Global Warming Alert: Beware the 'Modoki'

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Head for the hills! There is yet another monster with a strange Japanese name that is threatening destruction of our coastal cities! No, it is not Godzilla or Rodan. This is a much more destructive monster, at least in the fervid imaginations of the global warming alarmists: "Modoki."

The warning about a possible Modoki attack was sounded by Doyle Rice in the Science Fair section of USA Today:

Global warming could have a dramatic effect on El Niño, the periodic warming of the eastern Pacific Ocean that alters global weather patterns and calms Atlantic hurricane seasons, according to a new study published this week in the journal Nature.

Specifically, the warming might help spur the development of a secondary El Niño, one which forms thousands of miles to the west in the central Pacific Ocean, near the International Date Line. Unlike its kin to the east, the central Pacific El Niño appears to cause more Atlantic tropical storms and hurricanes.

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"Could" and "might." Two vitally important words when writing any global warming story based primarily on sheer speculation.

“There are two El Niños, or flavors of El Niño,” said Ben Kirtman, co-author of the study and professor at the University of Miami.  “In addition to the eastern Pacific El Niño which we know and love, a second El Niño in the central Pacific is on the increase.”

And now, ladies and gentlemen, before I tell you any more, I'm going to show you the greatest thing your eyes have ever beheld. He was a king and a god in the world he knew, but now he comes to civilization merely a captive - a show to gratify your curiosity. Ladies and gentlemen, look at Modoki, the Eighth Wonder of the World:

Scientists have dubbed the new phenomenon El Niño “Modoki” (the Japanese word "modoki" refers to something that is "similar but different"). It has been blamed for worsening drought conditions in Australia and India.

Of the 11 climate models the scientists used in the research, eight showed that global warming will lead to more central Pacific El Niños. Over the past 20 years, according to the data, the frequency of El Niño Modokis have increased from one out of five to half of all El Niños. By 2100, researchers predict that they will occur five times more often.

Additionally, the study reports that an increase in central Pacific El Niño events may also reduce the huricane-shielding effects of the traditional eastern Pacific event. 

"May." Closely related to "might" which is a key ingredient to most global warming stories. May we have an encore for "may?"

 "The results described in this paper indicate that the global impacts of El Niño may significantly change as the climate warms," said study lead author Sang-Wook Yeh of the Korea Ocean Research and Development Institute.

Commenter NucEngineer beautifully takes a contrary view to this global warming Modoki alarm:

The worst flaw in the AGW argument is the treatment of GCM computer generated outputs as data. They then use it in follow on hypotheses. For example, if temperature rises by X degrees in 50 years, then Y will be effected in such-and-such a way resulting in Z. Then the next person comes along and says, well, if Z happens, the effect on W will be a catastrophe. “I need (and deserve) more money to study the effects on W.” Hypotheses, stacked on hypotheses, stacked on more hypotheses, all based on computer outputs that are not data, using a process that does not lend to proof using the SCIENTIFIC METHOD. Look at their results, IF, MIGHT, and COULD are used throughout their news making results. And when one of the underlying hypotheses is proven incorrect, well, the public only remembers the doomsday results 2 or three iterations down the hypotheses train. The hypotheses downstream are not automatically thrown out and can even be used for more follow on hypotheses.

Yup! "Could," "if," "might" are certainly integral words of almost all global warming scare stories. Those words pop up so frequently that I suggest that a new mineral rock be named after them: "couldifmite." The unique charactertic of couldifmite would be that it can heat up merely by the thought waves of any global warming alarmist in its vicinity.

—P.J. Gladnick is a freelance writer and creator of the DUmmie FUnnies blog.


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Didn't Hanson predict a

Didn't Hanson predict a "super El Nino" in 2006? Or did he retract it when it became apparent he didn't know what he was talking about?

Didn't he precict another super el nino this year or next?

This is funny.

 

 

HAHAHAHAHA. HEHEHE. I didn’t even know about it. Um. So, you’ve got me at a loss. I don’t know. (Charles Gibson of the dead media.)

People Actually Listen To This Guy

Yes, in his latest embarrassment, Hansen has been predicting a super El Nino for 3 years now. His latest "cover thy butt" prediction came just 9 months ago.

Finally, in response to popular demand, we comment on the likelihood of
a near-term global temperature record. Specifically, the question has
been asked whether the relatively cool 2008 alters the expectation we
expressed in last year's summary that a new global record was likely
within the next 2-3 years (now the next 1-2 years). Response to that
query requires consideration of several factors...Given our expectation of the next El Niño beginning in 2009 or 2010, it
still seems likely that a new global temperature record will be set
within the next 1-2 years, despite the moderate negative effect of the
reduced solar irradiance.

But as fate would have it, this years El Nino is already fading and Hansen's colleague's are taking shots at him.

"It's actually eroding the credibility of long-range forecasters and climatologists." 

Incidentally, Hansen has now admitted that his 1988 predictions before congress were wrong.

Contacted by Fortune, Hansen acknowledges that his 1988 projections
were based on a model that "slightly" overstated the warming created by
a doubling in CO2 levels. His new model posits a rise of 3 degrees
Celsius in global temperatures by 2100, vs. 4.2 degrees in the old one
.

Of course, Hansen's predictions are always much ado about nothing since he's also admitted that the numbers the modellers throw into their computers are "pretty much pulled out of a hat".

 

dbo

Notice also this comment:

"...despite the moderate negative effect of the
reduced solar irradiance."

Get that?  If a naturally occurring process works against the global warming theories, it's a "negative effect".

The facts must fit the theory, or the facts are a problem.

"Reason and persuasion are the only practical instruments against error.  To make way for these, free inquiry must be indulged" - Thomas Jefferson

After 2005 Katrina all

After 2005 Katrina all predictions for 2006 were end of the world scenarios...."Mother of ALL hurricane seasons to come in 2006!!"

 

I'm a refugee from the Democratic Party.

 

I've been worried about

I've been worried about “Modoki” for years. Thank God we have Al Gore. Maybe he can take a break from spending $529M our our tax dollars from his car-building exercise in Finland and take care of this for us in his spare time?

___________________________________ 

"mmmm, mmmm, mm. Barrack-Hussain-Obama." - The Liberal cool-aid drinking song

TnT,

you left out, his sports car building exercise in Finland.  Yep, he's building a sports car.  One with a very limited range.  Anyone want to bet that it'll be priced in the $15-$20K range?  Thought not. 

Who in their right mind.....never mind, I just answered my own question.  

Al Gore...

could get even wealthier if people might be led to believe this rubbish.

 

"Democrats; Breeding voters like farm animals since 1962"

Sound science

If a bullfrog had wings, it could be that he might not bump his butt on the ground when he jumps.

"What a revoltin' development this is!"

Chester Riley

If you adjust the data

If you adjust the data right. We might be able to show that said bull frog might fly.

 

HAHAHAHAHA. HEHEHE. I didn’t even know about it. Um. So, you’ve got me at a loss. I don’t know. (Charles Gibson of the dead media.)

How come these global

How come these global warming idiots have not been laughed off the stage? Who is perpetuating this nonsense besides Al Gore and T Boon Pickens? (the people with the most to gain!) 

"The bureaucracy is growing to meet the needs of the growing bureaucracy"

 

Soros

who else

"The ultimate result of shielding men from the effect of folly is to fill the world with fools."

Herbert Spencer's "State Tamperings with Money Banks"

So, Modoki is Japanese for

So, Modoki is Japanese for ManBearPig?

 

Exactly

1/2 Man, 1/2 Bear & 1/2 Pig and 100% bullsh*t 

"You cannot spend your way out of recession or borrow your way out of debt." Daniel Hannan

manbearpig: perfect

manbearpig: perfect description of Al Gore.

Word to the Wise...

Never listen to anything you find on the Discovery Channel, Animal Planet, Nature, NOVA or the History Channel. Bias...pure bias.

 

"If God is dead, somebody is going to have to take his place. It will
be megalomania or erotomania, the drive for power or the drive for
pleasure, the clenched fist or the phallus, Hitler or Hugh Hefner."
— Malcolm Muggeridge

Yea stage9..... Serve somebody....

Bob Dylan yt link in another window

State controlled health care is Tort Reform.

Some of those

channels are owned by NBC.  You have to dig a little to find the corporate owner, it's supposed to be owned by the A&E Network, which is owned by NBC.  So, they're just propaganda outlets. 

Create a Crisis

The Lefty Liberals, the Maimed Stream Media, and those pushing to create a new system of Government for the US have created crisis after crisis in order to manipulate the masses by their emotions into following the government and allowing the Government to protect them and take care of them from these Created Crisis.

1) the Financial system will break if we don't do something - so they form TARP, and a stimulus Package.  this allows the Govt to control banks, industries and Wall street

2) To many are dying because of lack of good health care and Medicaid and medicare are broke - so they from HR3200 government to control your health.  you will need to eat only the food the Govt will allow or you will be cut off from medical service, if your old it is to expensive to keep you living.  so you are cut off from medical service. People who cant afford to buy the Govt insurance are fined for money they don't have or imprisoned for failure to pay the fine and or get Govt Insurance.

3) SS is broke - ???

4)everyone needs to be driving clean fuel efficient automobiles - cash for clunkers. But they forgot to tell the Participants abut the hidden tax charge.

5) Those who oppose the POTUS are racist, haters, murderers, violently taking away rights of the minorities. - So they create the freedom doctrine for media, internet control, media manipulations and a plethora of other bills to stymie freedom of speech.

6) the right is so strong they need to call Union leaders, Actors guilds, Schools and anyone else who has received or receives Govt tax money in the form of grants, loans or just yearly budgets to get  behind the POTUS to pass what ever bills he wants without regards to what the people say.

7) Terrorist are no longer those seeking to  kill and maim Americans but they in fact are Christians, Conservative, Republicans, anti-government,white supremacy groups, News Busters and Fox News - Jihad groups are free to do as they please, New and Old Black Panthers are free do do as they please

Does anyone else have some created crisis to add to this list?

"The ultimate result of shielding men from the effect of folly is to fill the world with fools."

Herbert Spencer's "State Tamperings with Money Banks"

I remember my son had a VCR

I remember my son had a VCR tape (remember those?) of "Godzilla versus the Smog Monster".  It featured our favorite reptilian with the worst case of pituitary dysfunction battling what appeared to be a garbage dump given life by all of those nasty chemical by-products of modern civilization.  In the end, big lizard defeats nasty trash can and all is restored.

Perhaps we draw a parallel in ACORN being the smog monster for this analogy.  Certainly ACORN has turned into one gigantic, monstrous mess of corruption.

Sam

Maybe a sequel (sort of) with Dick Cheney suffering a similar case of "pituitary dysfunction" (great description!) and storming Washington to drive out all the liberals seeking to destroy America with their marxist programs.

It'd be fun.  I'd watch it.

 

"Reason and persuasion are the only practical instruments against error.  To make way for these, free inquiry must be indulged" - Thomas Jefferson