On Sunday’s "Face the Nation," host Bob Schieffer talked to Roger Simon from The Politico about the Republican race and Simon exclaimed that "The old Ronald Reagan coalition of fiscal conservatives, foreign policy conservatives, and social conservatives has shattered." Simon also observed that, "McCain is on his way to proving that he is the least unacceptable Republican...And that even though certain factions of the party may have difficulty with McCain-Feingold or his stand on immigration, he is the most electable Republican in November."
On the topic of McCain’s immigration stance, Schieffer pointed out, "You know, something a lot of people forget that McCain's immigration policy actually plays well in Florida." Simon agreed:
I think that's very important for McCain in Florida. Florida has a large number of Cuban-Americans who vote in Republican primaries. And even though Cubans are not affected by comprehensive immigration reform they have a separate law covering them, they are sympathetic to other Latinos facing the problem of earning their way to citizenship and coming to this country. And they don't view what John McCain did in trying to pass comprehensive immigration reform as selling out the Republican Party. They see it as courageous and John McCain is going to get some benefit from that, I believe.
Finally, Schieffer asked about Fred Thompson and Mike Huckabee. Of Thompson, Simon siad this:
I think Fred Thompson entered this race to fill a void, but instead he's fallen into it. I'm not sure he is satisfying any niche in the Republican Party...Where is Fred Thompson's audience? I think as a former national chairman of John McCain's campaign in 2000 they're quite friendly. I think we can expect maybe he will pull out and endorse John McCain at some point.
To review, the Reagan coalition is "shattered," John McCain is the "least unacceptable Republican" and Thompson fell into a "void" and will soon back McCain. Why not just let the media pick the Republican nominee and do away with the primary process?
Here is the full transcript of the segment:
BOB SCHIEFFER: And now a "Campaign Quick Check." And for that we go to Roger Simon of Politico. Good morning, Roger. Glad to have you. What do you think about what you just heard Wolfson and Axelrod talking about there? Do you think that Hillary Clinton is getting close to getting this thing now?
ROGER SIMON: Well, she's certainly a step closer. I think Barack Obama certainly has to win South Carolina. This is a state where 49 to 50% of the Democratic primary voters are African-Americans. It is a built-in constituency for him. He's not going to get every black vote and he can't expect -- and he doesn't expect to get every black vote, but if he doesn't win there, he's in danger of being a one-hit wonder. He won Iowa and that's it. Hillary's won everything else. I think he's got to come back. He's an attractive candidate. And both candidates, as you heard from that exchange, are finding difficulty with the race issue. It got pretty ugly in Nevada. And we don't know how far that's going to continue except I think Democratic voters don't want to hear it. They're going to soon be asking the two party leaders, Obama and Hillary, for a little unity because their -- one of them is going to have to win in November.
SCHIEFFER: Next up, of course, is Florida. But does that really matter for the Democrats since they -- because, you know, the state was penalized for moving its primary up. None of them are campaigning there.
SIMON: Right. This is a Republican contest. And it's a very important Republican contest. Rudy Giuliani has to win Florida. His whole campaign was a sort of mathematical construct that he could lose the first five states, he could go into Florida, win there, win some big states on Super Tuesday like New York and New Jersey and California and then roll on to the nomination. The trouble is he never really pulled out of the first five states. He spent millions of dollars there. Spent some time there. And so now he goes into Florida sort of, you know, 0-5 and it has an effect on how people look at him in Florida. I think more than any other candidate, Florida comes down to where Rudy Giuliani has to finally get a win.
SCHIEFFER: I think McCain had to win South Carolina yesterday, don't you.
SIMON: Absolutely. And McCain is on his way to proving that he is the least unacceptable Republican. All the Republicans have problems with certain factions of their party. The old Ronald Reagan coalition of fiscal conservatives, foreign policy conservatives, and social conservatives has shattered. And McCain is making the point. Look, he is the best-known to the party regulars. He was a maverick eight years ago. But he's an establishment choice now. And that even though certain factions of the party may have difficulty with McCain-Feingold or his stand on immigration, he is the most electable Republican in November. And that is his big pitch.
SCHIEFFER: You know, something a lot of people forget that McCain's immigration policy actually plays well in Florida. It has not played well in some of the other places.
SIMON: I think that's very important for McCain in Florida. Florida has a large number of Cuban-Americans who vote in Republican primaries. And even though Cubans are not affected by comprehensive immigration reform they have a separate law covering them, they are sympathetic to other Latinos facing the problem of earning their way to citizenship and coming to this country. And they don't view what John McCain did in trying to pass comprehensive immigration reform as selling out the Republican Party. They see it as courageous and John McCain is going to get some benefit from that, I believe. But there are some problems for John McCain in Florida. He is going to split some moderate votes with Rudy Giuliani. And the state as a whole is not as moderate as people think. People think it's a bunch of snow birds from the northeast and they've gathered in the southern part of the state and they're moderates but a lot of them are panhandle voters and their conservative Republicans. The second challenge for John McCain is this is a closed primary, this isn't like New Hampshire. Where you can get independents and Democrats. You've got to be a registered Republican. And he has to show his strength with the Republicans.
SCHIEFFER: Just almost out of time. But what about Huckabee, what about Fred Thompson?
SIMON: I think Fred Thompson entered this race to fill a void, but instead he's fallen into it. I'm not sure he is satisfying any niche in the Republican Party. I think if you're a social conservative you might be attracted to Huckabee. If you're a fiscal conservative you might be attracted to Romney. If you're a foreign policy conservative you might be attracted to Rudy Giuliani or John McCain. Where is Fred Thompson's audience? I think as a former national chairman of John McCain's campaign in 2000 they're quite friendly. I think we can expect maybe he will pull out and endorse John McCain at some point.
SCHIEFFER: Alright Roger, thank you very much. Back with our final word in 60 seconds.
—Kyle Drennen is a news analyst at the Media Research Center.
















Editor at Large
Comments Policy
"Most electable" doesn't
January 21, 2008 - 19:21 ET by Schnikeys"Most electable" doesn't necessarily translate into "true/new Republican."
(signature):
You know, people ask me what I like to watch on TV, and I always tell
them that I simply don't watch TV. And I really don't, because TV is a
easy way for others to manipulate how you think. And I would rather not
put up wi
An Oracle
January 21, 2008 - 19:23 ET by iveseenitallSo this guy Simon is now an oracle. And he, like all the other pundits, knows what Americans think. WOW!
NEVER,NEVER trust a "liberal"
Well, I can assure you
January 21, 2008 - 19:25 ET by DEVILDOCMOMMcCain may play well in Florida, but I doubt he could be elected here in Arizona. Our local conservative station here in Tucson has been trying to have him on air for years. He won't even return the calls of the host, Jim Parisi. Our governor (who may be Obama's running mate or attorney general if he is nominated) Janet Napolitano is on, Jon Kyl, our other senator is on frequently.
Wow, sure glad Simon/Schieffer are breaking it down for me as to who I can chose from...now I don't have to think for myself. <sarc>
Florida
January 21, 2008 - 19:57 ET by iveseenitallFlorida is very conservative. Wait and see.
NEVER,NEVER trust a "liberal"
Feh.
January 21, 2008 - 19:49 ET by bmovies""McCain is on his way to proving that he is the least unacceptable Republican"
Mostly to Democrats who got to vote in open Republican Primaries.
Is being the "least
January 21, 2008 - 20:54 ET by motherbeltIs being the "least unacceptable Republican" kind of like being the skinniest person at the Fat Farm?
As for "most electable," Simon shouldn't count on it. McCain is an "even Republican"....not the base's favorite kind.
When did The Politico become
January 21, 2008 - 19:59 ET by Chris NormanWhen did The Politico become the source for analysts on these shows?
Chris... First it was
January 21, 2008 - 20:41 ET by bigtimerChris...
First it was msnbc that had the people from the Politico on all the time, now it seems to be Fox lately...which once again just plain disappoints me...but I am way past used to it anymore when it comes to Fox.
Just more so-called know it all talking heads from the left.
Since They Ran Low On Other
January 21, 2008 - 23:12 ET by timzankMORONS.
Who really knows which
January 21, 2008 - 20:12 ET by sublight68Who really knows which candidate has the party's support at the national level when a handful of states with early primaries and caucuses set the tone.
The whole nominating process seems terribly flawed when a few early states determine who stays and who has to drop out, essentially taking the voice away from voters in the states that come later.
The vast majority of Republican voters have yet to weigh in, but by the time my state's primary rolls around there may be only two or three left in the race.
RUSH RIGHT: IGNORE LIB ADVICE (its poison)
January 21, 2008 - 20:43 ET by reelman46RUSH RIGHT: IGNORE LIB ADVICE (its poison)
More
than once monthly the pontificating liberal pundits in and out of the
media have bellowed some absurd advice to conservatives. Sadly, some
spineless short-sighted conservatives have joined this chorus of
factless assertations presented as advice by those who detest
conservatism.
When are we conservatives going to understand that when the staff of
the opposing coach tells us what plays to call… we are being really
dumb to run those plays? Do you hear any liberals listening to or
echoing conservative advice? Like, NEVER. When you hear the secular
socialist (liberal) media pundits trash a Republican… what does that
tell you? When they praise or ignore criticizing a Republican.. what
does that tell you? Smell the glove? Get the message? Take off the
blinders. They detest smaller gov-ment, lower taxes and morality. They
want secular socialism…they want a democrat gov-ment to run your life
daily. They want the democrat gov-ment to redistribute income (from
your paycheck) so as to create dependency (thus buy them votes) among
the lower achievers they can easily fool with “smear and fear” the next
election.
Doug Schexnayder, Ph.D. (theconservativecrawfish)
McCain will bring the Amnesty, Guaranteed
January 21, 2008 - 21:07 ET by PopularTech"I believe my party has gone astray. I think the Democratic Party is a fine party, and I have no problems with it, in their views and their philosophy." - John McCain
Age: 71
- Graduated 894th out of 899 in his class at the United States Naval Academy
Betrayal, deceit, corruption and John McCain (The U.S. Veteran Dispatch)
"While still married to Carol, McCain began an adulterous relationship with Cindy. He married Cindy in May 1980 - just a month after dumping his crippled wife and securing a divorce."
Abortion:
John McCain Supports Embryonic Stem Cell Research (Audio)
McCain Softens Abortion Stand (The Washington Post)
"But certainly in the short term, or even the long term, I would not support repeal of Roe v. Wade, which would then force X number of women in America to [undergo] illegal and dangerous operations." - John McCain
Foreign Policy:
McCain falls asleep during the State of the Union Address (Video)
McCain to Close Gitmo: "The first day I am President" (Video)
Global Warming:
McCain and Lieberman Push for New Anti-Global Warming Legislation (The National Center for Public Policy Research)
Senators McCain and Lieberman Propose Energy Tax (The National Center for Public Policy Research)
"No drilling in ANWR, nor in the Everglades, nor off the coast of Florida... To think that drilling in ANWR is the solution to our incredible energy needs is frankly, is not keeping in the reality of what's there, and what it would take to get it out" - John McCain
Illegal Immigration:
John McCain gets a 'D' on his Immigration Voting Report Card (Americans for Better Immigration)
- McCain favors business lobbyists’ desires for foreign workers vs. protecting American workers’ wages and jobs
- McCain’s hopes of giving millions amnesty will saddle American taxpayers with huge costs of $20,000 per illegal per year
- McCain has taken the pro-amnesty position in nearly two dozen votes
- McCain only promises to make 2 million of the 12-20 million illegal aliens go home
John McCain Praises Pro-illegal Protests (NewsMax)
McCain called plan 'amnesty' in 2003 (WorldNetDaily)
"I think we can set up a program where amnesty is extended to a certain number of people, Amnesty has to be an important part..." - John McCain, 2003
Michigan Crowd Boos McCain On Illegal Immigration (Video) (1min)
McCain Voted For Illegal Immigrants To Collect Social Security (UC Daily News)
Marriage:
McCain: Same-sex marriage ban is un-Republican (CNN)
Taxes:
McCain Boasts That He Voted Against The Bush Tax Cuts (Video)
McCain Would Vote Against Tax Cuts Again (The Club for Growth)
- McCain sponsored and voted for an enormous 282% tax increase on cigarettes in 1998
- McCain was one of only two Republican to vote against the $1.35 trillion tax cut in 2001
- McCain was one of only two Republicans to twice vote against permanent repeal of the death tax in 2002
- McCain was one of only three Republican to twice vote against the $350 billion tax cut in 2003
McCain’s Costly Tax on Energy (National Review Online)
- The EPA Estimates Sen. McCain's Plan Would Hike Gas Taxes By 68 Cents Per Gallon
- The EPA Estimates Sen. McCain's Plan Would Reduce United States GDP By As Much As $5.2 Trillion
McCain Rejects Anti-Tax Pledge (CNSNews)
Veterans:
McCain Can't Buy His Way Out of Votes Against Funding for Veterans
- McCain Voted Against $19 Billion for Military Hospitals
- McCain Voted Against Amendment to Provide $2.8 Billion For Veterans' Medical Care
- McCain Voted Against 2005 Amendment to Provide Guaranteed Funding Stream for Veterans' Health Care
- McCain Voted Against Establishing $1 Billion Trust Fund to Provide Improvements to Military and Veterans' Health Facilities
- McCain Voted Against Adding $1.5 billion to Veterans' Medical Services in FY 2007 by Closing Corporate Tax Loopholes
- McCain Voted Against Mandatory Funding of $6.9 Billion in FY 2007 and $104 Billion Over Five Years for Veterans' Health Care
Huckabee: Raising Taxes OK
The Anti "Man-Made" Global Warming Resource
Simon also observed that,
January 21, 2008 - 21:33 ET by ToddonCapeCodSimon also observed that, "McCain is on his way to proving that he is the least unacceptable Republican...And that even though certain factions of the party may have difficulty with McCain-Feingold or his stand on immigration, he is the most electable Republican in November."
Sorry, but when I see liberals giving Republicans advice and recommendations on how and whom to vote for, something inside me just wants to do the exact opposite!
McCain is a democrat.
January 21, 2008 - 22:55 ET by R D HelmIt stands to reason that a lib commentator would see Sen. McShamus as the most electable republican.
As to wheter or not the conservative movement has any life left, I will withold judgment on that until after Super Tuesday, when actual conservatives will have been heard from.
None are so hopelessly enslaved as those who falsely believe they are free. -J.W. von Goethe
Vote Your Conscience
January 22, 2008 - 01:29 ET by TBARThe sad fact is that people are listening to these pundits and are pondering voting for who these 1D10ts think can win. You MUST vote your conscience in the primaries and let the chips fall where they may. Don't desert FDT because someone says he is quitting and vote for someone else. Doing this will ensure He will drop out. Go Fred.
Life is too short to be serious
Damaged Sovereignty
January 31, 2008 - 19:13 ET by WinghunterWe crashed the senate phone system to stop a secretive plan to provide amnesty for 20 Million illegals but, now we're about to elect the author of that bill to the highest office of the land!?
WTH is wrong with people's short term memory???