If a leading expert writes an op-ed in a national news magazine contradicting the conventional wisdom of the "lapdog media", will a liberal read it?
I'd say there's a 70 percent chance that won't happen, at least as long as the subject is global warming. Richard S. Lindzen, a well-respected and widely published professor of meteorology at MIT just published a very clear-headed and sober editorial in this week's Newsweek. (Update: Lindzen's article appears only in Newsweek's international editions and on their web site. U.S. subscribers won't see it in the issue that arrives in their mailboxes.) It got picked up by Drudge and a number of right-leaning blogs but as of this posting, has not been written about by any popular left-wing blogs.
So for those lefties who are stopping by, allow me to reprint some key grafs from Lindzen's piece:
Recently many people have said that the earth is facing a crisis requiring urgent action. This statement has nothing to do with science. There is no compelling evidence that the warming trend we've seen will amount to anything close to catastrophe. What most commentators—and many scientists—seem to miss is that the only thing we can say with certainly about climate is that it changes. The earth is always warming or cooling by as much as a few tenths of a degree a year; periods of constant average temperatures are rare. Looking back on the earth's climate history, it's apparent that there's no such thing as an optimal temperature—a climate at which everything is just right. The current alarm rests on the false assumption not only that we live in a perfect world, temperaturewise, but also that our warming forecasts for the year 2040 are somehow more reliable than the weatherman's forecast for next week. [...]
Indeed, one overlooked mystery is why temperatures are not already higher. Various models predict that a doubling of CO2 in the atmosphere will raise the world's average temperature by as little as 1.5 degrees Celsius or as much as 4.5 degrees. The important thing about doubled CO2 (or any other greenhouse gas) is its "forcing"—its contribution to warming. At present, the greenhouse forcing is already about three-quarters of what one would get from a doubling of CO2. But average temperatures rose only about 0.6 degrees since the beginning of the industrial era, and the change hasn't been uniform—warming has largely occurred during the periods from 1919 to 1940 and from 1976 to 1998, with cooling in between. Researchers have been unable to explain this discrepancy.
Modelers claim to have simulated the warming and cooling that occurred before 1976 by choosing among various guesses as to what effect poorly observed volcanoes and unmeasured output from the sun have had. These factors, they claim, don't explain the warming of about 0.4 degrees C between 1976 and 1998. Climate modelers assume the cause must be greenhouse-gas emissions because they have no other explanation. This is a poor substitute for evidence, and simulation hardly constitutes explanation. Ten years ago climate modelers also couldn't account for the warming that occurred from about 1050 to 1300. They tried to expunge the medieval warm period from the observational record—an effort that is now generally discredited. The models have also severely underestimated short-term variability El Niño and the Intraseasonal Oscillation. Such phenomena illustrate the ability of the complex and turbulent climate system to vary significantly with no external cause whatever, and to do so over many years, even centuries.
Update 11:48. As of this writing, no top lefty blog has linked in.
—Matthew Sheffield is Editor of NewsBusters.
















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Comments Policy
Another odd thing the CO2-o
April 9, 2007 - 03:02 ET by sarcasmoAnother odd thing the CO2-obsessed never seem to want to think about is that 1940 date, and the temperatures that happened afterwards despite a World War, which had to drastically increase human CO2 output (and a depression the decade before, which presumably decreased industrial CO2 output, also seemingly had 0 effect). I guess they're in-practice, from ignoring Prof. Gray...
JMR
Lindzen's own words
April 9, 2007 - 03:03 ET by piniellaProf. Lindzen is a contributor to the book Encyclopedia of Global Change, Environmental Change and Human Society, Volume 1, Oxford University Press, New York,710 pp, and the introduction to his paper on the greenhouse effect states:
Why then piniella
April 9, 2007 - 05:24 ET by SportPoliticsWhy then piniella, did global temperatures decrease for 30 straight years, 1940-1970 ?
Well, because global cooli
April 9, 2007 - 05:55 ET by motherbeltWell, because global cooling can be caused by global warming, you dolt!! It's all very complicated and esoteric, but that's why we have those experts.
When Mt. St. Helens erupted, the "experts" talked about the disastrous effect all that pollution was going to have on weather and everything else (same with Pinatubo). Mother Nature cleaned both of those messes up nicely.
I recently read somewhere that man-made CO2 emissions account for 1% of the "pollutants" that are in our atmosphere. So even if we got that down to 0, we'd still have the other 99%. But I guess you gotta do what you can do.
God has already accounted and
April 9, 2007 - 07:02 ET by stanleygoodspeedGod has already accounted and prepared for ANYTHING Man can do to the planet ... He has put 7 major jet streams over the earth that can rapidly dissipate into space anything Man could put into the atmosphere - from carbon dioxide to nuclear fallout ... He has put more than 5 trillion trees on earth that THRIVE on CO2 ... He created bacteria that can consume oil and clean up oil spills ... He has ten trillion angels that wait on His every command every second of the day ... He can alter the spin of earth's axis or expand earth's orbit if global warming really WAS a problem ... He has wrapped earth in a magnetic field that protects it from massive solar winds and asteroid impacts ... and He is OMNIPOTENT - i.e. HE takes care of the global environmental issues, not Man.
Psalms 47:9
The princes of the people are gathered together, even the people of the God of Abraham: FOR THE SHIELDS OF THE EARTH BELONG UNTO GOD: he is greatly exalted.
Genesis 8:22
While the earth remaineth, seedtime and harvest, and cold and heat, and summer and winter, and day and night shall not cease [i.e. global warming is NOT going to bring worldwide catastrophe as Al Gore claims].
The Word of God warns about s
April 9, 2007 - 07:10 ET by stanleygoodspeedThe Word of God warns about science falsely so called in 1 Timothy.
1 Timothy 6:20-21
(20) O Timothy, keep that which is committed to thy trust, avoiding profane and vain babblings, and oppositions of science falsely so called:
(21) Which some professing have erred concerning the faith. Grace be with thee. Amen.
In 1974 Time Magazine ran an article warning of global COOLING. Mature Christians are not to allow themselves to be blown about by every wind of doctrine.
Ephesians 4:14
That we henceforth be no more children, tossed to and fro, and carried about with every wind of doctrine, by the sleight of men, and cunning craftiness, whereby they lie in wait to deceive;
Romans confronts those who worship and serve nature more than God.
Romans 1:20-23, 25
(20) For the invisible things of him from the creation of the world are clearly seen, being understood by the things that are made, even his eternal power and Godhead; so that they are without excuse:
(21) Because that, when they knew God, they glorified him not as God, neither were thankful; but became vain in their imaginations, and their foolish heart was darkened.
(22) Professing themselves to be wise, they became fools,
(23) And changed the glory of the incorruptible God into an image made like to corruptible man, and to birds, and fourfooted beasts, and creeping things.
(25) Who changed the truth of God into a lie, and worshiped and served the creature [ktisis - creation ... i.e. earth, or nature, and the things therein] more than the Creator, who is blessed forever. Amen.
And finally, the shields of the earth are the Lord's ... He is never going to allow global, or even continental, catastrophe to happen on earth.
Psalms 47:9
The princes of the people are gathered together, even the people of the God of Abraham: FOR THE SHIELDS OF THE EARTH BELONG UNTO GOD : He is greatly exalted.
Genesis 8:22
While the earth remaineth, seedtime and harvest, and cold and heat, and summer and winter, and day and night shall not cease.
The point of my qoute was to
April 9, 2007 - 06:22 ET by piniellaThe point of my qoute was to show you that Lindzen accepts the fact that the increase in CO2 is caused by mankind.
So what?I think. Therefore
April 9, 2007 - 06:26 ET by Jack BauerSo what?
pinella is a bit slow
April 9, 2007 - 06:42 ET by SportPoliticspinella is a bit slow, he thought a bunch of people somewhere off in the outer universe had argued that man had not caused any increase in co2...
or he's just plain THICK...
and if man had, then it would be absolute proof that freezing temperatures mean global warming is real.
He's so stupid he ought to stick around. It will make balboa feel better.
The earth cooled between 1940 and 1970 - entirely ignoring the increased co2 level, and ignoramus babble boy piniella the learned and informed one doesn't care, since he's trying to establish how stupid he is.
Gawd. Duhhhhhh.
Hey, the earth spins and it appears to inhabitants that the sun rises.
Case closed. I was trying to establish a fact.
Lindzen used the 'GW stopped
April 9, 2007 - 06:44 ET by piniellaLindzen used the 'GW stopped in 1998' argument which even Crichton acknowledged later was lame. He also used the 'aerosols are completely uncertain' but 'sensitivity to CO2 from the 20th Century is precisely defined' in adjoining paragraphs without any apparent cognitive dissonance.
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2007/03/adventures-on-the-east-side/#more-420
Again so what?Simply anothe
April 9, 2007 - 06:56 ET by Jack BauerAgain so what?
Simply another classic example of the fallacy known as post hoc, ergo propter hoc.
Which means: "therefore, because of this"
The argument goes thus:...
Thus -- A occured, then B occured...
Therefore A caused B; or mankind increased the temperature of the planet.
As I said, classic. It's just a basic error in logic.
It is equally possible that the claimed marginal rise in the average temperature of the globe (although records for this hardly go back in time to be of any use) is the CAUSE of a marginal increase in the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere at present.
There are many scientists who put forward THAT theory.
Again so what?It seems that P
April 9, 2007 - 07:01 ET by piniellaAgain so what?
It seems that Professor Lindzen refutes himself.
And??I think. Therefore I a
April 9, 2007 - 07:06 ET by Jack BauerAnd??
Gee. You found Mann's website
April 9, 2007 - 13:00 ET by danboGee. You found Mann's website attacking someone who disagrees with him. He does have to defend his broken Hocky Stick.
"The urge to save humanity is almost always a false front for the urge to rule.” H.L. Mencken
Let me get this straight. Lin
April 9, 2007 - 12:53 ET by danboLet me get this straight. Lindzen is now part of your consensus? Is this how you get your consensus?
Twisting things around.
"The urge to save humanity is almost always a false front for the urge to rule.” H.L. Mencken
How can the Layperson decide which viewpoint is valid?
April 9, 2007 - 03:39 ET by securityAnother insidious problem is the inability of the layperson to know who is right when there are compelling opposing views voiced from different expert camps.
Do we err' on the side of caution - just in case a future society could potentially reach the point of no return - or do we defer to a future generation, that will likely be much more advanced in all sciences to figure this all out - hopefully, based purely on Scientific facts and not Politics?
security
April 9, 2007 - 03:56 ET by SportPoliticsOne of the ways a layperson can make a decision on the proposed positions is to determine whom is contradictory and whom is caught lying and exagerrating.
If either side defers explanation of evidentiary anomalies or covers up and censors their existence, perhaps after acknowledging them but before becoming aware of the weakness they point out in their own position, that is a clear indicator to the layman as to whom one should believe.
By their fruits ye shall know
April 9, 2007 - 06:41 ET by stanleygoodspeedBy their fruits ye shall know them ... and look at the rotten apples, busybodies, and false prophets falling off the global warming tree - Al Gore, Heidi Cullen, John Kerry, the U.N., the IPCC, etc. etc.
The nature of a religion is known by its prophets ... that should help make the decision about where to stand on "global" warming very simple.
"Another insidious pr
April 9, 2007 - 10:05 ET by ckc1227"Another insidious problem is the inability of the layperson to know who is right when there are compelling opposing views voiced from different expert camps."
Actually, on this issue, it should be quite simple. When you have one side that misrepresents(fabricates?)the data to further their cause every chance they get, that should tell you all you need to know.
How the lead spokesman for this cause can have an ounce of credibility left on this subject(algore) is beyond me, especially after making the prediction that cities will be under water, even though the pro-warming IPCC(everyone's favorite authority on this subject) estimates, at most, there will be a foot and a half rise in sea levels, which is about the amount it has risen over the last 100 years, WITH NO CATASTROPHIC RESULTS!
Couple that with the fact that this con artist admitted...ADMITTED to Congress the other day that oftentimes CO2 levels rise AFTER a temperature increase, not before, basically undermining his entire case. Yet the madness continues.....
Do we err' on the side of cau
April 9, 2007 - 11:18 ET by taznarGood question, but which side is the side of caution?
Global warming might have negative consequences, or like the warming period of the Middle Ages, may be a boon to civilizations. Where on the planet do you find the greatest abundance and diversity of life? In the warmest parts of the world. Where do you find the most barren lands? In the coldest parts of the world.
Economists have also predicted that the measures we would have to take to make any impact (if indeed we can make any impact) would have serious repurcussions on the global economy. Take that with the observation that the greatest killer on the planet is not a (global) shortage of food or the climate, but poverty, and some have prediceted death and devestation in 3rd world countries that would exceed the "global catastrophe" some predict in the event global warming continues.
Which prediction is the most reliable? Which side is the side of caution?
Global Warming
April 9, 2007 - 12:09 ET by pbanks7Ooh, ooh, can have the next one?
Global Warming will cause the ice caps to melt and oceans to warm, therefore the resulting increased moisture in the air will lead to ...... drought, more deserts and famine.
Oh! and one more....
More CO2 in the air for plants to breathe, and longer growing cycles in northern climates will lead to..... drought, deserts, and famine.
See? this is fun!
Ignorance is bliss. It's easier to repeat a mindless slogan than to do some actual research.
I am truly amazed at how easi
April 9, 2007 - 12:52 ET by Gat New YorkI am truly amazed at how easily they can make this stuff up and sell it. Then their answer to anyone who questions them is the discussion is over. I wasn't aware we had it yet. I am convinced that when history is written Al Gore will go down as some kind of a loon.
It's all about taxing and fee
April 9, 2007 - 05:06 ET by Andrew H.It's all about taxing and feeding a new industry created by hysteria--good for few, bad for most.
Liberalism is a convenient lie.
The love of money is indeed p
April 9, 2007 - 06:31 ET by stanleygoodspeedThe love of money is indeed part of the heart of the issue of global warming ... that's what the U.N. wants - the billions that could roll into their coffers from international U.N. environmental law and such things as carbon credits.
Conservatism is an inconvenient truth.
The piece is well written in
April 9, 2007 - 05:14 ET by old croThe piece is well written in terms anyone can understand - Recently many people have said that the earth is facing a crisis requiring urgent action. This statement has nothing to do with science. There is no compelling evidence that the warming trend we've seen will amount to anything close to catastrophe. - but how many will get to see this article? The left will put their hands up to their ears and sing la la la la la while averting their eyes to this piece and dare not mention it mainstream circles. The "choir" will sing its praises, but only the "choir" will hear it. Most people get their information - or are denied that information - from the MSM so the bulk of the population will be bullied into fear of global warming. They have an agenda out there, and they mean to stick to it!
"It's easy being a humorist when you've got the whole government working for you."
Will Rogers
Global warming ... that's the
April 9, 2007 - 06:24 ET by stanleygoodspeedGlobal warming ... that's their lie and they're stickin' to it.
gorbal warming
April 9, 2007 - 06:10 ET by DontabJust follow the money, its always about the money. Carbon credit companies can absolve you of guilt, so go ahead be like algore and use all the energy you want. BTW algore invests heavily in these companies.
Gorbal warming is a sickness, not a science.
"Just follow the money,
April 9, 2007 - 06:21 ET by stanleygoodspeed"Just follow the money, its always about the money."
EXACTLY.
Al Snore, the U.N., and the rest of the "zero-point-five degree" bunch are just after the taxpayer billions ... HUNDREDS of billions ... that come with their massive and pointless government over-regulation.
Don't forget the huuuuuuuuuuu
April 9, 2007 - 12:17 ET by pbanks7Don't forget the huuuuuuuuuuuge gubmint contracts.
Ignorance is bliss. It's easier to repeat a mindless slogan than to do some actual research.
I am sorry to inform you----
April 9, 2007 - 12:06 ET by misterbillI am sorry to inform you----the GW theorists are correct. I ran my own test and alas!- it substantiated the GWers claims. I was in Florida for a week's vacation. I went to the beach. I sought an area where there was no noticeable surf or wave action. I stepped in to water up to my ankles. I stood there patiently for one whole hour. To my dismay, the water had risen approximately two and one half inches up my leg. I was quite alarmed. The predicted effects are happening even faster than the Algoreics had said.
Next week I am heading up to the coal burning plants of Georgia Power to see if the CO2 affects my asthma more there than at the ocean. It is dangerous, but I am willing to risk my life in the pursuit of truth.
I love professor Gray! He t
April 9, 2007 - 12:51 ET by wiwfI love professor Gray! He teaches at my school, CSU, and he makes me feel proud that there are professors out there that aren't retarded indoctrinating liberals! :D
That post with the bible ve
April 9, 2007 - 17:01 ET by radiofitz34That post with the bible verses reminded me of a theory I had recently thought of. It could be that the GW believers want everyone to practice a sort of secular/ humanist version of admitting our "sins" and thus requiring "repentance".
To put it another way, we as humans are screwing up the planet which causes us to feed our collective guilt and therefore requires us to do something.
Of course this forces the rest of us "rebels" to be perceived as "non-believers".