ABC’s “Good Morning America” hosted Fox Business anchor/managing editor Neil Cavuto on Wednesday morning — by himself with no liberal counterpart! While co-host Diane Sawyer peppered Cavuto with questions based on the idea that the economy was a disaster and Barack Obama was being unfairly attacked by John McCain, Cavuto offered a healthy alternative not typically seen on ABC.
Sawyer suggested Obama’s claim that motorists inflating their tires could create an oil savings equal to the amount that might be obtained by offshore drilling was “factually true” while McCain’s mocking of Obama was a “stunt,” and dourly observed that consumer confidence was at “almost a 22-year low.” But Cavuto rejected Sawyer’s pessimism:
If people have a feeling that things are so miserable, why are they buying $300, $400 IPhones with very expensive contracts. Why are they spending so much at the movie theaters? Why are they still going out in record numbers to restaurants?...When people are surveyed Diane on this stuff, it's very important to distinguish between someone saying we think things are lousy but when they're asked about how are you doing, they say, well, you know, not that bad, not that bad. There is a difference.
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Here’s a full transcript of Sawyer’s interview with Cavuto, which took place at about 7:10am on the August 6 “Good Morning America”:
Diane Sawyer: To lay it on the line, give us a dose of his own brand of common sense, managing editor of Fox Business Network -- well, if I could talk -- I just am all, all falling apart on you. He is the host of "Cavuto," Neil Cavuto is with us this morning. It's good to have you here.
Neil Cavuto: Good morning.
Sawyer: So good to see you, how about this. Gas down now for the third week in a row. Who would have thought $3.98 on average would be cheerful,
Cavuto: Seems like a bargain. Seems like a bargain.
Sawyer: So cheerful. Has it topped out. Is it going to continue to go down?
Cavuto: I wish I were that smart, Diane. I think one of the things that happens with markets and the supplies of energy they go in extremes. The markets have this reputation for a reason that they tend to take things to the umph. And we we're going to the umph on the upside, some say maybe with Edouard turning out not to be the serious storm some thought it would be, that would batter the Gulf. That was an excuse.
Sawyer: You have an instinct this is going to hold now and continue to go down?
Cavuto: I've held the view on Fox Business that what's been happening here is a run-up very akin to the run-up we had in real estate prices, the run-up that we had in internet stocks years before. It was a frothy mentality that didn't justify simple supply and demand. Having said that, I'm not smart enough to think that these levels are where we stick but many people far smarter than I have said, Diane, that a realistic price for oil is probably slightly under $100 a barrel so we would have a ways to go.
Sawyer: Lets talk about gas prices and politics here. Senator Barack Obama as you know said yesterday that basically the McCain camp is ridiculing something that is just factually true. That if people tune up their cars and actually do put the increased pressure in their tires, you can save 800,000 barrels of oil as opposed to 1.2 for offshore drilling. So is he right factually it can make a difference?
Cavuto: I, it definitely can make a difference. I have not checked out whether it's 800,000 barrels or 400,000 barrels. I'm sure things like checking your tire pressure and driving 55, you know, all I know is I drive pretty fast on the road and people are passing me.
Sawyer: So is the McCain -- is the McCain -- is it just a stunt, the McCain gas -
Cauvto: No, I think you can argue they're both pulling stunts here. I think -- the fact of the matter is as I've been telling people, it's really like a jump ball on this stuff. Do the tire pressure thing. Do the conservation thing, watch the speed thing but also look at drilling. Also look at alternative energy. Jump ball, have at it because we rely too much on this from abroad.
Sawyer: And what about consumer confidence? We have a new ABC Consumer Comfort Index which indicates that consumer confidence is down at almost a 22-year low here. As low as it's ever been.
Cavuto: You know, I have great stock in your confidence numbers as I do all confidence numbers I get but I also have a grain of salt in all of this because if people have a feeling that things are so miserable, why are they buying $300, $400 IPhones with very expensive contracts. Why are they spending so much at the movie theaters? Why are they still going out in record numbers to restaurants?
Now, it's not just the same slightly overweight people going to the same restaurant again and again and again. I'm just arguing that I'm not saying let them eat cake. But apparently a lot of people are eating cake. There's a lot more going on. When people are surveyed Diane on this stuff, it's very important to distinguish between someone saying we think things are lousy but when they're asked about how are you doing, they say, well, you know, not that bad, not that bad. There is a difference.
Sawyer: But food banks report a 15% to 20% increase of people coming to their doors.
Cavuto: Alright, but it's the same thing as looking at foreclosure activity and saying it's at a record. Well there are more Americans, more people have mortgages. You're going to have a higher number. It's always about percentages, Diane, and the fact of the matter is, when you look at overall percentages, we clearly have problems, but when you argue that 97% of mortgages, for example, in this country are as of this day when you and I are talking being paid on time, it gives you I think a more accurate bigger picture.
Sawyer: All right. So we'll take the ABC News Consumer Comfort Index. And...
Cavuto: Oh it's a great index that I'm comfortable with, but what the Comfort Index leaves out the fact, how are you? How are you, Diane Sawyer, feeling? How are you Neil Cavuto feeling. How are you, you know, John Doe feeling? There is a big distinction between doing it in the aggregate and asking someone singularly how you are specifically doing. You always get different results.
Sawyer: Can't let you leave six weeks you've been away and I know that you have MS and you have talked about complications from it and it affected your throat. You had to go away for surgery.
Cavuto: I did. I had throat surgery. I have MS, I have what was equivalent to paralysis of my larynx and without grossing your fine viewers out at this early hour, my throat was paralyzing, if you will, it's a poor choice of words and they had to do the surgery to effectively make me the bionic throat and to open it up and for six weeks Diane I had to shut the heck up which is hard for me.
Ah but for the first time of my life I learned the value I guess of just listening to people and to two listening to little boys that wanted to yap a lot and a girl who wanted me to tell me her story without dad lecturing her and I learned quite a bit about that. And my viewers were I think happy for the lesson maybe.
Sawyer: Well, you said some wonderful things when you came back including you learned that it's better to catch fireflies than talk about catching fireflies.
Cavuto: Or to talk at all. Thanks, Diane.
Sawyer: Great to have you back.
Cavuto: Thank you very much.
Sawyer: And great to have you here.



















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Comments Policy
I love how the liberals and
August 6, 2008 - 10:19 ET by Chris NormanI love how the liberals and their ventriliqist dummies in the media call conservative common sense solutions to problems: "stunts", "simplistic", and "exploiting wedge issues". Yes, we need "complicated" and "nuanced" "solutions" to every problem - I would hate to have my house on fire and have a bunch of liberals come to put it out...
McNotObama '08
I would hate to have my
August 6, 2008 - 12:06 ET by Dan The Man 2I would hate to have my house on fire and have a bunch of liberals come to put it out. Hmm I would think all those blowhards would generate enough air to snuff out the fire quite handily.
Nuke em til they glow then shoot em in the dark.
Yes, but they wouldn't want
August 6, 2008 - 12:54 ET by Chris NormanYes, but they wouldn't want to use that - it'd be too easy and "simplistic" (besides, with some of those politicians 150 proof breaths, it'd be like a giant flamethrower). They would demand that we come up with alternate ways to put out the fire. Water is out too -they'd say "we couldn't spray our way out of the problem".
McNotObama '08
150 proof
August 6, 2008 - 14:32 ET by tejanodiablobut with that giant flamethrower breathe they could rationalize that it would burn away all the pollutants in the blast furnace temperatures ..
never look a gift skunk in the tail ..
KISS
August 6, 2008 - 13:00 ET by ChrisMillsThis is an excellent point. They obviously don't understand the science motto, KISS: "Keep it simple, stupid." The more complicated the solution or explanation, the more likely that it's wrong. And the dems should really pay attention to this message. After all it's specifically addressed to them.
That's why everytime I hear
August 6, 2008 - 13:18 ET by Chris NormanThat's why everytime I hear a politician use the words "comprehensive solution", I want to damage something. I know it's their way of doing absolutely nothing. They bury the problem in "comprehensive solutions".
McNotObama '08
Good for Neil!
August 6, 2008 - 10:29 ET by c5thenHe's always great for putting things in perspective. It is interesting that the polls usually ask people about the economy in general and how they feel about it. In effect asking them to aggregate the responses themselves, but when asked about their own specific position, it turns out to be a different answer.
97% of mortages are just fine. Well that's a different perspective than "forclosures have increased by 100% over the last year". Yeah, from 1.5% to 3% of the total. Oooooo, scary stuff.
I will say it forever, any industry that cannot absorb a 3% loss does not deserve to be saved.
The day that "politician" became a career choice is the day we started losing the Republic. Let's get it back! Alan Keyes '08.
Diane disappointed...
August 6, 2008 - 12:36 ET by JaneyI saw that piece on GMA this morning. When Diane Sawyer said "Alright" after Cavuto's comment on foreclosure activity, she actually sounded disappointed. (I 8-seconded my tivo to double check, lol.)
tire pressures will barely save 1%
August 6, 2008 - 12:49 ET by wizardjrIf you do the math with ALL drilling that's not going on now you will find that the savings would be about a half percent in reality. I'll give a fudge factor then and say 1%.
Tire inflation is found to save about 3.3% for real, not some pie in the sky number. In addition, not all cars have under inflated tires. The tire companies estimate that only about 30% have significantly under inflated tires. Consider the number of barrels of oil that are converted to gasoline in this country that would amount to about 200,000 barrels a year. With coastal oil and on-shore oil pumping that amounts to about a half a percent. Heck, ANWR alone is supposed to yield over a million barrels a year at peak. That's five times the saving all by itself.
DUH! I am sooooo worn out with the phony facts on MSM I do not ever tune in or read the dead tree media any more.
I am testing this theory
August 6, 2008 - 13:22 ET by general companyI seriously doubt their 30% of all tires are under, I have been looking at them ever since Obama said this, I haven't seen it. I would guess maybe 10-15%. But those folks don't care anyway. I guess we could make another nanny law?
I have been wondering if some manufactures think their tires will give you better mileage then others?
I got to talking about this with my Obama supporting co-worker. He feels that Obama is right on que here. So I decieded to see what kinda differance it would make. I so I lowered the pressure in my tires from the recomended 32psi to 20 psi. My car typically gets right at 28-32mpg depending on how much highway or city, this last tankfull it got 28.9. This was just back and forth from work witch is mostly all state highways, so I agreed to do one more tankfull starting today and this will go through the weekend witch will find me in the city some, so we will see.
"Television is a freak show" Bernie Goldberg
General Company
August 6, 2008 - 13:42 ET by amberI am interested to hear how it turns out.
I wonder too, how much would we save if we stopped ethanol production. It takes as much fuel to create it and ship it as it makes and it also lowers the fuel economy of vehicles. So, how much fuel would we save if we stopped making ethanol?
Cavuto on ABC/Diane Sawyer
August 6, 2008 - 13:04 ET by nandrelliHaving Diane Sawyer spar with Neil Cavuto on the economy is like having Dr. Ruth discuss love-making with Brad Pitt.
I have more confidence in Cavuto than anyone else when it comes to economic analysis. He is an extremely intelligent guy, and I miss him on XM radio now that he is on the Business Channel.
Cavuto is a very up-beat person. As someone who knows what MS can do to a person (I have relatives and friends who suffer from it, so I have seen it personally) it is amazing to see what an optimist he is. And he doesn't want to talk about MS, because he doesn't want people to think he is looking for sympathy.
In fact, what I believe is: Cavuto For President!!
Very nice. He is correct
August 6, 2008 - 13:32 ET by amberVery nice. He is correct of course. In my area people are eating out a lot and spending money, but they are not going very far to do it. We are doing very well, but we raise most of our food. If we had to buy all of our food we would never be able to live here.
What I can't figure out is
August 6, 2008 - 21:32 ET by Cape Conservativewhere all the millions and millions of dollars come from for the political campaigns! Just this week, BHO was in Boston and there were people "honored" to pay $1,000 to $15,000 just to have dinner with him! Oh yes, we are in tough times!
The internet is supposedly Barack's golden goose, with small donations coming in from all over the country. I have to say that those hundreds of millions of dollars are coming from people who must think they have it to spare.
As for our household, we are sending money to CONSERVATIVES all across the country! I guess, looking at our specific situation, things are pretty good if we can do so! But then again, we don't eat out much or send any $$ to Hollywood liberals via the movie houses either ;-)
"The internet is supposedly
August 7, 2008 - 07:56 ET by amber"The internet is supposedly Barack's golden goose, with small donations coming in from all over the country."
I understand your confusion. Yes, many Americans are giving BO $$$, but many foreigners are as well. Yes it is illegal, but so far no one has cared.
I don't think people are spending less, just that they are spending it closer to home. At least that is what it looks like in small town Minnesota. I live in one of the most conservative districts in MN, at least in the top 3.
I'll come out and say it -
August 6, 2008 - 13:50 ET by Chris NormanI'll come out and say it - we are in some kind of a noticeable slow down. I'm not saying that it's an official recession and it's far from the cartoonish version of a depression the media presents.
However, in my industry (wholesale home & garden decor) we are seeing a definite slowdown this year and I think we are experiencing a sea-change in retailing. Stores are much more reluctant now to pre-buy stock like in the past. Instead, they are ordering one piece at a time as their customers order it - then breathing down our necks if we don't have it. We have seen a noticeable upswing in orders from the internet and catalogs, as individual retail customers turn to those when they can't find the items in stores. Consequently, "brick and mortar" retailers want to emulate the web and catalog dealers and not carry stock. It makes it very hard for us to pre-plan our inventory. I don't know how all of this will shake out, but it's been a roller coaster for the past year and a half.
McNotObama '08
There has definately ben a
August 6, 2008 - 15:54 ET by amberThere has definately been a slow down. I think most people are just watching their driving. We rarely go to the "big" city (Makato) anymore (it is 35 miles, and round trip uses 4 gallons of diesel) I also have not been back to visit my parents or my inlaws for about 5 months and they are only 120 miles away. Many people are either buying online, making all of their stops in one trip, or staying closer to home. The businesses in my small town look like they have a lot higher traffic, but the big town is not doing as well (not bad, but not as well). Unless something is done about increasing supply through domestic sources, it will keep slowing.
If we increase our supply through US sources the price of oil will plummet. There is no reason we can not have a much higher standard of living. There is no reason we are paying over 30% of our income in taxes (sales, state, local, federal).
For us, it's also the
August 6, 2008 - 16:14 ET by Chris NormanFor us, it's also the decline in housing prices. Some people are reluctant to improve their houses as much as when the prices were shooting up. Our sales to stores in Florida and California, especially, are down a lot - although we are drop shipping a number of items to individiuals in FL and CA who are ordering off the Internet and catalogs. Again, it's a perception thing. If people perceive things are bad, even if their own situation isn't, they tend to be more cautious. That's why I can't stand the media trying to induce a national economic panic attack.
McNotObama '08
Yes, if the media was
August 7, 2008 - 08:00 ET by amberYes, if the media was honest about our economic situation we would be in even better economic circumstances. If the Republicans were honest about it they would be more effective in their fight to make us more prosperous. Thank goodness we are starting to see some real honesty about the economy from Republicans.
Gas mileage
August 6, 2008 - 14:43 ET by david999Ethanol REDUCES gas mileage up to 13% depending if it is 10% or 15% mix of ethanol and gasoline. Plus will cause $$ engine damage
Will obama called for getting rid of ethanol in gasoline?
Of course not!
He hopes people will be fooled long enough for him to get into office
Air
August 6, 2008 - 15:12 ET by Mulligan22Just putting air your tires doesn't necessarily do anything. If you're sitting in stop and go traffic it makes little difference. You can also remove excess weight from your car by emptying the trunk, or kicking your overweight spouse out the door. You can wash and wax it which will help wind resistance. You can turn the a/c off. But still if you're in stop and go traffic the benefit will vary. I'd like to see some news guy with a tire gauge check the tires of Obama's motorcade after it's been sitting for awhile to see if Barry follows his own advise.
I'm still waiting for Obama to tell us to fill our tires with C02 to help stop global warming.
Gotta Go
August 6, 2008 - 15:58 ET by amberTonight is "watch cars run into each other and light on fire" night. Got my ear mufflers.
My husband introduced me to the world of Smash 'em Up Derby. Love to see Al Gore and Barak there tonight!
Just after 9-11, with the
August 6, 2008 - 16:37 ET by Biff McCainJust after 9-11, with the Dow down around 500, Cavuto advised his viewers to buy.
The Dow dropped another 1,000.
Sure fancy eaterys and iphone sales are up, I'm sure yacht sales are up too.
I know how to win wars!
and it's over 11,600 now
August 6, 2008 - 16:57 ET by wizardjrif you are one of those great investment minds of America that buys at the top and sells and the bottom I want to thank you for enriching my family. I traded stocks for years and now trade forex. The stock market got too muddied up with day trader idiots distorting the prices. Forex is way to large (in dollars traded) to get pushed around by a few thousand chump change amateurs so I play in that arena.
Ahhhh, Biff? So happens if
August 6, 2008 - 16:57 ET by bassndudeAhhhh, Biff? So happens if you bought when Cavuto advised, after 9-11, you would be sitting on a pile of money right now, getting ready to retire. Dow jumped almost 1000 when we invaded the Afgan nation, it fell on the Bali bombing. It now sits at 11656.07. Higher than the Internet bubble during Clintons term.
Save a SeAL, club a liberal!!
"I'm sure yacht sales are up
August 6, 2008 - 17:03 ET by Chris Norman"I'm sure yacht sales are up too"
Those of us in the middle class, who earn our living selling luxury items to the upper class, are grateful that they're still buying - I've gotten used to food and shelter.
McNotObama '08
Yacht sales up, IQ's down.
August 6, 2008 - 17:23 ET by mastersofdeceitYes yacht sales are up.
"The past several years have been a trial for the marine industry. We survived a nearly fatal 10 percent luxury excise tax that was imposed on all new boats retailing for more than $100,000. Since its repeal, the industry has rebounded, and the results of a recent economic study show how far."
Rep. Patrick Kennedy (D-RI) Pg. 4
http://www.taxfoundation.org/files/c6ecade967155f2138352ae01a02381b.pdf
Economic Pessimism
August 7, 2008 - 07:39 ET by sarcasmoMight just be justified...
JMR
The tax & spend drug war looks racist in the real world.