Convention Bounce: Gallup Has McCain Up By Three

Photo of Noel Sheppard.

UPDATE at end of post: McCain leads by ten amongst likely voters.

New polling numbers just released by Gallup show John McCain and Sarah Palin getting a huge bump in support following the Republican National Convention.

As media outlets seemed fascinated with Gallup's September 2 survey finding Barack Obama taking an eight point lead after his Party's convention in Denver -- a LexisNexis search identified over 100 reports on that poll, including eleven on television and radio -- we should expect similar press exposure for this one.

After all, McCain/Palin have now gotten an eleven point bounce since, and this poll still includes numbers taken before the convention concluded:

Story Continues Below Ad ↓

The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update shows John McCain moving ahead of Barack Obama, 48% to 45%, when registered voters are asked for whom they would vote if the presidential election were held today. [...]

These results are based on Sept. 4-6 interviewing, and include two full days of polling after the conclusion of the Republican National Convention last Thursday night. McCain has outpolled Obama on both Friday and Saturday, and is receiving a convention bounce just as Obama did last week.

Tomorrow's report will be the first in which all interviews were conducted after the conclusion of the convention.

How much attention will this get in the next 24 hours?

Stay tuned.

*****Update: USA Today reported Sunday that a new USA Today/Gallup poll has McCain leading Obama by ten points amongst likely voters (h/t NBer Jeff Husak):

The convention bounce has helped not only McCain but also attitudes toward Republican congressional candidates and the GOP in general.

"The Republicans had a very successful convention and, at least initially, the selection of Sarah Palin has made a big difference," says political scientist Larry Sabato of the University of Virginia. "He's in a far better position than his people imagined he would be in at this point." [...]

McCain has narrowed Obama's wide advantage on handling the economy, by far the electorate's top issue. Before the GOP convention, Obama was favored by 19 points; now he's favored by 3. [...]

In the new poll, taken Friday through Sunday, McCain leads Obama by 54%-44% among those seen as most likely to vote. The survey of 1,022 adults, including 959 registered voters, has a margin of error of +/— 3 points for both samples.

It turns out this convention bounce is HUGE. Think media will be all over this in the next 24 hours?

—Noel Sheppard is the Associate Editor of NewsBusters.


Comments Policy

All comments are owned by whoever posted them and are subject to our terms of use. They should not be assumed to represent the views of NewsBusters.

Viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.

hmmm

Setting TIVO now to record fawning media reports...

I feel another Sin of Omission coming thru the alphabet channels

So the bounce will get bigger by middle of next week  ?

Who's gonna know ?   These numbers do not fit Olberman's desire, nor Matthead's "thrilled" leg syndrome.  It will be ignored, or only reported at 10 am weekdays when no one is watching.

But wait, Hillary is gonna take care of this one, the MSM is out of ammo, they exhausted themselves over the weekend, they're gonna hafta reload.    

The Republican Revolution will not be Televised

Wow 11% bounce - that's amazing!

The media will only report it with huge qualifications by mentioning other polls that contradict it. They never do that when it's unfavorable to Obama.

I was saying earlier is that if one of these polls comes out with McCain reaching 50% will the media make the huge deal of it that they did when the Obama one did? I doubt it.

This bias as become so crazy

 

And the Obamamessiah is

And the Obamamessiah is banging his head against a wall....That was supposed to be MY bounce!!!!

MB - That's not the Bounce he knew!

he he he

Zogby has McCain/Palin up by

Zogby has McCain/Palin up by 4

Poll

Rasmussen has them tied, but their poll is a little heavy on the (D) side (the targets are 39.7% Democrat, 32.1% Republican, and 28.2% unaffiliated).

D

Keep the ILLEGALS out, join NumbersUSA to send free faxes to your reps.

Both get bounces...

...Rush Limbaugh warned never to trust polls. The "drive-bys" are going to fix these polls to help Obama. Gallup is run by the left.

Drill ANWAR

But Noel's point isn't that

But Noel's point isn't that we should trust the poll(s), but rather that any results that might look good fro McCain are under-reported.

In the end, the only "poll" that matters is the one on November 4th.

 

Sarah Palin - This is what a Conservative looks like !

exactly...

That's the one poll that worries Obama. November 4. Expect ballot box stuffing and lawyers that night...as I said, Obama can no longer win this fairly.

Drill ANWAR

Never will we seen anything

Never will we seen anything become such a non factor, more quickly than the polls..

;)

You trying to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?

I predict these poll

I predict these poll numbers will get as much attention and continuing press as the McCain/Palin convention viewer numbers did. After all, Obama had nearly 38 million viewers, including 1.1 million Latinos. McCain only received nearly 40 million viewers, including 1.2 million Latinos; and Palin had nearly as many tune into her acceptance speach as Obama (and 10 million more than Biden). So nothing to report here.

And nothing to report on the poll numbers, either. HOWEVER, did you hear that Palin secretly had an Alien child when she was 14 years old? And that one of her great, great grandfathers used to pull wings off of flys when he was 8? THESE are the things that need to be reported; NOT stupid poll results.

___________________________________ 

If you can read this, thank a teacher. If it is in English, thank a Soldier. - My barber

The Male / Female Presidential Ticket will be Irresistable

Even if Palin wasn't Palin, McCain's choice of a Female would have closed the Gap with Obama, but since Palin is who she is, McCain is blowing Mr. AnyVPbutHillary out of the water. 

It wasn't McCain's choice, it was Obama's lack of Hillary as a choice, that is pushing this election so quickly lopsided.  

By the end of next week, Obama's campaign will be in shambles and disarray......they don't know how to keep a lead, and they have NEVER come from Behind. 

I  think we will see a Massive Re-Org of Obama's staff.  The daily KOS influence might even get slapped around.  Obama's going to start throwing people under his Bus (again).....Biden better hold onto his seat, Hillary might be looking for a Hit man.....   

The Republican Revolution will not be Televised

Piper Palin grooming Trig - - where did I first see it ?

I first saw this lovely Picture, Piper spit polishing trig, on TELEMUNDO the Spanish channel. 

That tells me that Family pics play well with the Mexican American values, and Obama kissing Biden is a turn off.   Rassmussen will show this shortly.  

The Republican Revolution will not be Televised

More good news for me to

More good news for me to share today.  Yesterday afternoon on my college campus, Howard Dean held a rally for Obama which I could see from the balcony of my apartment.  I am happy to say, as some Democrat friends reported to me, the attendance was, 'embarrassingly low'.  Considering its a college campus, and it was a saturday afternoon, and probably only 100 people showed up, I call that a victory for McCain/Palin campaign.  Needless to say, while watching from my balcony, I was laughing out loud as I was overcome with joy.

 The Dems are getting truly desperate. 

The dirty little secret of these polls...

The fact is, McCain-Palin is most likely 6 to 10 points ahead of Obama-Biden right now.

These MSM polls are pretty much all owned and operated by democrats.  As such, it is not unusual for them to have HUGE sampling advantages given to the left.  I have seen many many polls where 25% or less of the respondents were Republicans. 

In the case of Rasmussen, although he claims that Democrats only held a 5.5 point advantage in party affiliation for the month of August, he is continuing to use a 7.5 point advantage in his sampling.

So basically, take any of these polls, add about 3-4 points to the Republican column and you might be close to reality.

Obama is in deep deep trouble.  We've seen how they play when they are ahead, let's see how they play from behind.  If things start getting worse, prepare for the recriminations to begin - the first of which will be "Why didn't you choose Hillary!!!"

Prepare for the Democrat Party to become the Donner Party. 

The difference between OBAMA and PALIN...

Obama is a pale imitation of Martin Luther King.  Palin is an original.

Obama is like that really good meal that you loved the first time you tried it.  After that you ordered the same thing every time you went to that restaurant.  Then one day, half way through the meal you think to yourself, "you know, I think I'm bored with this, let's see what else is on the menu."  Then you see they are having a special on Alaskan King Crab Legs and your mouth starts to water. 

You called Obama PALE! 

You called Obama PALE!  That's a racist remark!!!

You said Palin is more like MLK....another racist remark!  

Are you saying Obama isn't authentically black?????

Off to rehab with you!!

I think Obama is more like

I think Obama is more like the meal that was promoted by the restaurant and hailed by the restaurant critics as "fabulous" so everybody ordered it and raved, simply because they were afraid to appear un-sophisticated in their taste, but once they smelled the aroma of a really fabulous meal that was smoking on the grill across the street, they begin to realize that they prefer REAL flavor over hype.

Ze teeny portions of bland "fad" food at the trendy Obama Bistro are no match for the all-you-can-eat buffet of down-home cooking at Sarah's Smorgasbord.

When asked if he went to war with Iraq  to derail the impeachment vote:  “I don’t think any serious person would believe that any President would do such a thing." - President Clinton (Dec 1998).

Sorry . . .

. . . But I never believe any polls.  Most are paid for and done by Leftists and they are all reported by the Left Media so the results are oft-times skewed.

The only poll I'm interested in is held in November. And this November's poll will be a big surprise for The One.  Hillary will enjoy it, however.

I dont' read too much into

I dont' read too much into polls I believe most of them are skewed liberally.

However the left does and the bounces McCain/Palin have recieved have put the left and MSM on their collective a$$es, they didn't see this coming and dont' know how to react or respond, except with more hate and vitriol.

Anyone who has any doubts grab some pop-corn and swing on over to Kos to watch the trainwreck unfold its allready started.

These folks allready know that they've lost.

I thought we would have to wait till Nov. to watch the nuclear-meltdown of the far-left, but evidently Christmas decided to come much earlier this yr.

Enjoy ! : )

 

"You will never find a more wretched hive of scum and villainy. We must be cautious. "

- Ben Kenobi on  Liberals, and the MSM.

" The Cake is a lie."   

Gee, Sorry Blazer

"Anyone who has any doubts grab some pop-corn and swing on over to Kos to watch the trainwreck unfold its allready started."

I don't swing that way.

The leftist sites will all just have to do without my "traffic" because I get a bit peeved when I read their "stuff".  I don't kick the cats or anything (never!),  but I have been known to trip and fall in a rage - and I bruise easily.

The other thing to remember....

....and which is just beginning to be reflected in the Dems reminding people (at least in PA according to NB) that BHO is half-white, is that there are simply more than a few conservative white Dems, who while for some reason were perfectly able to vote for Gore and Kerry, will not vote for a black man. Not only are polls overstating BHO's support because they are including too many Dems and not enough Repubs, I will bet you dollar there is at least a 2-4% overstatement of his strength by virtue of white Dems who say they will vote for BHO but have already decided they will not.

MSM will "report" these polls all right

In MSM-land, a 1-5% McCain lead is "tied", while a similar lead for their messiah is a "substantial" lead.

Despite their biased definitions, the more important polls are the individual state polls.  A lead in Ohio, Colorado, or Virginia would mean a lot more than the nationwide popularity polls. 

 

 

Trial lawyers are the scum of the earth

Obama comedy video good.

That was good. Too bad they really are treating him like that. No criticism, no investigation as to very shady sponsors in Chicago.

Big Deal

Big deal, the fact that a communist canidate is getting over 40% of the vote is ridiculous. If we were an intelligent country Nobama would be getting under 20% of the vote.

"Push back the liberal hordes!!" - Mark Levin

usbeef

usbeef wrote: "If we were an intelligent country Nobama would be getting under 20% of the vote."

You are right on target. It is downright scary to consider the number of voters in this country whose thought process in evaluating the facts about the candidates and the issues is irrational, foolish and inarticulate. Just listen to many of the callers who call in to CSPAN.

I’m not even counting those die-hard liberals who forensic psychiatrist Lyle H. Rossiter, Jr. MD describes in his new book titled The Liberal Mind: The Psychological Causes of Political Madness: “The modern liberal mind, its distorted perceptions and its destructive agenda are the product of disturbed personalities.”

It's surprising the number of voters who don't realize that the mainstream media is liberal, and consequently believe what they read in their newspapers and watch on the alphabet network news.

Compounding this problem is the number of people, especially young people, who obtain their news and information from the wrong sources on the Web. A Pew Research poll earlier this year found to my astonishment that 26% of those polled who rely on the internet for campaign news turn to MSNBC.

------------------------------------------------------------------

The liberal media continues to sacrifice ethics and morals for the greater cause: This time for the Election of a Democrat to the Presidency of the United States.

I agree. It's pretty sad

I agree. It's pretty sad he's getting the numbers he's getting, considering what he's all about. What does that say about this country?

Well the correction is taking place

CapedConservative

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/2008-09-07-poll_N.htm

McCain over Obama 54 - 44 among likely voters.... way outside the margin of +/-3%

Without some unforseen disaster, 50 of 50 with Senator Obama carrying DC

CC

Wow Cape...thank you for

Wow Cape...thank you for the link...for once some news I enjoyed reading to my husband.

Must of killed USA to report it, wonder how the rest of the msm like msnbc is going to manage to stutter, mutter, twist and turn these numbers out there in the morning...

I know, I know, they will find one or two polls that will say different, just can't be that much factual truth...

Can't you just hear Chris, Mika, Andrea, Maddow, Shuster, Abrams and Keithy crying...

"America isn't the problem...America is the solution." ~ Rush Limbaugh

10 points...that's big. It

10 points...that's big. It may not stick, but that's a big swing.

Rick Davis is an idiot...

I just saw Rick Davis interviewed on FoxNews.  The man is an idiot.  He had opportunity after opportunity to drive the ball out of the park, and he seemed completely unprepared, stumbling over his answers.

 It just scares me.  How the hell can you be that unprepared? 

wow

up by 10.

Emancipation Palination of the United States

Thank you Mr. Sheppard for putting up the post of McCain Palin being up 10 points. If one checks in an exclusive here, I predicted that 10 points here on Newsbusters.

I ask Mr. Sheppard that beyond the busting all of us who love America equally invite our feminist sisters to come and join us in this epic time. I know allot of people will roll their eyes at this, but I know these women who have been brutalized are looking to Sarah Palin as a way for them to be set free.
I post a blog I composed today calling for this in the emancipation of all women. Feminists have been lied to and cheated as much as Conservative women have been branded traitors by the same elitists on top who got the affirmative action, the money, the families while the rest of women got stuck with Bill Maher grabbing then, Alec Baldwin dumping them and Barack Obama getting the promotion because he was black over qualified women.

I will repeat that, Barack Obama got college access stepping on women on his way up, Barack Obama got jobs because he was black stepping on qualified women on his way up.

Don't see him aplogizing for that now do you?

John McCain has a successful Conservative wife and picked a successful Conservative running mate as he has no fear of strong women as no Conservative male ever fears strong women but delights in them.

Now is not the time to be patting ourselves on the back for Sarah Palin's lone God blessed work in these 10 points.
LET US ALL JOIN NOW WITH Hillary supporters and open up a 30 point lead.

Any of you know a liberal lady? Copy and paste the blog below and tell them this is what Sarah Palin is all about, what the Republican Conservatives are all about and this is where we are taking this nation for the good of all women.

Get it done people, send this to the press, post it on your comments on the media sites and let the Democratic women know they are welcome here and that we with Sarah Palin are going to be working our tails off for them to have the dream the patricians lied to them about and make certain that in Sarah Palin this is THE LAST GENERATION of women who will have to put up with garbage Sarah Palin, Hillary Clinton and all women have had to put up with.
We know our way is right while Mrs. Clintons is incorrect, but she is welcome too in this just cause.

Because I know Hillary and Chelsea are voting for Sarah Palin as Barack Obama is the last person they want in office.

 

The Emancipation Palination of America

 

When in the course of human events of 2008,
it became necessary as in 1776 and 1863 for one woman in her people to
dissolve the political bands which have enslaved all women with a
predatory order shackling them and to assume among the powers of the
earth, the separate and equal station they have right to in life by
which the Laws of Nature and of Nature's God entitle all women, a
decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they should
declare the causes which impel them to this Emancipation.

In this stream of the eddy of time and current of human destiny, sewed
Betsy Ross in her uniting American flag, followed closely by the
careful footsteps of freedom in Sojourner Truth is now of this era
boldly a river born in Sarah Palin
where cascading we hold these truths to be self-evident, that all women
and men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with
certain unalienable Rights, that among these are the possession of their own Life, responsible Liberty and the pursuit of Completion to the joy of their souls for God alones glory.

That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among People,
deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, but that
whenever any form of government becomes destructive of these ends, it
is the Right of the People to alter, to abolish it, and to institute
new a more complete freedom deserving of their moral nature in their
self governing Republic.

We as a people do not take what is not
rightfully ours in this rebirth, we as a people take back the eternal
rights which God's grace has given to all as equals which have been
taken from us by an empowered dictatorial few.

We will be defined as of the people, with the people, for the people and by the people. We are women.

While the bigotry, bias, sexism and weakness of past systems have been placed
upon our unwilling shoulders to be replaced by more modern invention
reintroducing the ancient rites to keep the fairer sex unfairly
treated, we throw off this past, this present and return to our future
in making this our destiny of True Liberation where all women can
design their God appointed lives in morality, industry and relationship
in our rights balanced as all rights are for the social good of our
American Society.

We reject the version of events we now left after August 27th
where before, women were cajoled, manipulated and lied to, to sell
their futures to others for the price of their virtue, their
vindication and their vote.
Never before in the history of humankind
have women been so brutalized, barbarized and savaged for the political
gain of an elite few.
Women have paid with their hearts, their
souls, their bodies and their minds in suffering, trauma and misery in
the most loathsome affront to them that has not been witnessed since
the days they were ordered to sacrifice their virginity to Ashteroth, sacrifice their children's lives to Molech and sold into Nimrod subjugation for their enslavement.
They were left empty by a promised sexual revolution, left barren in aborticide
which scarred their wombs into premature labor and became slaves to a
commune where they were afflicted for being women in return for not
wages, but benefits handed to them by masters of the government making them dependents of a state and robbing them of their adult natures as women.

It is in these Truths self evident which Sarah Palin
brings with her life the emancipation proclaiming no more will women be
sold for a vote, used for political gain not gaining them and herded by
fear in preying upon their very natures on their love of their nation,
their children and their lives.

Make no mistake there is a
marked difference between the measure of handed out entitlements and
the full flowing torrent of responsible liberty offered in this
Emancipation Palination for America.

Consider long the devastation of sex foisted upon women where corporations profited
off of them in contraception pills turning them into objects which they
were used by those above the glass sealing turning it into a bronze
casket of the sky where hope died as they were discarded by the
powerful after being used.
Consider long the alienation within themselves as they were told to offer up their children to aborticide,
never told of the cancers and the trauma they would face later in wombs
scarred that would eject their children prematurely all so those few
affirmative action women on top with children could go home to their
families, as assistants had piles of those elitist's work on their
desks slaving away into the night and on holidays to only return home
to soup in cans and an afghan rug late in the night.

Consider the absolute enslavement in women giving all, and giving more in past, and
then being told to be taxed more, give up more, enslave themselves more
and suffer more.

Suffrage was not the step in this to make women
suffer. Suffrage was the step to come to this 2008 Emancipation and no
longer to continue to be led to a prison of feminist despair.

Understand now that those who fought against the Equal Rights Amendment,
the sexing of women, the aborting of their children, the massive
welfare state robbing them of their wages that they were fighting for
women as they knew a law of equal would be used to subject them more
just as all of the above was subjecting their hearts, souls, minds and
bodies to abuse they have been told to carry in untold burden, untold
years for a vanishing dream they were promised if only they remained on
the plantation and peered in the windows at those who had the money,
the au pairs, as the illegal Mexicans were cutting their lawns.
This Emancipation is about responsible liberty. Liberty for all and holding those responsible who have enslaved all women.

Caucasian women know this in the story of Sarah Palin. Establishment males in Alaska attacking her and their wanting the status quo to continue as they profit and mothers worry about bills.
Behold the racist attacks on her in the degrading of her family by patricians in calling them "eskimo". Behold the sexism of a woman is not qualified, for being a woman and being a mother when men are never held to that test.
Behold the patrician attacks upon her that Sarah Palin dares to break that bronze ceiling meant to keep all women at the bottom in their "place" for if Sarah Palin
is destroyed the masters will keep their fiefdom for another 50 years
sexing, abusing and enslaving a new generation of young girls.

Know this, America in her Constitution
elects Citizens and is not limited to qualified males, with law degrees
in an intelligence and economic network which they control.
America elects Citizens as that is the only qualification for any office in the American land.

Look to the black women who for over a century since Emancipation have been
deprived of their husbands by the elites by imprisonment as all they
were left was the drug trade initiated from up town to supply the
elites for their narcotic euphoria.
Behold their children were told
that education was unnecessary and that respecting any woman was not
necessary and that pride in being American was not their vantage point,
but instead to be content with their spokesmen who somehow found by
miracle the way to be women are men in speaking to a black woman's
cause.

See the Latino women now imported for the elitist in
human traffic for greater profits and slave labor where they are the
blamed as the problem for desiring a better life, rejected from their
Latin nations as too many and profited off of in an American state
promised dreams, but instead housed in ghetto dwellings, sold inferior
goods and plucked clean by organized business of their daily bread.

Observe the Asian women offered the invitation to serve in international
corporations for substandard wages, preyed upon in their natures of
accepting all thrown at them and when not on phone services, computer
services or stuck in the food services, they are told their services
are not welcome and shipped back to be replaced by the over 2 billion
other Asian women there to be indentured servants in a continuing confinement of women in unlimited supply.

Enough is the cry of humanity. It was enough in 1776 when in this course of
human events those deprived of liberty cast off the former
associations. It was enough in 1863 when all those enslaved all through
the land rejected the former order for thee eternal order that all
humankind is created not just equal, but forever free. It is enough in
August of 2008 that women, all women, will join all men in an accord of
emancipation where there are no ceilings depriving any of advancement.

No taxes, no votes, no policies, no agendas, no indoctrination and no
groups who will any longer be allowed to hinder women in their God
given nature and God given place in this American land of liberty and
justice for all.

This is the Emancipation Palination
of the United States of America set above the fray and woven into the
frayed fabric to complete this nation as a whole garment of not male
and female, but ladies and gentlemen of a whole United States of
America.
United as Citizens not as sexes for the advancement of this
nation in this our third proclamation to be free at last, free at last,
forever free at last and thank God this nation will be a people all
free at last.

We secure these Blessings of Liberty for Ourselves, Our children, for all Citizens always, one nation under God, indivisible, with Liberty and Justice for All.

Amen

agtG

 

http://lamecherry.bl...

 

 

 

*HIC IACET ARTORIVS REX QVONDAM REXQVE FVTVRVS