
One of the most disgraceful assertions from global warming alarmists such as soon-to-be-Nobel Laureate Al Gore is that a scientific consensus exists concerning man's role in climate change.
Of course, skeptics around the world accurately counter that science isn't accomplished by a show of hands, and that until it can be proven that man is indeed responsible for the slight increase in global average temperatures in the past 100 years, the percentage of people who "feel" that way is totally irrelevant.
With that in mind, a new study published Wednesday in the journal Nature (subscription required) tears apart the "scientific consensus" regarding the cause of a hole in the ozone layer, and should act as a warning to folks claiming that the climate change debate is over, assuming of course the media pay any attention to this paper.
For those interested in science rather than consensus-driven hypotheses, here were some of the paper's astounding findings a global warming obsessed press are guaranteed to withhold from the public (emphasis added throughout, h/t Benny Peiser):
As the world marks 20 years since the introduction of the Montreal Protocol to protect the ozone layer, Nature has learned of experimental data that threaten to shatter established theories of ozone chemistry. If the data are right, scientists will have to rethink their understanding of how ozone holes are formed and how that relates to climate change.
Long-lived chloride compounds from anthropogenic emissions of chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) are the main cause of worrying seasonal ozone losses in both hemispheres. In 1985, researchers discovered a hole in the ozone layer above the Antarctic, after atmospheric chloride levels built up. The Montreal Protocol, agreed in 1987 and ratified two years later, stopped the production and consumption of most ozone-destroying chemicals. But many will linger on in the atmosphere for decades to come. How and on what timescales they will break down depend on the molecules' ultraviolet absorption spectrum (the wavelength of light a molecule can absorb), as the energy for the process comes from sunlight. Molecules break down and react at different speeds according to the wavelength available and the temperature, both of which are factored into the protocol.
So Markus Rex, an atmosphere scientist at the Alfred Wegener Institute of Polar and Marine Research in Potsdam, Germany, did a double-take when he saw new data for the break-down rate of a crucial molecule, dichlorine peroxide (Cl2O2). The rate of photolysis (light-activated splitting) of this molecule reported by chemists at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California1, was extremely low in the wavelengths available in the stratosphere - almost an order of magnitude lower than the currently accepted rate.
"This must have far-reaching consequences," Rex says. "If the measurements are correct we can basically no longer say we understand how ozone holes come into being." What effect the results have on projections of the speed or extent of ozone depletion remains unclear.
As you can imagine, those who have been part of the manmade ozone hole consensus are going to end up scratching their heads when they observe Rex's results. In fact, the Nature article included some views from astonished scientists:
"Our understanding of chloride chemistry has really been blown apart," says John Crowley, an ozone researcher at the Max Planck Institute of Chemistry in Mainz, Germany.
"Until recently everything looked like it fitted nicely," agrees Neil Harris, an atmosphere scientist who heads the European Ozone Research Coordinating Unit at the University of Cambridge, UK. "Now suddenly it's like a plank has been pulled out of a bridge."
Fascinating, wouldn't you agree? After all, these findings bring into question the conventional wisdom on these ozone holes that has existed for decades. Now, things have radically changed.
Of course, much like such scientific findings in the past, many questions still remain:
Rex thinks that a chemical pathway involving a Cl2O2 isomer - a molecule with the same atoms but a different structure - might be at play. But even if the basic chemical model of ozone destruction is upheld, the temperature dependency of key reactions in the process could be very different - or even opposite - from thought. This could have dramatic consequences for the understanding of links between climate change and ozone loss, Rex says.
Dramatic consequences indeed. And, maybe more importantly, should represent a cautionary modern precedent regarding the dangers inherent in legislating by scientific consensus, for what we hypothesize to be true today might be proven false tomorrow.
Sadly, such a concept used to be a favorite subject matter for muckraking television news programs like "60 Minutes," "Dateline," and "20/20." Yet, given the global warming agenda of media today, it seems a metaphysical certitude that this extraordinary study will go totally ignored outside of the blogosphere and scientific circles.
What a cowardly new world we live where revolutionary scientific findings are kept from the public because they don't support an agenda that folks with a particular political bent are advancing.
How disgraceful.—Noel Sheppard is an economist, business owner, and Associate Editor of NewsBusters.
















Editor at Large
Comments Policy
It won't matter
September 28, 2007 - 09:51 ET by motherbeltThey might actually have to cover this. But it won't matter a bit. The environmentalists will say, just as they did before they were "sure":
Well, we're not sure, but it's a possibility. And since we don't know for certain what causes ozone holes, and since this is a possibility, we should continue to do everything we've been doing, and more, whatever the cost, just in case.
if we don't know for certain ...
September 28, 2007 - 15:07 ET by mustangsallyWould that liberals apply this same logic to protecting the unborn: we may not be sure when life begins but if it looks like a baby, sucks it's thumb like a baby and develops into a baby, then perhaps we ought to defend it like a baby ...
Of course that would require liberals to break out of the conventional wisdom "lock box" and think for themselves ...
Ha, I can already see it
September 28, 2007 - 09:58 ET by Evil CapitalistHa, I can already see it "New evidence suggests that the Global Warming is responsible for destruction of ozone"
Noel. Don't tell me people
September 28, 2007 - 10:22 ET by danboNoel. Don't tell me people were sacrificed on the altar of a false god?
Millions for DDT, astronauts. How many millions will the AGW god want? The environmentalist have a blood thirsty god.
"There is a clear attempt to establish truth not by scientific methods but by perpetual repetition."
- Richard S. Lindzen, Ph.D. Professor of Meteorology, MIT
"Ha, I can already see it
September 28, 2007 - 10:28 ET by chessplayer"Ha, I can already see it "New evidence suggests that the Global Warming is responsible for destruction of ozone"
They covered that base a long time ago.
"Global warming may increase ozone hole"
http://www.cnn.com/NATURE/9903/29/global.warming.enn/
Unfortunate for them. AGW
September 28, 2007 - 10:48 ET by danboUnfortunate for them. AGW is falling apart. They're sounding more shrill and desperate.
"There is a clear attempt to establish truth not by scientific methods but by perpetual repetition."
- Richard S. Lindzen, Ph.D. Professor of Meteorology, MIT
Chessplayer -- no no - GC increases the ozone hole
September 28, 2007 - 11:29 ET by Gary HallChessplayer -- no no - GC increases the ozone hole.
Global cooling increases the ozone hole. See my comment below. (;~> gh
Get the message out
September 28, 2007 - 10:49 ET by geminicontenderHopefully FOX News will pick up this story along with Rush Limbaugh. Those two entities by themselves will get this message moving.
CFC's were all the rage of
September 28, 2007 - 10:58 ET by bassndudeCFC's were all the rage of the papers, some time back. Ozone was a favorite subject. Between the comming ice age and the ozone hole, earth was doomed, unless man intervened and corrected nature. The consensus was in, the science settled! Well, AGW is on the same path. The earth is a complicated place, with workings we have no idea of. If you add up the things we dont know, the list is longer than the one of things we do know. And the things we havent found or workings that are as yet undiscovered? I bet that list is even longer than both the others. So no, Noel. They will not report on this. It would show their ignorance of the workings of the earth and the atmosphere and put their arrogance on display...again.
Save a SeAL, club a liberal!!
Historic Holes in the Ozone Layer - caused by cooling..
September 28, 2007 - 11:26 ET by Gary HallAt least the media is consistent, Noel. Ha!
Actually, I had thought for some time that this newer understanding was made public quite a number of years ago -- and then disappeared.
Here's an interesting twist to the entire science, from earlier this year. Although it's still clinging to the ozone-depleting substances theory, the larger factor seems to be cold; certainly a a story which the media does not want out in the public discussion (my bold). It seems as though your excerpts from the study hint at this understanding, as well.
Pray for global warming - and the recovery of the ozone hole.
(;~> gh
Is the hole rally a hole at
September 28, 2007 - 11:57 ET by mattmIs the hole rally a hole at all?
I heard somewhere that it was just a thinning of the Ozone Layer. I also heard fluctuations had more to do with solar radiation than with any earthly sources...
I guess there's no money in non-doomsday scenarios...
mattm - solar and more
September 28, 2007 - 12:23 ET by Gary Hallmattm. I think that you're correct. There's a lot more to this story - after all, did they not discover the hole in only about 1985?
I suspect that in all of the scientific theories, solar radiation is playing a major role. Perhaps it's nothing more than that solar radiation combined with changing temps.
Or... perhaps it's something entirely different:
Another very interesting science here involves the earth's magnetic field. As you know, historically every few hundred thousand years, or so, it reverses [flips] - magnetic north becomes south. Scientists believe that we are possibly entering this event at the present. Large "holes" [eddies] have been observed. The magnetic field protects the ozone. When there is a weakening of the field - the solar radiation eats it up fast. Then it gets through -we loose our sunscreen protection.
Folks are worried about Global Warming? Ha. If the magnetic field flips - vast areas will be bathed in intense and dangerous radiation. Skin cancers will soar. Warming will occur. And communications? Probably not survivable -- and it's coming to a neighborhood close to you soon.
Yeaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!
Quick! Apply for a grant!
September 28, 2007 - 14:28 ET by mattmQuick! Apply for a grant!
Ask a liberal
September 28, 2007 - 16:28 ET by NiftySwellAsk a liberal how much was spent to convert our industry away from aerosols and CFC's that could have been spent on social programs, health care, food, and housing for the poor?
Ask how much it is going to cost in turn to convert away from CO2 production for a science that is even less certain than the case for CFCs were.
I really wish I knew how much it cost to convert over all of those air conditioners and heavy industrial machines. It had to be billions.
Ozone Is HARMFUL to Animals and Humans ...
September 29, 2007 - 11:30 ET by jonathanandersonSO WHAT if it is "depleted" AT THE SOUTH POLE (by the way, it is ALWAYS going to ebb and flow in its thickness because it is an UNSTABLE allotrope and because there is a little thing called THE SOLAR WIND that buffets the earth DAILY).
"Ozone (O3) is a triatomic molecule, consisting of three oxygen atoms. It is an allotrope of oxygen that is much less stable than the diatomic species O2. Ground-level ozone is an air pollutant with harmful effects on the respiratory systems of animals.
Ozone in the upper atmosphere filters potentially damaging ultraviolet light from reaching the Earth's surface. It is present in low concentrations throughout the Earth's atmosphere.
Mainstream scientific medicine has found ozone to be harmful to humans."
Is there any OTHER apocalyptic "science" we can mindlessly throw tens, or even hundreds, of billions of dollars at, Mr. Al Gore?!!
Noel
September 29, 2007 - 11:43 ET by botg1 isn't the ozone hole over the south pole?
2 are not the glaciers of Antartica growing?
Supreme Court, National Security, Borders, Fiscal Restraint, my litmus test for President.