WSJ Op-Ed Busts an Old Media Meme: Current Economy Beats Comparable 1990s Period

Photo of Tom Blumer.

It's a read-the-whole-thing piece. Too bad it's subscriber-only.

Brian Wesbury, whose previous writings have been blogged on many times by yours truly (including here, here, here, and here), is very tired of the dissing the current economy is taking, and especially how it is unfavorably compared to the economy of the 1990s:

While I find it hard to believe that every complaint is politically motivated, it is difficult to imagine another justification for those who assert that the Clinton economy was better than the Bush economy.

For most Americans, who aren't familiar with economic analysis, it's impossible to determine what's actually happening. But the debate over Bush versus Clinton would be silly, if it weren't potentially influencing policy.

President Clinton took office in January 1993, almost two years after the 1990-91 recession had ended. On the other hand, President Bush took office just two months before the 2001 recession began.

As a result, any economic comparison that uses four-year presidential terms is highly misleading. The Clinton years will always look better than the Bush years with that approach. A better analysis which compares the two business cycles from their previous trough, shows the opposite. The Bush economy is equal to or better than the Clinton economy in almost every area.

Wesbury also makes a great point about the first half of the 1990s that Old Media has collectively flushed down the memory hole. When Wesbury compares that era's economic performance to comparable current times, and the causes of the difference, you'll see why:

There have been periods of sub-par performance, and one of those periods was the first half of the 1990s -- partly thanks to the first President Bush's and President Clinton's tax hikes.

Many argue that President Clinton's 1993 tax hikes did not hurt the economy, and that this proves taxes don't matter as much as supply-siders think. But nothing could be further from the truth. During the first 64 months of the '90s recovery, real average hourly earnings fell 0.2%, while the unemployment rate fell to 5.5%.

For the current recovery, during its first 64 months, real average hourly earnings are up 1.8%, while the unemployment rate is down to 4.4%.

..... Civilian job growth in the past five years is not statistically different than it was in the early '90s, while wages, for every income level, have experienced better performance.

The big difference between the two periods was that tax rates were hiked in the early '90s, while tax rates were cut in the early 2000s. And, contrary to popular belief, tax cuts, because they lift incentives to invest, always lead to a better environment for the overall population.

Wesbury has definitively shown that the tax-hiking era of the early 1990s was one where the average worker made no headway, while during the current tax-cutting era, all boats are being lifted.

If it weren't for writers like Brian Wesbury, information like this would be a closely-guarded secret kept by the Formerly Mainstream Media, whose business-news readers have perhaps never been more poorly served.

Cross-posted at BizzyBlog.com.

—Tom Blumer is president of a training and development company in Mason, Ohio, and is a contributing editor to NewsBusters


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Interesting, it makes me wo

Interesting, it makes me wonder what other stories the msm is both under/over reporting. I think I posted earlier on a different thread at this site, wondering if a Dem/lib (samething?) were elected POTUS, that the global warming stories, and accompaning hysteria would be reduced. Just as the homeless issue virtually disappeared when BJ Clinton was elected, only to reappear in Jan. 2001, by Peter Jennings of ABC, news no less.

I dunno, my recollections of the homeless issue, may be a little hazy, or wrong, and if so I would be pleased to be corrected.

jmad627-You present an inter

jmad627-

You present an interesting perspective.  Come to think of it, it does seem to me that the MSM saturated the news during the Reagan/Bush41 administrations with stories on the homeless, even during the boom times of the Reagan years.  During the Clinton administration, the MSM was relatively quiet.  I'm sure their reason was something like this:

At least President Clinton is DOING something about the plight of the homeless.  (Translation:  he's threw more of MY money to worthless programs instead of doing what was necessary-creating JOBS.)

The MSM's current reporting won't EVER give W the credit he deserves on really tackling the homeless issue  At least Bush 43 is DOING that, but "we'll not report that astounding bit of info".

And the media never mentions

And the media never mentions that the Clinton boom ended when massive corporate accounting fraud was revealed, starting in 1996 with Healthsouth, but was far more than worldcom and enron in 1998-01 (GBLX, GSTRF, Tyco, Adelphia etc etc).   Had any of these stories broke on Clinton's watch, the market would have painfully contracted.This fraud allowed the market bubble to continue for at least another year or longer, and of course, lead to very false predictions on employment #'s, alleged budget surpluses, and the like.   I would like one journalist to acknowledge those rosy "budget surpluses" projected in 1999 were largely a mirage fueled by 401K euphoria that in fact was simply bubble-mania.

And let me add that the media

And let me add that the media loves to herald "how many jobs were lost in W's first term," but I conservatively estimate that 2 million people had jobs the day Clinton left office due to direct (worked for guilty  companies) or indirect (service industry--travel, hotel, food) corporate fraud, awaiting the hammer to drop on the fraud fueling the market bubble.

With the current economic boo

With the current economic boom well under way in 2004, during the 2004 presidential election, CNN and ABC were both doing emotional stories about soup kitchens in their failed attempt to portray the economic boom as a period of economic misery and despair.  Of course, since a Republican will be in the White House in 2008, the Washington press corps will again turn to soup kitchens in 2008 to portray (falsely, of course) the state of the economy in another attempt to elect their desired candidate, to wit: the Democrat nominee.