Back in the 1990s, TV journalists worried that Bill Clinton wasn’t getting enough credit for the wonderful things that happened while he was President. NBC’s then-White House correspondent Andrea Mitchell whined on CNN’s Larry King Live back on August 18, 1994 that her fear was that Clinton “doesn’t get credit for a lot of the good, positive things he’s done.... The economy is in better shape....He should be getting some credit for the economy.”
Now that a tax-cutting Republican is in the White House, however, big media types are working to bury the news of America’s strong economy. Today’s Investor’s Business Daily has a fine summary of recent good news in an editorial headlined, “The Media’s Blackout on the Boom.” Here’s a key excerpt:
Friday's employment report, showing a much-higher-than-expected increase of 166,000 in nonfarm payroll jobs, was only the latest in a spate of remarkable reports showing the economy's stunning resilience.Earlier this week, we discovered that, contrary to fears and forecasts of much slower growth in the third quarter, the U.S. economy in fact expanded at a 3.9% rate — even in the midst of a vicious housing downturn, soaring mortgage delinquencies and a credit crunch.
Inflation showed its lowest annual rise since the 1960s, despite oil touching $96 a barrel. Employment costs, rising in the third quarter at 3.8% annual rate, are well under control. The broad stock market, despite an up and down year, has mostly been up — punching repeatedly through its previous highs.
Just three weeks ago, the Office of Management and Budget reported that the budget deficit fell to $163 billion, or 1.2% of GDP, its lowest level in five years. Meanwhile, even the big, bad trade deficit has begun shrinking, as the weak dollar sets off a U.S. export boom.
What's funny about all this is how little is being made of it.
The media have been quiet as church mice about the good news — much the same way they're ignoring signs of a victory in Iraq (see editorial, top left.) But they've found lots of bad news.
Gee, you'd almost think they have an ax to grind.
As the Business and Media Institute pointed out in September, this isn't a recent phenomenon. For at least four years now, journalists have pretended this boom doesn't exist....We've been treated with never-ending stories about the seriousness of the housing collapse and credit crunch and why the good times simply can't last. As recent surveys show, despite the positive trends, Americans are convinced things are horrible.
A CNN/Opinion Research poll taken in mid-October found 46% of Americans think the U.S. economy's in recession. A fluke, you say? Another poll by the American Research Group released Oct. 22 found 40% think we're in a recession, up from 25% a month before.
"A year before voting, a discontented nation" is how a USA Today headline summed it up Friday. Discontented? Why not, after a nonstop media barrage playing up all that's bad and playing down all that's good.















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Roaring economy
November 5, 2007 - 12:07 ET by Six String SpiffDue to the 'horrible' Bush Economy I can no longer just to a grab-n-go on my local mall as it just added a new wing with a bunch of really high end stores like Tiffany and Co. In fact they have had to triple the police presence for traffic duty because it is so chocked now. Yup bad economy.. Sheesh. It must be really easy to tell other people how they are supposedly doing and feeling when they themselves have more money than most of the rest of us hard working slobs.
I hate the MSM. Did I mention that yet today?
Islamic Religious Services Will Be Held at the Firing Range At 0800 Daily.
No choice
November 5, 2007 - 12:28 ET by iveseenitallI guess we have no choice but to RAISE YOUR TAXES. Liberal Economics 101.
"I hate the MSM. Did I mention that yet today?"---hear,hear!
NEVER,NEVER trust a "liberal"
is it that unreasonable?
November 5, 2007 - 12:41 ET by johnGis it that unreasonable to have a bearish view of the economy? there are quite a few negative indicators. while GDP and Employment reports are bacward looking, the timeliest indicators may say something else.
consumer confidence has weakened(in a multi-month trend)
lower domestic demand(as reported by ism), largest one-month decline ever
credit spreads have widened recently and there is a clear disruption of the short-term debt markets
now is a recession going to happen? probably not, but just because tiffanys is opening stores doesn't mean the economy's health is great.
It is unreasonable when
November 5, 2007 - 13:38 ET by NL207It is unreasonable when these media people intentionally downplay good news while Bush is pres but trumpet everything even remotely good when a dem is in office.
that would be true...
November 5, 2007 - 14:26 ET by johnGbut weren't the markets/economy stronger under clinton, thus wouldn't there be more good news to report? And also, with the weaker markets under bush shouldn't there be more negative things to report?
Now i think you can't attribute the success to markets to a presidency. it depends on to many factors, such as current business cycle timing and outside world events. but just look at SP 500 returns from '92-'00 versus '00-'07, doesn't it make sense that there would be more good news to report during clinton? i just don't think it's so political, that's all i'm saying.
Be careful...
November 5, 2007 - 14:53 ET by HermanoClinton did not take office until '93 and Bush in '01. And if you look at the recovery after Sept 2001, then you have a completely different picture. Many economists look at the '90s boom as being artificial - dot.coms and all. They produced media content and nothing much more. It was an era in investing we should not soon forget. When the bubble burst, a lot of middle class people got hurt. And that took place on Bubba's watch. Political? Look closer - Bush takes the blame for 2000 and Clinton takes the credit for up to '99.
this is my point
November 5, 2007 - 16:08 ET by johnGthere are many ways to slice and dice these time periods(though even with it adjusted to '93-'01 and '01 to present...clinton had higher growth rates...but this isn't my point). my point is that neither bush nor clinton had control over outside events(tech bubble, 9/11, subprime, etc.) thus it is silly for ANYONE to directly blame or credit either bush or clinton.
What they really blew it on
November 5, 2007 - 14:48 ET by Right2thePointWhat they really blew it on here is the credit spreads.
Well basically there were none compared to historic data.
Which means there was no risk premium factored in.
A junk loan/bond carried the same risk as a more solid investment.
Turning economics on it's head for the most part. Sorta dulling that whole risk reward thingy that should have been going on all along.
So much money chasing after the subprime me to go get some market that it melted away the risk premiums.
Also it eliminated the natural braking effect of the higher rates for riskier investments that would have drastically slowed their growth and eventual impact.
Isn't this just supporting
November 5, 2007 - 12:43 ET by Chris NormanIsn't this just supporting evidence that NO good news, which may help Bush or Republicans, will be mentioned by the media?
The MSM as a collective are
November 5, 2007 - 12:47 ET by chris_gillThe MSM as a collective are not really that smart, but they are not that stupid either. Anything ebeneficial to Bush hurts the chances a Dem will win in '08, because it contradicts the meme of the prominent Dems, i.e. hurts their chances in the primaries.
With that in mind, here are the options of the MSM: 1) Anything that would give Bush credit, is a non-stroy; 2) Anything that is injurous to Bush must be reported, even if it is put in the hypothetical. Prrior to the release of econimic data, several MSM venues ran with the "Hypotetical" pending market crash and ensuing recession. Now that those hysterics have been dispelled, there is no need to revisit them.
However, there have been stories of the "Surge failing" when a homicide bomber rode a bike.... Yes! a bike into a crowd and killed 20+ people.
.
November 5, 2007 - 13:42 ET by chris_gill.
Now if some smart Repub
November 5, 2007 - 13:30 ET by dscottNow if some smart Repub would just notice of the Dem pessimism and run a campaign like Reagan, we could get somewhere. The Dems were over doing the same mime before in the 1980's, people got fed up with the nonsense and connected with Reagan who said America was not a failure, the Dems (Carter) policies were the disaster, America was a success in spite of them. This strikes right to the heart of Dem propaganda efforts, their plan always involves some made up disaster and selling themselves as the solution to the problem.
The health care system is not a disaster, insisting hospitals treat people for free and then stick the rest of us with the bill is the disaster. AGW is a made up disaster, technology and our lifestyle are not the bogeymen, Al Gore is. Immigration is not a civil rights disaster, allowing illegals to set their own rules and us not enforcing the Law is the disaster. Poverty is not the disaster, enabling bad choices is the disaster. Iraq is not a disaster, encouraging the terrorists and Iran is the disaster.
Hanlon's Razor: Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity. dscott's corollary: The line between malice and stupidity is called depraved indifference.
Rich. Better than coffee..
November 5, 2007 - 13:34 ET by Gary HallRich. Thanks. My wife brought me coffee this morning.. then Rich and NB bring me IBD reality check (can't live without either) - ah, what a glorious day!
IBD's editorials have indeed been a Godsend all year long.
For the contrast on the coverage - again, here's but one example of how the biased media plays it different, when the shoe is on the other foot:
But back in the election cycle of Aug of 2000, when the DOW was off it's high by 1,100 points, the Nasdaq was down 58% from it's highs (midst of a historic crash), unemployment claims were soaring, hundreds of companies were closing their doors, corporate corruption and corporate accounting fraud was the rule of the day, CA was in the midst of the Enron blamed energy crisis, the manufacturing index had been in a steep plummet and was nearing the low point in the cycle (continued down until April 2001); here's CBS's Charlie Gibson (just like most of them) pushing the campaign of Al Gore because the economy is so strong:
Ah the optimism - Naturally, the media didn't want Bush to come in and screw up the.. the.. the, what? The economy was dying in the moment. shh.
Right on schedule
November 5, 2007 - 14:18 ET by ChaitealoverI noticed this past week that the MSM were airing the annual "stores expect poor sales this holiday" stories.
Meet me here at the end of January to discuss the airing of the annual "stores had better holiday sales than they expected" stories
Chai
The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life. Theodore Roosevelt
Chai.... Meet me here at
November 5, 2007 - 14:24 ET by bigtimerChai....
Meet me here at the end of January to discuss the airing of the annual "stores had better holiday sales than they expected" stories
...and they will still attempt to spin that in some way too....
I have seen a number of
November 5, 2007 - 15:02 ET by Right2thePointI have seen a number of stories on how high end stores will be taking a beating because of lower bonuses on Wall Street due to the subprime stuff.
Well that only hits the mortgage/banking market..they are sorta whistling in the graveyard past all that M&A activity that really generated the bucks this year and will likely expand even more as the economy levels to a steady rate. Now the deals will be smaller but in larger numbers. People will be spinning of units dragging or slow growth and commissions will still be generated but in smaller chunks.
Hedge funds managers crying in the beer, They are gonna have to cut back to the bare essentials since they only made 160 mil this year instead of 225 mil. Man it's tough all over.
I have never seen a good
November 5, 2007 - 14:51 ET by Right2thePointI have never seen a good study on how long of a lead time the media touts the doom and gloom message before a real recession hits and they then point and say see we told ya so x number of years ago and we were right.
Then compound it by totally missing the recovery.
My latest 401k statement
November 5, 2007 - 18:14 ET by KevroyMy latest 401k statement says my rate of return for this year so far is 18.44 %.
If this is what a sucky economy looks like, I can't wait for the good times.