing more to prove so lets actually examine this so called problem.
What I didn't understand were the graphics of the models showing the temperature rise in just a few spots like Greenland being 10+ while US only 1+.
I thought Global Warming was everywhere not just in a few spots.
Good read, Noel
May 9, 2007 - 10:40 ET by RJAs I recommended earlier, Noel, this is a good read. It not only outlines the possible solid benefits of GW, but debunks much of the catastrophic scenarios of the Warmist community.
RJ
May 9, 2007 - 10:42 ET by Noel SheppardRJ,
It's better than just good. This is spectacular, because it actually addressed many sides of the debate.
This is what journalism is supposed to be, and a far cry from what is going on in our country today. ns
Yes, that's what impressed me, too, Noel
May 9, 2007 - 10:48 ET by RJYes, that's what impressed me, too, Noel. It was one of the most balanced, rational discussions of GW that I've seen, and the ending was terrific:
"Roeckner is a conscientious man and a veteran of climate research, so he, of all people, should know the limits of simulation programs. Roeckner, who constantly expects surprises, neatly sums up the problem when he says: "No model will ever be as complex as nature."
Exactly, Noel. This is a fa
May 9, 2007 - 11:11 ET by dahliatraversExactly, Noel. This is a fabulous article.
Lies, all lies. Face it, we
May 9, 2007 - 14:11 ET by ckc1227Lies, all lies. Face it, we're all going to die from the global warming. The only way to save mankind and the planet is to kill everyone. Only the removal of every human being will save the human race.
"Only the removal of e
May 9, 2007 - 14:15 ET by MightyMouth"Only the removal of every human being will save the human race"
¿Can we compromise and just remove the liberals? You can start with Keith Olbergoon and Rosie O'bese.
"There are two types of people in this country; those who provide freedom and those who enjoy it." MM says...
Der Spiegel and Global Warming
May 9, 2007 - 14:31 ET by tnmccoyI also read the article---a four parter---and was favorably impressed at the evenhanded way it was written. It adds a lot of sense to a hot-button topic. Unfortunately, the MSM will probably not pick it up, and the Liberals---if any took the time to read it---would dismiss it out-of-hand at the behest of Bishop Al.
I don't think, however, that it was necessary to bring in the Catholic Church and its teachings. It has nothing to do with the controversy, nor is it a parallel in any way. Obviously the writer has some misconceptions about the Church and what it teaches.
So, we may have balmy weather up here in Connecticut, and our snow may decrease? As much as I like snowy weather, I can easily survive a warmer trend. And I know the secret. This is all just a natural occurrence, and all the hype and greenhouse argument and carbon offsets in the World aren't going to change a thing.
Warming and cooling has been happening regularly over the last billion years or so around here. Get used to the fact that the Earth is not going to stay the same for a long time. It likes to change its clothes once in a while.
The real backdrop of Global "Warming"
May 9, 2007 - 16:02 ET by proud2b4familyWhat's really going on here? I'll tell you. The main premise of the greens is that humans emit CO2 (vehicles, breathing, etc.) so the activity of humans needs to be reduced. They know this will fail because they, conivingly, know the science all too well.
The next obvious step, when human-based CO2 emission reductions don't work (as we know they won't), will be to wring their hands and start quoting facts about methane, which stays in our atmosphere 20 times longer and has a greater impact on keeping heat from radiating back out into space. Methane, as we know, is a natural byproduct of every human who eats. It's also a natural byproduct of large herds of domesticated cattle raised by families in rural areas (and which families tend to a) be traditional in their makeup and b) reproduce in greater proportion than in urban areas). Remove those two factors (large, traditional families of humans and their livestock, which environmentalists hate in equal measure), and the problem will be solved.
In effect, it's eugenic population control under the guise of saving the earth. Win-win for "green"-minded elites. Lose-lose for the rest of us.
Rob's Musings
Constructionist Gear
NS sez: "Al Gore says we
May 9, 2007 - 16:35 ET byNS sez:
"Al Gore says we’re all about to drown."
Repeat something often enough and you'll begin to believe it, huh? Hey, did you ever change that post where you were shown to be worng? The one that falsely claimed Gore said sea levels would rise 20 ft. by 2100? No? How utterly shocking.
As to this post, it's interesting to see the new kind of denial--from "it's not happening!" to "it's gonna be great!" The right wing has no credibility on this issue.
Hey, wobbler, instead of trolling
May 9, 2007 - 16:38 ET by RJHey, wobbler, instead of trolling, how about responding specifically to the article?
Gore showed a graphic of much
May 9, 2007 - 21:07 ET by NL207Gore showed a graphic of much of Florida underwater after a 23 foot rise in sea level caused by a "hypothetical" melting of the western Antarctic ice sheet. Of course he did not say definitively this ice sheet would melt because of global warming. He said that this is what would happen if it did melt. All true, as far as it goes. This is akin to me saying that you will all die if an asteroid the size of Ceres strikes the Earth. Also true, but so unlikely as to constitute a falsehood.
Now, if he did not intend to convey the impression to the unwary that Florida was going to drown because of global warming, then why did he show that graphic at all? No responsible scientific body endorses the notion this will happen within the foreseeable future. You call this telling the truth. I'd call that willfully misleading the uninformed. Some folks think that is called fraud.
Wobbler, you are a disingenuous piece of filth.
Okay, NL, if what Gore said w
May 14, 2007 - 08:17 ET byOkay, NL, if what Gore said was so wrong, why does every denialist wacko out there ALWAYS compare his statement to the IPCC projections? If what Gore said is so dishonest, then why do they ALWAYS exaggerate it? Glenn Beck--speaking of lying pieces of filth--even produced a stupid graph showing how far off Gore was vs. the IPCC.
The truth is that when temps were as high as they are now for an extended period, Greenland melted and sea levels were much higher. It is unknown how long it will take for Greenland to melt, so don't pretend it is settled that it will take millenia.
I furhter note than NS has neither corrected nor acknowledged what even the some of the rabid anti-Gore posters on this board agreed was an inaccurate claim. And NB wants to lecture the media on accuracy? Please.
Hey throat
May 14, 2007 - 09:42 ET by RJHey wobler. Again, instead of trolling, how about responding to the article this thread is based on? How about some specific refutations?
Holy cow, I don't want Gre
May 14, 2007 - 10:00 ET by The PresbyterHoly cow, I don't want Greenland to melt. If that happens what's to stop Hawaii from melting... or Australia!! Quick, find a dirigible to live in.
The truth is that when temp
May 14, 2007 - 10:15 ET by DontFeedTheTrollsThe truth is that when temps were as high as they are now for an
extended period, Greenland melted and sea levels were much higher. It
is unknown how long it will take for Greenland to melt, so don't
pretend it is settled that it will take millenia.
So how did the temperature get as high as it is now before man 'influenced' the climate?
Don't you see the gigantic hole in your 'argument'?
Oops, sorry, forgot who you were.
D
A day without NewsBusters is like a day without sunshine.
Actually, it is you who lacks
May 9, 2007 - 22:36 ET by UnsaneActually, it is you who lacks credibility on this issue...
"HAV3 TH3 BRIDG3S OF INSANITY B33N CROSS3D AND FOR3V3R R3TRACT3D???." - Meshuggah, "3ntrapm3nt", from Catch Thirty Thr33 (2005)
You're still going round and
May 10, 2007 - 07:34 ET by dscottYou're still going round and round on what Al Gore promoted? I do get it TW, this is just another typical tactic from the liberal rhetorical tool box. Put something outrageous out there testing to see how far you can go, let people infer what you said or alluded to and then claim plausible deniability when called on it. You are doing the same thing with the 20ft sea level rise that Sheryl Crow did with the one square toilet paper. When you put up a graph showing 20 ft higher water levels and stand next to it or endorse the slide show/movie showing it, you basically said it.
The problem for you TW is that we are wise to the tactic, time to develop another one.
“The object of life is not to be on the side of the majority but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane.” – Marcus Aurelius