CBS/NYT, Newsweek Bring Up Rear As Least Accurate Polls
Via Drudge. According to a study performed by a Fordham University scholar, the least accurate of the 20 presidential polls were those performed by CBS/New York Times and, in dead last, Newsweek.
In its final poll, CBS/Times forecast an 11-point Obama margin, 52-41. Newsweek was even more "optimistic", foreseeing a 12-point Obama win, 53-41.
According to Fordham's Costas Panagopoulos, Obama's winning margin was 6.15 points. So the two big polling losers were wrong by a factor of roughly 100%. Not very accurate, you might say. But if the polls were sufficient to suppress Republican voter enthusiasm in a few key districts, surely worth any temporary stain on their reputations to the liberal outlets. Come on, President-elect Obama has said we're all going to have to make sacrifices!
Note: The winners were Rasmussen and Pew, both of whose final calls were spot on.