Paul 'It's Never Enough' Krugman Strikes Again: Stimulus Inadequate, Shouldn't Have Tax Cuts

Photo of Tom Blumer.

KrugmanFromNB0109Nobel laureate on arcane trade matters, former Enron adviser, and New York Times columnist Paul Krugman is at it again.

In his latest Times column ("The Obama Gap"), he chides President-elect Barack Obama for not being ambitious enough in his stimulus plan, and, heaven forbid, for including tax cuts in the mix. He complains that Obama is only committing to much less than half of what's necessary.

Brace yourself:

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..... Mr. Obama’s prescription doesn’t live up to his diagnosis. The economic plan he’s offering isn’t as strong as his language about the economic threat. In fact, it falls well short of what’s needed.

Bear in mind just how big the U.S. economy is. Given sufficient demand for its output, America would produce more than $30 trillion worth of goods and services over the next two years. But with both consumer spending and business investment plunging, a huge gap is opening up between what the American economy can produce and what it’s able to sell.

And the Obama plan is nowhere near big enough to fill this “output gap.”

..... Even the C.B.O. (Congressional Budget Office) says, however, that “economic output over the next two years will average 6.8 percent below its potential.” This translates into $2.1 trillion of lost production. “Our economy could fall $1 trillion short of its full capacity,” declared Mr. Obama on Thursday. Well, he was actually understating things.

To close a gap of more than $2 trillion — possibly a lot more, if the budget office projections turn out to be too optimistic — Mr. Obama offers a $775 billion plan. And that’s not enough.

By advocating that the package consist only of government spending, Krugman is, in essence, advocating that the federal government take over about 7% of the economy by fiat.

Of course, Mr. State Knows Best is also upset that tax cuts are currently part of the Obama stimulus mix:

..... only about 60 percent of the Obama plan consists of public spending. The rest consists of tax cuts — and many economists are skeptical about how much these tax cuts, especially the tax breaks for business, will actually do to boost spending. (A number of Senate Democrats apparently share these doubts.) Howard Gleckman of the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center summed it up in the title of a recent blog posting: “lots of buck, not much bang.”

The bottom line is that the Obama plan is unlikely to close more than half of the looming output gap, and could easily end up doing less than a third of the job.

Why isn’t Mr. Obama trying to do more?

Contrary to Krugman's belief, Obama isn't doing enough tax-cutting.

As usual, Krugman misses the crucial impact of tax cuts' on investors' and entrepreneurs' decisions to take risks in general and to make investments in capital goods. Investments made in these areas in response to across-the-board or investment-targeted tax cuts have jump-started the economy faster than government "stimulus" ever has at least five times in the past 90 years: The Roaring 1920s, under Coolidge; the early 1960s, under Kennedy; the late-1980s and early 1990s, under Reagan and Bush 41; the late-1990s capital gains cut, under Clinton; and the 2001 and 2003 cuts, under Bush 43.

But all the historical examples in the world won't move Paul Krugman and others from their government-knows-best New Deal Era mindset, never mind that government stimulus was tried, and failed to pull the country out of the Great Depression. World War II did that.

Cross-posted at BizzyBlog.com.

—Tom Blumer is president of a training and development company in Mason, Ohio, and is a contributing editor to NewsBusters


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Ahh pull a Clintonian Retroactive tax...remember THAT

it's all a Ponzi scheme, SS, CRA's.... man oh man we are entering the dark ages...

and they are in CHARGE...Leaderless...

We are loosing our
FREEDOM

(D)

 

Wow

It is ridiculous to think the govt control can make things work.

Just look at  Social Security, our public schools and public services to see just how innefficient and unworkable it is. And these people think they can handle a monster as large as the economy?

What I am more perplexed by is how this nut could win a nobel prize?

snow/krugman

Can even the liberals, based upon actual results, show where and when the government and its bureaucrats have allocated resources better than the private sector?  If it has, or if they have done so in the past, what is the need for a "chief performance officer"? This is in addition to the inspector generals within each deparment and the GAO plus the OMB who are supposed to monitor performance, fraud and abuse.  Also, Mr. Nobel Prize winner knows, or should know Keynesian policy includes both spending and tax policy.  In fact, if the creation of demand is the objective of Keynesian policy, why not simply eliminate corporate income taxes?  That would cost $370 billion, not trillions, would not necessitate increasing the bureaucracy by 600,000plus, would not require endless trillion dollar deficits.  Combined with extending unemployment benefits for 52 weeks, to give the tax cuts time to work, you might find the marketplace, on many levels, ready to respond.

I'm with Krugman

Why stop at a $trillion?

Let's make it a gazillion dollars and not leave anything out.

Let's give every person in this country an annual stipend of $100,000/year with free health insurance a new house and two new cars.

Then let's bailout every company in the country including the porn industry.

All we have to do is keep printing money and let future civilizations figure out how it is to be paid for.

I still cannot believe they gave this nutjob a nobel prize for economics.

Remember now: Nobel Prizes are farces

For the most part, the Nobel Prize has become a farce: remember, Jimmy Carter, Yasir Arafat and Al "Tree Stump" Gore also won Nobel Prizes. Mr. Krugman fits right in with the nut cases who select Nobel winners!

True enough .....

..... but I think the Krugman is the first real botch in the economics area.

NY Times loved FDR and Hitler, too!

 "There is at least one official voice in Europe that expresses understanding of the methods and motives of President [Franklin] Roosevelt. This voice is that of Germany, as represented by Chancellor Adolf Hitler. 'I have sympathy with President Roosevelt,' Hitler stated, 'because he marches straight toward his objective over Congress, over lobbies, over stubborn bureaucracies.'"

-- The New York Times, Anne O'Hare McCormick, "Hitler Seeks Jobs for All Germans," July 10, 1933, pp. 1,6.

My cat has fogotten more

My cat has fogotten more about economics than this ignorant clown Paul Krugman will ever know.  Yet he lectures at an Ivy League school, writes editorials for the New York Times and won a Nobel Prize...pretty much devalues those institutions, doesn't it?

"Government's view of the economy could be summed up in a few short phrases: If it moves, tax it. If it keeps moving, regulate it. And if it stops moving, subsidize it." -Ronald Reagan

fitzfong.blogspot.com

I remember

Years ago, I was just early in my career (accounting), and I ran across a Krugman article, and also a Kristof article for the first time.  They were both so out there I was convinced it was parody. 

God, I pray that more intelligent heads prevail. 

Paul

Is it just me, or does it look like old Krug is about to cry everytime he's in an interview?

The dirty little secret about Obama's "tax cuts".....

Since most Obama supporters fall into the federal income tax rate bracket where they have zero tax liability, by definition you can't give them a tax cut.  And I've also heard some Republicans say that because these people have no income tax liability, that the federal government should cut their SSI and Medicare taxes instead of giving them a cash payment as Obama has proposed.

Unfortunately, the Republicans don't seem to grasp the reason behind Obama's decision to give cash payouts instead of cuts in SSI and Medicare taxes.  The reason is that federal employees and some state employees (like where I live in California) are exempt from SSI taxes.  These unionized employees (postal workers, congressmen, public school teachers, cops, firemen, etc.) donated hundreds of millions of dollars to Obama's capaign, and a reduction in SSI tax rates would mean nothing to them since they have no SSI tax liability.

It's all about payback.

 

"Don't blame me.....I voted for Palin"

Rep. Tom Price was on a

Rep. Tom Price was on a local radio show here in Atlanta last night and was talking about Obama’s vote buying, oops, I meant stimulus proposal.

One of his comments jumped out and grabbed me by the throat, and that was that members of his own party (republican) were already lining up to attach all kinds of pork-laden goodies to the bill, and most of the congress critters haven’t even finished unpacking from their return to Washington.

I shudder to think what the other party is lining up to hit it with.

So far, Obama’s “plan” is hovering around $850 billion, but we all know it will be going far higher. Rep. Price is estimating it could hit $1.3 trillion, and possibly (I’d say probably) go even higher.

That is a staggering amount of our money these clowns are throwing around. It is even more shocking when you consider that the federal government’s total tax receipts for one year will (only) be about $1.5 trillion.

-Dave

“Them that’s going get on the wagon. Them that ain’t get out of the way.” -While there is still time.

Dave

And then they'll be back in a year with hands out wanting more. If the Rinos in office are porking it up then the only way we might get this party back on target is to get real conservatives in office, and get these leeches out. If not, then we will have the same old same old, forever. As they say, why vote for Rinos giving out money? Might as well go to the Dems, they are at least the professionals.

Two Points

1. "Given sufficient demand for its output, America would produce more than
$30 trillion worth of goods and services over the next two years." Krugman is pulling numbers out of his butt. There is not a static amount of goods and services any economy is capable of producing. The very fact that Krugman says this demonstrates that he doesn't understand basic economics; he presupposes principles by which stagnant nations have guided themselves and maintained themselves in poverty for years (and centuries).

2. The Left's fascination with spend, spend, spend and control, control, control is a severe case of "it didn't work last time, so let's try again, and harder."

"If we hit ourselves on the head with a hammer, we will feel better, comrade!"

"Yes, comrade! Hit me on the temple!" 

Bam!

"AIIEEE! That hurts. Okay, that was wrong... hit me on the nose, comrade!"

Bam!

"ARRGBHHHH! That smarts, comrade! No, I know - hit me in the teeth, comrade!"

Etc etc etc.

http://www.changeint...

Since the blows

don't seem to be working maybe a different/better hammer is needed. Yeah that's the ticket. I am sure it will work this time.

Socialism is like perpetual tinkering with a perpetual motion machine to try and make it work, unfortunately the research is always done with OPM (other peoples money).  

Change: When the winds of change blow hard enough, the most trivial of things can become deadly projectiles. From a Poster