31,000 Scientists Rejecting Global Warming Theory to be Named Monday

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The names of over 31,000 American scientists that reject the theory of anthropogenic global warming are to be revealed on Monday.

Although this will occur at the National Press Club in Washington, DC., it seems a metaphysical certitude media will completely ignore the event.

Isn't it ironic, dontcha think?

As announced Thursday by PR Newswire via StreetInsider.com:

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Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine (OISM)

Who: Dr. Arthur Robinson of the OISM

What: release of names in OISM "Petition Project"

When: 10 AM, Monday May 19

Where: Holeman Lounge at the National Press Club, 529 14th St., NW, Washington, DC

Why: the Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine (OISM) will announce that more than 31,000 scientists have signed a petition rejecting claims of human-caused global warming. The purpose of OISM's Petition Project is to demonstrate that the claim of "settled science" and an overwhelming "consensus" in favor of the hypothesis of human-caused global warming and consequent climate damage is wrong. No such consensus or settled science exists. As indicated by the petition text and signatory list, a very large number of American scientists reject this hypothesis.

It is evident that 31,072 Americans with university degrees in science - including 9,021 PhDs, are not "a few." Moreover, from the clear and strong petition statement that they have signed, it is evident that these 31,072 American scientists are not "skeptics."

Folks should recall that this petition was first circulated in 1999 garnering more than 19,000 signatures. The alarmists discounted its significance because there were some duplicate names, and some of the signatories apparently weren't scientists -- or so the story goes.

With over 31,000 now on the list, all with degrees in science -- including 9,000 PhDs! -- what might this do to the nonsensical premise of there being a consensus concerning this issue?

Probably not much, because apart from conservative websites, talk radio hosts, and Fox News, nobody is going to report it.

—Noel Sheppard is the Associate Editor of NewsBusters. Follow him at Facebook and Twitter.


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-

Awesome.  Can't wait.

P.S.  Can we get cameras in place now on Al Gore and James Hansen to record their uncensored reactions to this development?

And all God's people said...

Amen!

Liberal arts

All degrees in science? Why does that matter, I thought women's studies, sociology, criminology, and philosophy PhD's were the ones doing the climate science work. Since vaunted members of the media spent their college days in tough "gender bender" type classes, such a large number as 31,000 may be too big for them to compute. It is just easier to quote Al Gore, Prince Charles, or Sheryl Crow, who of course have PhD's in this stuff.

 

"All degrees in science?

"All degrees in science? Why does that matter, I thought women's
studies, sociology, criminology, and philosophy PhD's were the ones
doing the climate science work."

You left out the most educated of all on this issue: Hollywood stars and musical entertainers. PhDs? Please. PhD holders are mental midgets on the subject of science when compared to the intellectual giants of the entertainment industry.

LOL, you are so correct.

LOL, you are so correct.

You beat me to it, ckc ;-)

Those Hollywood stars really know what they are talking about!!! <sarc off!

Thanks, Noel, for letting us know about it.  I can't wait to see what media coverage this receives! 

Top 70 "Climatologists" who believe in man-made CO2 Doomsday

Al Gore, B.A. Government (no science degree)
Alanis Morissette, High School Diploma
Bill Maher, B.A. English (no science degree)
Bono (Paul Hewson), High School Diploma
Daryl Hanna, B.F.A. Theater (no science degree)
Ed Begley Jr., High School Diploma
Jackson Browne, High School Diploma
Jon Bon Jovi (John Bongiovi), High School Diploma
Oprah Winfrey, B.A. Speech and Drama (no science degree)
Prince Charles of Whales, B.A. (no science degree)
Sheryl Crow, B.A. Music Education (no science degree)
Sienna Miller, High School Diploma

ABC - Sam Champion, B.A. Broadcast News (no science degree, not a meteorologist)
CBS - Harry Smith, B.A. Communications and Theater (no science degree)
CBS - Katie Couric, B.A. English (no science degree)
CBS - Scott Pelley, College Dropout
NBC - Ann Curry, B.A. Journalism (no science degree)
NBC - Anne Thompson, B.A. American studies (no science degree)
NBC - Matt Lauer. B.A. Communications (no science degree)
NBC - Meredith Vieira, B.A. English (no science degree)

Al Sharpton, College Dropout
Alicia Keys, College Dropout
Alicia Silverstone, High School Dropout
Art Bell, College Dropout
Ben Affleck, College Dropout
Ben Stiller, College Dropout
Billy Jean King, College Dropout
Brad Pitt, College Dropout
Britney Spears, High School Dropout
Bruce Springsteen, College Dropout
Cameron Diaz, High School Dropout
Cindy Crawford, College Dropout
Diane Keaton, College Dropout
Drew Barrymore, High School Dropout
George Clooney, College Dropout
Gwyneth Paltrow, College Dropout
Jason Biggs, College Dropout
Jennifer Connelly, College Dropout
Jessica Simpson, High School Dropout
John Travolta, High School Dropout
Joshua Jackson, High School Dropout
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, College Dropout
Julia Roberts, College Dropout
Kanye West, College Dropout
Keanu Reeves, High School Dropout
Kevin Bacon, High School Dropout
Kiefer Sutherland, High School Dropout
Leonardo DiCaprio, High School Dropout
Lindsay Lohan, High School Dropout
Ludacris (Christopher Bridges), College Dropout
Madonna (Madonna Ciccone), College Dropout
Matt Damon, College Dropout
Matthew Modine, College Dropout
Michael Moore, College Dropout
Nicole Richie, College Dropout
Neve Campbell, High School Dropout
Olivia Newton-John, High School Dropout
Orlando Bloom, High School Dropout
Paris Hilton, High School Dropout
Pierce Brosnan. High School Dropout
Queen Latifah (Dana Elaine Owens), College Dropout
Richard Branson, High School Dropout
Robert Redford, College Dropout
Rosie O'Donnell, College Dropout
Sarah Silverman, College Dropout
Sean Penn, College Dropout
Ted Turner, College Dropout
Tommy Lee (Thomas Lee Bass), High School Dropout
Uma Thurman, High School Dropout
Willie Nelson, High School Dropout

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

Noel, You Nailed The Reaction

This will be treated at worst as a non-event by the MSM. By not reporting it, they will minimise any possible collateral damage that might damage their icon and idols.

At best, they'll do a hatchet-job report that treats the list, the people who produced it, and the people on the list, all as tools of some demented Quixotic rebellion. Tilting at windmills (a terribly apt analogy given the subject matter) these naughty, petulant children clearly need discipline from their "elders and betters" before being put down for a long nap.


"All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing."

- Edmund Burke (1729 - 1797)

www.conservativeboot...

Short of hell freezing over

Short of hell freezing over or having them die off due to mass starvation that resulted from unintended consequences of whatever half-ass ‘solution’ they dream up next, I doubt there is anything that can be done to make true believers ask questions about their AGW religion. Their preachers make too much money and/or are getting attention they never would have otherwise. They will smear this list as they smear anything that doesn't fit their belief. Papers can't sell ad space if their headline is "everything is OK" so they need this b-movie horror flick as much as Gore does. People still think all of the 2400 contributors to the IPCC report were scientists and that they all agreed on the conclusions.

are we seeing MORE GW type news than normal ?

Is Al Gore spending more $ ?
I'm not one for conspiracy theories...but McCains recent discussion was a surprise...and it just seems to me.....with ethanol, gas prices, GW / carbon footprint seems to be peaking in the Media.
These 31000 guys and Gals better hurry up and get some Press...anykind of press and get the word out.

more of a chance the media finds bigfoot

there is no chance this story will be reported in any msm. this will be ignored like illegal aliens standing in front of home depot.

lunaticcringeradio

RAWR!!

Only 31,000??? That about

Only 31,000??? That about equals the opinion of one Tommy Lee Jones or  Sean Penn...but certainly not the equal of having one  researcher like Leo Di Caprio offering the factual viewpoint. It's settled. 

Agreed. Quality > quantity

Agreed. Quality > quantity (except when there's an anti-war march).

PLEASE Giles ! Don't post anything here, Pop Tech will link the

entire list!!

My scroll wheel won't go that far!

The POPE says, GOD BLESS AMERICA!!


Liberals/need/help/IranianUranium/<sleep>

Kevin

Kevin,

Outstanding. Winner of the captionfest by six lengths!

Giles, PLEASE, for the sake of ALL our computers, don't say a thing!!! :-) ns

 

Noel, just to let you know Pop Tech , is one of my faves here

he whams

GILES THE BILE

every single time!!!

ps i got a PM from him.Giles the bile. <liberal,pompinessiness,squared>

The POPE says, GOD BLESS AMERICA!!


Liberals62%

 

Ran High School ; track & x-country , later cycling for 9 year's

Cross country as a sophtmore: .1 st meet of the year ; first race . first time at 2 miles. i finished first (held record for 1/2 hour until the A team finished.)..district or something like that.

Our teams uniforms looked like the hot shot team, so there i am running off the front of the pack ,closing in on the crowd the apposing teams cheerleaders are jumping N' spinning, < not like that!>!{ that "running high", whatever i was 16} and as i got closer, bam they STOPPED, like I'm doing something wrong???

A friend of mine, was watching the coach and the assistant coach,

the assistant coach had control of the stop watch, I finished..The AC told the coach the time, the coach jerked the stop watch out of the ac';s hand, to for check himself . I lettered as a sophmore.

Absolutely NOTHING like first place.

I won 3rd. one time a in total of 2 states, not related to racing.

that was a great feeling.

I'll pray that gravity will slightly go away as your son leaves the ground.. jump safe..

The POPE says, GOD BLESS AMERICA!!


Liberals62%

 

media ignoring it would be entirely appropriate

OISM lost whatever credibility they  had with the debacle of the first 'Petition Project'; though of course it did provide a template for similar execrable behaviors from Inhofe (DailyGreen discussion) and Heartland (Distinguished Scientist Calls Heartland 500 List “Offensive and Wrong” ).

So media ignoring it would be entirely appropriate.  They're learning that balance isn't a 50/50 presentation of opposing POV's. But a fair presentation based on the quality of the information being presented.

NBers

NBers,

And herein lies the heart of the problem: liberals only believe folks that agree with them are credible. This is such a common meme in their ilk, it's almost astounding.

And yet, here we have an alarmist blowing off 31,000 scientists, 9,000 with doctorates in their field, simply because they don't share his view.

It really makes you want to throw up, doesn't it? How disgraceful.

Frankly, why you folks bother discussing anything with something so closed-minded is beyond me. But have it. ns

If it were 31,000 scientists working in the field

If it were 31,000 scientists working in the climate science field, with a publishing history in reputable journals then that press release would be worth something.

For a skeptic to have to claim it is an important event without even seeing the names implies a certain amount of credulousness rather than a needed level of critical thinking. Doctorates in what? What expertise? Methodology for gathering the names?

Then we have OISM stating one thing one place and another elsewhere about the 'Oregon Petition I' :Lambert covers it well enough: "The OISM people have misrepresented their own petition." Can we expect much better the second time? Then we have that pesky affair with the NAS.

 

FYI: the first sentence with the substitution of conservative  works well also; more so when viewed through this lens: ' Political Conservatism as Motivated Social Cognition' .

 

"The combination of some data and an aching desire for an answer does not ensure that a reasonable answer can be extracted from a given body of  data.". - J. Tukey

 

I think the point is (and

I think the point is (and this is referenced quite heavily in The Great Global Warming Swindle) that many of those scientists were ostracized from the climate science fields, denied grants, etc., because of their skeptical positions. Al Gore's no scientist either. In fact, I don't think he even has a Ph.D. in climate science. All he has to his name is a Nobel Peace Prize which is about as effective as an Academy Award.

If the global warming scientists can't even prove their own hypothesis (http://www.youtube.c...) then why should we give them any credence regardless of their academic background? Worse yet, there were scientists who predicted global cooling in the 80s which never occurred. For three straight years in a row, meteorologists predicted a devastating hurricane season for the tropics due to global warming - here in Florida we have been left all but high and dry. Furthermore, please explain to me why a VAST majority of those who tout anthropogenic global warming are liberals.

And yet you have the audacity to claim that 31,000 scientists within a petition who are self-proclaimed skeptics are all wrong because of how the last petition failed. The conclusion is that we are therefore speaking at cross-purposes and that only time will tell how carbon emissions will affect the planet. Meanwhile, Canada, China, and most of Europe are laughing their pants off at us as we attempt to fulfill the demands of environmentalists.

-

the point is (and this is referenced quite heavily in The Great Global Warming Swindle) that many of those scientists were ostracized from the climate science fields, denied grants, etc., because of their skeptical positions

And that is another important aspect of this petition:  strength in numbers.  Those putting forward the theory of AGW have shown no interest in engaging in the scientific method or a scientific dialogue.  They stand on their position with unhearing rigidity, engaging in bullying and, as you said, ostracizing those who would raise reasonable questions about this theory and restricting the flow of gov't research and grant dollars to those who agree with Gore.

The biggest and most disgraceful example of this has been James Hansen.  As I understand, he has basically whined and bullied all of his skeptical collegues into silence.

The only way to break through this childish and unprofessional stance is for sceptical scientists to stand up and be counted all at once - by signing this petition.  That way, they and everyone will see that they are not alone and isolated in quietly questioning the Mighty Theory.

If they were/are skeptics with credentials

If they were/are skeptics with credentials in the climate science field. You are making a big leap to assume that they are.  I can't imagine that 31,000 scientists with expertise in climate science were 'ostracized'.

Actually most of Europe is dismayed at our politicians lack of action. And the high percentage of the citizenry that has swallowed the skeptical non-science.

If OISM were to release the methodology of distributing the petition and the steps taken to verify the signatories, assuming there weren't gaping holes in them, then that would be an improvement in their  credibility.  

FYI, the original petition is still being cited as an example that there isn't consensus, even with all the discussions about the errors in collection, verification, etc.

And Gore's Law seems to have come into effect. (grist)

Qualifications of Signers - Giles Embarrassed

Qualifications of Signers (OISM)

"Signatories are approved for inclusion in the Petition Project list if they have obtained formal educational degrees at the level of Bachelor of Science or higher in appropriate scientific fields. The petition has been circulated only in the United States.

The current list of 31,072 petition signers includes 9,021 PhD; 6,961 MS; 2,240 MD and DVM; and 12,850 BS or equivalent academic degrees. Most of the MD and DVM signers also have underlying degrees in basic science.

All of the listed signers have formal educations in fields of specialization that suitably qualify them to evaluate the research data related to the petition statement. Many of the signers currently work in climatological, meteorological, atmospheric, environmental, geophysical, astronomical, and biological fields directly involved in the climate change controversy.

1. Atmospheric, environmental, and Earth sciences includes 3,697 scientists trained in specialties directly related to the physical environment of the Earth and the past and current phenomena that affect that environment.

2. Computer and mathematical sciences includes 903 scientists trained in computer and mathematical methods. Since the human-caused global warming hypothesis rests entirely upon mathematical computer projections and not upon experimental observations, these sciences are especially important in evaluating this hypothesis.

3. Physics and aerospace sciences include 5,691 scientists trained in the fundamental physical and molecular properties of gases, liquids, and solids, which are essential to understanding the physical properties of the atmosphere and Earth.

4. Chemistry includes 4,796 scientists trained in the molecular interactions and behaviors of the substances of which the atmosphere and Earth are composed.

5. Biology and agriculture includes 2,924 scientists trained in the functional and environmental requirements of living things on the Earth.

6. Medicine includes 3,069 scientists trained in the functional and environmental requirements of human beings on the Earth.

7. Engineering and general science includes 9,992 scientists trained primarily in the many engineering specialties required to maintain modern civilization and the prosperity required for all human actions, including environmental programs."

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

the science

here you go.

http://www.sitewave.net/gwdatabase/GWPP/GW%20article/Presentation.swf

A presentation of the science behind NATURAL warming.

They don't even present the largest problem with AGW (or ACC as the media calls it now)  is that the troposphere does NOT match the computer models projected enhanced greenhouse model AT ALL.

I am going to sign it

I have a degree in Computer Science and in Political Science from the University of the State of New York. I can state as a fact that the computer models of the world climate are seriously technically flawed and useful as entertainment for children. Fact. I can also state the the IPCC research does (did) not support the statement that humans caused warming to any measureable extent. Only the political executive summary stated this and only after one man rewrote the original executive summary. Upon making the invalid statement, many of the original researchers removed their names from the project. Fact.

I will give serious weight to 31,000 science majors over 31,000 high school graduates led by a man with serious financial conflicts of interest any day of the week.

Insult. Smear.

That's it, Guilt Winterborne.  If you can't argue the science, insult and smear. 

 Actually most of Europe is dismayed at our politicians lack of action.  Those ingrates shouldn't be.  After all, WE in the United States, NOT them, are the ones progressing and innovating.  If not for us, who would save their asses economically AND militarily?  Europe is a bunch of Going Absolutely Nowhere Nanny States we have NO business emulating.

Res tantum valet quantum vendi potest.

Giles

"
Actually most of Europe is dismayed at our politicians lack of action."

So am I. Amazed at their lack of action as pertains to drilling. It is absolutely traitorous of these idiots to keep us in the position we are when it comes to oil.

As for AGW, I am proud (relieved?) that our congress is now so inept, they can get nothing done.

Since when have the

Since when have the climatologist models ever been proven right?  After predicting a coming ice age, they remembered to look at the natural climate variations and predicted runaway warming- just when a natural warming spell would have been due - convenient.

"If it were 31,000

"If it were 31,000 scientists working in the climate science field, with
a publishing history in reputable journals then that press release
would be worth something."

And yet, the main figurehead responsible for bringing this entire scam to the forefront is a man without a background in the climate science field(or any science field, for that matter), not to mention that similar lists of global warming alarmists have been found to include folks who aren't scientists at all(landscapers and massage therapists to name a few). Go figure.

It's very telling that a background in climate science is only necessary if you are against this hoax.

the arguments are pretty weak

The right likes to pillory Gore, but the arguments are pretty weak. Gore doesn't present himself as a scientist - and specifically points out whose research he utilized.  His work was not presenting a synthesis, but an overview of the information that was freely available. Compare that to scientists speaking way outside of their expertise, front organizations, and behaviors like Heartland's 500 and Inhofe's 400.

Not sure what you mean by  'similar lists of global warming alarmists. Examples? There are always form letters online to send to various political leaders where there is wording something like 'I agree with the science as expressed in IPCC,...... and urge you to vote....'. Big difference between acting as a private citizen, even a famous figure, and attempting to argue for a position of authority without the credentials.  

No Gore is a "Prophet" and his movie is utterly discredited...

No Al Gore does not present himself as a scientist (since he is absolutely unqualified to do so) but rather a "Prophet".

Al Gore's "work" is science fiction used for Propaganda purposes and has been debunked:

Debunked By Peer Review:
An Inconvenient Truth : a focus on its portrayal of the hydrologic cycle (David R. Legates, GeoJournal, Volume 70, Number 1, September 2007)
An Inconvenient Truth : blurring the lines between science and science fiction (Roy W. Spencer, GeoJournal, Volume 70, Number 1, September 2007)

Al Gore's climate change film 'is propaganda' (The Daily Telegraph, UK)
UK Court finds 9 Inaccuracies in Al Gore's An Inconvenient Truth (The New Party, UK)
- Al Gore's Convenient Untruths (FOXNews)
- Al Gore's 'nine Inconvenient Untruths' (The Daily Telegraph, UK)
- Al Gore told there are nine inconvenient truths in his film (The Times, UK)
- An Inconvenient Lie (WorldNetDaily)
- Gore caught lying (WorldNetDaily)
- Gore’s Nine Lies (FrontPage Magazine)
- Judge attacks nine errors in Al Gore's 'alarmist' climate change film (Daily Mail, UK)
- Judge says Al Gore film has serious scientific inaccuracies (The Earth Times)
Schools must warn of Gore climate film bias (Daily Mail, UK)
- British Schools Ordered to Offer 'Balance' When Showing Al Gore's Global Warming Film (FOXNews)
- So how did An Inconvenient Truth become required classroom viewing? (National Post, Canada)
- Propaganda-driven kids attack think tank (WorldNetDaily)
35 Inconvenient Truths (Science & Public Policy Institute)
25 Inconvenient Truths for Al Gore (The National Review Online)
20 More inaccuracies (PDF) (UKPRwire)
16 Errors in Al Gore’s An Inconvenient Truth (Science & Public Policy Institute)
8 Questions for Al Gore (Roy Spencer, Ph.D. Meteorology)
6 Inconvenient Truths Indeed (Robert C. Balling Jr., Ph.D. Professor of Climatology)
75 Falsehoods in Gore's An Inconvenient Truth (Book) (Wm. Robert Johnston, B.A. Astronomy, M.S. Physics)

Proof: 'An Inconvenient Truth' is Science Fiction (Video) (1min)

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

thanks

Thanks PT, nice collection of FACTS, not inuendo like some trolls like to use.

Sorry, UCW...

I'll be submitting the bookish rebuttal to Giles in lieu of PopTech. Well, time to take things apart...

"OISM lost whatever credibility they had with the debacle of the first 'Petition Project'"

Oh, the fun I can have with this statement. Do you even understand what you implied here? Probably not, or you wouldn't have said it. Allow me to fix that. Extracting the logic flow of your statement yields this: "An intellectually dishonest offense equal to or greater than putting forth unverified or partially incorrect information or not checking one's sources permanently invalidates all material compiled or produced by the offender from that time on." Are you starting to catch on? By your own premise, you must disregard all material presented by Al Gore, the IPCC, and the vast majority of media outlets. Of course, you could just admit that you were wrong in endorsing a ridiculously extended version of the Fallacist's Fallacy.

"So media ignoring it would be entirely appropriate."

You believe it appropriate for the media, the group responsible for informing the public, to refuse to show information they may disagree with purely on the basis that previous information from the same source was flawed? Congratulations on the hypocrisy. See the above and below if you don't understand.

"[The media is] learning that balance isn't a 50/50 presentation of opposing
POV's. But a fair presentation based on the quality of the information
being presented.
"

Again, even disregarding the demonstrated inability to form proper sentences, do you understand what you are saying? Your statement amounts to, "Balance is not equally providing both sides of an argument." Be sure to go tell all the debate teams nationwide that their timekeeping efforts have been pointless all along. Your sentence fragment is even more absurd: "Balance is presenting the quality information." Yeah, that'd be great except for one thing you seem to forget: Who decides what information is "quality"? The media? Well, they're already doing that. It's called bias. Host: "How about giving both sides equal time to present whatever information they think is important?" Manager: "No, that wouldn't be balanced. I've already decided the side I like is right, so their material is "quality" and the opposition's material isn't. Now, you go show only the "quality" material. That's balance."

"If it were 31,000 scientists working in the climate science field, with
a publishing history in reputable journals then that press release
would be worth something.
"

So, people can't have any understanding of a subject without being contributing members to the establishment view? "If you reject AGW, you can't be part of the establishment, and if you aren't part of the establishment, your views, no matter how scientifically supported, are worthless." That's what you would say were you to have a fit of honesty. It's a circular system with the sole purpose of preventing skeptics from being able to challenge the establishment view. The fact that you are trying to use that circular system to disregard the opinions of 31,000 professionals does not reflect well on your intellectual honesty.

"For a skeptic to have to claim it is an important event without even
seeing the names implies a certain amount of credulousness rather than
a needed level of critical thinking.
"

Funny, here I was thinking almost the same thing, except mine goes like this: "For a believer to claim it is a non-event without even
seeing the names implies a certain amount of fanaticism rather than
any critical thinking." Yeah, I'm just making fun of you at this point. I'll try to get a bit more serious.

"the first sentence with the substitution of conservative works well also; more so when viewed through this lens: ' Political Conservatism as Motivated Social Cognition' ."

So you automatically jump to dismiss 31,000 potential skeptics of AGW without any information on them, then claim that conservatives are less apt to listen to opposing viewpoints. Yeah, that makes perfect sense, especially if your lens is cracked. Here's a question for you: How much of that mountain of text have you actually read? I'm going to guess you missed the part where it incorrectly defines conservatives based heavily on decades-old material, an article from Amsterdam (Muller's), and an avowed socialist (Norberto Bobbio), so I included it below:

{

Dictionary definitions of conservatism stress “the disposition and tendency to preserve what is established; opposition to change” (Neilson, 1958, p. 568) and “the disposition in politics to maintain the existing order” (Morris, 1976, p. 312). Traditionalism and hostility to social innovation were central to Mannheim’s (1927/1986) sociological analysis of conservatism. Rossiter (1968), too, defined situational conservatism in the International Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences as “an attitude of opposition to disruptive change in the social, economic, legal, religious, political, or cultural order” (p. 291).3 He added, “The distinguishing mark of this conservatism, as indeed it is of any brand of conservatism, is the fear of change [italics added], which becomes transformed in the political arena into the fear of radicalism” (p. 291). Consistent with this notion, Conover and Feldman (1981) found that the primary basis for self-definitions of liberals and conservatives has to do with acceptance of, versus resistance to, change (see also Huntington, 1957). This dimension of conservatism is captured especially well by Wilson and Patterson’s (1968) C-Scale and by Altemeyer’s (1996, 1998) RWA Scale. A second core issue concerns preferences for inequality. As Giddens (1998), following Bobbio (1996), wrote, “One major criterion continually reappears in distinguishing left from right: attitudes toward equality [italics added]. The left favours greater equality, while the right sees society as inevitably hierarchical” (p. 40). This characterization is consistent with many historical and political definitions of conservative and right-wing ideology (Muller, 2001), and it is also reflected in several scales used to measure conservatism (Knight, 1999).

}

Using something like this to attempt to define conservatives in today's world is pointless at best, and more probably dishonest. If those identifying themselves as conservatives (possibly a term having outlived its proper use in the US) truly held "the disposition in politics to maintain the existing order", we would be going along with the establishment view of AGW, supporting the current obese size of government, opposing any reduction in spending, etc. If conservatives were truly defined by "the fear of change", they would not be found as business owners, scientists, inventors, or soldiers ("War is a complex and chaotic human endeavor." Clausewitz; and "[in war] uncertainty, unpredictability, and unreliability are always present" [AFDD 1, p. 6]). If it is true that "The left favours greater equality [than the right]", then the left should be noticeably more active than the right in promoting self-sufficiency in minority groups and removing affirmative action quotas to produce a truly "equal opportunity" environment. Whether you can admit it or not, none of these are the case. Your "study" is nothing more than a mountain of pseudoscience and biased quotes dedicated to supporting the negative stereotypes of modern conservatism.

www.rhjunior.com Great comics with a hefty dose of Christian and anti-nutjob goodness.

"With your mind as high as Mt. Fuji you can see all things clearly. And you can see all the forces that shape events; not just the things near to you." -Miyamoto Musashi

Cort

Cort,

Although I sincerely believe it to be a total waste of time, bandwidth, and neural output to communicate with this intellectually dishonest charlatan, that was well worth the price of admission. Two very enthusiastic thumbs up. :-) ns

Thanks for the compliment,

Thanks for the compliment, Noel. I'm glad to have entertained you. ;)

This sort of thing amounts to amusement and mental excercise for me anyway, and I figure the bandwidth wasted is minimal enough not to be missed. By the way, what is the price of admission?

www.rhjunior.com Great comics with a hefty dose of Christian and anti-nutjob goodness.

"With your mind as high as Mt. Fuji you can see all things clearly. And you can see all the forces that shape events; not just the things near to you." -Miyamoto Musashi

Cortillaen, very scrollable and very good, geez i read some

of that STEWPID link of Bile from Giles. Giles SOOO mr. yesterday OLD LINKS... HELLO GILES OLD TIRED LINKS ZZZZZ. 1951- 1963 i pissed him off with my liberals 62% link LMAO

I could link Pop tech 250 list here.. I kid you not, the record for the longest post ever on NB. Your post very to the point! and very scrooable mahalo

 

The POPE says, GOD BLESS AMERICA!!


Liberals62%

 

Okay, I have to ask: Were

Okay, I have to ask: Were you really tired or drunk when you typed that?

Anyhow, thanks, and PopTech did weigh in below, but he managed with a mere one link (plus his standard sig link). I suppose that means he isn't taking Giles seriously anymore.

Also, that link is interesting enough that I may need to buy the book. I also found articles on that site about McCain and the Chucktatorship. The latter is just hilarious.

www.rhjunior.com Great comics with a hefty dose of Christian and anti-nutjob goodness.

"With your mind as high as Mt. Fuji you can see all things clearly. And you can see all the forces that shape events; not just the things near to you." -Miyamoto Musashi

tired and in a hurry

 

The POPE says, GOD BLESS AMERICA!!


Liberals62%

 

I understand. That just

I understand. That just seemed rather different than your usual posts,

www.rhjunior.com Great comics with a hefty dose of Christian and anti-nutjob goodness.

"With your mind as high as Mt. Fuji you can see all things clearly. And you can see all the forces that shape events; not just the things near to you." -Miyamoto Musashi

Giles ,That's SO last year, this NEW list is 2008 and expanded.

However <gag> you're right the media won't cover it.

BECAUSE they are biased !

Maybe it it snows in Baghdad? They will

 

The POPE says, GOD BLESS AMERICA!!


Liberals62%

 

Hook, line and sinker

Several teams made climate models and all those models predicted global warming with increased atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration. None - not one - of those models predicted that global warming would peak in 1998 then stop for the following decade despite atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration increasing by ~5%. But that is what has happened. Now, one team has amended their model so it shows the cessation of global warming in 1998. Their amended model predicts that global warming will re-start in 2015. Does anybody other than a fool believe them?

Dr. Richard Courtney, a UN IPCC expert reviewer and a UK-based climate and atmospheric science consultant

Giles, you must feel so esteemed. To be mentioned by the likes of Dr. Courtney. Inspiring.

OISM Petition Smear long ago debunked

Giles should know better but he must continue with the propaganda because it is all he has.

Art Robinson Responds to Petition Slander (OISM)

"Only one false name has ever appeared on the petition. It was put there by Ozone Action (now Greenpeace USA) and removed immediately thereafter.

Every listed signer has a university degree in science. The posted listing gives their highest degrees. (MDs were listed only if their underlying degrees were in science.) Thousands of physicists and chemists signed - including about 100 members of the National Academy, about 500 meteorologists and climate scientists, and numerous very eminent people in American science.

Since the initial 17,000 signatories (after which we stopped active solicitation), an additional 1,000 have signed - while about 25 have asked to have their signatures removed.

For every signer we have a physical signature mailed to us by first class mail from the signer's address. No one has been listed who did not actually sign - except the Ozone Action signature, which they sent with false credentials, a false address, and a false signature.

The review article sent with the petition could not possibly have been mistaken for a PNAS reprint. I have published many research papers in PNAS. I am very familiar with reprint formats.

The PNAS claim originated because Frederick Seitz - past president of the National Academy and past president of Rockefeller University signed a letter that was circulated with the petition. (Dr. Seitz, like everyone else who has actively opposed the "enviro warmers" has been smeared with many false claims.) Also, the first signers of the petition were several rather famous members of the National Academy.

Neither I nor any of my colleagues at the Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine have ever received any funds whatever from any energy industry corporation. The costs of the petition were born entirely by individual non tax deductible donations to a non tax deductible entity established solely for the petition. No energy industry funds were received." - Art Robinson, Ph.D. OISM

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

isn't expertise and credibility to back them up

X # of signatures means virtually nothing if there isn't expertise and credibility to back them up. Robinson notes that  there were only '..about 500 meteorologists and climate scientists..' in the original petition.

And is there anywhere a list of signatories by degree, expertise, job description? 

Reasonably intelligent people can do the research on the full story behind the OISM's Petition.

Giles, try 3,697 Atmospheric, Earth and Environmental Scientists

Qualifications of Signers (OISM)

3,697 Atmospheric, Earth and Environmental Scientists

Ouch - Giles I realize this is embarrassing but your own "research" is to smear sites and worthless sites like Wikipedia which have all been debunked. Reasonably intelligent people can make up their own minds without your propaganda.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

500 is nothing to sneese at

"Robinson notes that there were only '..about 500 meteorologists and climate scientists..' in the original petition."

500 hundred is not something to sneeze at and you keep complaining about the need for actual degrees and/or experience in the field yet you dismiss those 500 knowledgeable and experienced people out of hand. Why is that? Could it be that you're BIASED against anyone who disagrees with YOUR assessments?

 

Humm, do I detect a bit of hypocrisy?

"Reasonably intelligent people can do the research on the full story behind the OISM's Petition."

So, you believe that reasonably intelligent people can do research about a subject and make accurate conclusions as to its validity (in this case, the validity of the petition), yet if any reasonably intelligent person does their own research into GW and make a determination that humans are not at fault, you suddenly insist that theses conclusions should be dismissed if they're not made by experts in that field of study. Why the double standard here? Sauce for the goose...

So OISM has no credibility,

So OISM has no credibility, but a collection of petty scientists busily engaged in sucking the public tit, make an assortment of alarmist predictions none of which have as yet been realized but whose publication is sure to engender fear, worry and more public funding for their activities, have credibility?

Here's my

Here's my suggestion:

When this list comes out, everyone make a text file out of it, and upload it as a comment in its entirety in response to any leftist blog post out there that whines and moans about man-made global warming . . . 

 

just a thought . . .

sean robins
blog.seanrobins.com

Sean - Here's a Tweak on You Suggestion

How about all of us send it to our congresscritters - especially McCain, Clinton and Obama.


"All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing."

- Edmund Burke (1729 - 1797)

www.conservativeboot...

C'mon guys, dontcha know

C'mon guys, dontcha know it's all about the Polar Bears? 

"Abstain from McCain"

Damnit. My polar bear

Damnit. My polar bear petition entitled "Stop Global Warming 'Cause We Can't Tread Water for Much Longer" only has 25,000 signatures. I guess I lose :(

No need for the long face.

You could always ask for a recount. ;-)

Well it does mean alarmists

Well it does mean alarmists might need to come up with an actual argument rather than to just repeat "consensus" as an answer to everything. Especially considering the people responsible for the alarmist claim of "consensus" had to know full well they had no such thing.

The fact that petition HAS

The fact that petition HAS 25,000 signatures is why you lose.

You could have 310,000

You could have 310,000 signatures and it wouldn't make any difference. To those that are drinking the global warming kool aid, it is like talking to a penguin in the artic. They just aren't there!

Besides those that are leading the "cause" are materially gaining from prosyletizing it.

I hereby submit a change to

I hereby submit a change to our local terminology. AGW fanatics shall henceforth be known as drinkers of "warm aid" or "gloabal warm aid". It just makes more sense.

www.rhjunior.com Great comics with a hefty dose of Christian and anti-nutjob goodness.

"With your mind as high as Mt. Fuji you can see all things clearly. And you can see all the forces that shape events; not just the things near to you." -Miyamoto Musashi

Global media cooling on

Global media cooling on scientific rejection of global warming... news at 11.... not.

http://politicsofdes...

Can I sign too?

I have a degree in Chemistry and quite a number of hours in geology and biology.  And my grade point average is at least a point higher than Al Gore's.  I have seen his movie and read his book, and I'm still convinced he's wrong.  And I'm guessing there are lots of folks out there just like me.

 

 

 

EJ

Thanks Noel

It will be in the mail tomorrow.  I hope others do the same.

I mailed mine last week...

and missed the cut.  Darn it.

Anyway, the opening paragraph from this link describes well how career scientists look at things.

"Most scientists have a detailed knowledge of their own narrow field of specialization, a general knowledge of fundamental science, an understanding of the scientific method, and a mental model that encompasses a broad range of scientific disciplines. This model serves as the basis of their thoughts about scientific questions."

The point is that scientists beyond the realm of climate science can have an understanding of past climate variability and how what we see now may just be a replay of what has happened before.

These scientists were not "gathered" as suggested by a previous commentor, the website was there for scientists to visit and a copy of the statement was printed on the downloaded form, which was then signed and then mailed by the scientist.

The Global Warming

The Global Warming Inquisition will find a way to attack,smear and discredit these scientists and some will be pressured to recant by threatened loss of status and grant money.

There must be some payroll

Exxon/Mobil must have one helluva payroll paying all these scientists since we know, from listening to the MSM, no scientist, who wasn't being bought off, is involved with this.

If the media reports it, I'm sure they will find .1% (at least 300) scientists who have ever received money from Exxon/Mobil, even if it takes them having a Exxon credit card with rebates attached to it.

Democrats: Stuck on Stupid since 2000.

Can't be Exxon "they're

Can't be Exxon "they're making too much."

Poor Giles.

His entire world is about to come crashing down around him.

Imagine my distress. :-)

Very cool. I wonder how the

Very cool. I wonder how the kos will dismiss this.

The Rocky Mountain Collegian: Illustrating Idiocy

wiwf, well, there is always that "mass suicide" protest.

Actually, my guess is they will be screaming bloody murder, saying that the big, mean oil companies, along with other industries, paid these people off somehow, or threatened them in some way, or that Karl Rove had them all kidnapped and brainwashed.....

You know, the usual. :-)

 

Sign of the times.

The pot smoking slackers will have to take a hit of psychotropic drugs, shrooms, or lick a frog so they can invent the next paranoid delusion. 

ABOUT FRIGGIN TIME

Maybe the idiots in Congress will notcie this before they run this economy and country into the ground any further with nonsensical energy policies.

CONGRESSIONAL TERM LIMITS!!!

Somewhere in Space

I'm confident that Dan Harris, Miles O'Brien or Roger Harrabin will cover this story...in a parallel universe.

Is Exxon hiring?

Google is worth a zillion dollars in market value and it produces no physical goods. Yet, it is one hell of a stock, and is making investors huge profits. Maybe Hillary wants to confiscate those profits, or the profits of WalMart.

Either way, in this environment when scientists are blackballed for trying to research the "current" climate and try to understand "current" and past fluctuations of our weather, grant dollars are proportional to the amount of alarmist hysteria. Companies like Exxon may be the only ones left to do real research -- like understanding how hurricanes actually operate.  

Make that 31,073

Yet another former believer swiches sides and jumps off of the "Titanic" of scientific hypothesis.

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,356549,00.html

dbo

dbo,

Computer models. If we want to point fingers at the alarmists basing most of their preposterous theory on unproven and untested computer models, I think it would be hypocritical for us to jump on studies that support our view which rely on computer models. Make sense? ns

Completely agree Noel. My

Completely agree Noel. My main point being that Tom Knutson has changed his opinion on the subject. The 31,073 number being spoken with tongue-in-cheek as I often do.

not quite

The Knutson et al. (2008) study uses the same climate models as the UN IPCC report but uses a downscaling approach. Thus, the IPCC climate models are used as boundary conditions. The results that Knutson reports are inconsistent with the expected changes that are in the UN report.

So, in this case, it is not correct to dismiss these results as being just another climate model. It is in fact the SAME climate models (double Co2) used as boundary conditions or forcings. Thus, these results are in fact consistent with previous studies which suggested the effects of higher ocean temperatures in the Atlantic would be mitigated by higher vertical shear.

Knutson

Knutson?  Now we're listening to a German Polar Bear?

  • LYDSEXICS UNTIE!

Nope.

They'll just say, "We don't give a toss, just don't bring your environmental crap here. We've got industries to run and revenue to generate."

-

Exactly.

edit

argh, I hate when I log into reply it adds it as a new post.

Shifting consensus?

Must be nice to be a Climate expert.

Literally taking a cue from Bob Dylan, they wet their fingers and poke them skyward to determine wind direction.

What's the consensus today?  Oh, sh__, we've got real data today?

Waterless urinals aren't selling that good?

Let's take another vote.

  • LYDSEXICS UNTIE!

Is this a joke?

You guys can't be serious. You are trying to show that there is no scientific agreement about global warming, based on a list of individuals with some background in some field of science who say they don't agree with professional climate scientists.

I have no idea why somebody with, say, a college degree in chemistry should be consulted when trying to determine the status of a consensus on a question involving complicated simulations of fluid dynamics. Reasonably intelligent newspeople will realize that this petition is a sham and thus devote their resources to more important stories.

Now I have an idea how the response to this post is going to go. First you will tell me that I am a liberal, and therefore an awful person, blah, blah, blah. Next, you will tell me that Al Gore is not a climate scientist, so it is silly to take his point of view into account, but not those 31,000 "scientists" who signed the petition. Well, Al Gore is not pretending to have written scientific papers about global warming, or to have a voice in the scientific discussion. Next, you might say that these 31,000 scientists were in fact excluded from doing climate research by the evil conspiratorial funding agencies. That's silly, though, because to get to the stage of having your climate science research grant application rejected by the NSF, you probably need to have a PhD in physics. But I'm really hoping for a nice patronizing response where my post is "taken apart piece by piece"; my intellectual inferiority fully demonstrated.

Don't have to

   This is a media driven scare story that has a half life of 5 years.

    It will die a quiet death the same as all the other scare stories we have been subjected  to.

    Population bomb. Next Ice age is coming. Magnetic Poles will flip flop. Nuclear winter. Peak oil. Aids epidemic. The landfills are full. All the forests are disappearing(use plastic bags vice paper). Sars. Plastic is killin' all the fishes (stop using plastic bags).

  Don't forget the one around the corner once this global warming scare runs it's course. WE ARE RUNNING OUT OF FRESH WATER! There will be a push to melt the poles so we can get the water. No, it doesn't make sense. None of the media scares make sense after a little bit of logic.

   So we don't have to tear apart your logic. Just ignore you and the whole thing will blow over like all the other scares.

Ditto JWF

Ditto JWF, many who come to these blogs were not around in the 60s-70's and were in diapers. They don't remember the "experts" telling us after the Jimmuh Carter induced oil shortage of the early 70's, that oil was dwindling and would be basically used up by the turn of the century. We have between 1.2-2 Trillion barrels of oil(with a capital T) in Colorado, Montana & Utah of shale oil rock, enough to take care of the good ole USA for 100's of years, not to mention the 2nd largest coal reserves in the world that we can CLEANLY make jet fuel and diesel fuel from.

In the 60's they told us that building the Alaska pipeline would kill off the caribou and pollute the enviroment ( no pollution from the pipeline, nada, zip and the caribou herd is 3 times what is was back then because the heated oil going through the pipelines created plant growth that fed the herd during the harsh Alaskan winters).

In the late 70's they warned of an impending ice age that we futile humans would be powerless to stop. They told us in the 80's that at the rate the rain forest in the amazon was being cut down that the amazon would cease to exist as a viable eco system in 30 years (it is only a few more years till it's been 30 years), if you go to terraserver.com you can zoom in on the Amazon and see that it is not going to be gone in a few years.

You know all these Mayan, Aztec, Inca archeological sites/digs they find down there, 90% of them have been covered by the jungle that they cleared for their cities and agriculture. In other words man has not decaptitated the Amazon, to the contrary nature has defeated man in that respect.

Liberals look for issues to wring their hand over and feel guilty about. They believe in Darwin when there are hundreds of examples of Darwin's theories being shot to heck and totally discredited. 

Global warming is just a long list of "the sky is falling, the sky is falling" liberal mentality that shows that people who really look at these fabrications can easily dispel them. 

JWF, you are right and I am not a betting man but I will bet you that by 2012, global warming will be on the ash heap of history as another stupid liberal scare and that their quest to show that mankind is "bad bad bad" for the planet will be routed once again.

Remember, the ozone layer scare of the late 80's & 90's? Do you hear of that anymore? Remember the computer models that forecast AIDS would wipe out the human population in 10-20 years. Liberals do you remember these stupid issues you cling to so ardently? I remember well and I marvel at your stupidity, since you keep telling the rest of us how dumb and ignorant we are...

:-) 

"Well, Al Gore is not

"Well, Al Gore is not pretending to have written scientific papers about
global warming, or to have a voice in the scientific discussion." You're absolutely right! Rather, he's pretending to spread the truth, pretending that nobody of importance opposes his untruth, and pretending not to be in the scam for profit. Thanks for setting us straight on that!

Sorry, but I'm too sleepy to play havoc with the rest of your post tonight. Maybe tomorrow. ;)

www.rhjunior.com Great comics with a hefty dose of Christian and anti-nutjob goodness.

"With your mind as high as Mt. Fuji you can see all things clearly. And you can see all the forces that shape events; not just the things near to you." -Miyamoto Musashi

No Need

"But I'm really hoping for a nice patronizing response where my post is "taken apart piece by piece"; my intellectual inferiority fully demonstrated." No need to take your post apart pice by pice your intellectual inferiority is fully demonstrated just by reading your post.

The Computer Modeling Scam

The only people we should be consulting regarding the scam that is "prediction via computer simulation" are computer scientists since it is apparent the natural scientists working on these simulations are completely clueless about what computers can and cannot do. No matter how complex a simulation is, unless it is perfect, it's results are meaningless. That is due to the fact that computers cannot fill in the blanks for you do not know or correct what was programmed in wrong like nature does when you do an experiment in the real world.

Question: Would you use a mathematically broken calculator?

Nothing is emotional about computers they are pure logical machines, 1 + 1 must = 2. Imagine trying to use a mathematically broken calculator based on poorly understood arithmetic to get a correct answer but you have no way to confirm that "correct answer" except to wait 50-100 years. Sound crazy? Welcome to Global Climate Modeling.

ANY reasonably intelligent computer scientist will realize this is a scam.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

GIGO

In IT, we even have an acronym for whats happening with these models.

GIGO - Garbage In, Garbage Out. i.e. - the computer is only as good as the program & the data. No better, no worse.

"Don't forget to vote this fall. Not for McCain, not ever, but there might be a Conservative Rep or Senator that Needs Your Vote" --Free Stinker

Free, you forgot the the idiot between the chair and keyboard.

:-)

I wasn't trying to give a

I wasn't trying to give a list of insults to the users:

  • PEBCAK
  • ID ten T
  • ESTO

;-)

 

"Don't forget to vote this fall. Not for McCain, not ever, but there might be a Conservative Rep or Senator that Needs Your Vote" --Free Stinker

How wrong you are....

"No matter how complex a simulation is, unless it is perfect, it's results are meaningless."

PT, you've completely discredited yourself with the above statement.  So, are you saying all the the work done by Edward Lorenz using computer models was meaningless??  Obviously, computer models have errors of which atmospheric scientists are very aware.  That is why a huge component of atmospheric research involves quantifying forecast uncertainty from computer model predictions (a field which Ed Lorenz pioneered).  When uncertainty is properly represented reliable probabilistic forecasts can be generated which are very useful.  Why do you think weather forecasts for things like rainfall are expressed as probabilities?    

Computer Science 101 - Is this a Joke

You mean the guy that figured out that when he entered in different initial data sets into a computer program the results would change? Is this some kind of joke?

Charles Babbage knew this in 1884!

"On two occasions I have been asked [by members of Parliament], "Pray, Mr. Babbage," if you put into the machine wrong figures, will the right "answers come out?" I am not able rightly to apprehend the kind of confusion of ideas that could provoke such a question." - Charles Babbage, Computer Pioneer, 1864

Edward Lorenz

"Lorenz's early insights marked the beginning of a new field of study that impacted not just the field of mathematics but virtually every branch of science--biological, physical and social. In meteorology, it led to the conclusion that it may be fundamentally impossible to predict weather beyond two or three weeks with a reasonable degree of accuracy."

Excuse me while I laugh my ass off! Are there this many computer illiterates studying the climate right now? Is this some kind of joke?

Why do you think forecasting rainfall is an absolute joke!

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

Once again, you're discrediting yourself...

Note that Ed Lorenz's work led to the conclusion that weather couldn't be predicted beyond two or three weeks, not climate.  Big difference.  A good realclimate post (your favorite website, I'm sure) explains how Lorenz's work is relevant to climate.  I've included an excerpt below for your enjoyment/education. 

---------------------------------

But how can climate be predictable if weather is chaotic? The trick lies in the statistics. In those same models that demonstrate the extreme sensitivity to initial conditions, it turns out that the long term means and other moments are stable. This is equivalent to the 'butterfly' pattern seen in the figure above being statistically independent of how you started the calculation. The lobes and their relative position don't change if you run the model long enough. Climate change then is equivalent seeing how the structure changes, while not being too concerned about the specific trajectory you are on.

Another way of saying it is that for the climate problem, the weather (or the individual trajectory) is the noise. If you are trying to find the common signal that is a signature of a particular forcing then averaging over a number of simulations with different weather works rather well. (There is a long standing quote in science - "one person's noise is another person's signal" which is certainly apropos here. Climate modellers don't average over ensemble members because they think that weather isn't important, they do it because it gives robust estimates of the signal they are usually looking for.)

--------------------------------------

So, do you still believe Lorenz's work was meaningless? Do you understand the difference between weather and climate?

What a bunch of BS

Talk about pure and utter BS. I love the nonsense that weather prediction is different than climate. If you believe this crap you have no business ever going near a computer. This is the biggest scam crap I have ever seen written in my life.

ANYTHING done on a computer must by 100% understood and EXACT for the results to be relevant for anything outside of theory. Climate does not get a pass and no amount of math can make up for what is not known. The only thing you can be sure of is the longer you run a simulation that requires pre-dependent variables with "broken" code, the even more useless the results! It is now proven Climate Modelers who believe this crap are absolute morons.

Someone answer this question: What is the Statistical Average of Crap?

This is what Natural Scientists do not get, broken code is broken code! It doesn't matter what imaginary name you give it (Weather Forecast Model, Global Climate Model, The Sims ect...), or what you do with the results the result are still crap. You cannot call it "climate modeling" and have the underlying computer science problems magically go away.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

Wow...

I feel you are truly clueless. It's the "I don't understand it, so it must be bull crap" response.

It is what I do for a living

I am a computer scientist, this is what I do for a living. The one thing I understand is BS about computer programs ... I mean "Global Climate Circulation Models". I am sorry if you don't.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

PT...Some of the science of AGW

PT...

Some of the science and technical jargon involved in the AGW debate confuses the hell out of me so I thought maybe you could explain something to me...

If some of the data being used that goes into making any of these computer models is incorrect, doesn't that make the computer models just a bunch of junk numbers?

"Abstain from McCain"

I've no degree in CS, but I

I've no degree in CS, but I think common sense can handle this question. In order to be useful for making a point, models need to have accurately reproduced past events from preceding information (ie. demonstrated predictive accuracy from known info) and be fed accurate information about the present. Even then it should be understood that the models do not prove anything. Any physicist can tell you that models of how we believe the world to work are constantly being adjusted or even discarded in response to being contradicted by new information. Simply put, even the best models predict events based on how we believe the factors involved work. It's reasonable to assume that all models are wrong to a certain extent. The real question is not "Are they wrong?", but "How wrong are they?"

www.rhjunior.com Great comics with a hefty dose of Christian and anti-nutjob goodness.

"With your mind as high as Mt. Fuji you can see all things clearly. And you can see all the forces that shape events; not just the things near to you." -Miyamoto Musashi

At least you make more sense than PopTech...

It's reasonable to assume that all models are wrong to a certain
extent. The real question is not "Are they wrong?", but "How wrong are
they?"

Yes, and in numerical weather prediction models, if you can quantify "how wrong are they", you can apply things like cost-benefit analyses to successfully utilize an imperfect forecast, which is demonstrated extensively in the atmospheric science literature. The point is, when PopTech tries to say that imperfect models are completely useless, he is being ignorant.

I suspect he is referring

I suspect he is referring to certain models widely publicized by the IPCC and AGW-proponents; models that have failed to be even remotely correct year after year, yet are still used. When the disasterous effects of AGW predicted by the IPCC over a decade ago failed to manifest, their response was not, "Oh, our models must be wrong. Let's improve them." It was, "Oh, the models are right, but things are just moving a little slower. Disaster is still coming, just a decade or two later." While somewhat inaccurate models may (and, in fact, must) be used, continuing the use of models that have been proven fundamentally wrong is completely useless. It's the difference between using a calculator that uses 3.14 as pi and one that says 2+2=5. This isn't even to address the fact that some models and graphs were presented for review without allowing access to the raw data involved.

www.rhjunior.com Great comics with a hefty dose of Christian and anti-nutjob goodness.

"With your mind as high as Mt. Fuji you can see all things clearly. And you can see all the forces that shape events; not just the things near to you." -Miyamoto Musashi

Climate Prediction is a Scam

The arrogance that you can assume you can quantify what is wrong from what you don't know is mind boggling idiotic. All you can state is that YOU DON'T KNOW and not lie that you do.

Broken computer code is WRONG thus useless. Again:

Question: Would you use a mathematically broken calculator?

Nothing is emotional about computers they are pure logical machines, 1 + 1 must = 2. Imagine trying to use a mathematically broken calculator based on poorly understood arithmetic to get a correct answer but you have no way to confirm that "correct answer" except to wait 50-100 years.

Analogy, Imagine that the programmers of Quicken do not fully understand arithmetic and thus the results you get when calculating how much money is in the bank, you owe on your mortgage or how much your stock portfolio makes will not be accurate but do not worry because even though they do not understand arithmetic they can give you "estimates" of how close they are to a real answer and if those estimates are scary you better make sure to adjust your financial situation accordingly. When you do not want to listen to them they will call you deniers.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

The arrogance that you can

The arrogance that you can assume you can quantify what is wrong from
what you don't know is mind boggling idiotic. All you can state is that
YOU DON'T KNOW and not lie that you do.

I'm glad most scientists don't think like you, or else every failed experiment would end an entire line of inquiry with "Well, that didn't work. I guess we don't know what we're doing. Let's go watch TV."

In fact, you can learn from failed experiments, and computer models make it even easier than traditional experiments.

Let's say you come up with a model to predict the weather. You make a prediction, then wait, and turn out to be wrong. Predictive sciences have a lot of difficulties and complexities about them, but they also have the delightful feature that if you can afford to wait long enough you will find out what the right answer should have been.

So you compare the two and figure out why you were wrong. Which variable was throwing things out of whack? If you change that variable and get the right answer, what does that mean for the theories that were used to determine the value of that variable in the first place? Do you understand why the new value works, or do you need to do more work to figure it out? You may not always be able to quantify what is wrong, but certainly it isn't impossible!

"Experimenting" on a Computer

This is too much, you really think "experimenting" on a computer is the same as reality? Experimenting in the real world has nothing to do with computer simulations. In the real world whatever you do not know reality takes care of, in the virtual world you have to know EVERYTHING and have it ALL programmed into it from the beginning. Even if you got results that match a real world experiment there is no way to know for sure that how you got to that answer is right since your computer program could be performing some irrelevant calculation that does not match the real world.

Computers can assist with real world experiments but they can never replace them. And they should never be relied on without real world testing.

You really seem to lack a basic understanding of computers.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

In order to be useful for

In order to be useful for making a point, models need to have
accurately reproduced past events from preceding information (ie.
demonstrated predictive accuracy from known info) and be fed accurate
information about the present.

This is exactly how climate models are tested, at least in the very small percent of them which I've actually read.

You have a number of models based on different theories about how all of the different variables involved will interact. You test all of those models by giving them a starting point 20 years ago and seeing how well their predictions match up with what actually happened in the last 20 years. The model that performs the best is then given data about the present, and the predictions it makes are published as the results of the paper.

-

Most AGW computer models do NOT "predict" or reflect past events; that's their biggest problem.  Yet their results are pointed to as "proof" of AGW.

Actually....

Actually, the climate models used by the IPCC do a pretty reasonable job of simulating changes in 20th century temps. Of course, it helps that the forcings (i.e. aerosol and GHG concentrations, and solar output) were known.

"Reasonable" is NOT good enough!

If is it not exact then something is wrong, that is how computers work and your model is WRONG but regardless testing past climate is irrelevant and used to fool the computer illiterates who they show these results to.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

Testing models against past data is irrelevant

Testing a model against past climate is an advanced exercise in curve fitting, nothing more and proves absolutely nothing. What this means is you are attempting to have your model's output match the existing historical output that has been recorded. For example matching the global mean temperature curve over 100 years. Even if you match this temperature curve with your model it is meaningless. Your model could be using some irrelevant calculation that simply matches the curve but does not relate to the real world. With a computer model there are an infinite number of ways to match the temperature curve but only one way that represents the real world. It is impossible for computer models to prove which combination of climate physics correctly matches the real world.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

Why Climate Modeling is effectively Impossible and What We Know

Yes the input data must be accurate for the output to be relevant, this is what Lorenz (who meteor referenced) was talking about. When he change the input data by one decimal point the results in his weather forecasting model were wildly different then before. But this is true of ANY computer program that does not include randomization code. Climate modeling is no different.

It is not just the input data that is in question but the actual computer code that processes this data is admitted to be broken - thus the computer program is useless. For one they parametize (pre-assume) what a grid area smaller then the model can simulate would be. For a GCM to be accurate it would have to model the atmosphere at the molecular level, with ALL aspects of climate physics 100% understood, this includes the interactions of the climate with space, the sun, the planets ect..., the initial starting point of all molecules known, the future changes every living organizism on the planet would make and on and on ect... You would essentially need an earth simulator 100% to reality and the ability to see into the future. This is effectively impossible and why we are left with only being able to make future assumptions based on our past knowledge of large celestial forces that operate in cyclical ways such as solar activity, planet orbit and rotation ect... These are not certain either but merely likely based on current observation and paleoclimate records. We can make general physics calculations too on things like what effect X amount of CO2 in the atmosphere will have on outbound radiation.

Cold Facts on Global Warming (Image Analysis and Measurement Lab)

"What is the contribution of anthropogenic carbon dioxide to global warming? This question has been the subject of many heated arguments, and a great deal of hysteria. ...we will consider a simple calculation, based on well-accepted facts, that shows that the expected global temperature increase caused by doubling atmospheric carbon dioxide levels is bounded by an upper limit of 1.4-2.7 degrees centigrade. This result contrasts with the results of the IPCC's climate models, whose projections are shown to be unrealistically high. [...] At the current rate of increase, CO2 will not double its current level until 2255."

This is based on known physics not models filled with theoretical broken code. The modelers and religious AGW fanatics want to make the case that:

- CO2 drives climate - this is a proven fabrication, the simple occurence of ice ages disproves this theory as well as the overwhelming scientific evidence of CO2 lagging temperatures.

- Imaginary feedback loops and "tipping" points exist in the climate system - no scientific evidence exists to support this.

All other doomsday nonsense is based on worthless modeling.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

What is the contribution of

What is the contribution of anthropogenic carbon dioxide to global warming? This question has been the subject of many heated arguments, and a great deal of hysteria. ...we will consider a simple calculation, based on well-accepted facts, that shows that the expected global temperature increase caused by doubling atmospheric carbon dioxide levels is bounded by an upper limit of 1.4-2.7 degrees centigrade. This result contrasts with the results of the IPCC's climate models, whose projections are shown to be unrealistically high. [...] At the current rate of increase, CO2 will not double its current level until 2255."

If I as a layman could add to that PT, Here is a list of what various scientists have used for computer inputs for a doubling of CO2:

http://members.aol.com/bpl1960/ClimateSensitivity.html

As you can see the readings are all over the map. If the "science is settled" and computer models were worth their weight in spit these COs sensitivity numbers would all be exactly the same.

Why so worked up??

Geez, all I did was make the point that imperfect computer models can still be useful. This isn't that hard to understand and has been demonstrated in all areas of atmospheric science. For example, here is an article way back from 1966 demonstrating how to apply a "cost/loss utility ratio" using reliable probabilistic forecasts (which can be obtained from a computer model) for decision making purposes. This type of type of thing is done extensively in atmospheric science because scientists have long recognized that computer models will never be perfect, as PopTech so articulately pointed out.

While in a your little tizzy you also happened to make some pretty blatant errors. I wish I had time to discuss them all, but I can at least tackle one... (maybe others will jump in and correct the rest. lol. yeah right!)

You claim that no scientific evidence exists supporting the existence of positive feedbacks and "tipping points". Well, how do you explain the abrupt climate changes that have occurred during glacial periods and during transitions between glacial and inter-glacial periods? I'd say that the abrupt changes in the geologic record are at least evidence (if not proof) supporting positive feedbacks and "tipping points". Let me know if you have some other mechanisms explaining these abrupt climate changes. And don't say "the sun". Changes in solar output that drive Milankovitch cycles operate on time scales of 100,000s of years, much shorter than the time scale on which abrupt climate change has been shown to occur (centuries or even decades).

Climate Drivers

Long Term (100,000yr) Climate Change is driven by the Milankovitch Cycles:

Astronomical Theory of Climate Change (NOAA)
Milankovitch Cycles and the Ice Ages (NASA)

Milankovitch Cycles (Video) (3min)

A Shorter Term Cycle (1,500yr) has been shown to exist:

The Physical Evidence of Earth's Unstoppable 1,500-Year Climate Cycle (National Center for Policy Analysis)

Earth Cools In Persistent, 1,500-Year Rhythm, Say Columbia Scientists, Working From Sea Cores (Science Daily)

Then of course you have the shorter solar cycle ect...

So yes the Sun in combination with the earth's orbit, axis tilt and interaction with other planets controls the climate.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

I knew it!

I knew you would invoke the Milankovitch cycle! I already told you that changes in the solar output associated with the Milankovitch cycle are too weak and occur on time scales too long to fully explain the very abrupt changes in temperature that have been observed in the ice cores. Even the articles you link to invoke "positive feedback" mechanisms (cooler climate, leads to more ice, leads to increased reflected solar energy)! C'mon, do you really believe that there is NO EVIDENCE for positive feedback or tipping points in the climate system?? Either you do, proving you have no credibility, or you have lied.

Also, don't forget that atmsopheric composition and land use also control climate along with the solar processes you mention.

Not Reading

There is clear evidence of multiple cycles at shorter time scales that influence the climate. CO2 is not one of them:

Carbon Dioxide Did Not End The Last Ice Age, Study Says (Science Daily)

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

what are you talking about??

How is the article you cite relevant? It only further emphasizes the point I am trying to make!! The bold highlighting in the excerpts below are where they invoke "feedback mechanisms", which you state there is no evidence for. Get a grip.

"The finding suggests the rise in greenhouse gas was likely a result
of warming and may have accelerated the meltdown -- but was not its
main cause."

"The study does not question the fact that CO2 plays a key role in climate."

"Finally, Stott and colleagues found a correlation between melting
Antarctic sea ice and increased springtime solar radiation over
Antarctica, suggesting this might be the energy source.

As the sun pumped in heat, the warming accelerated because of
sea-ice albedo feedbacks
, in which retreating ice exposes ocean water
that reflects less light and absorbs more heat, much like a dark
T-shirt on a hot day."

"In addition, the authors' model showed how changed ocean conditions may have been responsible for the release of CO2 from the ocean into the atmosphere, also accelerating the warming." (Oh no! They used a model!)

No evidence for feedback mechanisms in the climate system!! Gimme a break.

GIGO

"If some of the data being used that goes into making any of these
computer models is incorrect, doesn't that make the computer models
just a bunch of junk numbers?
"

GIGO, Garbage In: Garbage Out. That's been a testing method to programmers and modelers alike since the 80's as far as I know. It is the best way to test the accuracy of your program and/or model. When you have to account for and adjust invalid and/or erroneous data in both the input and output, then you know your program or model is useless and you should dump the whole thing and start over, from scratch.

PT...Some of the science

Oooops!

you're right

But that same uncertaintly and applicable chaos is missing from the _certainty_ of AGW.

Steve, quick give me more degrees to ignore!!!

"I have no idea why somebody with, say, a college degree in chemistry should be consulted when trying to determine the status of a consensus on a question involving complicated simulations of fluid dynamics."


Michael Oppenheimer
, S.B. Chemistry, Ph.D. Chemical Physics

Please tell me all the other degrees we should not listen to anymore so I can quickly eliminate all the alarmist scientists. I love the ignorance, it makes my job sooooo easy.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

FYI

you do an awesome job dealing with the alarmists in these threads.

Say What!!!

You don't understand why someone with a degree in "chemistry" would have anything important to say about "complicated simulations of fluid dynamics". Is that what they teach you in college today? Nothing more needs to be said.

"Of all tyrannies a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive." - C.S. Lewis

why does your field of study matter?

I've often wondered why the ACC or AGW believers constantly throw this argument out there when must of the 1500 undersigners of the IPCC are not Climate Scientists but POLITICIANS.

Why does your field of study matter?  Just look at the data and decide, does this make sense?  It seems to me regardless of your field of expertise one need only apply occams razor to the field.  Does it make more sense that the warming from 1975 to 1998 (it's not warmed since '98 by the way) was caused by CO2 emissions or by the sun?

What about donations

I do not have a degree but I do have a brain and I am not afraid to use it. Is there a way to donate $$$ because my signature isn't worth much (unless on a check).

About Time!

Thank goodness.  Its about time people spoke out about this issue.  Although, Al Gore is now comparing "global warming" fight to fight against fascism.  Right, because an imaginary problem is killing millions of people. 

What a joke.

You guys are hilariousuhttp://scienceblogs.com/islandofdoubt/2008/04/16yearold_libels_james_hansen.php

Hmm.

He's right. This is stupid! The science is settled, and the 31,000 scientists who signed this petition mean nothing to the IPCC and the EPA. Global warming is happening - the IPCC said so and I believe 'em. Ocean temperatures have been trending downward in spite of CO2 emissions increasing, but the science is settled and there is no need for debate.

What a joke!

Well, I screwed up my first post.

You guys are hilarious. 31,000? Not a big number in itself compared to the number of 'American Scientists' in the country. I am an 'American Scientist!'. I have a degree in wildlife management. Does that mean I can sign a list of American Scientists who agree/disagree with the Big Bang Theory, or with some theory about protein-coding regions of genes and have it really count for anything?

You're desperate and grasping at straws. I would no more take the word of a Cultural Anthropologist regarding global warming than this intelligent, well-meaning and ignorant skeptic. http://scienceblogs.com/islandofdoubt/2008/04/16yearold_libels_james_hansen.php 

The Joke is on you

Qualifications of Signers (OISM)

3,697 Atmospheric, Earth and Environmental Scientists

Of course you can sign a list of American Scientists who agree/disagree with the Big Bang Theory but the current debate about it is not of concern because economic crippling policies are not being based on that unproven theory. You would do well to research the actual degrees of the Alarmist Scientists:

Bill Nye, B.S. Mechanical Engineering (Bill Nye the Science Guy)
Gavin Schmidt, B.A. Ph.D. Applied Mathematics (RealClimate.org)
James Hansen, B.A. Physics and Mathematics, M.S. Astronomy, Ph.D. Physics (NASA, Gavin Schmidt's Boss)
James Lovelock, Ph.D. Medicine, D.Sc. Biophysics
Lonnie Thompson, Ph.D. Geological Sciences
Michael Mann, A.B. Applied Math, Physics, M.S. Physics, Ph.D. Geology & Geophysics (RealClimate.org)
Michael Oppenheimer, S.B. Chemistry, Ph.D. Chemical Physics
Richard C. J. Somerville, Ph.D. Meteorology
Steven Schneider, Ph.D. Mechanical Engineering and Plasma Physics

Interesting? Maybe you should stop listening to these guys since they do not have degrees in Climatology or Atmospheric Science.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

Re: Joke

I do listen to them when they point to the thousands of studies done by real climate scientists.

Explain to me how a "real" climate scientist is determined

Could you explain to me how a "real" climate scientist is determined?

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

climate scientist?

Climate scientists are determined on how well they tow the DemoKRat party line (with all those nice purse-strings attached). Never mind all that "ice age" garbage, and why the glaciers melted... It was just a retro-global marming-climate-fit because of all those eeeeevil conservatives and that eeeeevil Booooshhhh. If the libs want to fork over billions to regurgitate what they want to hear - fine. Just don't try to rob me of any more taxes because of it. Friggin' Orwellian Liberal Commies.

What's a "real" climate

What's a "real" climate scientist?

Among the leading alarmists, Dr James Hansen is a Physicist, Dr. Gavin Schmidt is a Mathematician,  Dr. Michael Mann is a Physicist.  Dr. Richard C. J. Sommerville is a Meteorologist.

Are we to infer that these are not real "climate scientists"?  I often hear Alarmist apologists sneering at the credentials of Meteorologists.  Certainly we should be able to ignore Dr. Sommerville, should we not?

When you Turkeys are facing

When you Turkeys are facing food riots that are the result of asinine biofuels policies that were driven by Global Warming activists coupled with a downturn in global temperatures that led to a decline in agricultural yields, you remember this trash you've been posting here. May it give you comfort that your intentions were 'good', even if your results were catastrophic.

-

I fully associate myself with this comment.

In fact, the hunger and food riots have already started as a result of global warming alarmism - corn diverted to make fuel in a gov't subsidized process has been driving up the cost of several food grains.

AND, global warming alarmists have asked for another ten years to be proven right!  Stunning.

Return global temperatures

Return global temperatures to those of 1880, about .75 degree K cooler than now.  Not too much will change in terms of what's ice and what is not on a global scale.  But ....  agricultural yields in the most Northern climates will decline, in some areas markedly, as they did during the Little Ice Age.  Home gardeners in Minnesota Wisconson, Michigan and Upstate New York won't be growing many peppers or tomatoes any more although they will still be able to grow lots of other things.

The message ought to be that adaption is needed in the face of climate change.  Atempts to control climate will be about as effective as a rain dance.

What ???

I thought there was CONSENSUS! I thought the discussion was OVER!

[ Evidently I have been LIED to again by...LIEberals. ]

If conservatives are RIGHT, then liberals must be WRONG.

Clicker Read This and get back to me....

"More informed respondents both feel less personally responsible for global warming, and also show less concern for global warming" - 2008 Texas A&M University Study

Climate of Fear (Richard S. Lindzen, Ph.D. Professor of Meteorology, MIT)
The Case for Skepticism on Global Warming (Michael Crichton, A.B. Anthropology, M.D. Harvard)
Climate chaos? Don't believe it (Christopher Monckton, The Daily Telegraph, UK)

Guides:
A Global Warming Primer (PDF) (National Center for Policy Analysis)
A Skeptic’s Guide to Debunking Global Warming Alarmism (PDF) (US Senate Environment & Public Works Committee)
A Skeptical Layman's Guide to Anthropogenic Global Warming (PDF) (Climate Skeptic)
Global Warming FAQ (PDF) (Competitive Enterprise Institute)
Global Warming: Science vs. Nonsense (PDF) (EIR Economics)

Myths:
Fallacies about Global Warming (Science & Public Policy Institute)
Five Biggest Myths about Global Warming (The Washington Examiner)
Global Warming: Fact and Myth (S. Fred Singer, Ph.D. Professor Emeritus of Environmental Sciences)
Global Warming Myths (Friends of Science)
Green Myths On Global Warming - Debunked (The Association of British Drivers, UK)
Heartland President Debunks Global Warming Myths (The Heartland Institute)
Myths and Facts About the Environment (National Center for Public Policy Research)
Myths of Global Warming (National Center for Policy Analysis)
The Global Warming Myth? (John Stossel, ABC News)
Top 10 Climate Myth-Busters for 2007 (Steve Milloy, B.A. Natural Sciences, M.S. Health Sciences)
Top 10 Environmental Myths (PDF) (U.S. Chamber of Commerce)
Top 10 'Global-Warming' Myths (Human Events)

Papers:
A Climate of Belief (PDF) (Patrick Frank, Ph.D. Chemistry)
Apocalypse Cancelled (PDF) (Christopher Monckton, Former Policy Advisor for British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher)
Carbon Dioxide is not the primary cause of global warming (PDF) (Allan M.R. MacRae, B.Sc., M.Eng.)
Carbon Emissions Don’t Cause Global Warming (PDF) (David Evans, B.Sc. Physics, M.S. Statistics, Ph.D. Engineering)
Climate Change Re-examined (PDF) (Joel M. Kauffman, Ph.D. Organic Chemistry, MIT)
Climate Science: Climate Change and Its Impacts (PDF) (David R. Legates, Ph.D. Climatology)
CO2: The Greatest Scientific Scandal of Our Time (PDF) (Zbigniew Jaworowski, M.D. Ph.D. D.Sc.)
Environmental Effects of Increased Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide (PDF) (Arthur Robinson, Ph.D. Chemistry)
Global Warming and Nature's Thermostat (Roy Spencer, Ph.D. Meteorology)
Is the Sky Really Falling? A Review of Recent Global Warming Scare Stories (PDF) (Patrick J. Michaels, Ph.D. Ecological Climatology)
Is There a Basis for Global Warming Alarm? (Richard S. Lindzen, Ph.D. Professor of Meteorology, MIT)
Nature, Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate (PDF) (S. Fred Singer, Ph.D. Professor Emeritus of Environmental Sciences)
The Acquittal of Carbon Dioxide (Jeffrey A. Glassman, Ph.D. Applied Physicist and Engineer)
The Increase in Global Temperature: What it Does and Does Not Tell Us (PDF) (Robert C. Balling Jr., Ph.D. Professor of Climatology)
The Myth of Dangerous Human Caused Climate Change (PDF) (Robert (Bob) M. Carter, B.Sc. Geology, Ph.D. Paleontology)
The Science Isn't Settled - The Limitations of Global Climate Models (PDF) (Timothy (Tim) F. Ball, Ph.D. Historical Climatologist)

Reports:
Independent Summary for Policymakers: IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (PDF) (The Fraser Institute)

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

Oh boy..

OK, I'll certainly try to read some of these after work. But I'll be trying to find at least one that isn't written by a dubious science fiction writer, a right wing think tank, a meteorologist, physicist, geologist, John Stossel (hah!)... oh wait. There's one written by a Historical Climatologist. He says, 'Hard to say'. Well that certainly is reason enough not to worry about it... Hey there's one written by Patrick J. Michaels... who works for a Libertarian think tank... Small list compared to the thousands and thousands of Climatologist that disagree, but I'll give them a read. It's like reading from doctors who still think smoking doesn't cause cancer. Yeah, they're out there, but do you really take them seriously?

Patrick J Michaels is more qualified than the Alarmists

First of all Patrick J. Michaels, Ph.D. Ecological Climatology is a real scientist whether you want to accept it or not.

An alarmist meteorologist...

Richard C. J. Somerville, Ph.D. Meteorology

A alarmist physicist...

James Hansen, Ph.D. Physics

A alarmist geologist...

Michael Mann, Ph.D. Geology

But NO climatologists. Interesting Patrick Michaels is more qualified by your standards.

There are thousands and thousands of climatologists who disagree? Really? Can you show me who they are?

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

Re: Patrick Michaels

Sure, he's a real scientist. A real scientist with a Libertarian agenda, who for all we know is getting paid to spout this opinion: 

http://www.guardian....

Yes, I can show you the thousands of scientists who disagree. They call themselves the IPCC. Have you missed them? I still don't think you've read the link I posted earlier.

http://climateprogress.org/2008/02/11/how-do-we-really-know-humans-are-causing-global-warming/ 

 

"[...] Either you believe in science — i.e. we went to the moon, you go to the doctor, you have IT equipment you rely on — or you don’t. If you don’t, I can’t “prove” anything to anybody. If you do, then the IPCC reports — which are nothing more than a literature review by the top scientists in the world, commissioned by and summarized for policymakers, signed off by every friggin’ govt in the world — are as much proof as a human being could possibly want. 

 "If you don’t buy into the IPCC, we have nothing to talk about. You might as well not buy into what the American Medical Association or the National Academy of Sciences says. Why take medicine? Why floss? Why get on an airplane? The IPCC report is a summary of the scientific evidence. Simple as that…. If you are talking about the well-debunked Inhofe 400, I guess you haven’t been reading this or other sites.

"[...] but if you won’t believe the 2500 top climate scientists in the world citing hundreds of the latest studies, why would I believe for one second you would believe any studies I cite." 

 

"scientist with a

"scientist with a Libertarian agenda, who for all we know is getting paid to spout this opinion"

And your guys don't have an agenda?  Give me a break!

And your guys aren't being showered with tax dollars for the alarmist nonsense they are publishing and cross-endorsing?

Bah!  Hypocrite.

Right.....

All these scientists are RAKING in the dough at their Universities. They pump up global warming to scoop up the buckets of money that tax revenue brings in. They are so lucky!

"Scientists who participate in the IPCC assessment process do so without any compensation other than the normal salaries they receive from their home institutions. The process is labor intensive, diverting time and resources from participating scientists' research programs.[66]Concerns have been raised that the large uncompensated time commitment and disruption to their own research may discourage qualified scientists from participating.[67]" 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ipcc 

Do you seriously believe

Do you seriously believe any of the alarmists did any thing different for the IPCC than they do for the government grant money they are reciving?  I don't!

Let's see .... choose one section from 4AR at random ... The Paleoclimate Section of IPCC 4AR was coordinated by Lead Authors Eystein Jansen of Norway and Jonathan Overpeck of the US.  Lets' look closely at Overpeck since He's domestic. Here are Dr. Overpeck's grant awards taken from his own page at U. of Arizona.  I don't see any there that did not come from the public coffers, do you?  I see also from his CV page he has been very involved in paleoclimate study.

I repeat my assertion:  the Alarmists are all feeding at the public trough and have a decided conflict of interest reporting any findings that might interrupt the flow of funding to themselves.

Splash one, repeat, splash one bandit.

Yup.

Yup, they receive grant money for their work. Do you think these organizations give grant money to researchers who make stuff up? They continue to receive grants because their peer reviewed work is substantial and conclusive, and most of the funding goes to continue their work. When Exxon pays some scientists to say what they want them to, do you think Exxon cares if their work is not up to snuff? Do you think the money goes to further "research", or to line their pockets for their opinions?

Thank you for conceding my

Thank you for conceding my point.  Jonathan Overpeck, like virtually everyone of his peers on IPCC is almost entirely dependent on Government funds for his income.   And you seriously expect us to believe he is going to do anything that rocks that boat?

I think these guys are subject to all the same weaknesses and foibles as everyone else.  The peer-review process does not prevent this.  In fact, in some fields, THIS ONE INCLUDED, the peer-review process is so tainted by politics, prejudice, and dogma that nothing contravening conventional wisdom in the field will ever be published in the journals so tainted and papers supporting the dogma that are erroneous or even downright fraudulent will be.

Consider some of the more recent blunders committed by Science. 

One scandal comes to mind in particular:  The politically correct stem cell field was rocked by the Woo Suk Hwang fraud.  Science was one of the sheep led to the slaughter.  The had to publish some very embarrassing retractions.

Science also published a "paper" which can only be considered an editorial, the infamous Oreskes study of global warming consensus, which cannot be reproduced by the methods documented in her paper.

I will make this assertion:  the peer-review process as implemented by the major scientific journals, by these I mean Science, Nature, and PNAS, tends to institutionalize dogma by disqualifying papers which contravene the dogma.

And this assertion:  Government funding tends to perpetuate itself.  Government funding to investigate anthropogenic global warming will engender further government funding to investigate AGW, even if anthropogenic contributions to climate are found to be small in relation to natural causes as is actually the case.

And if it's true for climate research

It's also true, like it or not, for research involving our obese government's racist, tax and spend drugwar.
JMR

The tax & spend drug war looks racist in the real world.

Have you bothered to read

Have you bothered to read anything about the IPCC? The mere fact that it is a UN organization should be sending up all kinds of red flags, and just a few minutes of research turns up errors, half-truths, and bald-faced lies in its reports. The IPCC is a bureaucratic body in the UN, not a group of objective scientists. Their widely-touted claim of 2,500 expert reviewers has been flatly debunked (many reviewers were not, in fact, experts in any physical science), as has the claim that a significant portion of those reviewers agreed with the report's major claim.

The review process so often cited is a bureaucratic mess of editorialization. Just a few of the complaints against it by reviewers are dismissive attitudes towards valid criticism by experts, preparation and release of new drafts while prior ones are still being reviewed, and bureaucratic changes to the Summary for Policymakers without expert scientific assessment. In addition, the IPCC has opposed the release of reviewer comments to reviewers (against its own policy) through bureaucratic manipulation and horrendously inept archiving practices. Their practices are so bad that a number of scientists (including the renowned Dr. Chris Landsea) resigned from proceedings during and after the preparation of the TAR, often stating disgust with the politicization of the reports and distortion of their contributions.

In yet another dumbfounding occurrence, a request by Dr. Pat Michaels, a reviewer, for the underpinning data of one of the report's graphs yielded the following response by Dr. Tom Wigley, a senior author for the paper:

"First, it is entirely unnecessary to have original “raw” data in order to review a scientific document. I know of no case at all in which such data were required by or provided to a referee …"

"Second, while the data in question (model output from the U.K. Hadley Centre’s climate model) were generated using taxpayer money, this was U.K. taxpayer money. U.S. scientists therefore have no a priori right to such data."

"Furthermore, these data belong to individual scientists who produced them, not to the IPCC, and it is up to those scientists to decide who they give their data to."

How, pray tell, can a review be accurate when the reviewer is expected to assume the given models and graphs are correct without the raw data?

Long story short, the IPCC reports are not the authoritative, objective, scientifically sound documents AGW proponents would have us believe.

www.rhjunior.com Great comics with a hefty dose of Christian and anti-nutjob goodness.

"With your mind as high as Mt. Fuji you can see all things clearly. And you can see all the forces that shape events; not just the things near to you." -Miyamoto Musashi

Clicker that is Wikipedia

Wikipedia is worthless:

The Faith-Based Encyclopedia (Robert McHenry, Former Editor in Chief, the Encyclopedia Britannica)
Wikipedia's Zealots (National Post, Canada)
- The Real Climate Martians (Financial Post, Canada)
- The Opinionator (Financial Post, Canada)

A false Wikipedia 'biography' (USA Today)
A History Department Bans Citing Wikipedia as a Research Source (The New York Times)
Wikipedia "broken beyond repair", co-founder says (The Inquirer)
Wikipedia founder admits to serious quality problems (The Register)
Wikipedia - I have the power (Penny Arcade)

Now please get a real source and show me the signatory list of those "Climatologists" and what sort of statement they actually signed. I am not interested in knowing any and everyone who CONTRIBUTED or REVIEWED part of the IPCC report but rather what they actually believe. 

Please don't come here and try to smear the honorable Dr. Patrick J. Michaels with your propaganda.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

Huh?

What is Wikipedia? This is my link. What does Wikipedia have to do with it?

  How do we really know humans are causing global warming?*

Wrong Reply

Climate Change

I see. The article is about Climate Change. If it gets warmer, it is our fault...colder, once again, our fault. More hurricanes and tornados, out fault...less, see, it is working.

This is not science. This is conjecture at best. There is no empirical evidence to support AGW. I would question the reliability of historical data on climate...how can we be certain that historical data is accurate. [We have problems now with climate stations being located on asphalt and air conditioners and other heat sources.]

Futhermore, you do not have to be a scientist in a climate field to question the scientific analysis of data and the gathering of said data; or to question the absence of the scientific method.

If conservatives are RIGHT, then liberals must be WRONG.

LionKing, small correction they say the "Cooling is Natural".

If it gets warmer it is our fault, if it gets cooler it is natural.

Global temperatures 'to decrease' (BBC)

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

Climate understanding

Now I understand. If it wasn't for man, we would be in the midst of another ice age.</sarc

If conservatives are RIGHT, then liberals must be WRONG.

Did you read the article you linked to?

"But this year's temperatures would still be way above the average - and we would soon exceed the record year of 1998 because of global warming induced by greenhouse gases.

The WMO points out that the decade from 1998 to 2007 was the warmest on record. Since the beginning of the 20th Century, the global average surface temperature has risen by 0.74C."

This slight 'cooling' was mostly caused by a strong El Nina. Global warming is about a trend upward in global average temperature. That doesn't mean it won't ever get cold, or that we might not even have some colder than average years. But when you compare decades to decades, and note that

"The six warmest years in the GISS record have all occurred since 1998, and the 15 warmest years in the record have all occurred since 1988."

...you can see the danger. And another thing, 2007 was either the second of first warmest year on record. So it's not suprising that 2008 is a little cooler. 

Did you read the article?

Oh you read the "updated" version pushed for by alarmists:

BBC heats up the climate news (Financial Post, Canada)
- The BBC Changes News to Accommodate Activist (The Politics and Environment Blog)
- BBC Article: Global temperatures 'to decrease' (Before and After) (Google Cache)
- Origin - BBC : Balance Restored (Campaign against Climate Change, UK Activist Portal)

But the article clearly states that when it cools it is natural when it warms it is caused by man. And regardless it admits that global warming has effectively stopped.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

Global Warming?

Do the global warming models take into account the fact that the Earth's temp can drop from a daytime high of 72 to an overnight low of 42, a 30F drop in temp? Where does this heat go? Does it move to the sunny side? Or does it escape into space overnight? The science channel said that Mars' atmosphere is 90% carbon-dioxide. The scientists say that this is the reason Mars is so cold. They say that the carbon-dioxide doesn't hold solar heat. But I guess the carbon-dioxide on Mars is a different carbon-dioxide than we have here, because ours causes the Earth's temp to rise, and the opposite on Mars? You can verify this by watching "Revealing Mars" on the science channel and listen to it for yourself.

Well I'm sure you know the

Well I'm sure you know the answer but the fact that the Earth has way more water vapor than Mars and water vapor is the strongest greenhouse gas is the reason why.

Funny thing is though when you get warmer more water vapor is in the atmosphere and that = clouds...which reflect more solar radiation...ergo you can never get a runaway greenhouse gas effect with H2O.

Funny how the Earth has all these checks and balances.

"They need to have a course in college called common sense and everyone should take it. Problem is there isn't too many people that could pass or teach it." -my grandfather

This just shows that our

This just shows that our Creator is infinitely more intelligent than the pinheads (to borrow a phrase from Mr. O'Reilly) holding down positions in "science circles" with their lofty sounding titles.

"Of all tyrannies a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive." - C.S. Lewis

Ugh...

You guys are making my point. You throw out these simplistic, inane statements (Where does the heat go at night? Really?) as if they are QED. Climate Science is as complex a discipline as any other science. There are thousands of climate studies done every year which scrutinize the complexities, feedback loops, cause and effect, etc. of an incredibly complicated system. You can't just make some simple comparison to Mars(?), or say "It was a cold winter" and be done with it. 

 Read this please?

http://climateprogre...

Global Warming on other Planets...

You can make a comparison to the planets:

Global warming on other planets (Luboš Motl, Ph.D. Theoretical Physicist, Harvard)
Jupiter - New Storm on Jupiter Hints at Climate Change (Space.com)
Jupiter - Researcher Predicts Global Climate Change On Jupiter As Planet's Spots Disappear (Science Daily)
Mars - Climate Change Hits Mars (The Times, UK)
Mars - Evidence Of Climate Change, Icy Region Observed On Mars (Science Daily)
Mars - Evidence for Recent Climate Change on Mars (Malin Space Science Systems)
Mars - Global Warming Hits Mars Too (Mars Daily)
Mars - Mars Melt Hints at Solar, Not Human, Cause for Warming, Scientist Says (Khabibullo Abdusamatov, Ph.D. Astrophysicist)
Mars - NASA's Global Surveyor Sees Possible Climate Change On Mars (Science Daily)
Mars - Orbiter's Long Life Helps Scientists Track Changes on Mars (Mars Global Surveyor Team, NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory)
Neptune - Suggestive correlations between the brightness of Neptune, solar variability, and Earth's temperature (AGU)
Neptune Moon Triton - MIT researcher finds evidence of global warming on Neptune's largest moon (MIT)
Pluto - Global Warming on Pluto Puzzles Scientists (Space.com)
Saturn - Hot shot of Saturn's 'hot spot' (BBC)
Saturn Moon Enceladus - Saturn moon delights and baffles (BBC)
Uranus - Hubble Discovers Dark Cloud In The Atmosphere Of Uranus (Science Daily)
Uranus - Planet Uranus rings the changes (BBC)
Top Global Warming Advocate: Jupiter & Saturn Closer To Sun Than Earth (Prison Planet)

Clicker, read this please.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

Oh, no you don't.

Sir, as any doctoral scientist should know, carbon dioxide emissions are beamed into space by the greenhouse effect and are therefore transferred to other planets by cosmic radiation with the aid of the sun.

Uhh. ok.

Well, of course you can make comparisons to other planets. But that doesn't mean that what happens on Mars can explain what happens on earth. Different planet, different climate systems. There is no water on Mars (as far as we know), let alone ocean currents, etc. All planets can/do go through climate change. The issue is that we're pushing this climate change (even if it's natural) past a breaking point that will be detrimental to our lives. There's no life on other planets to care if their temperature goes up 100 degrees, but one or two degrees here will really suck.

If global trends don't even

If global trends don't even reflect an unnatural increase in global temperatures due to anthropogenic causes, how can that statement be given any credence? That's known as begging the question.

"One or two degrees here will really suck"?

Ice cores and other methods of determining past temperatures show that global temperatures have been MUCH higher in MANY past epochs, including some not very long ago. ALL those periods were very prosperous for life, because there was more arable land, more fresh water (since it wasn't all locked up in the poles), and yes (after an 800 year lag) more CO2, which happens to be what plants breathe. All of these periods were absolutely lush, with huge areas of jungles and rain forests, and the vast proliferation of life. You do know, don't you, that Greenland is called, well, green, because a thousand years ago it actually had a growing season. (Musta been those pesky fleets of deisel Viking longboats that caused it.) And if you could grow crops on it, then it didn't have all that ice there that we are being told will inundate the planet if it happens again.

So two degrees (and let's assume it is all caused by the phenomenal increase in stretch Hummers) is going to turn us into Venus?

There may be changes to topography (maybe) if the temperature increases by two degrees, but they will be so gradual that humanity will easily adapt, simply by shifting its population centers to slightly higher ground, or to the newly fertile lands of Greenland, Siberia, Antarctica and Northern Canada. But there will be no 100 foot walls of water crashing down on New Orleans, or New York, or Denmark, out of the blue, just a gradual increase in sea level of several inches.

And all this assumes, of course, that there actually is such a thing as man-made global warming.

One record is sure to be broken by this controversy, in any case, and that is the new world's record for the shortest time for a seminary school dropout (how stupid do you have to be to drop out of seminary school anyway?) to become a billionaire.     

OK...

More dubious, unsupported claims. 'Prosperous for life', sure! Prosperous for our life? Probably not. More arable land? Maybe. Probably not. It'll probably shift north in North America, possibly ruining our agricultural belt forcing us to beg Canada for food, and also enlarging deserts and increasing drought, which will start wars and terrorism over water rights and cause more famine.

What is 'so gradual'? If the ice sheet of Greenland slides off into the sea and shuts down the North Atlantic current and destroys the ocean ecosystem, you think we'll just 'adapt' to it? I supposed humanity will adjust to it eventually, however I don't want to me or my family (or yours) to be the people who have do die in the process of this 'adaption'.

 Shifting our population to slightly higher ground sounds so easy! Except, what if that higher ground is owned by someone else who doesn't want me to squat on his land? What if that higher ground is across the border in a hostile country? Will they suddenly just open their gates and let all the starving people come rushing in? Doubtful.

If you think a giant glacier slipping off into the ocean can't cause a giant wall of water to come crashing down on a coast, you aren't too well informed. You've heard of tsunamis? But even a 'slow' water level rise of several feet (not just several inches) would indeed be devastating to New Orleans or New York. Again, it's not so easy for people to just pack up and move somewhere else.

 You seem to be arguing that, even if bad things happen, humanity will just have to get used to it. Well that may be fine for humanity as a whole, but that's a weak argument to make for those people, animals species, and ecosystems who have to pay the price for it.

"What is 'so gradual'? If

"What is 'so gradual'? If the ice sheet of Greenland slides off into the
sea and shuts down the North Atlantic current and destroys the ocean
ecosystem, you think we'll just 'adapt' to it? I supposed humanity will
adjust to it eventually, however I don't want to me or my family (or
yours) to be the people who have do die in the process
of this
'adaption'"

No offense, but if you're really this naive(or stupid, which I like better), I'm surprised you and your family have made it this far.

 

Science Fiction Fantasy

Wait I missed the supporting evidence for you science fiction fantasy claims?

Interesting they say the Deserts will green up:

Greenhouse Gas Might Green Up The Desert (Science Daily)

And there is already evidence that mountains are:

Climate Changes Creating Green And Flowering Mountains (Science Daily)

Can you show me the scientific evidence that states that the ice sheets of greenland are going to slide off and "shut" down the North Atlantic Current? How about even melting in less then a few thousand years? Oh wait you just saw Al Gore's fairy tale,my bad.

Oh man this hysteria is worse then I thought.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

Uhh.ok.

Hey clicker...in other words...you ARE saying that carbon-dioxide on Mars is different than carbon-dioxide on earth? I thought Algore said carbon-dioxide was the cause of global warming?

Really no water on Mars?

NASA announces discovery of evidence of water on Mars

That is news to me.


"The issue is that we're pushing this climate change (even if it's natural) past a breaking point that will be detrimental to our lives. There's no life on other planets to care if their temperature goes up 100 degrees, but one or two degrees here will really suck."

Can you explain to me where this "breaking point" is and how it is determined. Can you using the scientific method show how 1-2 degrees warmer would "really suck".

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

If it's such a complex

If it's such a complex science then why is all the eggs being placed in the "humans are causing global warming" basket? I have a degree in meteorology and climate is determined by a myriad of things...

the sun, sunspots, solar flares from the sun are the biggest since climate and weather all starts from here (which would explain global warming on other planets)

volcano eruptions, variations of water vapor in the atmosphere (much more so than any other greenhouse gas being touted such as carbon dioxide and methane), ocean circulations, topography, variations in the earth's orbit and tilt

The best comparison I ever heard about what humans do to climate is the greenhouse gases we pump into the atmosphere would affect the process as much as adding a drop of water from an eyedropper into a tub full of water.

"They need to have a course in college called common sense and everyone should take it. Problem is there isn't too many people that could pass or teach it." -my grandfather

Re: If..

They are placing the eggs there because....the scientific evidence supports it!!! Sure there are natural causes and natural cycles. However, there is overwhelming scientific evidence that we are contributing to global warming, making it much worse than it needs to be (most likely pushing it past a turning point in a positive feedback loop), and that we're screwing the place up! That's the point. The people who really know are saying so.

CO2 Positive Feedback Loop? Really?

Could you give me an experiment that I could try that would demonstrate this imaginary loop?

Could you show me this "overwhelming" scientific evidence and prove man-made CO2 is the cause?

Could you apply the scientific method to AGW and prove it to me, since it is supposedly based on science?

Who are the people "who really know"?

I hope you could answer these questions for me since you seem to really know.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

YES! If you would just read this post...

... it would answer each of your questions directly, and I wouldn't have to type it all out for you here.

http://climateprogress.org/2008/02/11/how-do-we-really-know-humans-are-causing-global-warming/ 

Will you let me know when you read it? 

That doesn't answer any of my questions

Could you please answer my questions.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

Mars atmospheric pressure is the same as earths at a level of

100,000 feet. If man goes there (never) he will need pressure suits all the time. Temperatures variables are large, +80 in the day to -130 at night.

 

 

The POPE says, GOD BLESS AMERICA!!


Liberals62%

 

Sign this petition for free lunches in the cafeteria!

Apparently skeptical science is by popular vote.

Descent

Descent,

Hmmm. You mean like a "consensus"? ns

Noel, he didn't just say that?

Oh, man this is too funny.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

PT

PT,

Yeah! He did. Isn't it amazing? And he probably doesn't see the irony, and wouldn't if you banged him over the head with it.

Of course, as I mentioned earlier concerning what the windbag Giles had offered, these folks are so blinded by their dogma that logic and reason has been totally abandoned. That's why I think it's pointless to debate them. These folks don't even believe one plus one equals two if when used it disproves AGW. That's how far gone they all are.

It's really sad, actually, and explains why these same folks will put a man in the White House with four years in the Senate having legislatively accomplished nothing. This hasn't been a good senator. He hasn't done a damn thing. But the same folks that blindly believe in AGW are going to line up and blindly vote for Obama.

It's all emotion without logic or reason. ns

The "irony" is why it was posted

The difference being that the support of the anthropogenic global warming theory is based on published, peer reviewed science.

Those, like yourself Noel, who bash the "consensus", glorify efforts that exploit the exact tactics you supposedly abhor. You march around with your mantra that, "Science isn't by popular vote," followed immediately by elevating a petition that is no better than a high school lunchroom wishlist.

So, which is it, Noel? Is science by popular vote or not?

How much Peer-Reviewed Science would you like?

How much Peer-Reviewed Science would you like that supports Skepticism of AGW?

The purpose of the petition is not to provide support of science by consensus but rather to disprove that a consensus on AGW even exists. It is not complicated.

The irony is you shoved your foot in your mouth with your first comment.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

And it fails

"How much Peer-Reviewed Science would you like that supports Skepticism of AGW?"

This is the approach that OISM should have taken, but they don't. If you want to discredit "the consensus", do it with published science, not polls.

....waiting for the Avery and Singer list to be marched out or worse...

"The purpose of the petition is not to provide support of science by
consensus but rather to disprove that a consensus on AGW even exists.
It is not complicated."

And it fails miserably. An arbitrary list of non-vetted individuals supposedly with science degrees is, as I mentioned, a high school popularity contest tactic and just as worthless.

In fact, it's worse. At least in the high school version, you could actually see the people signing it.

At the end of the day, it's laughable.

Lack of Logic on "Consensus"

The "consensus" is the "majority" opinion of scientists, an effective vote count. If you are attempting to discredit this, which is what the OISM has done then you need to do it in this form. The "consensus" argument was never a scientific argument, it was a hand count.

As for Peer-Review:

Over 250 Peer-Reviewed Papers Supporting Skepticism of AGW

The Purpose of the Petition was clear and logical not "arbitrary".

Qualifications of Signers (OISM)

"Signatories are approved for inclusion in the Petition Project list if they have obtained formal educational degrees at the level of Bachelor of Science or higher in appropriate scientific fields. The petition has been circulated only in the United States.

The current list of 31,072 petition signers includes 9,021 PhD; 6,961 MS; 2,240 MD and DVM; and 12,850 BS or equivalent academic degrees. Most of the MD and DVM signers also have underlying degrees in basic science.

All of the listed signers have formal educations in fields of specialization that suitably qualify them to evaluate the research data related to the petition statement. Many of the signers currently work in climatological, meteorological, atmospheric, environmental, geophysical, astronomical, and biological fields directly involved in the climate change controversy."

I agree "consensus" is irrelevant to science but there is still NO Consensus.

The only thing laughable was your first comment.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

Wrong again

"The "consensus" is the "majority" opinion of scientists, an effective vote count."

In the climte change context in which it is referenced, no, it is not and never has been. Of course, there will always be those who wish to make it such to justify the formation of lists such as these.

And a Bachelor of Science degree does not a scientist make.

Please define Consensus

1. Please define Consensus

2. Please define a Scientist

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

COnsensus

Consensus is the creature of politics and parliaments, NOT science. 

Feel free to live a 10th Century existence in a cave somewhere if you wish.  Leave ME out of your private hell. 

By the way, peer-review is just your ready-made excuse to NOT do any critical thinking on your own, but rather to turn over that important aspect of living to others. Sad. 

Res tantum valet quantum vendi potest.

Descent

Descent,

Your argument would only be valid if I stated in my article or in this subsequent discussion that this petition proves AGW to be false. Did I write that? Can you show me specifically where?

Quite the contrary, I said this won't be reported, and it wasn't except by conservative publications.

I DO NOT believe science is determined by a popular vote or a show of hands, and would not believe this issue settled all because there were more scientists agreeing with one side or the other. As such, all this petition shows is that the existence of a consensus is nonsense, and that the science is not settled. One concluding otherwise shows a total lack of impartiality and reason.

Furthermore, this issue is NOT settled by how many peer reviewed studies support or refute AGW. That is also a canard. If you know anything about the peer review process, you know it to have virtually no value whatsoever in establishing an undeniable scientific conclusion. NONE.  ns

Descent, please

Descent, please clarify.

Do we sign the petition for free lunches, in the cafeteria?

Or do we sign the petition for, free lunches in the cafeteria?

Take your pick. I'm

Take your pick. I'm flexible.

That's great. Flexibility is

That's great. Flexibility is a great asset for species to adapt and prosper in our world of ever-changing habitat. You're gonna' be OK Descent.

Survey

I just googled - 31,000 scientists - and scanned the first few pages of results. The "unscientific" tally is that most are conservative blog posts and few liberal blog posts denouncing the petition. I did not see that any major news source picked up on this with the exception of NewsBusters. :) Perhaps if we wait a few more days the news will catch up to the MSM who are just too busy now with their own "scientific consensus".

"Of all tyrannies a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive." - C.S. Lewis

Who are the deniers?

Liberal blogs are going to try to hide this story because the whole AGW argument is based on trumped up graphs and trickery in numbers. It’s hard for a movement based in math games to deny a staggering number like 31,000 (although rumor has it that one idiot posting here at NB is doing his best) so they'll just choose to ignore it.

Big Oil Profits

Expect Big Oil profits to take a huge nosedive as they struggle to pay off all of these scientists. The cost of printing the checks alone would fund a small nation.

I found this tidbit in a story about starfish:

"The scientists also investigated the world's biggest ocean current — the Antarctic Circumpolar Current — amid expectations they would find evidence of climate change in the Southern Ocean."

So they went into the study expecting to prove global warming. How special for them.

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,356554,00.html

 

Big Oil Profits

Grr, double-bounced the "Post" button.

Big Oil Profits

Don't worry Joel...Pelosi will keep taking big oil's profits until they can't take it...that'll make 'em lower their prices for sure, right?

Wrong!

Even SimCity 2000, a staggeringly old game, demonstrates the near-irreversible effect it has on national industry and tax revenue.

MSM is quiet - Cue the conspiracy - Talking points

So, it isn't a matter of reporters having caught on to the tricks of the delayer camp.

It isn't a matter of OISM not willing to provide a list of the PhD's, or a list by degree, area of expertise, or any other way to check qualifications.

It isn't a matter of OISM not even bothering to provide new 'evidence' even after the orig paper was discredited.

It isn't a matter of OISM not bothering to separate the new names from the orig. effort.

It's...

Wait for it.....

 

"This will be squelched by those who can appreciate censorship the most."  (CFP)  'appreciatge censorship'?

For a bit of fun, randomly choose a state or first letter, last name - the only ways to sort the list - and check the 'qualifications'.  One published research paper out of 20 some checked. Most of the others were not working in any field related to climate science. A DMV might have an opinion, but I have no way of knowing what informs it.

More Giles Propaganda and Lies

The reporters used this delayer tactic back in the 70's:

1975 - The Cooling World (Newsweek)

"The longer the planners delay, the more difficult will they find it to cope with climatic change once the results become grim reality"

1. OISM provides all the names.

2. The original paper has not been discredited.

3. There is no reason to remove any names from a petition scientists willfully signed unless they request it. Since the petition originated only 25 have asked to have their names removed.

Giles when you check all 31,000 names get back to me. The fact is they are all real scientists as has been proven regardless of the alarmist efforts to smear the petition.

Art Robinson Responds to Petition Slander (OISM)

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

no indication of expertise

The names are only names, no indication of expertise. And the bar is set pretty low -- with no requirement for expertise in the field at hand, publishing history --  in an effort to get a maximum # of names. Quantity v. Quality.  For many, it is like asking the guy in the shower section of Home Depot how to patch a boat.

While there is OISM's statement of #'s and degrees, which implies they've collated the information, they are choosing not to provide it in an easy to access format. Why are they not providing that data?

"The nation is ill-served in determining public policy by attempts to
bypass the error-finding mechanisms of science through petitions even
when signed by thousands who have self-identified themselves as
knowledgeable experts
"

"Robinson and Robinson state that the global warming hypothesis is no
longer tenable, and that scientists have been able to test it carefully
and it no longer holds up. A review of the scientific literature
reveals this simply is not true
."  (NaturalScience)

Published in Journal of American Physi cians and Surgeons, hardly known for articles on climate science or any related field. Not listed in Pubmed or Medline nor in Web of Science ISI, Quackwatch lists it as 'Fundamentally Flawed' . OISM says it was to enable expanded reprint capabilities, which seems weak at best, considering they were providing it free for what, 8 years prior? So maybe more likely to be able to say it was 'peer-reviewed'? Especially since one of the issues with it was it not being published before being used as a resource for the petition.

"..suitably qualify them to evaluate the research data related to the petition statement..."  What are the qualifications? OISM chooses not to cite their basis or standards.

Every contributor to IPCC is easily verified, why doesn't OISM make is similarly easy?

Plenty of indication of Expertise

Giles it is all there, though I am sure this is not good enough for you because only scientists approved by RealClimate are allowed to give an opinion on Climate Change regardless of their degrees in Mathematics (Schmit), Geology (Mann) or Physics (Hansen). All the information you need is here:

Qualifications of Signers (OISM)

"Signatories are approved for inclusion in the Petition Project list if they have obtained formal educational degrees at the level of Bachelor of Science or higher in appropriate scientific fields. The petition has been circulated only in the United States.

The current list of 31,072 petition signers includes 9,021 PhD; 6,961 MS; 2,240 MD and DVM; and 12,850 BS or equivalent academic degrees. Most of the MD and DVM signers also have underlying degrees in basic science.

All of the listed signers have formal educations in fields of specialization that suitably qualify them to evaluate the research data related to the petition statement. Many of the signers currently work in climatological, meteorological, atmospheric, environmental, geophysical, astronomical, and biological fields directly involved in the climate change controversy.

The Petition Project classifies petition signers on the basis of their formal academic training, as summarized below. Scientists often pursue specialized fields of endeavor that are different from their formal education, but their underlying training can be applied to any scientific field in which they become interested.

Outlined below are the numbers of Petition Project signatories, subdivided by educational specialties. These have been combined, as indicated, into seven categories.

1. Atmospheric, environmental, and Earth sciences includes 3,697 scientists trained in specialties directly related to the physical environment of the Earth and the past and current phenomena that affect that environment.

2. Computer and mathematical sciences includes 903 scientists trained in computer and mathematical methods. Since the human-caused global warming hypothesis rests entirely upon mathematical computer projections and not upon experimental observations, these sciences are especially important in evaluating this hypothesis.

3. Physics and aerospace sciences include 5,691 scientists trained in the fundamental physical and molecular properties of gases, liquids, and solids, which are essential to understanding the physical properties of the atmosphere and Earth.

4. Chemistry includes 4,796 scientists trained in the molecular interactions and behaviors of the substances of which the atmosphere and Earth are composed.

5. Biology and agriculture includes 2,924 scientists trained in the functional and environmental requirements of living things on the Earth.

6. Medicine includes 3,069 scientists trained in the functional and environmental requirements of human beings on the Earth.

7. Engineering and general science includes 9,992 scientists trained primarily in the many engineering specialties required to maintain modern civilization and the prosperity required for all human actions, including environmental programs."

The paper was simply republished with some updates:

Environmental Effects of Increased Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide
(Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons, Volume 12, Number 3, 2007)
- Arthur B. Robinson, Noah E. Robinson, Willie Soon

Environmental Effects of Increased Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide
(Climate Research, Vol. 13, Pg. 149–164, October 26 1999)
- Arthur B. Robinson, Zachary W. Robinson, Willie Soon, Sallie L. Baliunas

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

ambiloquy

Nice word crafting in the attempt to make any science field somehow integral to climate science.

But unfortunately out of 20+ that I checked, there was only one research paper, plus one other that was working in a field that could be remotely construed to be associated with climate science in any of the permutations listed above. 

"..engineering specialties required to maintain modern civilization and the prosperity required for all human actions.."

Yeah, they'd be specialists in climate science.....

Only RealClimate approved?.No, just expertise that is documentable. Right now this list is on a par with the Inhofe 400 and the Heartland 500. Publicity stunts

 

Retardation

Wow Giles you checked 20 out of 31,000 and with your "checking" abilities that is not saying much if anything. They clearly spell out how many are directly Atmospheric Scientists ect...

The Inhofe 400 and Heartland 500 are both credible lists too no matter how bad you despise their existence.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

As noted before: They

As noted before:

They meet your standards of credibility. 

They (OISM) may spell it out, but either because their standards for acceptability are low or they don't do an effective check,  the list seems curiously short of active researchers in climate science. So it seems their list could be more accurately titled, 'A bunch of people who have a degree who may not have actually read the literature but have an opinion.' 

Reasonably intelligent people have the tools to do the research, look at the credibility, history, expertise, and make a thoughtful decision.

Instead of insulting, you could put your powers to bear and report back. Up to 60 now - three randomly selected blocks of 20 names in sequence. Searched name as printed, switched to initials, looked for references to connections with published research, names of universities, job descriptions in fields related to climate science. You know, a guy that works in a management position for a state roads dept. really isn't directly involved in climate science research, an ophthalmologist......

So, back to the point of the thread; yup MSM will give/ has given it a miss. There is no reliable news here. Even the rightwing sites are pretty silent.

Maybe OISM could ask their PR company why the word didn't get out. Or maybe they could provide lists of published scientists, or cite areas of expertise. Or they could accept the fact they've had their 15 minutes of fame.

 

More Lies and Smears from Giles

Giles, we are well aware of your "standards", they must be approved by RealClimate or worked for the IPCC and only published a paper in a journal RealClimate approved in the last five minutes on GCMs... yes, yes we know and we don't care.

Their standards are spelled out:

"Signatories are approved for inclusion in the Petition Project list if they have obtained formal educational degrees at the level of Bachelor of Science or higher in appropriate scientific fields."

You are the one who keeps manufacturing requirements in a desperate attempt to discredit the petition. But the overwhelming facts don't change no matter how many names you check out, they all have degrees in a Scientific Field.

No need for the play by play Giles as you have a LONG way to go until 31,000.

Your lies and smears do not change reality.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

No manufactured requirements:

No manufactured requirements: I'm quite sure those names meet the 'gotta have a science degree' they ask for. It is just that isn't a very high bar since it doesn't automatically follow that that degree would provide any expertise in the subject they are giving an opinion on.

This thread was about MSM giving the petition a miss. Yup, because the science journalists are finally getting the concept that POV balance in a discussion is based on credibility, not providing an equal time platform for every incredulous theory.

Oddly, the right wing press,other than parroting the press release in a few places, is also pretty much ignoring it.

So, how many of those names actually do research on climate science? Published? Have some credibility and expertise in the area?

Giles - 3,697 Atmospheric, Environmental and Earth scientists

This is getting old, as this is all spelled out:

"Atmospheric, Environmental, and Earth sciences includes 3,697 scientists trained in specialties directly related to the physical environment of the Earth and the past and current phenomena that affect that environment."

Oddly you are here desperately trying to discredit something that you claim no one is paying attention to.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

So they bury 3,697 names in amongst 31,000.

So they bury 3,697 names in amongst 31,000.

3,697 names that might have expertise, that might be researchers, might have published, might have established some credibility.

Sounds like a PR stunt

Nope, not discrediting, just pointing out why the prophesy of being ignored by the MSM came true.

Scorecard

Poptech: 5

Giles: 0

 

 

"Don't forget to vote this fall. Not for McCain, not ever, but there might be a Conservative Rep or Senator that Needs Your Vote" --Free Stinker

This is Getting Old Giles


WE ARE WELL AWARE THEY DID NOT CONSULT YOU AND ASK YOU FOR PERMISSION BEFORE DETERMINING WHO COULD SIGN

This does not change the reality of who did. Many of the signers have similar degrees like the scientists you decided are "experts" (Mathematics - Schmit, Physics - Hansen ect..) Such as:

686 have degrees in Mathematics

5,106 have degrees in Physics

4,796 have degrees in Chemistry

2,994 have degrees in Biochemistry, Biology and Agriculture

in addition to the 3,697 with degrees in Atmosphere, Earth and Environmental Sciences

ect...

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

That would be Schmidt, I assume

Probably meant Schmidt. As in Gavin Schmidt. The guy with 60+papers and a Ph.D. Published 60+ times and virtually all available. Which puts a certain 'we published in the Journal of the American Physicians and Surgeons so it could be freely reprinted ' comment to question.

Hansen would most likely be James Hansen. The guy with 100+ publications (almost all available) and a Ph.D. 

So, where in the PP is the list of the signers with their qualifications?  

Don't forget the 9,992 with General Engineering & General Science degrees. Yeah, they'd be experts.....

What no Degrees Giles?

Yes that would be:

Gavin Schmidt, Ph.D. Applied Mathematics (RealClimate.org)
James Hansen, Ph.D. Physics (Gavin Schmidt's Boss)

Funny you left out their degrees. Many Skeptical scientists published hundreds of papers which is irrelevant to the point.

Giles there is no list of papers for each signer, you keep making up imaginary requirements.

Engineering? Like the "Climatologist" Steven Schneider, Ph.D. Mechanical Engineering?

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

Actually, that would be

Actually, that would be "..Ph.D. in Mechanical
Engineering and Plasma Physics from Columbia University in
1971. He studied the role of greenhouse gases and suspended
particulate material on climate as a postdoctoral fellow at
NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies."

And 450 papers.

Interesting that you've chosen to note RealClimate rather than Dr. Schmidt and Dr. Hansen as working at NASA GISS. Of course, then you could have said something like sucking at the public teat or part of a government conspiracy to force socialism upon you.

So, any CV's, lists of papers, positions, experience in the gang of 31,000 similar to theirs?

Why would a quality publishing history and in many cases, high h-index, be "..irrelevant to the point"?

So, we're back to 'a bunch of names of people that got a degree in science and have an opinion' or 'expertise, credibility,  and research-based, informed decision-making'.

Giles, no one cares that 31,000 Scientists debunk the AGW Alarm

So he does not have a degree in Mechanical Engineering? Or is your point that "Plasma Physics" makes him a climatologist?


Wait did I just prove that a scientist's degree is irrelevant to their "expertise" or opinion on the climate. I hate when I do that.

Actually I only noted that Schmitt Ph.D. in Math is affiliated with RealClimate.org and his boss is Hansen Ph.D. in Physics.

There are 31,000 scientists who signed I am sure even someone as dishonest as yourself Giles could find many published papers regarding Atmospheric Science by many of the members. Have fun.

Yes Giles, we are back to 31,000 Scientists with real science degrees stating that their is no AGW catastrophy. I know that is hard for you to accept.

Giles, no one is paying attention to this list you said so why are you still posting? No one cares right?

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

Giles Feels,! Feelings is the Cha Cha Change , the Only hope now

Giles uses Opinion, Consensus, Feelings.

This paradigm may win out in the next election, end of our age.

I'm on the side of Science.

POP TECH Uses science, math, logic ...

Giles, no one is paying attention to this list you said so why are you still posting? No one cares right?

I'm another one who doesn't care about opinion in regards to AGW.

Liberals62%


IranianUranium

no qualification beyond a B. degree

And to give some semblance of credibility to their list, OISM could have listed "...many published papers regarding Atmospheric Science...".

So, no indication of expertise, no qualification beyond a B. degree . Yeah, that is Science and Logic in informed decision-making.

Speaking of math, out of 31,000 possibly potential writers 'many published papers' would be...? Wouldn't a significant percentage' make more sense?

~41% have B. degrees. It takes 3 more years to be credentialed to work on a gerbil (DVM). But that B. degree is enough to support expertise in climate?

Giles, if want to claim

Giles, if want to claim that it requires a Phd to understand the present state of Climate Science, I will laugh you right out of here. 

There is nothing in the arguments presented by the Alarmist camp that is not covered and mastered by the Bachelor's curriculum in Physics at any acredited University in this country.  I defy you to present some facet of these arguments that are not covered at that level.  The entire argument of the Alarmist camp is based on unproven net positive feedbacks to classic EM Wave scattering theory. Feedback engines and wave scattering are part and parcel of Bachelor level physics.  Would you like course numbers from a University catalog?

The only arguments that I have seen associated with the AGW debate that go beyond the Bachelor Curriculum were postulated by climate skeptics and realists.  Among these [unproven theories] were the Iris Effect suggested by Richard Lindzen and the arguments connecting cosmic radiation to low level cloud formations put forward by Fangqun Yu, Henrik Svensmark and others.  Even in these cases the underlying mechanisms are covered at the Bachelor level.

»→ NL207

Get real.  These guys took an honest look at the prospects for Government grants (the key to tenure), voted among themselves, and came down from Olympus with the Consensus of Zeus.

How dare you give their Council less respect than Nicea, Trent, of Vatican II?

  • LYDSEXICS UNTIE!

basic understanding is achieved by a B. degree

Sure, a basic understanding is achieved by a B. degree. But, at least by implication, the signatories are given an aura of expertise by dint of their degree. An appeal to authority, if you will.

Unfortunately, there is a huge difference between a basic understanding from some  lectures and an undergrad textbook and having the expertise that comes from further, intensive study. You and I have both attained advanced degrees and know that. It takes three more years of study after a B. degree to be licensed to work on family pets.

Forty-one percent are at that B. degree level, and many of those aren't in areas that would be developing expertise in areas related to climate science. Actually, the way the petition is worded, signers would need expertise
in economics and biology in addition to multiple areas of climate science.

So, before a piece of work like this petition can be looked at with any credibility, the names need to be fully attributed, showing them having some level of expertise.

And the MSM knows that.  It isn't a matter of squelching information, it is more a matter of not posting PR releases as news.

Burden of Proof Giles

Giles, please provide the arguments about climate that these signatories do not understand and prove it.

The MSM knows that this sort of information if released will help turn public opinion away from the Global Warming Scam.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

Giles and his made up Global Warming Scientific Requirements

You do not get to decide the requirements for who can give an opinion or have an understanding of climate change. Your false and made up on the fly "credentials" are irrelevant.

All the signers have a background and a degree in science. It takes one more year to get a Master's Degree in various scientific fields. 18,222 have advanced degrees beyond a Bachelors of Science. Your ridiculous comparisons are meaningless. No one is claiming they all have an "expertise" in climate, rather that they all have a scientific understanding that allows them to give an informed scientific opinion. The list is credible and debunks the "consensus" lie.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

An opinion with no substantiation

Yup, so it is their opinion. An opinion with no substantiation. Nothing to prove an 'informed scientific opinion'. No documented expertise.

And can be considered as such.

Unfortunately, OISM is using that petition as an argument from authority.

Fortunately, reasonably intelligent people, including it seems the MSM and even the right wing press, also know that there is 'no there there', nothing worthwhile to report.

What do you think Consensus is Giles?

It is a vote of opinions since science simply needs empirical evidence and the scientific method. But all the scientists who signed are giving an informed scientific opinion.

Giles, who decides who can give an informed scientific opinion. Can you give me the RealClimate rule book. 

OISM is using the petition to prove there is no consensus which is does.

Fortunately reasonably intelligent people can see your persistence and desperation on something that supposedly no one is paying any attention to.

Giles all this effort and you still have nothing, it must be frustrating for you.

The Anti 'Man-Made' Global Warming Resource

And I will further

And I will further discourage you, Giles. 

I was originally solicited to sign the OISM petition back around 1996 or 97.  I declined, not becuase my credentials are not applicable, but beccause I don't work directly in that field and have not since about 1986.   Moreover, my significant other, who also possesses a Phd. in a hard science also did not sign that petition.  We know MANY Phd scientists in our repsective fileds.  I think the anti-AGW Alarmist sentiment among them runs close to 4:1.  Nobody we know signed that petition.  This sample would lead me to conclude that if there is error in the polling of the scientific community on this topic, it is in the favor of the AGW activists by a wide margin.  

I'd suspect the following statement  would be supported close to 3:1 amongst my peers:  "Scientific evidence dictates that man is contributing to the climate of the earth.  These contributions are small in relation to natural contributions.  The range of variation caused by man is small compared to the range of natural variation arising from natural causes and evident in the recent geologic record.  The best strategy for man to employ is not attempts at prevention of human effects, which are not demonstrated to be possible with anything short of a return to 19th Century technology, but rather adaption to the climate as it changes, since natural changes of magnitudes equal to or greater than that caused by man are both inevitable and unavoidable."

Bill

Bill,

Nicely said. ns 

???

"..not demonstrated to be possible with anything short of a return to 19th Century technology.."

Then try to demonstrate

Then try to demonstrate otherwise, and watch me demolish your argument yet again.   But I caution you: inventions which have not yet been made practicable do not count!  They are not available as demonstrated solutions.

What?  No answers?  I

What?  No answers?  I take it that is a --No--.

 

intelligent discourse?

Then where is the intelligent discourse of this point of view going on? It seems rather odd that such a majority could be cowed by some vague, unproven conspiracy.
"Nobody we know signed that petition." Why not? Surely with that large of a majority there couldn't be job related repercussions.
And the proposals for "..adaption to the climate as it changes.."....

Scorecard

NL207: 1

Giles: 0

 

"Don't forget to vote this fall. Not for McCain, not ever, but there might be a Conservative Rep or Senator that Needs Your Vote" --Free Stinker

Giles, I have to give you credit. At least you are consistent.

I mean, even as the rather healthy intellectual skepticism of this entire issue has now passed right by the AGW alarmists, much as a fully-blown Porsche 911 would a stalled Yugo on the shoulder of the Autobahn, there you sit, fingers clutching madly to the steering wheel of the Yugo, refusing to believe that your cause is dying a slow, painful death.

You and your ilk have clearly become the AGW Luddites of our time.

We are being smothered by government in this country. - Neal Boortz

I already posted the reason

I already posted the reason I didn't sign it:  I have not worked as a Physicist since the beginning of 1986.  Nevertheless, I still agree with the basics of it and I most certainly disagree with the convoluted net positive feedback theories postulated by all the AGW Alarmists. 

I also agree with this proposition postulated back in the 1970's when the question of CO2 IR trapping was first raised:  Physicists estimated that doubling CO2 concentrations over the pre-industrial level would cause an approximate net 1.0 degree K increase in mean global surface temperatures.  So far, the AGW alarmists haven't shown me any convincing reasons why this estimate would be greatly wrong and the empirical data is tracking the 1-e**-kc functionality of that estimate reasonably well.  In any event, real data is closer to that than it is to anything the IPCC has predicted.

I do not know ANY scientist or engineer who is a "Denier".  Every one of my colleagues whose position on the subject I know believes the Earth has warmed since the 19th century.  Where they differ is to the extent man is responsible vs. natural factors.  None of them believe man is 100% responsible.

As for the reasons my colleagues have not signed this petition, I do not know, because I do not poll them on that topic.  However, one thing is clear, the more each of them investigates the facts, the less inclined they are to support the Alarmist position.  You and those of like opinion are losing the debate, one mind at a time.

Who is saying that?

Where do you see it posited that "..attempts at prevention of human effects, which are not demonstrated to
be possible with anything short of a return to 19th Century technology.." ?