New Study Refutes Gore’s Contention That Global Warming Increases Hurricanes

Photo of Noel Sheppard.

Talk about your really inconvenient truths, a new study to be released on Wednesday refutes one of the major cataclysmic claims of soon-to-be-Dr. Al Gore and his band of not so merry global warming alarmists.

For those that have forgotten – or just intentionally blocked it out -- in the schlockumentary “An Inconvenient Truth,” Gore contended that global warming was responsible for increased hurricane activity with ominous portent for the future of such storms. In fact, this was a common media meme in 2005 after Hurricane Katrina devastated New Orleans.

Yet, according to an article by Reuters Tuesday, not only does this appear not to be the case, but global warming actual reduces tropical cyclone frequency and intensity (emphasis added throughout):

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The study, to be published on Wednesday in Geophysical Research Letters, found that climate model simulations show a "robust increase" in wind shear in the tropical Atlantic during the 21st century from global warming.

Wind shear, a difference in wind speed or direction at different altitudes, tends to tear apart tropical cyclones, preventing nascent ones from growing and already-formed hurricanes from becoming the monster storms that cause the most damage.

How spectacular, wouldn’t you agree? Think this will get much airplay, or that anybody might actually ask Gore, or the “Stop Global Warming” tourists Sheryl Crow and Laurie David their opinions of this finding?

Regardless, the article continued:

The effect of global warming on wind shear is similar to the impact of El Nino, the periodic eastern Pacific warm-water phenomenon that tends to put a damper on Atlantic storms. The sudden development of El Nino was credited for an unexpectedly mild Atlantic season last year, when only 10 storms formed.

Debate on the likelihood that human-generated climate change contributes to hurricane development has raged since the 2005 Atlantic season, which produced a record-shattering 28 tropical storms and hurricanes.

Remarkably, the article even addressed the recent United Nations report, and its potentially errant view on this issue:

In February a report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change said it was "more likely than not" that humans contribute to a trend of increasingly intense hurricanes.

But researchers in the new study said increased wind shear could counter the effect of warming waters in the Atlantic.

"The environmental changes found in the study do not suggest a big increase in tropical Atlantic hurricane activity during the 21st century," said Brian Soden, a co-author of the report.

How wonderful. Wouldn’t it be nice if the media held Gore’s feet to the fire concerning this study, or would that be too much like investigative reporting rather than advancing a liberal agenda?

—Noel Sheppard is the Associate Editor of NewsBusters.


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I posted this a couple of hou

I posted this a couple of hours ago on the open thread.

"Eventually, Socialists run out of other peoples' money...." MARGARET THATCHER

gf...Don't you just hate that

gf...

Don't you just hate that when that happens?

Seriously speaking too...

...giggling...

bt

Yeah, just when you think you've provided a valuable/interesting link, along comes Noel to steal the thunder.....2HOURS later!!!! Geez..where's the love, I ask!!?

"Eventually, Socialists run out of other peoples' money...." MARGARET THATCHER

GF

GF,

As I'm sure you know, I give "love" when it's warranted. I didn't see this in the open thread. I think I saw it at Drudge.

Sorry, dude. I don't spend a lot of time in the open threads. However, NBers know that when I get ideas from them, I always acknowledge it.  ns

Noel..Say what!You do not hav

Noel..

Say what!

You do not have the time to read half the BS we put in the open threads?

LOL!

Just had to throw in my two cents...sorry gf.

BT

BT,

Doesn't happen a lot. Typically I only go in one because a "Recent Comment" catches my eye.   ns

Noel,Hope you know I was just

Noel,

Hope you know I was just joking with you...

I was busy posting my brilliant knowledge on another thread....lol

Btw....thanks for the latest twists and turns from the GW alarmists and such.

I read it, I just do not know what to say anymore, the whole thing amazes me period.

Noel

I'm justing yanking your chain. No big deal. Not the first time it's happened to me anyway.

"Eventually, Socialists run out of other peoples' money...." MARGARET THATCHER

GF

GF,

I had a feeling you were being facetious. I only responded due to the possibility you were being serious, and needed some coddling.  :-)     ns

Don't egg him on.

Don't egg him on.

actually gfrr,  its the tree

actually gfrr,  its the trees that cause GW in order to stop the hurricanes from blowing them down 

botg

Damn, botg how did I overlook that?

"Eventually, Socialists run out of other peoples' money...." MARGARET THATCHER

I love that - schlockumentary

I love that - schlockumentary.

Tomorrow's bad weather is a d

Tomorrow's bad weather is a direct result of global warming and proof that the world is ending..And, your fault. You self centered neanderthals. Tomorrow's nice weather is caused by global warming.

"The urge to save humanity is almost always a false front for the urge to rule.”   H.L. Mencken

Ookay. I'll just go ahead and

Ookay. I'll just go ahead and get this out of the way. I want to get this out of the way in the hopes that the usual Thread Cloggers that pop up in the gw threads will already see that someone has made their points for them. Everyone ignored it. And the thread moved on. Shall we commence? Ahem..

" This new study is nothing new. It has already been de-bunked and discredited. The scientific methods used are highly questionable, as are some of the scientists. Brian Soden is on the payroll of and a mouthpiece for Big Oil. Last year he donated $2000 dollars to a charity sponsored by Exxon. Please educate yourself and get some facts at thinkregress.org. Also it is well known that the Geophysical Research Letters is right-wing neocon think tank."

Hey that was as easy as it looks! 

That was nicely done. LOL.

That was nicely done. LOL.

Thanks! Actually it was prett

Thanks! Actually it was pretty easy.

And I'll say it,  Hat Tip to gfrrman! : )

It is easy to come up with th

It is easy to come up with the insane reasoning of a anthropogenic global warming advocate. All you need to do is write from a perspective that any disagreement to your opinion is incorrect, and the rest of the rhetoric just seems to flow out.

"Well, that is not fact because the author was born in October...." Or

"There is consensus by 1500 scientists, so whatever you say is wrong"

mod

Lol master....( as gfrrman bows appreciatively) Thanks... ;-)

"Eventually, Socialists run out of other peoples' money...." MARGARET THATCHER

con,Ditto that too!mod...thin

con,

Ditto that too!

mod...think it will save any thread space if the gremlins come out to play?

LOL...

I doubt it as the little cret

I doubt it as the little cretins just like to hear themselves type.

Hey bt, Nah I doubt it. In fa

Hey bt,

Nah I doubt it. In fact I wouldn't be surprised if they show up and try to prove me right on some of those points. So predictable, that's why it was so easy to just type that out.

Remember ignore, ignore! ; )

Science supports the record - hurricanes

Yet another scientific view that supports the actual historical record. Good coverage NS.

YEARS 1900 - 1949 (50 years):

Named storms = 189; Hurricanes = 101; Intense Hurricanes (Cat 3,4,5) = 39

YEARS 1956 - 2005 (50 years):

Named storms = 165; Hurricanes = 83; Intense Hurricanes (Cat 3,4,5) = 34

Then they note that in the second 50 year period that the global temperature increase was +0.4 degrees C.

As it turned out, warmer weather = fewer storms, fewer hurricanes and fewer intense hurricanes. Look forward to seeing those numbers on the nightly news, on GMA, on the front page of any national newspaper. Heck, I'd be surprised if even National Geographic could force themselves to print it. It's just not the data that they want us to see.

Data from: Here's the web page for those who'd like to see the 2007 Atlantic hurricane prediction. If you scroll down to section 7 you'll see the chart.

Where's the love. (;~>

Yeah sure try to get a radi

Yeah sure try to get a radio guy to do the weather with a straight face. I'm still trying to figure out how Laurie David attributed the cold April to global warming.

With so many experts, who has the time for sanity? I just look out my window. Nothing like real time weather I say.

"Yeah sure try to get

"Yeah sure try to get a radio guy to do the weather with a straight face. I'm still trying to figure out how Laurie David attributed the cold April to global warming."

Well, according to Mrs. David, that well-known climatologist whose years of producing hollywood programs you've probably never heard more than qualifies her as an expert on the subject, global warming causes record cold. Now, if true, doesn't that suggest the solution to global warming is......global warming?


Illegal Immigrants cause global warming. Build the wall to save the Earth. Don't we owe it to the children?

Yeah I suppose if one would

Yeah I suppose if one would use the new math, it could mean that or it could mean that clouds can talk to you. lol. I know you were kidding ckc.

Gore on hurricanes

Gore contended that global warming was responsible for increased hurricane activity

No he didn't. He did claim that the hurricanes would get stronger:

"Of course when the oceans get warmer, that causes stronger storms. "

http://www.hokeg.dyndns.org/AITruth.htm

Piniella

Piniella,

Nonsense. Such a contention is implied throughout the movie and the website. Do you think the picture of Hurricane Katrina coming out of a smokestack as the film's virtual logo was an accident?

Furthermore, from the film's website (emphasis added): "With 2005, the worst storm season ever experienced in America just behind us, it seems we may be reaching a tipping point - and Gore pulls no punches in explaining the dire situation."

What do you think is being implied here? Or here:

We’re already seeing changes. Glaciers are melting, plants and animals are being forced from their habitat, and the number of severe storms and droughts is increasing. The number of Category 4 and 5 hurricanes has almost doubled in the last 30 years.

With all due respect, this is a clear statement that global warming is and will increase the number of hurricanes and their intensity regardless of how Gore sycophants want to debate what the meaning of "is" is.   ns

I received the following post

I received the following post from a friend in an e-mail.  The facts are uncorroborated except that the 2nd house seems to have the environmental features as described. Enjoy!

"LOOK OVER THE DESCRIPTIONS OF THE FOLLOWING TWO HOUSES AND SEE IF YOU CAN TELL WHICH BELONGS TO AN ENVIRONMENTALIST.

HOUSE # 1:

A 20-room mansion (not including 8 bathrooms) heated by natural gas.  Add on a pool (and a pool house) and a separate guest house all heated by gas.  In ONE MONTH ALONE this mansion consumes more energy than the average American household in an ENTIRE YEAR.  The average bill for electricity and natural gas runs over $2, 400.00 per month.  In natural gas alone (which last time we checked was a fossil fuel), this property consumes more than 20 times the national average for an American home.  This house is not in a northern or Midwestern "snow belt," either.  It's in the South.

  HOUSE # 2:

Designed by an architecture professor at a leading national university, this house incorporates every "green" feature current home construction can provide.  The house contains only 4,000 square feet (4 bedrooms) and is nestled on arid high prairie in the American southwest.  A central closet in the house holds geothermal heat pumps drawing ground water through pipes sunk 300 feet into the ground.  The water (usually 67 degrees F.) heats the house in winter and cools it in summer.  The system uses no fossil fuels such as oil or natural gas, and it consumes 25% of the electricity required for a conventional heating/cooling system.  Rainwater from the roof is collected and funneled into a 25,000 gallon underground cistern.  Wastewater from showers, sinks and toilets goes into underground purifying tanks and then into the cistern.  The collected water then irrigates the land surrounding the house.  Flowers and shrubs native to the area blend the property into the surrounding rural landscape.  

HOUSE # 1 (20 room energy guzzling mansion) is outside of Nashville,Tennessee.  It is the abode of that renowned environmentalist (and filmmaker) Al Gore.  

HOUSE # 2 (model eco-friendly house) is on a ranch near Crawford, Texas.  Also known as "the Texas White House," it is the private residence of the President of the United States, George W. Bush."

Actually piniella...

What is the ultimate source of tropical cyclones? Thunderstorms. These storms come off the west coast of Africa and build over a warm summer ocean. That's true.

But how do THUNDERSTORMS FORM? Because of colliding cold and hot air masses that create a strong temperature gradient; if all colliding temperatures are warmer, the storms will be weaker. The temperatures must contrast strongly to create strong storms, which are ultimately heated by the warm summer ocean near the equator to give rise to cyclones.

Nice try. When will liberals finally admit (and realize) that they don't know everything about this planet or universe? There is MUCH to learn, and to pretend otherwise proves how narcissistic you all are.

Cunservatyve military medical guy

If you rob Peter to pay Paul, you can always count on Paul's vote!

Clever move...

Actually, this is a very clever move on the part of liberals. Whether a hurricane season is bust or boom, they can now blame it on global warming.

This goes along with the shrewd tactic of setting AGW-caused devastation 100 years from now, when we'll all be too dead to notice what crap AGW is.

Cunservatyve military medical guy

If you rob Peter to pay Paul, you can always count on Paul's vote!

True.   Those who did the s

True.   Those who did the study have said they are strong believers in Anthropogenic Global Warming.  You can bet they will incorporate this study into their progrom.

Yes, whatever happens weather

Yes, whatever happens weather-wise, it's the fault of global warming.  And man is completely guilty of causing global warming (even though 3/4's of  the evidence was excluded from the case).  We all need to join QueenMum in making a public apology and going into GW rehab.

Katrina was not a strong hurr

Katrina was not a strong hurricane.

It was a modest category 3 when it struck New Orleans.

The levee did not fail due to strong winds, or rain, or waves.

The levee was defective and leaking water for some time.

The levee was a time bomb just waiting to fail.

 The levee was not adequately inspected to look for such problems.

No efforts were made to repair it.

The rise in water levels due to the storm surge was enough to blow out the toe of the defective levee.

The levee failure

Repairs of the levees were blocked by the environmentalists.

Federal money that was supposed to go to the levees was re-routed by the Democrats in LA and NO.

RJ,Exactly,The untold story i

RJ,

Exactly,

The untold story in the msm...purposely.

A lot of other contributing factors too that we have all been through ad nauseum here...but is is still maddening to this day, I am sick and tired of hearing the name Katrina.

Funny, BT, when I hear Katrin

Funny, BT, when I hear Katrina, "uh, oh, here comes something dumb" is the immediate thought in my mind....and I'm nearly always right.  Then my Liberal Sneeze Guard (sort of like at a salad bar) goes up and I'm ok.

There's a whole lot of liberal buzz-words that have the same effect on me.   ;^> 

"Did we think Kyoto would [reduce global warming] when we signed it? Hell no!" -Al Gore

But, what if hurricanes are a

But, what if hurricanes are an energy release mechanism?  If they are prevented from occuring by any means, where and how will this energy be released?

Are you implying that Katri

Are you implying that Katrina was a good thing and that we should hope, even encourage such things to happen?

What I did today.

Not at all. Just posing the

Not at all. Just posing the question. The energy has to be released at some time, some way.

Not at all. Just posing the

Forest fires devesatate areas.  But they also clean out the dead underbrush allowing for newer, healthier forsests to grow. 

Suprisingly MSNBC also gives

Suprisingly MSNBC also gives this story air-play.  What is disturbing to me however, is, in comparison to the Rueters article MSNBC added this paragraph that states:

**Soden, of Miami’s Rosenstiel School for Marine and Atmospheric Science, added: “This study does not in any way undermine the widespread consensus in the scientific community about the reality of global warming.”**

I wonder if he indeed did state this, or if it was embelished by MSNBC.....

See here for the link: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/18159861/

The GW loons can't catch a br

The GW loons can't catch a break. Last year was supposed to be the mother of all hurricane seasons yet there were none.
The recent hype for GW has been laughed at by the average Joe because of the unseasonable cold weather.
Remember the debate is over says Laurie David.....lol.

The Real Cause

I can't believe anything I read and I'm getting very frustrated.  It's been seven years since the REAL CAUSE of global warming was explained to me in a class I took and I still have not seen ANYWHERE the CAUSE repeated and discussed.  As it was explained (and illustrated visually) to those of us in a physics class with Dr. Art Thounuts of the University of Mississippi, Tupelo, global warming of late has been caused by a NASA probe sent to gather information on sun spots in the late 90's.  Well, this probe happened to bump into the sun's thermostat raising it's temperature 0.7 degrees!  That's it folks!  It ain't CO 2s, it ain't cows, it ain't water vapor! For crying out looooud!  It's the sun's thermostat!