Bloomberg's Unchallenging Obama Interview: No Mention of Cratering Collections While Prez Touts 'Robust' Growth

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Maybe reporters Brian Faler or Nicholas Johnston at Bloomberg asked Barack Obama some really challenging questions when they had a chance to interview the President at the White House. Maybe they even did some basic fact-checking. If so, there's precious little evidence of either in their June 16 report.

They allowed the president to blame most of the current year's deficit on George W. Bush. They let him speak of "robust" growth when the best guesstimates they quoted for the second half of this calendar year and all of next year are anemic -- at least as the press benchmarked growth during the Bush 43 years.

The Bloomberg pair also ignored the alarming deterioration in federal receipts from economic activity that has continued into June, one of the four biggest collections months of the year.

Here are key paragraphs from Faler and Johnston's failed filing (bolds are mine):

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Obama Says ‘Robust’ Growth Will Prevent Tax Increases (Update1)

President Barack Obama said he is "confident" that he won't have to raise taxes on most Americans to close the budget deficit as long as the economy picks up steam.

"One of the biggest variables in this whole thing is economic growth," the president said in an interview with Bloomberg News at the White House. "If we are growing at a robust rate, then we can pay for the government that we need without having to raise taxes."

Obama has repeatedly said he would keep his campaign pledge to cut taxes for 95 percent of working Americans while rolling back tax breaks for households making more than $250,000 a year.

"I’m confident that we don’t have to raise taxes on ordinary working families," he said.

The U.S. economy shrank at a 5.7 percent annual pace in the first quarter, reflecting declines in housing, inventories and business investment. Growth is expected to turn positive in the second half of the year, accelerating 0.5 percent from July through September and 1.9 percent in the final three months of this year, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of 62 economists. The median forecast for growth next year is 1.8 percent, according to the survey.

Obama warned that if economic growth remains "anemic" and Congress fails to adopt his plans to hold down the cost of health care, work on alternative energy sources and improve the U.S. education system, "then we’re going to continue to have problems."

He also repeated his promise to cut the budget deficit, forecast to hit $1.8 trillion this year, in half by the end of his first term. The budget he submitted to Congress in February anticipates that the government will still run what would be, by historic standards, large deficits for the foreseeable future.

..... "If my proposals are adopted, then not only are we cutting the deficit in half compared to where it would be if we didn’t do anything, but we’re also going to be able to raise revenue on people making over $250,000 a year in a modest way," he said. "That helps close the deficit."

..... Obama said a large part of the current budget deficit was inherited from the administration of former President George W. Bush, his predecessor, and that extra spending was needed to address the worst global financial crisis since World War II.

First, here are direct responses to the bolded items:

  • If the President is looking for "robust" growth as the press defined it from 2001-2008, he'll have to go to calendar year 2011 to find it, based on the economists Bloomberg surveyed. You can take it to the bank that no establishment media reporter would have let Bush or any of his economic advisers get away with characterizing 1.8% annualized growth as "robust" (nor should they have), and no reporter would have used the word "accelerating" to describe 0.5% quarterly growth (nor should they have; not annualized, it's only +0.0125%). Yet there's no hint of a challenge from the duo, and Bloomberg's editors -- if they exist -- let their adjective describing pathetic growth stand.
  • With tobacco tax increases of up to 2173% that went into effect in April, Obama has already broken his promise to cut taxes for 95% of "working Americans." The Associated Press's Calvin Woodward, who is one of the few reporters at the wire service successfully avoiding the Obama Kool-Aid machine, made that point when the increases took effect ("PROMISES, PROMISES: Obama tax pledge up in smoke"). Yet -- no challenge.
  • The "large deficits" by "historic standards" were called "record deficits" during the Bush 43 years, when they were much lower, and were records by much smaller amounts. Yet -- there's the watered down language.
  • The "inherited" line would have some credibility if anyone could cite one meaningful instance where Obama opposed additional spending. The only one I can think of is that he may have voted against funding the war in Iraq. But he has long since signed on to continued spending there, proving that any anti-funding votes he may have made while he was an Illinois senator were postures without significance. More currently relevant, Obama actively supported the blackmail-driven bailout known as TARP, and the black-hole bailouts of General Motors (at least $70 billion and couting by itself) and Chrysler. Yet -- no challenge.

Then there's the matter of the possible need for tax increases, which depends more than a bit on how well tax collections are going.

Collections continue to be in the tank, based on comparing the Monthly Treasury Statement of June 18, 2009, to June 19, 2008 (both Thursdays):

USrecs0691809v061808

As was the case in April and May, June receipts from economic activity are down from the previous year by over 25%, and seem to be a cinch to trail June 2008 by over $60 billion at month-end. If Treasury is really doing its TARP accounting on a "Net Present Value" basis (discussed in detail at link), the much-heralded TARP loan repayments by major banks amounting to $68 billion, though they will reduce the national debt, will not be treated as receipts.

It will take more than the time-delayed, historically ineffective, mislabeled "stimulus" package that nobody read to restore robust growth such as the annualized 4.8% the Bush economy achieved in the second and third quarters of 2007. It will take something different that is the opposite of tax increases.

Cross-posted at BizzyBlog.com.

—Tom Blumer is president of a training and development company in Mason, Ohio, and is a contributing editor to NewsBusters


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Nice post, interesting how the press parses its

analysis, depending upon whom is in charge.
And yes, he did inherit this mess:   from his own Dem majority Congress who passed the 2007 and 2008 budgets leading to this current place and time.

Barack Obama didn't inherit anything

Barack Obama applied for his position as POTUS and received it.

There is ahuge difference in asking and inheriting.

 

Exactly. Congress controls

Exactly. Congress controls the purse strings. The 2007-2008 budget was the first under Pelosi-Reid control. Under it, spending increased about 9%, with no TARP entering the picture until the next month.

Under the last budget of the GOP Congress, spending only increased about 3%.

Oh, and thx. 

 

It's the Revenue, Stupid

The Bamster also hasn't made the connection between executive salaries and bonuses and income tax receipts. I guess that's too complex a topic for someone ignorant of economics to grasp. Mike Bloomberg is already hurting because of this.

If you build a revenue system that is heavily top-loaded towards top income earners, you have a system that is very volatile, because those folks depend on commissions, bonuses, capital gains, etc.

I've wondered about that myself

During the campaign, we heard a lot about how we should increase the tax on top earners, but then we also heard how the top earners supply more than half of the tax revenue. You have to put two and two together. 

  • Did Obama really think that the top earners would passively accept the increased taxes and pay the taxes out of their excess profits?
  • As if the top earners would say to themselves, why yes, my profits were excessive, so I'll slash my income to pay for Obama's political promises?

Should the billionaires pay a better share of their taxes than the rest of us? We could have a nice academic argument about that, but the practical argument trumps it: if you act, they will respond.

And as you point out, slick, their income is dynamic anyway. Their income doesn't depend on a simple paycheck. If you tell an executive that his bonuses must drop from $1 million to $250,000, then you've cut your tax revenue to a quarter of what it was. And where did the other three quarters go? It didn't go into increased income to the employees; more than likely, it went into more insurance, other investments, etc.

Like chess, you have to think ahead, farther than your immediate move. You have to consider how they will respond. And frankly, this administration has shown that they don't appreciate that. There is no strategy. You can't spend trillions here, and trillions there, without that action having a reaction. That's not strategy; that's just an unrealistic and unreasonable hope.

Did Bush Have Plans To Bulldoze Cities?

Where did Obama learn government creates wealth?

ObamaCare is the latest bill on the table and it is deemed to create a $1.63B hole in our economy. Now anyone with half a brain realizes in the end the total will be far higher.

Yesterday in was reported by CNN that jobless rates increased in nearly every state.

'If we are growing at a robust rate...'  Why is congress considering sin taxes?  What happens when his prediction of 10% unemployment occurrs?

This is his spending, his regulations, his auto industry... takeover, and his consequences, not Bush's.

JDW

DAILY WAVE

When people fear their government there is tyranny.

When government fears the people there is liberty.

→ Bulldozers

It's a trick he's pulling from FDR's playbook, much akin to dumping milk and slaughtering livestock to try and drive up the cost.

Control

Why is Obama creating the welfare state?

Why is he adamant upon creating a socialized health system, which if passed, is years away from implementing? And the jobs?  

JDW

DAILY WAVE

When people fear their government there is tyranny.

When government fears the people there is liberty.

→ That's easy JDW

Obama believes America deserves slavery.

I'm sure this comes as no shock to you.  What better way to "damn America" than to sell its citizens into slavery?

It's the Muslim thing to do.

Like Gorbachev...

Obama believes in a command control economy. 

JDW

DAILY WAVE

When people fear their government there is tyranny.

When government fears the people there is liberty.

JDW... Command Control

JDW...

Command Control EVERYTHING...if he can...and he's doing well so far in so many ways....maybe, just maybe, things are coming to a real slow down and possibly a halt...we shall see.

Doubling down on stupid is not a particularly good idea. ~Andrew Breitbart

Depends on how he defines robust growth

Obama hasn't done a move to accelerte growth.  He has increased bleeding.  Cap and trad will increase bleeding.  Healthcare deformity will reduce growth.  a tax on helth insurance benefits will increase layoffs and reduce growth.

aCTUALLY IF WE WANT A TRUE SNAPSHOT ON HOW WE ARE DOING, LOOK AT fEDERAL TAX RECEIPTS.  tHEY ARE FAR BELOW EXPECTATION.  tHEY ARE A MEASURE OF CORPORTAE PROFIT AND PERSONAL WITHHOLDINGS. 

Next time he does a global confession tour, he should bloviate less and read a couple of econ books.