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AP Downplays Bad News About Housing Starts and Removes It From Headline

By Tom Blumer | April 17, 2012 | 18:18

A  A
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The stunts the folks at the Associated Press, aka the Administration's Press, continue pulling to downplay, minimize, or whitewash bad or embarrassing economic and other news shouldn't surprise us any more. But they continue to disappoint nonetheless.

Last month, a consumer sentiment index reported by the Conference Board fell by a relatively modest amount. Headlines and descriptions at related AP reports went from “falls” to “dips slightly” to “roughly flat” to a “rosy outlook” in the course of a single day. Today's AP rewrite only involved one step. At 9:04 a.m., Derek Kravitz's dispatch on the Census Bureau's New Home Construction report gave equal play to the seasonally adjusted (and totally unexpected) fall in new housing starts and the also unexpected but more modest rise in building permits:

Story Continues Below Ad ↓

APhomebuildingSlowsHeadline933amOn041712

Here are Kravitz's first four paragraphs:

U.S. builders started work on fewer homes in March after they sharply cut back on apartment construction. But builders requested the most permits for future projects in 3 1/2 years, suggesting many see the housing market improving over the next year.

The Commerce Department says builders broke ground at a seasonally adjusted annual pace of 654,000 homes last month. That's down 5.8 percent from February. Apartment construction, which can fluctuate sharply from month to month, fell nearly 20 percent. Single-family homebuilding was mostly unchanged.

Building permits, a gauge of future construction, rose 4.5 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 747,000. That's the highest level since September 2008.

Even with the gains, the rate of construction and the level of permits requested remain only about half the pace considered healthy. Economists say that construction activity is still depressed and the housing market has a long way to go before it is back to full health.

The AP usually doesn't report on how results compare to pre-release expectations, which I think is unwise; but at least they're (usually) consistent about it. Bloomberg had expectations of 705,000 and 710,000, respectively, for starts and permits; actual starts came in almost 8% lower, while permits were over 5% higher.

All in all, with the obvious exception that "housing starts" don't represent the equivalent of "construction" (an error the AP continually commits and about which it doesn't seem to care), the verbiage above and the accompanying headline reflect the underlying data and the priority of their importance.

So you almost had to know that it wouldn't last -- and it didn't.

About 90 minutes later, Kravitz's headline and content morphed into a POS (Perfectly Outrageous Stinker) which gave top priority to permits (i.e., the good news) and seriously downplayed starts (the bad). Here's the new headline:

APpermitsHeadline1033amOn041712

Here are the first five paragraphs of that 10:33 a.m. writeup:

U.S. builders requested the most permits in March for single-family homes and apartments in 3 1/2 years, suggesting that many expect the housing market to improve over the next year.

The Commerce Department said Tuesday that permits, a gauge of future construction, rose 4.5 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 747,000 in March. That's the highest level since September 2008.

The rise in permits helped offset a slower month of construction.

Jonathan Basile, director of economics at Credit Suisse, said more permits is a "good sign for broader economic activity" and should lead to increase in construction in the coming months.

Builders broke ground at a seasonally adjusted annual pace of 654,000 homes last month. That's down 5.8 percent from February. Apartment construction, which can fluctuate sharply from month to month, fell nearly 20 percent. Single-family homebuilding was mostly unchanged.

There's nothing specific about housing starts, arguably the more important number (last time I checked, indicators of real construction activity mean more than how many permission slips builders have), until the fifth paragraph. And as to permits, as I pointed out earlier today (at NewsBusters; at BizzyBlog), "builders may be stockpiling permits in advance of economic improvement they may believe is many months away, for reasons which should be obvious."

News-altering maneuvers such as these are so brazen and devoid of anything resembling integrity that they leave you scratching your head and wondering if anyone at the self-described "Essential Global News Network" even cares if they are caught and exposed. It would appear that the answer is "No, they don't."

Cross-posted at BizzyBlog.com.

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Comments

How many legacy media outlets

Submitted by d1carter on Tue, 04/17/2012 - 7:55pm.

How many legacy media outlets pick up this propaganda and reprint it. The Associated Press has become a subversive organization.

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Secondary Mortgage Market

Submitted by Kingfish17 on Tue, 04/17/2012 - 11:44pm.

Until the GSE's are eliminated or reformed and a trustworthy secondary mortgage market emerges, the housing market just isn't going to come back. Furthermore, what private investor is going to want to purchase thirty year mortgage securities that yield less then 4%, with a risk premium of home mortgages and the evaluation and default mess thrown in to boot?

Additionally, as long as home mortgage rates are this artificially low, private capital will not take the time to analyze the underlying loans in any mortgage securities that might be created.  It's going to take some innovative thinking and some risk taking, and free market interest rates, for the housing market to ever return to a semblance of what it was once.  Government is going to have to get out of the way for this to happen.  Government is screwing up the mortgage market yet again.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

"You can’t go take a trip to Las Vegas...on the taxpayer’s dime." Barack Obama

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"...the housing market improving over the next year."

Submitted by Dave. on Wed, 04/18/2012 - 8:59am.

LOL - Now that's funny.

The only thing "starting" relating to housing is the next wave of foreclosures.

-Dave

Vote for the American in November

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Next two years, more likely

Submitted by CobraMan on Wed, 04/18/2012 - 11:13am.

"suggesting that many expect the housing market to improve over the next year."

More likely, the improvements are expected TWO years from now, as it takes about a year to actually build new housing (especially apartment buildings), let alone sell (or rent) it to people. The permits for this year's construction were purchased about a year ago. Of course, the AP reported this same "expect great improvement" last year, when those permits were purchased, only to note that the construction is actually not as great as "expected" because the SALES of last year's new homes, and the rentals of last year's new apartments, were a lot worse than they imagined!

Next year? The AP will report: "Hay, look, the number of new housing construction has increased!" But, of course, not as much as hey expected as there will still be a glut of new homes and apartments, including the ones that are being built this year, housing that still won't be sold.

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Or Anwar al-Awlaki.

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