Just in time for Barack Obama's Greco-Roman Oration tomorrow night, two significant economic reports have gone or are about to go in a positive direction:
- Earlier Wednesday, the Census Bureau reported that durable goods orders increased 1.3% during July, repeating June's performance; shipments of durables were up 2.5%; and unfilled orders were at their highest level since 1992. There are exceptions, but these companies are generally very busy.
- Thursday morning, the pundits are predicting that second quarter Gross Domestic Product, originally estimated at an annualized 1.9%, will be significantly revised upward. Predictions that GDP will come in at 2.7% are at Reuters, Briefing.com via CNN, and MarketWatch. If you go to the links, especially the second and third, you will detect the distinct aroma of sour grapes; the headlines found there are "The economic growth mirage" and "Big revision in GDP won't mean much," respectively.
Don't count on these statistics to get much positive traditional media play while the Obama coronation is in progress.
But there's one other number that's even worse for the everyone's-a-victim crowd than those just noted. It is one that I can almost guarantee will remain invisible during tomorrow's festivities.
That number -- .463 -- comes from the Census Bureau, as noted at this WebWire release Tuesday (confirmed by reference to Page 7 of the 2007 version of "Income, Poverty, and Health Insurance Coverage in the United States"; the PDF report is the first item listed under August 26 at this link):
Income Inequality
* Income inequality decreased between 2006 and 2007, as measured by shares of aggregate household income by quintiles and the Gini index. The share of aggregate income received by households in the top fifth of the income distribution declined, while the shares for the third and fourth quintiles increased. Meanwhile, the Gini index declined from 0.470 to 0.463, moving closer to 0, which represents perfect income equality (1 represents perfect inequality).
As shown at this 2005 BizzyBlog post, the Gini index, also referred as the Gini coefficient, was .462 at the end of the Clinton administration, after rising by .029 during the previous eight years, and .008 during the previous seven.
+++++++++++++++++++++++
UPDATE, August 28, 12:15 p.m.: Commenter Tony B at BizzyBlog made a valid point which makes an update necessary. The Census Bureau says in a footnote at a different page in this year's report (Page 9) that "Direct comparisons with years earlier than 1993 are not recommended because of substantial methodological changes in the 1994 ASEC."
Although the Bureau's recommendation may be debatable (the Forbes author I referred to in my 2005 post either wasn't worried about this, or didn't catch it), I have added the last six words you now see in the last sentence before this Update, and have changed what follows in the rest of this post to reflect info that relates only to 1993 and later. (The second-last paragraph formerly read "Income inequality increased by 29 times as much during Clinton’s eight years than it has during Bush’s first seven.")
+++++++++++++++++++++++
As Bush 43's administration rounds the turn and heads for home, income inequality has barely budged by a statistically insignificant .001. To the extent that the rich have become richer, the poor, and everyone in between, have on the whole benefited in virtually equal proportion.
Income inequality increased by 8 times as much during Clinton's final seven years than it has during Bush's first seven.
Not that they won't run with the class envy theme anyway, but it should be made known to all that the extent to which Barack Obama and his minions claim that the differences between the haves and have-nots has widened during the administration of George W. Bush is the extent to which they are not telling the truth.
Cross-posted at BizzyBlog.com.
—Tom Blumer is president of a training and development company in Mason, Ohio, and is a contributing editor to NewsBusters




















Editor at Large
Comments Policy
My family and I have
August 27, 2008 - 23:38 ET by jdhawkMy family and I have benefitted greatly during the last seven years. Much more so than the previous eight - especially the last several years of the clintoon administration and the early Bush years while he was getting his feet on the ground.
Can anyone forget the complete melt down of the stock market (the NASDAQ is still less than half the value it was in early 2000) and the recession (November 2001 to November 2002) that Bush was stuck with as he began his first term? I sure do. I was heavily invested in the market at the time and it took me several years to dig myself out of it.
If Bush and his tax cuts hadn't come along and given a shot in the arm to our economy my ability to fund my sons' college educations, among other things, would have been serverly tested.
Meantime, we have the richest poor people on the earth. If you don't believe me, just ask bambi's (aka 57 states) Kenyan brother!
I Like It!
August 27, 2008 - 23:41 ET by Secret ConservativeYa know, Tom, I really like this post and I really like this news, but then I was an Econ major and work in the real world. It's pretty clear from what we're hearing in Denver (and Washington) that there just don't seem to be a lot of people there who understand economics.
I hope we hear about this next week from Minneapolis!
Just checking...
August 27, 2008 - 23:54 ET by rsb1Is this a typo? "That number -- 4.63 -- comes from the Census Bureau" from above - should it be 0.463?
Thanks for the catch...
August 28, 2008 - 00:12 ET by Tom Blumer.... it's fixed.
That'll teach me to do a midnight post.
" ... but it should be made
August 28, 2008 - 00:02 ET by AeroSpear" ... but it should
be made known to all that the extent to which Barack Obama and his
minions claim that the differences between the haves and have-nots has
widened during the administration of George W. Bush is the extent to
which they are not telling the truth."
This goes without saying. The last 6 words basically apply to most of the Democratic party (and some horrible Republicans (RINOS), I might add)
Durable Goods Up -- No Kidding
August 28, 2008 - 00:08 ET by Dr_LibertyWith the looming threat of global warming, I just got me another freezer for the barn.
<insert witty signature here>
Clinton's Speech
August 28, 2008 - 00:25 ET by TheCynicDid you see Bill Clinton's DNC speech? Here's the transcript from NPR: http://www.npr.org/t...
"Look at the example the Republicans have set: American workers have
given us consistently rising productivity. They've worked harder and
produced more. What did they get in return? Declining wages, less than
one-quarter as many new jobs as in the previous eight years, smaller
health care and pension benefits, rising poverty and the biggest
increase in income inequality since the 1920s."
Oh, the juicy, juicy irony! The big increase was during YOUR term, Billy-boy! Under Bush, it hardly budged!
What?!
August 28, 2008 - 05:27 ET by Joe C.Bill Clinton lied?! No! Sayit ain't so.
Rich get richer and the poor get poorer.
August 28, 2008 - 00:43 ET by JWFThe rich get richer - it is called inheritance, it is in the dictionary, look it up.
The poor get poorer - no, they move up a slot and there are new poor being born or immigrating to this country.
We want inequality!
August 28, 2008 - 06:50 ET by double AIncome inequality is a good thing. given the fact that the starting point is zero, we do not want a limit on how high it can go.
The poor don't get poorer, but people should be able to get richer, even the rich.
If we look at just three factors that account for tremendous wealth in this country they would be: real estate holdings, corporate stocks, and government bonds. So...when the rich are getting richer it means these three factors are doing well. Do we want the real estate market to collapse? Of course not. We want to be able to sell our modest homes for a profit or have our grandparents sell theirs and live out their retirement. Do we want stocks to plummett? Of course not.
Almost everyones 401K is tied into corporate stocks (even big oil) that we hope do well. We need big business to succeed and make a profit because it benefits those of us with any type of retirement plan.
What about government bonds? How stable they are reflects the stability of the US government and country as a whole. We need those to remail stable and we need people to invest in them.
When people claim that we need income equality, it really means we should all be at zero. What a horrible nightmare that would be. But what about the poor with no 401K or job etc... I think that it is very important for the American poeple to strive for wealth because in doing so it lifts the entire country up, even the poor, and it allows for social programs to assist those in need to exist.
Just look at an old episode of the Honeymooners. Ralph and Alice were middle class...look at the middle class now! I would say that a stat showing no movement in income inequality is a bad thing that should not be trumpeted by anyone, it only shows that we have stalled at the top of the pyramid, not moved up from the bottom.
A is A
Stand Up
August 28, 2008 - 08:38 ET by Lee BoggsA standing oviation for that response.
Don't disagree, to a point, A is A ...
August 28, 2008 - 08:50 ET by Tom Blumer.... but of course we'd agree that an increase to 1.000 would be a bad thing (unless you and I got all the income and no one else got any -- then it would be .99999999999....99 :-->).
(btw, I put para breaks in your comment; I hope you don't mind. Sometimes the comment form takes them out when it shouldn't.)
Seriously, your point is a good one, as long as:
- there's plenty of economic mobility, which there is.
- the diffs are seen as generally based on merit vs. dishonesty, theft, or gaming the system (generally true, but on shaky ground due to CEO non merit-based excesses like those of Nardelli, Fiorina, Barad, Nasser, and the like).
- people at the bottom aren't allowed to fall off the cliff (generally true).
You're also mixing up matters relating to income vs. net worth a bit.
Putting that aside, our Ginis are higher than other countries, which you'll see if you go to my 2005 post. Our overall better economic performance speaks to the benefit of that situation, as long as the three things noted above are in place.
But I'm not convinced that more income inequality beyond where we are now would lead to an even higher rate of economic growth that would be sufficient to keep lifting all boats. If you've seen it studied, I'd be interested in getting linked to it.