The Associated Press's Martin Crutsinger got out the gloom-and-doom paint in his report on the Consumer Price Index on Friday morning.
Here are his opening paragraphs:
Inflation rate jumps by biggest amount in 6 months
Inflation shot up in May at the fastest pace in six months, pushed higher by soaring costs for gasoline and other types of energy.
The Labor Department reported Friday that consumer prices rose by 0.6 percent last month, the biggest one-month increase since last November, as gasoline costs surged by 5.7 percent. Food prices, which have also been rising sharply, were up 0.3 percent as the cost of beef and bakery products showed big gains.
Core inflation, which excludes energy and food, edged up a more moderate 0.2 percent in May. But even there, core prices are up 2.3 percent over the past 12 months, above the Federal Reserve's comfort zone.
Trouble is, the markets weren't buying into the negativity Crutsinger was selling, as SmartMoney.com reported after the closing bell:
CPI Report Lifts Stocks
After a harsh warning from the Fed early this week, traders warmed the latest reading on core inflation. Stocks finished higher Friday on the latest reading of the Consumer Price Index. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 166 points at 12307. The Nasdaq picked up 50 at 2454, and the S&P 500 climbed 20 to 1360.
Of course, Crutsinger's primary audience doesn't include stock traders -- or if it does, it appears they've learned to ignore him.
Crutsinger appears to be more interested in making sure that the average news consumer has no reason to feel good about the country's current economic situation. The scare words in this paragraph from an updated version of his report done later this afternoon would support that contention:
Consumers are getting hammered by a relentless surge in energy costs, pushing gasoline above $4 per gallon. The rising food prices partly reflect higher costs for transporting products to grocery stores.
Readers are left to wonder how those poor, "hammered" consumers managed to send monthly retail sales to its best performance in six months, as the Census Bureau reported yesterday. And no, it wasn't the stimulus checks, because April and March retail sales, which predated all but a relative trickle of the issued stimulus checks, were both revised significantly upward into positive territory.
Here's something else you won't see Crutsinger or anyone else at AP report until they absolutely have to. Reacting to yesterday's retail sales report, Briefing.com predicted that economic growth in the second quarter might actually be half-decent:
Retail Sales are Flat-Out Strong.....
Coupled with the strong May same-store sales gains for retailers, these data should convincingly show that the fiscal stimulus and regular spending trends are not being completely destroyed by higher gas prices.
It is likely that consumer spending in June and July will also post good gains. The good trend on consumer spending as the second quarter begins greatly reduces the risk of a very weak second quarter real GDP gain. It is likely that forecasts will start to climb to the 1.5% to 2% range.
These data are clearly strong.
The mini-rally in the stock market in the past two days would appear to partially confirm the accuracy of the Briefing.com item.
If that turns out to be the case, as appears plausible, there will be wailing and gnashing of teeth on the part of the recession-obsessed media.
Cross-posted at BizzyBlog.com.
—Tom Blumer is president of a training and development company in Mason, Ohio, and is a contributing editor to NewsBusters




















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Comments Policy
Q2 GDP At 2% - That Would Be Amazing
June 14, 2008 - 00:30 ET by zeestephenAlways dangerous to predict the score before the game is over, but three consecutive quarters of growth after every MSM business journalist in the world trumpeted recession - or worse - would be the sweetest revenge ever.
Again, the jury is still out, but when the American history of 2001-2008 is written, it could be the greatest economic story ever told.
We've had the second worst stock market crash of all time, the worst terrorist attack of all time, the worst natural disaster of all time, two wars, record immigration of low skill workers, record oil prices, a global credit crisis, and a housing market collapse.
Yet, off the top of my head, we have had only two negative quarters of growth, and annual unemployment has never passed 6%.
I've never felt a strong identification with my own generation, the Baby Boomers, but who would have dreamed that the same group that put on the 1960's drug addled, collectivist clown show could have planned, managed, and persevered through times and challenges like these?
Apocalyptic Liberalism
June 14, 2008 - 05:43 ET by thoridflyGloom-and-doom-ocrats do everything in their power 24/7/365 to talk down the economy ... it's the only way those damn Lenincrats - those TAXOCRATS - can ever compete politically ... create an apocalyptic scenario and then come in as the economic or environmental messiahs who can save the day with even more government regulation, harassment, and taxation.
Psalms 94:20
Shall the throne of iniquity have fellowship with thee, WHICH FRAMETH MICHIEF BY A LAW?
"If the good men are silent only the wicked are heard." - Edmund Burke
Socialist truth is only that which serves the cause!
June 14, 2008 - 08:35 ET by Shooter1002Should B. Hussein Obama win in November, the U.S. economy will recover as suddenly and miraculously on January 21, 2009 as the liberal love of National Socialism reversed on June 23, 1941!
Amazing
June 14, 2008 - 08:54 ET by WR JonasThe US economy is amazing. I am convinced that a simplified message from Republicans can save the Congress from falling completely into Democrat hands.
The message must be: Democrats insist on squandering billions on a climate crisis that doesn't exist but won't lift a finger to solve an oil crisis that is threatening to destroy our economy.
I believe most Americans can understand this clearly.
Hey Republicans, are you listening?
June 14, 2008 - 09:22 ET by pbthinkerActually, I like it. Consumers are being hammered by high energy costs and it's time for the Republicans to echo that statement. It's time for the Republicans to point out how dependent this country is on affordable energy, it all its forms. Articles like this, that point out that dependence, are all the better.
It makes little difference who they blame it on, since most people have figured out Democrats are the ones obstructing the drills from breaking ground, so play it up, talk about drilling. Force the Democrats to put their mouths where they're getting their money, and use this as THE election issue for both the congress and the presidency.
Democrats: Stuck on Stupid since 2000.
Fortunately for the Federal Reserve
June 14, 2008 - 09:35 ET by sarcasmoInflating fiat currencies is a worldwide phenomenon.
JMR
The tax & spend drug war looks racist in the real world.
Nice catch.
June 14, 2008 - 11:00 ET by pbanks7I gotta hand it to you sarc, I don't agree with you a lot, but you bring up good points. Thanks.
MSM - shaping all the perceptions you need to believe.
Ditto!
June 14, 2008 - 22:16 ET by jdhawkDitto!
Raw data
June 15, 2008 - 15:33 ET by AlphaNumericusThis is the 'main' CPI (including food and energy)
http://data.bls.gov/PDQ/servlet/SurveyOutputServlet?series_id=CUUR0000SA0&years_option=all_years&periods_option=all_periods
to get 'core' cpi (no food or energy) use CUUR0000SA0L1E. If you can see the raw numbers, you don't need the Associated Press's ignorant spin.