Once I built a railroad, I made it run, made it race against time.
Once I built a railroad; now it's done. Brother, can you spare a dime?
Once I built a tower, up to the sun, brick, and rivet, and lime;
Once I built a tower, now it's done. Brother, can you spare a dime?
Forget about the Great Recession. Pay no heed to home foreclosures. Ignore double digit unemployment.
The stimulus package is working! That is thrust of a New York Times article written from the alternate economic universe. Here is the happy face appraisal of the stimulus package presented by Times writers Jackie Calmes and Michael Cooper who counter the criticism of that program with this gem:
But with roughly a quarter of the stimulus money out the door after nine months, the accumulation of hard data and real-life experience has allowed more dispassionate analysts to reach a consensus that the stimulus package, messy as it is, is working.
Unemployment? Not to worry. President Obama is "roughly on track" to solve this problem next year with his magic wand:
The legislation, a variety of economists say, is helping an economy in free fall a year ago to grow again and shed fewer jobs than it otherwise would. Mr. Obama’s promise to “save or create” about 3.5 million jobs by the end of 2010 is roughly on track, though far more jobs are being saved than created, especially among states and cities using their money to avoid cutting teachers, police officers and other workers.
What you think of as a poor economic program is mostly an illusion because without the stimulus package things would have been much worse according to one economist:
“It was worth doing — it’s made a difference,” said Nigel Gault, chief economist at IHS Global Insight, a financial forecasting and analysis group based in Lexington, Mass.
Mr. Gault added: “I don’t think it’s right to look at it by saying, ‘Well, the economy is still doing extremely badly, therefore the stimulus didn’t work.’ I’m afraid the answer is, yes, we did badly but we would have done even worse without the stimulus.”
Worse? Well check the unemployment graph below. The light blue line represents projections made by the Obama economic team early this year about where the unemployment rate would go without their stimulus package. The dark blue line represents where the same team predicted the unemployment rate would go with their stimulus package. And, oops, those nasty red dots represent where the unemployment rate actually went. Note that with the stimulus package the October unemployment rate should have been just under 8% which would have been great. Unfortunately the red dot of reality shows that the October unemployment rate ended up at 10.2%, the first double digit unemployment rate in over 25 years.
And any failure of the stimulus package is due to...Republicans. I kid you not:
Even the $787 billion price tag overstates the plan’s stimulus value given changes made in Congress, economists say. Nearly a tenth of the package, $70 billion, comes from a provision adjusting the alternative minimum tax so it does not hit middle-income taxpayers this year. That routine fix, which would do nothing to stimulate the economy, was added in part to seek Republican votes. But to keep the package’s overall cost down, provisions that would stimulate the economy — like aid to revenue-starved states and infrastructure projects — got less as a result.
Bad Republicans! Whatever the failure in Obama's beautiful stimulus package, it's your fault because we had to placate you. Bad Republicans!
However, despite those wascally Wepublicans, the stimulus is working just fine according to economist Mark Zandi:
Even so, “the stimulus is doing what it was supposed to do — it is contributing to ending the recession,” he added, citing the economy’s third-quarter expansion by a 3.5 percent seasonally adjusted annual rate. “In my view, without the stimulus, G.D.P. would still be negative and unemployment would be firmly over 11 percent. And there are a little over 1.1 million more jobs out there as of October than would have been out there without the stimulus.”
But what of that inconvenient chart showing unemployment with and without the stimulus plus the unfortunate results of what actually happened, Mark? Eh, never mind. Why interrupt him with the inconvenient truth when he is on an alternate reality comedy roll?
And as to the unemployment charts showing Obama unemployment claims versus brutal reality, the Times writers sound annoyed with Republicans for even bringing up that ugly truth:
Politically, however, the president is saddled with his original claim that, with the stimulus, the jobless rate would peak at 8.1 percent — a miscalculation that Republicans constantly recall. While the administration has said its economic assumptions were in line with private forecasts, most of which also underestimated the recession’s punch, it was more optimistic than most.
Oh, just a "miscalculation?" And will you Republicans quit bringing this up? He made a bit of a mistake and you guys just keep pointing out what actually happened with unemployment. No fair! Plus it keeps people from focusing on just how wonderful the stimulus package is:
Christina D. Romer, chairwoman of Mr. Obama’s Council of Economic Advisers, said attention to that too-rosy projection “prevents people from focusing on the positive impact of the fiscal stimulus. So of course I find that frustrating.”
And now for one last slam at those nasty Republicans who caused a blemish on what would have otherwise been a perfect stimulus package:
...most temporary tax cuts cost more than the stimulus they provide, according to research by Moody’s. That is true of two tax breaks in the stimulus law that Congress, pressed by industry lobbyists, recently extended and sweetened — a tax credit for homebuyers (90 cents of stimulus for each dollar of tax subsidy) and extra deductions for businesses’ net operating losses (21 cents).
Economists said Republicans’ recent proposals to rescind unspent money would be a mistake.
Yecch! Giving money back to the taxpayers? What a horrible idea!
Bad Republicans! We're going to slap you over the head with a newspaper and stick your noses into the economic mess you made this year. Your fault! Bad Republicans! Bad!
—P.J. Gladnick is a freelance writer and creator of the DUmmie FUnnies blog.
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Didn't read the whole thing.....
Sat, 11/21/2009 - 11:20 ET by supercon"it is, is working..." That was all I had to read.
Fantasy....pure fantasy. What are they going to tell us next ? That Obama's dithering on Afghanistan is actually reducing combat deaths and weakening al-Qaeda...? It was simply rubbish and nothing more than propaganda. That paper cannot die fast enough for me.
" if Republicans are able to stop Barack Obama on health care, 'it will be his Waterloo, it will break him...." -Sen. Jim DeMint
NYT's ???
Sun, 11/22/2009 - 12:24 ET by Patriot IIthese are the same people that wrote the book "The sky is falling" under the nom de plume of Chicken Little LOL
Hogwash
Sat, 11/21/2009 - 11:37 ET by forestIt failed, and even if it did what they said it would do, the long term expense and distortions would have outweighed the short tem benefit.
But it just failed and is extremely expensive.
Alternate Universe
Sat, 11/21/2009 - 11:38 ET by slickwillie2001And by the way, have you folks noticed that in spite of the extreme rate of unemployment and many that have given up, and the rate of foreclosures, there are NO stories on the homeless? There HAS to be a much higher rate of homelessness than during the President George W. Bush years, but not a word.
I guess it's a little more difficult to trivialize homelessness as they do re 'funemployment'.
Christina D. Romer,
Sat, 11/21/2009 - 11:38 ET by Jack BauerI guess Romer burns, whilst Obama fiddles
Ouch, sorry, couldn't resist the pun fun.
The NYT is right-the Stimulus is working as it was intended
Sat, 11/21/2009 - 11:40 ET by R D HelmAnd so is Porkulus.
Both funds are dutifully sitting there like bumps on a log, just waiting for the dems to start quietly doling out the loot at just the right moments in order to save their congressional political arses next November, and again in 2012.
The dems are going to do all they can to put a defeat-proof socialist congress in place, even if they have to steal even more of our money to buy it.
Don't underestimate how easy it is to buy off entire blocks of sheeple voters.
Remember, nearly half of the American populace does not pay federal income taxes.
-Dave
Our elected representatives have failed us.
working for whom...???
Sat, 11/21/2009 - 11:40 ET by wizardjrWith funemployment officially over 10% and actually over 17% if you include those whose benefits have run out, how the heck is that Hope and Change working for us the worker bees??
I guess you have to include the five and six figure dates the First Couple have gone on. I mean, that has to have saved or created dozens of jobs, right?
I lost my job the fourth of July. I think I'll run for one of those newly discovered Congressional Districts here in Minnesota. I can serve the constituents extremely well with all the funding going there.
Facts = stubborn things
Sat, 11/21/2009 - 12:20 ET by Vivaldi5Once again, P.J. Gladnick hits one outta the park by eviscerating the NYT's manic spin. Well done, as always, Mr. Gladnick!
But I do have a question that is probably unanswerable at this point--maybe it will be answerable a century from now when all the key players have passed on and now-hidden documentation is available--, but I have to ask it anyway even if it makes me look sort of paranoid. When I see commentary like the NYT's--so bereft of fact, so rich in self-serving (and administration-serving) spin--, I have to wonder if it was directed in some way, either by the White House or managers at the paper who have contacts there and know what the "desired result" is.
It wouldn't be the first time in history that the government has manipulated the press behind the scenes; some reports say that Sir Robert Walpole, the first Prime Minister of Great Britain, spent some 50,000 pounds bribing Grub Street pamphleteers and newspapers. And I certainly wouldn't put it past this administration to say, Oh, crap, the stimulus is in trouble, and the more Biden tries to defend it, the worse the clamor gets; don't we know someone at this or that newspaper who can write us a friendly take on it?
Nor would I put it past the mainstream media to make a covert deal for coverage with a pre-determined message favorable to the administration--not when they're assigning teams of 11 reporters to "fact check" Sarah Palin or meticulously looking for mistakes in a Saturday Night Live sketch. To borrow a well-known person's phrase, this is clearly not a case of a lone reporter "going rogue" and determining that he or she will butter up the president. Multiple editors, managers, etc. have to sign off on things like these. And we already know what state the 'independent' press is in today (not so independent but rather sitting up on its hind legs and begging for an Obama burger).
I don't like to think such stories are coordinated. I'd rather think these are isolated reporters who just decide to cheer Obama on their own. But it's hard to set aside all the apparent coordination between such things.
merely fellow travellers
Sat, 11/21/2009 - 12:48 ET by wizardjrAll limosine liberals think alike. If you never leave Manhatten except to go to the Hamptons then your cultural experience is rather limited. These are eliteists of the highest order. All of 'us' are to be looked down on as Johnny Six-packs, etc. Their Ivy League schooling and Trust Fund Baby incomes define them as the superior beings in their minds. And, they continually go around reinforcing each other's world view.
They buy and sell politicians and view themselves as patricians whose lot in life is to run things. Most of what they print is what they belive. The rest is necessary bending of facts to serve 'the purpose'.
Heaven forbid that a bunch of smelly factory working Joes actually think they are in charge...!! This must not happen.
It's much like the scene in The Patriot where Lord Cornwallis says something to the effect that killing off the officers would leave the battlefield in chaos. These eliteists believe the same of themselves and their noblese oblige to run things.
Delusional
Sat, 11/21/2009 - 13:42 ET by Anneke9I choked on my coffee when I read the headline of this reprinted in the San Jose Mercury News. Doubly ironic given the other headlines on the Merc's front page today:
Long, slow jobs recovery: Valley's jobless rate persists at just under 12 percent statewide, more than 2.3 million people looking for work
Graphic: Job losses continue
Students seize building: a day after regents approved 32 percent fee increase, dozens barricade themselves inside a campus building
Yeah, that stimulus sure is working all right.
Camouflage conservative in Baghdad-by-the-Bay
Anne9... This can't do
Sat, 11/21/2009 - 19:53 ET by bigtimerAnne9...
This can't do anything but grow, the msm isn't going to be able to ignore or just barely mention what is going on all across this nation, try as they might, the strength in numbers of unrest in various ways is going to surface...all over the place...real frustration and anger is our there...growing each day..I've never in my lifetime seen anything like what this power hungry group of politicians are doing to us all at break-neck speed.
It's spooky.
'Doubling down on stupid is not a particularly good idea'~Breitbart
Hockey Stick v. Laffer Curve
Sat, 11/21/2009 - 19:34 ET by CO2MakerExplain to me how all the geniuses in the administration, Congress, and the MSM can believe the elusive reality of the climatic "hockey stick" effect and at the same time not believe the lesson of the Laffer curve, which has been demonstrated quite convincingly at least four times in the last half-century that when the government reduces tax rates, tax revenues go up significantly?
So, Hockey Stick but no Laffer Curve?
I have never in my adult years seen such a bald display of naked power-mad politicians as in the near-carnality of Washington in the last 10 months. Frankly, it doesn't seem to me that what NancyHarryBarneyBarry is doing is an actual tilt toward Socialism--intentionally. Rather, I see it as an exercise of power by politicians who want to revel in their power, and the easiest and best way to achieve that goal is to pander to the public, abetted by the bacchantes of the press who follow the emanations of power from Congressional leaders as if they were pheromones.
The result will be some kind of Nanny-State Socialism promoted on the idea of the Nail Theory, that is, that everyone will be made equal, just as when you see a nail stick up above the rest, you hammer it down so that all the nails are level.
CO2 Wow...what a great
Sat, 11/21/2009 - 19:47 ET by bigtimerCO2
Wow...what a great post.
Two words...
Thank You.
'Doubling down on stupid is not a particularly good idea'~Breitbart
Thenk yew, thenk yew
Sat, 11/21/2009 - 20:25 ET by CO2MakerThis whole thing is coming to a head tonight, and with Landrieu, Lincoln, and Nelson falling into line like good Democratic ducks, we're going to be seriously ducked next week.
I'm appalled by the insanity of all this spending, by the demonizing of insurance companies who are already hobbled by legislation that prohibits selling across state lines, that is demagogued by politicians--like Harry tonight smearing them and their unseemly profits--by going after the Wall Street financiers with pitchforks and torches, but not going after the goads, protectors, and enablers of them, like Barney, Maxine, Franklin Raines, and others who pushed the banks to make shakier and shakier loans and who concocted the Freddie Mac monster that bought up the mortgages so that the private companies realized the profits and the public mortgage broker shouldered all the debt.
Freddie gets shaky, Goldman Sachs and others who are trading with these less-than-wholesome paper assets start to get even wobblier, and then everybody got rubber knees last September, ushering in the era of Chicken Little scaremongering that got O'Bama elected and emboldened Barney Frankincense and his fellow travelers.
Right you are...and our
Sat, 11/21/2009 - 20:30 ET by bigtimerRight you are...and our fearless-deer in-the-headlights- leader from Montana is going after the evil insurance companies as well at the moment, in fact if I understood the POS he was talking about capping excutive pay somehow......total control, total power~health care be damnded.
'Doubling down on stupid is not a particularly good idea'~Breitbart
If this bill passes and Barry signs it (anyone doubt that?)...
Sat, 11/21/2009 - 20:45 ET by CO2MakerThen two things have to happen: (1) Get rid of most of Congress, starting with all they "Aye" voters; and (b) start to repeal the legislation.
Fortunately, the masters of the Congressional universe wrote it so that the benefits don't start until after the 2012 election, so Barry can brag about saving everyone's health that they can't save for themselves, but that means before the disbursements are paid, too. But, if I understand it correctly, the taxes start before that. That's good. People will feel the sting before they get the drug-buzz of something free paid for by others. Repeal it before there are actual recipients who have come to depend on it. Repeal it before anyone can claim that doing so will ruin their lives. Repeal it while we still have insurance companies that know how to write insurance. Repeal it before the EU switches currency, before OPEC and other commodity traders switch away from the dollar, and before China calls our debts.
Excuse me..It is working .. ;>)
Sat, 11/21/2009 - 21:28 ET by PaarlFrom a Democrats point of view....there is no doubt that the Dems...the party of the government of all levels has shifted financial resources from the private sector to the public sector and saved an indefinite and undetermined number of jobs held by members of public sector unions....
This was explicitly stated by Governor Ed Rendell when he was interviewed on 1210 AM the Big Talker several months back...Rendell gave his usual spiel about the jobs of public sector workers saved by the stimulus...of course he said teachers and firemen and cops...he did not talk of bureaucrats etc...
the phone line to fast eddie was opened and I got on and trapped the Slimy one into admitting that he was only referring to public sector workers and not the entire work force including the private and nonprofit sectors.....
I understand this was the line/spiel/propaganda suggested and programmed early on by the White House and the Dems especially the governors have been pushing this line...
Paarl of Rhodesia....not fooled at all
economy?
Mon, 11/23/2009 - 19:20 ET by mikedudicalThe best way to gauge economic recovery is in the auto and housing sectors. Why? When people have jobs they buy houses and cars. When they lose jobs they lose houses and cars to repossession (see http://www.repofinder.com). Until we create more jobs our economic future will continue to be dark.