Media Ignore Minimum Wage Hike's Impact on May Unemployment Rise

Photo of Noel Sheppard.

It certainly wasn't surprising how press outlets desperately trying to depict the economy as depression-like in order to get Barack Obama in the White House were practically giddy following the dour jobs report released by the Labor Department last Friday.

What was shocking given the portion of May's unemployment rate rise attributed to high school and college students looking for summer jobs was that virtually no press outlets considered the impact last year's minimum wage hike might have had on young Americans finding temporary positions between school years.

Consider this op-ed published in Monday's Washington Examiner authored by Kristen Lopez Eastlick, the senior economic analyst at the Employment Policies Institute (emphasis added throughout):

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This year, it's harder than ever for teens to find a summer job. Researchers at Northeastern University described summer 2007 as "the worst in post-World War II history" for teen summer employment, and those same researchers say that 2008 is poised to be "even worse."

According to their data, only about one-third of Americans 16 to 19 years old will have a job this summer, and vulnerable low-income and minority teens are going to fare even worse.

The percentage of teens classified as "unemployed" - those who are actively seeking a job but can't get one - is more than three times higher than the national unemployment rate, according to the most recent Department of Labor statistics.

One of the prime reasons for this drastic employment drought is the mandated wage hikes that policymakers have forced down the throats of local businesses. Economic research has shown time and again that increasing the minimum wage destroys jobs for low-skilled workers while doing little to address poverty.

According to economist David Neumark of the University of California at Irvine, for every 10 percent increase in the minimum wage, employment for high school dropouts and young black adults and teenagers falls by 8.5 percent. In the past 11 months alone, the United States' minimum wage has increased by more than twice that amount.

Interesting, wouldn't you agree? And, certainly newsworthy.

Yet, from what I can tell, results of Google News and LexisNexis searches didn't find one major mainstream news outlet that offered such analysis in its reporting of Friday's unemployment rise.

As Lopez Eastlick pointed out, this is really a no-brainer:

You don’t need a business degree to understand why employers are making these cuts. The classic summer jobs — cashier, waiter, grocery clerk — can help an employer with increased service or make up for full-time employees who take vacations.

When the minimum wage gets boosted, however, employers cut down on hiring teens who typically fill lower-priority slots. Most of the work still gets done, but customers may get stuck standing in longer lines, and teens suffer because they’ve been priced out of work.

There’s no end to the economic data that confirm these common-sense observations. Research from the University of Georgia, the University of Connecticut and Cornell University indicates that increasing the minimum wage causes four times more job loss for employees without a high school diploma than it does for the general population.

Furthermore, minimum wage hikes don’t effectively target the people who are typically portrayed as the key beneficiaries — low-income adults raising kids. According to U.S. Census Bureau data, just 14 percent of those who benefited from the most recent federal minimum wage hike are sole earners in families with children.

Conservative economists have argued this very point for decades: minimum wage hikes not only don't act to reduce the income gap in our country, but also end up harming those at the lower end of the economic ladder.

Friday's unemployment data was a perfect demonstration of this maxim which sadly went unreported by media much more concerned with the November elections than actually disseminating the truth to the citizenry.

How sad for us all.

—Noel Sheppard is the Associate Editor of NewsBusters.


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It is way cool when Noel and

It is way cool when Noel and this Shrubber are on the same page...

BLS Data Do NOT Support Minimum Wage Thesis

Noel,

The May 2008 BLS Data do not support your thesis that the minimum wage increase has increased teen unemployment.

Please note that more teens have jobs and a higher percentage of teens have jobs in May 2008 than in May 2007.

The entire surge in teen unemployment is caused by a huge year-on-year surge in teens entering the job market.  

(http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t01.htm)

The number of teens working increased in the last year:
Teens Employed May 2007: 5.61 million
Teens Employed May 2008: 5.90 million

The percentage of teens working increased in the last year:
Percentage of Teens With Jobs May 2007: 39.5%
Percentage of Teens With Jobs May 2008: 42.6%

Unemployment went up because the number of teens searching for work surged by 560,000 compared to last year:
Teens Working Or Looking For Work May 2007: 6.70 milllion
Teens Working Or Looking For Work May 2008: 7.26 million

One element of teen unemployment not investigated is the impact of unprecedented levels of immigration on the ability of teens to find low skill labor.

In 2007 America accepted 700,000 new citizens, 1 million "legal" residents (usually family members of new citizens), and issued 500,000 temporary work visas.

The Pew Trust and statistics from "E-Verify" indicate that illegal workers make up at least 5% of the American workforce, or about 7.5 million workers, almost all of whom compete directly against America's home grown teenagers.

Finally, as anyone who looks for low skilled jobs in America can tell you, almost every job in the country pays MORE than minimum wage to start.

The real purpose behind the

The real purpose behind the push for minimum wage increases (other than political gotcha-ism) is to raise union wages all the way up the scale.  

If the minimum wage goes up, labor costs go up even if the numbers of minimum wage workers is unaffected.

The DemocRATS demagogue this issue all the time, and the media help them do it - which is the main point.

Actually, you were

Actually, you were comparing the "not-seasonally adjusted" data for May 2007 to the "seasonally-adjusted" data for May 2008. The numbers are actually much closer together (using the seasonally-adjusted numbers):

The number of teens working increased in the last year:
Teens Employed May 2007: 5.86 million
Teens Employed May 2008: 5.90 million

The percentage of teens working increased in the last year:
Percentage of Teens With Jobs May 2007: 41.0%
Percentage of Teens With Jobs May 2008: 42.6%

 You also managed to leave out this tidbit:

Percentage of Teens unemployed May 2007: 15.8%
Percentage of Teens unemployed May 2008: 18.7%

Shrubber - Thanks - Yes, Several Goofs, But Not Backing Down

Shrubber,

I clearly understand the point you are making.

Before posting, I saw and studied the "adjusted" and "unadjusted" columns, and read the footnotes, and I concluded they were referring to the raw population numbers.

I goofed, and you are correct.

I also confused the "Teen Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate" percentage with the "Teen Employment To Population Ratio," another error to be corrected.

Still, I'm not sure Noel's minimum wage thesis holds up here.

For instance, the "Teen Employment To Population Ratio " increased in 2008:

May 2007 - 34.5%

May 2008 - 34.6%

That's not a number I would expect to see in a near recession economy after a government law raised the price of labor.

Also, as I noted in my first post, the "Teen Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate" went up in 2008:

May 2007 - 41.0%

May 2008 - 42.6%

That has a dramatic influence on unemployment.

That 1.6% higher participation rate translates into 273,000 extra teenage job seekers in May 2008.     

In closing, let me advance a new thesis:

(1)  Massive immigration, legal and illegal, artificially suppresses wages for low skill jobs and discourages teenagers from seeking jobs.

(2)  When the government artificially increases wages, a larger percentage of teens are enticed into the job market by the higher wages.

The most important thing America can do to increase teen employment is to vigorously enforce our immigration laws and reduce legal immigration.

In Oklahoma, where immigration law is enforced, teens have one of the lowest unemployment rates in the country.

In Los Angeles, where legal and illegal immigration are actively encouraged, black teenagers have a 40% unemployment rate.    

Zee

You got my vote

I cannot argue and agree

I cannot argue and agree with your ending statements, Zee. I also see no evidence that the minumum wage does not play a (either big or small) part. I do think all these factors account for this happening: minimum wage, influx of new workers into the worforce, immigration enforcements, etc.

To bolster your argument, Zee, Oklahoma, between 2006-07, had their teen employment increase from 38.4% to 45.6%

Thats why

 

We need to raise the minimum wage to what a US Senator makes. I think that is fair. And think of the all the new tax revenue! We could fnally pay off the national debt and bring a new dawn to America. Very few would argue that most American workers are more honest and hard working than most US Senators. The path is clear, all that is needed is courage.

I said this

When they wanted to increase the minimum wage, I said it was a dumb idea.  It would just hurt those who they are trying to help and they did.  I wonder if the liberal nut-jobs in congress did this so they could point the finger at conservatives to help ensure a liberal would win the presidency.  It seems to me they do these things with the ruse to help, but it ends up hurting people and then they blame it on those on the right.  I don't think these liberals are stupid so this is really the only explination.  Those crafty liberals.

Congress

Want real "change"? Change Congressional pay to minimum wage. Even that would be too much.

 

Who is Barry Sotero?

NEVER,NEVER trust a "liberal"

I'm with you!

How about they don't get paid until gas is back to $1 a gallon by opening up drilling in ANWR and on off-shore places.

Good Idea

Good idea iveseenitall, I'll do you one better. Before congress passes a universal health care bill add an amendment that all members of congress must be in the system. See how far that goes.

Welcome to the real world.

It's amazing how economically illiterate people are, but the most ignorant is the Media hegemon. You would think that by now, conservatives' half-century long perfect record of success on economic issues and predictions would bear some weight.

 

"A man who won't believe in God will believe in anything."

G.K. Chesterton

Great catch, Noel

I was struck by the increase in the teen unemployment rate and was going to look into it. Thanks for saving me the work. :-->

The min-wage hikes are especially tragic because the incoming flow of illegals is slowing, and some are self-deporting. Teens are, as a commenter noted, streaming into the labor market, and could be doing some of the jobs that citizens supposedly won't do -- but not, in all too many cases, at Ohio's $7 an hour.

If there's a silver lining, it may be that some employers used to paying illegals under the table may realize they have to partially bite the bullet if they want the work done. But it may take a month or two for that to sink in.

Also, I wonder how much of the jump in the African-American unemployment rate is due to AfrAm teens looking for work and not finding it? Since many come from inner-city schools providing fraudulent educations, they would be expected to have the toughest time finding something.