Yahoo! Predicts Obama Re-election 'In The Bag' -- Prognosticator Has Democratic Ties
“The Signal” blog at Yahoo! is grabbing attention for a very, very early prediction: “With fewer than nine months to go before Election Day, The Signal predicts that Barack Obama will win the presidential contest with 303 electoral votes to the Republican nominee's 235. How do we know? We don't, of course.” What an eye-grabbing gimmick this is. That doesn’t stop some people from posting headlines like “Yahoo economists: Obama reelection's in the bag.”
Remember that Yahoo! is not only a major news site, it's now allied with ABC News. Why the Obama happy talk? A quick look at the curriculum vitae posted at Yahoo! by one of the prognosticators in the byline, David Rothschild, has a list of Democratic credentials, including an internship in the Clinton White House:
PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE
President – DemStore – Washington, DC (January 2003-June 2006)
Largest political materials consulting firm in USA; design, production, inventory, distribution and direct sales of materials – merchandizing [sic] for all major Democratic presidential campaigns in 2004
[...]
Materials director – Tony Sanchez for Governor – Austin, TX (June 2002-December 2002)
Opposition research intern – New York State Democratic Committee - New York City (Summer 2000)
White House Intern – White House - Washington D.C. (Summer 1999)
Rothschild boasted to CNET that "One of the interesting findings of the research is, quite frankly, that you can predict outcomes of elections with pretty amazing accuracy pretty far away."
Can anyone imagine the sense of guessing who was going to win in mid-February of 2008? Get a load of just how much these two experts, both of whom were in college during the last presidency, assume:
The Yahoo! model assumes that the president's approval rating will stay the same between now and mid-June, that each of the 50 states will report personal income growth that is average for an election year, and that certain key indicators of state ideology will remain unchanged this year. Although the model currently predicts that Obama will win 303 electoral votes in November, please note that it predicts only probabilities of victory, and that many states are nearly toss-ups.
But our Obama happy-talkers suggest they're being too cautious: "This may be a conservative estimate for Obama, because January's economic indicators suggest that the states are likely to experience greater-than-average income growth in the first quarter. We will update our predictions accordingly when the actual data from the current year is available."
USA Today has also picked it up online.
- Tim Graham's blog
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Comments
Never trust anyone with a bow tie
Submitted by Lipton on Fri, 02/17/2012 - 1:53pm.
I saw this headline at Yahoo and my jaw dropped. I know they are far left and I think a lot of commenters know that too, but this was just kind of stupid. I mean, yes people are predicting Obama will win, but this guy even predicted down to the number of electoral votes. No wonder they think they can predict the weather 50 years out.
I heard these were the same
Submitted by Dan The Man 2 on Fri, 02/17/2012 - 3:17pm.
I heard these were the same people who made climate models for the IPCC.
What a goofy looking guy! Instead of saying Obama's...
Submitted by jawebster1 on Fri, 02/17/2012 - 2:35pm.
reelection is in the bag, he should put a bag over his head.
In addition to putting a bag over his head, his mother should have put an aspirin between her knees approximately nine months before he was born.
(That way it would not have been necessary to put a bag over his head because we'd have one less goofy looking Liberal to put up with.)
P.S. And since when was putting a pill between your knees as a form of birth control a bad thing? It happens to work every time its tried!
David Rothschild appears to have been ---
Submitted by matthewdean on Sat, 02/18/2012 - 7:19pm.
physically cloned from the genes of Rich Lowry and Eli Manning.
Intellectually, however, he is a clone without a clue.
MD
I've been seriously
Submitted by spepper on Fri, 02/17/2012 - 2:06pm.
thinking about changing my home page host anyway. Plus, he's a Rothschild, which makes him automatically suspect in promoting globalist tyrannical agendas.
It's in the bag alright...
Submitted by vrwc13 on Fri, 02/17/2012 - 2:47pm.
...the plastic kind with draw strings that you set outside for pick-up.
Hope they put the 'bags' out of the White House by the same door they escorted out the Dalai Lama...
http://s6.zetaboards.com/Free_Thinkers/topic/8617723/1/
What a class act we have occupying the White House.
v
The burden of life is from ourselves, its lightness from the grace of Christ and the love of God. - William Bernard Ullanthorne
Awhile after this story
Submitted by Pewah on Fri, 02/17/2012 - 3:30pm.
Awhile after this story showed up online yesterday, but well before it had any play on the conservative websites, the Comments section on Yahoo was filled with readers who were incredulous that this obvious propaganda was being offered up as news. Just like it happens to sitcoms, newspapers, news shows, etc., when the libs cannot contain themselves and use their medium to begin preaching their idiocy, they lose a huge numbers of viewers/readers and their credibility is forever compromised. I personally could not believe that anybody in management at Yahoo would be stupid enough to allow that story to run online. A company that just recently dumped their inept management, because they were incapable of establishing a solid business plan that would create growth, should probably think twice before they allow themselves to become a mouthpiece of a single side of the political spectrum. Yahoo has been my homepage for as long as they have been around...but I would dump them in a heartbeat if this keeps up.
Yeah, you can BAG that prediction,,,
Submitted by NJRightWinger12 on Fri, 02/17/2012 - 3:43pm.
And for all you kids out there in TV land-dont believe all these bogus "polls" that say "if the election was today,,". Well, its NOT today, unfortunately, and we got 9 months of this utter incompetent yutz ruining things yet to go! As Rush said, not only is he beatable, but hes LANDSLIDEABLE!
How infuriated are you
Submitted by tiger20 on Fri, 02/17/2012 - 4:16pm.
I have never been so infuriated upon reading an article. The audacity to predict an election nine months away, with only one known candidate, many economical, social and political factors to navigate and polling which varies widely on the job approval of the president, head to head polling which changes weekly and uncertainty over voter turnout is simply incomprehensible. The article has left no doubt about the effort we can expect from Yahoo in the coming months to drive the election toward their intended outcome.
Make a point of tracking the percentage of positive articles about each candidate, the length of time positive articles about President Obama remain on the home page as opposed to the Republican candidate, and of course how long negative articles about the Republican remain in the forefront as opposed to Obama, assuming such ever o cur.
Note how often Obama’s face will adorn the yahoo home page each time you turn on your computer and contrast that with the Republican. Note how many articles will not directly criticize the Republican, but will ask a question designed to implant questions. You won’t see very much of that regarding Obama.
Note how many puff pieces regarding Michelle Obama and the Obama family will appear and contrast that with the Republican’s spouse and children. Expect there to be probing questions and insinuations about the Republican spouse. Who can ever forget the New York Times piece in 2008 about the difficulties in balancing family and career by the Presidential and Vice Presidential candidates? The poster child for that story should have been the woman with five children including a handicapped baby who was running for Vice President. Nope, over 80% of the article focused on Michelle Obama who was not even a candidate.
Finally, track the number of fact checking or “probing” articles about the Republican as opposed to Obama. Guess the 38 fact checkers have finally completed their witch hunt of Sarah Palin’s emails and will be free just in time to direct similar attention to the Republican candidate. We have seen glimpses of the Republicans calling out the media such as Gingrich on John King and Santorum on Charlie Rose today. There must be a full assault on the media each and every time to demand they tell the truth. Let them know we are infuriated and we will not allow them to steal this election.
WARNING! WARNING! DORK-IN-A-BOW-TIE ALERT!!
Submitted by Sgthulka on Fri, 02/17/2012 - 5:18pm.
Who needs to read his resume when you can just refer to the picture.
He can't be too bright. He posted the article without thinking that his resume was out there.
Ah, the intellectual - Prepared to answer the questions of the universe, but unable to change a light bulb.
it's time to start cranking up the obama media machine
Submitted by damifinoNB on Sat, 02/18/2012 - 9:53am.
Just look at the time!..only 9 months to give birth to second "born again" term of Obama. You all know how this works,if they start saying the election is in the bag now,by the time November comes around it will have been repeated a million times,which as the theory goes,tell a lie enough times it becomes the "truth".....and it WILL work!..Unless the GOP candidate grows some balls and plays by the anythings fair rules then a rerun of McLame's dismal effort and defeat is our future. I want politics to be the full contact sport it is suppose to be! Taking the "high road" leads to loserville most of the time in politics because the stupidity of the common voter is ALWAYS underestimated by the right. The left has ,by nature, always realized that voters are incapable of making the right choices and therefore need "help"(i.e.being told) making up their mind. While the right believes(quite naively) that they can throw the facts out there and people will study them, sort them out and vote fairly, based on them(yeah and monkeys will fly out my butt!)......you always have to keep in mind that 50% of all voters are of below average intelligence