'Nightly News': Is General Motors Going Out of Business?

Photo of Jeff Poor.

General Motors has been in business since 1897, but there are fears now propagated in the media that the longtime American icon faces an uncertain future.

Brian Williams raised the possibility of General Motors (NYSE:GM) going out of business on the June 26 "NBC Nightly News" to Jim Cramer, host of CNBC's "Mad Money."

"[J]im, I know you talk about this, think about this everyday for a living and have a formula regarding this," Williams said. "But first, what's going on out there? I heard one analyst today said, ‘GM will go out of business,' though I know a lot of people disagree with that and it's a scary thought."

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The investment bank Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) downgraded GM's stock earlier in the day and that forced GM to a 53-year low and put it at a risk of default. Goldman Sachs also downgraded Citigroup's (NYSE:C) to a sell on June 26.

"I think GM is a huge part of the problem, [and] as you said, Citigroup," Cramer replied. "These are companies that need much more cash than they have right now or they can raise - so their stocks keep going lower. Unless we get a break in oil - which keeps going up, food - which keeps going up, or houses - which keep going down - Brian, it's going to get worse, not better."

The drop in GM and Citigroup sent the Dow plunging to "its worst June since the Great Depression," according to Bloomberg on June 26. A June 26 Dow Jones story said some interpreted Goldman Sachs' downgrade to mean the automaker is going out of business.

"We're going to move in the opposite direction of oil, and General Motors is going to go out of business, at least according to Goldman Sachs," Art Hogan, chief market strategist at Jefferies & Co. said to Dow Jones.

Renowned short-seller James Chanos, president of Kynikos Associates Ltd., appeared on Bloomberg Television on June 25 and said that GM should consider bankruptcy.

"I think both of them [GM and Ford] have issues and as I told an elected official from Michigan, I mean arguably, one of the better things these companies could do is go bankrupt," Chanos said. "I'm not saying liquidate, I'm saying go bankrupt and reorganize. I think that then they would have a fighting chance, but of course the board and the management works for the shareholders and their viewpoint might be a little different.

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The current finincial mess

The current finincial mess GM finds itself in is a reflection of the currrent looming financial disaster of the United States. 

When you "guarrentee" pensions out of profits instead of a finite fund, you will reach an unsustainable level at some point.  Think Social Security.

When it comes to economics,

When it comes to economics, I know about as much as Harry Reid or Pelosi. Why does GM continue to advertise or sponor events like NASCAR if they are in such dire trouble? It doesn't make since to me.  

“A debate is a conflict which clarifies a position. A dialogue is a conversation which compromises a position.” –John E. Ashbrook, The New Neutralism II, P. 7

Legitimate

Jeff-In light of GM's performance, both in the marketplace and in the stock market, questioning the company's long-term survival seems perfectly legitimate.

You're absolutely right.  I

You're absolutely right.  I just wish every now and then they would examine the UAW's role in GM's struggles.

The Start of the Demise

Even though it has been a long time coming, you can trace the demise of GM to the brilliant (so they thought at the time) corporate strategy to offer union workers paid health care rather than wage increases. That was the first of many bad management decisions over several decades. The UAW certainly had a role in this sad tale, but they had a lot of help from guys in white shirts.

Disagree. With the union

Disagree. With the union having so much control in the auto industry, you choices for making good decisions are very impaired.

The bias is in the timing,

The bias is in the timing, GM has had problems for years, but only now is the possiblity of bankruptcy or going out of business brought to the forefront in the MSM, despite predictions of it further in the past. It's sudden timing at a time when the media is pumping the "tough" economy is not a coicidence.

It's another attempt to panic Americans and feed the "America has the worst economy ever" downbeat, and seeing some of the responces below, it's working.

Quick Congress, bail out GM!

"What's good for General Motors is good for America."

Quick, Congress, bail out GM! You can use that "excess profit" tax revenue scheme you plan to force upon American oil companies and give the revenue to GM as they need it to survive. The oil companies won't complain, they need GM to make the cars that burn the gas that... Well, you get the picture.

Duh. Of course GM will go

Duh.

Of course GM will go out of business, or need to at least declare bankruptcy and reorganize. They committed suicide years ago with their deals with the UAW.

How many years in a row can you lose billions of dollars and stay in business? They have lost $50,000,000,000 over the past three years. Yes, most of that was an accounting anomaly.

This also illustrates the folly of McCain's battery initiative. Like something out of Austin Powers, he has offered 300 million dollars! to whoever can invent a better battery. I guess he doesn't belive the idea is worth 300 Million Dollars in the free market. You would only need to sell 100,000 of these cars to get to 300 million dollars. I guess GM is going to get right on that, after all, 300 Million Dollars would cover their losses for about ONE WEEK.

GM going out of business? A definite possibility

When you have people making $27 per hour with full benefits to glue rear view mirrors on cars, you're going to have a problem at some point.

But look for the Obama/MSM spin on this topic as the election nears.  The AFL-CIO just endorsed Obama.  I don't know if the UAW is under the AFL-CIO umbrella, but one way or another the UAW will endorse Obama.  The spin will then be eight years of GWB has killed GM and Detroit.  Never mind no help from Senator Levin over the past 15 years or so, as he blocked every attempt at raising fuel mileage standards.  (See Dems control Louisiana for 100 years but Katrina is all GWB's fault for the playbook on this spin.)  The sad part is that about 1 in 8 jobs in America relies on the auto industry.  Many innocent bystanders are going to get hurt by a bunch of boobs in Detroit and Washington.

 

 

D.C. v Heller Decision: Just in time for the Second American Revolution

"Never mind no help from

"Never mind no help from Senator Levin over the past 15 years or so, as
he blocked every attempt at raising fuel mileage standards."

Car companies don't need the permission of Congress to develop better mpg vehicles.

You're right though, the UAW will endorse Obama, which is really ironic considering he and the other libs are doing everything they can to put companies like automakers out of business.

"Car companies don't need

"Car companies don't need the permission of Congress to develop better mpg vehicles."

Sure they can, it's called legislation. Congress (and the EPA) can block vehicles with higher mpg just as they can block vehicles from having lower mpgs. Regulations.

Not the Union's fault...

...that's for sure.

Exxon is making record profits.  They pay their CEO and execs handsomely.  Understandably.  Why then, does GM pay its CEO Waggoner $20 million when they ARE LOSING AS MUCH AS EXXON IS MAKING a year?

Union wages and benefits are NOT what they used to be.  That's for damned sure.  And, last time anybody checked, GM is making approx 50% of their product line in Canada or Korea or overseas, period.  Those workers aren't making $27 per.  (Neither are the VAST MAJORITY of UAW workers in America).

Now, Mullaly @ Ford is making TENS of MILLIONS of DOLLARS per year.  Ford has yet to turn ANYTHING remotely resembling an annual profit with him at the helm.  NOT EVEN CLOSE!  Why do (some) conservatives advocate pay for performance but turn a blind eye to cretins like these?  The Japanese (actually most Hondas or Toyotas are more American than any Ford) managers make MILLION$ less than their counterparts.  And have several fewer levels of management.

Bottom line:  Last time anybody checked, it is THE PRODUCT that people buy.  NOT the management.  The DESIGN and BUILD of ANY product is far more important than the management.  It is for THAT reason I won't consider a GM or Ford product for a daily driver.  And the reason why the DESIGN and BUILD of their products has failed is BECAUSE OF THEIR MANAGEMENT. 

 

 

 

 

 

"Why do (some)

"Why do (some) conservatives advocate pay for performance but turn a blind eye to cretins like these?"

Because what companies choose to do with their money is up to them, not me. It's their money to throw away, not mine. I don't tell you how to spend your money either. If they are ok with paying these people big bucks to run the company into the ground, what business is it of mine? It's not my company.

It's their decision, not ours.

"Why do (some) conservatives advocate pay for performance but turn a blind eye to cretins like these?"

Because "(some) conservatives" (like myself) understand that a corporation is a legal entity unto itself and that we outsiders have absolutely no say as to how that corporation is run. Unlike a public school system, GM is not a public entity that is owned and operated by government, it is a PRIVATE entity not under public control and it is up to THEM to make decisions as to pay and incentives, as well as personnel selections. If you want control over that process, I suggest you BUY a controlling share of GM and become the chairman of the board yourself. If not, then stop asking senseless questions.

The bottom line: If you don't like the management, don't buy the product. If that management can’t sell that product, those managers won’t last very long in their position. Look to Baseball and Basketball for an example of what happens to high paid but infective managers.

Looks like we're all in agreement then...

GM's problems, like Ford's, are not caused by the UAW.

They are the direct result of management corruption, malfeasance, misfeasance, vanity and just plain stupidity... 

 

A list of invecticides are

A list of invecticides are not facts, the point is the UAW squeezed the life out of Detriot with its greed.

And the CEO's get paid big bucks because a lot of their job is based on potentional and making risks, it's like hiring a marketing firm, having the project they market fail and they claiming they don't deserve their pay. You cannot base payment for CEO's on immediate results, as CEO's are long term jobs based on risk and possibilities.

And saying "GM makes bad products" is an opinion, not a fact. I can find just as many people who like GM products as hate it. It's called different tastes.

In agreement? Not really

We're in agreement? I don‘t see how you can justify that assessment. I never mentioned what I believe to be the REASON why GM is in trouble, I merely answered your question as to "Why do (some) conservatives advocate pay for performance but turn a blind eye to cretins like these?" Just how did you divine that I “agreed” with you in any way in my answer?

If you want to know what I BELIEVE to be the cause of GM’s current problems, then let me inform you that I believe the reasons are varied and numerous. I believe that it is a combination of market forces, both in the retail market (you know, sales) and the labor market (you know, UNION workers), combined with lower product loyalty (you know, brand name recognition and repeat buyers), poor leadership (you know, management) and higher material and production costs (which is also varied and numerous).

In the retail market area, GM is facing a lot of competition and this is lowering their sales numbers, which lowers their income.

In the labor market area, GM is forced by the unions to pay their employees higher and higher wages and benefits every time the unions negotiate for contracts and this is increasing their labor expenses.

In the area of product loyalty, less and less people buy GM cars as their first vehicle, so there’s less and less people who will remain loyal to that company for future purchases.

In the leadership area, GM’s managers have fail to plan for the changes in the various market forces (both retail and labor) and the evitable increase in competition and reduction in product loyalty.

So, it’s easy to see that I’m not pinning blame on any single factor as I realize that it is not that simple. EVERYONE at GM is a part of the problem, including the union members, so all must share in the blame. Perhaps, if you feel that the people responsible should lose their jobs, GM needs to FIRE EVERYONE, managers, salesmen, laborers (both union and non-union), and just about everyone else, and start all over again. But that is GM’s decision to make so I’m not going to obsess over it.

GM

I recall not that long ago GM had 58% of the car market. Now it's 22% and dropping. There was even talk about breaking it up because of it's dominance.
I understand the comments about unions and their roll in GM's problems. However to me the bigger issue is simply product. They've lost market share not due to unions but products. I haven't owned a GM prodcut in years. The last one I had gave me troubles so it got traded. The lost market share also comes home to roost in image or peoples feelings about their products. Look at Harley Davidson. They do not make the most reliable bike or most advanced but they have an image that other companies would kill to get. People keep buying them to buy into that image.
I hope GM turns it around, but it will have to be with product. No more Aztec's, etc.

Again, opinion. You also

Again, opinion. You also ignore that unions can affect the quality of products just like they affect everything else.

GM One in Five

When my husband left the Navy after 26 years of service, he went to work as an engineering supervisor for GM Truck and Bus, the only division that was steadily profitable. At that time, early '90s, we were told that one in five people owed their living in some way to General Motors. This included electronics companies, carpet and paint companies, plastics companies, sheet metal companies, steel companies, financial companies, and on and on. GM is a whole lot more than that Chevy driving down the street. They were leaders in satelitte development and a host of other very high tech tenchologies. Losing GM to an out of business or bankruptcy sale would be an economic disaster. But, to blame them and not the Unions is the worst stupidity. Being forced to pay the guy who drives the vehicle off the line and out to the parking lot $18 an hour plus all the other Union perks of overtime, healthcare, vacation time, etc. is an example. My husband was a salaried employee with a fixed salary as pay. He supervised a department of 140 employess of what is called "skilled trades," the electicians, welders, pipe fitters, carpenters, etc. Every one of them made more money than he did because of the Union benefits they got that he didn't because of his management status. Even their stock option plan was better, getting 2 to 1, whereas we got 1/2 to 2.

It was not be an economic

It was not be an economic disaster any more than Enron's collapase was or the problems with Benake.

GM's problems happened long ago, it's going out of business would just be the last straw, this is not the early 90's, and all those companies who depended on GM have mostly already moved on. It's not like smaller companies hitch their wagons to one big company, never change which company they decide to work with, and figure on a company lasting forever.

The economy does not rely on a few big companies, when one goes down there are already more to take those place, and high tech companies are a dime to dozen.

Bankruptcy is a part of economic change, not the end all of the economy. It can be a good thing, get an old company that is dying out the way so that people who know what they are doing can take over.

Don't worry...

Everything will be okay in November.....?

Wrong Date

General Motors has NOT been in business since 1897. It was founded in September 1908. Later that year, it acquired Oldsmobile, which had been founded in 1897.

Here's one article that

Here's one article that shows what I am talking about:

http://www.businessandmedia.org/news/2005/news20051123.asp

And another:

http://www.businessa...

Notice this is from three years ago, see how the media does not being it up again until this horrible economy that will destroy America appears.

Notice the source of the articles, a source I (and I assume most of you) find very trustworthy. GM's problems are not new and they will not tank the economy. Funny how companies in trouble single economic collopase while business who are thriving are not seen as evidence of economic golden ages.

Why is it CEO's and

Why is it CEO's and management get the sole blame for a businesss failings, but never sole credit?

Maybe the CEO of GM was worth the money, maybe his ideas and direction was the only things good about the company and keeping what little positives it had alive.

Whenever you hear of CEO's being 'overpayed' when their companies aren't doing well remember two things: a CEO is only one part of a whole encompassing many and second that you have to base the success o CEO's long term, not based one a few years worth of performance especially when they take over companies already in trouble, held hostage by unions and crippled by government oversight. 

 

If this is true & they're in trouble

Can we, the TV viewing American public, EVER expect to see less-constant commercials from GM's "Ditech" financial unit? And on the subject of Ditech, how come GM management thinks turning variable rate home loans taken out by mentally challenged borrowers into fixed rate home loans for those same mentally challenged borrowers is a good business idea for GM shareholders (who, at this point, might also qualify as "mentally challenged," along with GM's historically Dilbertesque management)??
JMR

The tax & spend drug war looks racist in the real world.

Can we, the TV viewing


Can we, the TV viewing American public, EVER expect to see less-constant commercials from GM's "Ditech" financial unit?

Sure, as long as we're willing to turn the TV off.

Of watch a commercial-free channel such as C-SPAN or Boomerang. ;-)

When I see a company running THAT many of the same dumb ad

It says their management (and the TV station's management) aren't thinking, and aren't expecting their customers to think, either. I'm amazed, in the age of TIVO, that TV ads are still so repetitive & stupid. It's also a bit astounding that ad-peroids aren't shorter, which could be easily done if stations charged more. They could then crow about running fewer of the same dumb ads than their TV news rivals in too many stupid ads-for-themselves.

The real issue here isn't just annoying-as-hell ads, it's that Ditech/GM is making a huge bet AGAINST USD inflation. GM's bet has turned over the past week from being a bet that sarcasmo might be wrong (those bets, as at least one Newsbuster can attest, are often unwise) to a guaranteed fiscally unwise bet against reality. This kind of all-in bet tends to lead to a lot less chips -- like 0. My main concern is that taxpayers will end up coming to the rescue, leading to more inflation-heroin for the spending-addicts, who need to quit cold turkey.
JMR

The tax & spend drug war looks racist in the real world.

Taxpayers bailing out an auto company?

Oh come on! Taxpayers bailing out an auto company? Like that would ever hap . . . uh . . . oh . . . yeah . . . hmmmn.

On second thought, you have valid cause to be worried.

I can "channel" their excuses

Let's see...GM isn't really a car company anymore, so not-bailing them out will leave little old lady investors & pensioners (who took a risk like any other investors who might lose on a bet, but who wants to think about THAT?) in the lurch. Not to mention homeowners who refinanced with Ditech, as if that's a taxpayer obligation. And we can't allow "chaos" to happen, even though the free market's chaotic-looking workings would have been the best thing to prevent long-term moral hazards caused by skewed union incentives & golden executive parachutes.

Besides, because of previous union/management bipartisan corruption that the antiLibertarian-biased news media did a literally-horrible job of covering, the "Pension Benefit Guarantee Corporation" means that taxpayers were/are mostly on-the-hook anyway, in that wonderfully-modern "socialism = capitalism!" NewSpeak way. And "GM is an American icon" (if the words, "when it comes to lousy management & union fatcats" are added, I might agree!) will of course be used, as though a person can't be a patriotic American & think a failing "icon" should be allowed to finally fail at the same time.
JMR

The tax & spend drug war looks racist in the real world.

That crazy SCLM

If you follow cars at all, you can see the writing is on the wall for the big three unless they can change their business model.  

The problem that manifests itself now is that gas has reached the point where car buying decisions will be driven in large part BY mileage.    The big three are woefully behind on new technology.   GM's hybrids have mostly been mild hybrids that save very little fuel, and then they stupidly put their more advanced system on an SUV that gets 20 mpg WITH the hybrid.    The big three all are deficient in smaller fuel efficient cars.  Chevy has the Aveo (NOT MADE IN THE UNITED STATES) which is widely perceived as garbage.   Ford has the Focus, which Ford stupidly refreshed instead of bringing in the European model.   And Chrysler has...... well, a bunch of cheap plastic cars.  

The alarm SHOULD be sounded because higher gas prices could be the nail in their coffin.