NYT's Louis Uchitelle's Snide Criticism of Supply-Side Tax Cuts

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Supply-side tax-cutters are on the march again, warned Times economics reporter Louis Uchitelle on the front page of Wednesday's Business Day -- "A Political Comeback For Supply-Side Doctrine -- Debate on Tax Theory Now Focuses on the Wealthiest."

(The Times's international edition headline over Uchitelle's story had the slant of an opinion piece: "McCain sticks to supply-side economics despite evidence it doesn't work.")

Uchitelle's NYT piece began snidely:

When Ronald Reagan ran for president in 1980, he promised to cut taxes in what seemed, at the time, a magical way. Tax revenue would go up, not down, he said, as the economy boomed in response to lower rates.

Since then, supply-side economics, as it was called -- first with derision but then as a label embraced by its supporters -- has become a central tenet of Republican political and economic thinking. That's despite the fact that the big supply-side tax cuts of the 1980s and the 2000s did not work out as advertised, as even most supporters acknowledge.

Federal tax revenue did in fact increase during the Reagan years, as no less a liberal authority than Media Matters acknowledged:

According to the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB), when adjusted for inflation to constant fiscal year 2000 dollars, receipts (revenues) grew only from $1.077 trillion to $1.236 trillion during Reagan's term in office.

Besides, as the Heritage Foundation defines it, supply-side theory assumes replenishment of some but not necessarily all lost revenues.

Uchitelle quoted a supporter of lower tax rates, making sure to label his group "conservative."

But advocates see broader economic benefits from lowering tax rates, which is one of the reasons the concept has reappeared as a point of contention in this year's election campaign, in an amended form.

"What really happens is that the economy grows more vigorously when you lower tax rates," said Kevin Hassett, an adviser to the presumptive Republican nominee, John McCain, and the director for economic policy studies at the conservative American Enterprise Institute. "It is beyond the reach of economic science to explain precisely why that happens, but it does."

Even with a growing economy, however, the promised boon in tax revenue never materialized. Arthur B. Laffer, the renowned proponent of supply-side economics, still holds that tax revenues "rise dramatically" when tax rates are cut.

In the 1980s, though, during the initial era of supply-side tax cuts, per capita revenue from personal income taxes, adjusted for inflation, rose an average of just 0.7 percent annually throughout the Reagan presidency, according to the White House Office of Management and Budget.

Strangely, the Times' international edition of Uchitelle's story gave a different figure: 0.5 percent.

But you can slice the numbers all sorts of ways. The House Joint Economic Committee collated an April 1996 report, also using OMB figures, showing "individual income tax revenues rose from $244 billion in 1980 to $446 billion in 1989." That's almost a doubling of revenues. Uchitelle, befitting his liberal bent, chose the least attractive way to present the numbers.

—Clay Waters is the director of Times Watch, an MRC project tracking the New York Times.


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Not surprising...

These scum never cease to amaze me. They are about one thing - advancing whatever liberal cause suits their fancy. To do that, they will lie, cheat, steal - whatever it takes to position their cause in the most positive light.

Journalists of this ilk may be the greatest threat to our democracy. It seems they are hell bent on tearing down our republic and the constitution it was built upon and replacing it with some form of socialist/communist government.

Let's face it, if the liberals and communists married and had a child it would have a third ear growing out of its forehead and be called Deliverance. They're blood relation.

Common sense puts the lie to

Common sense puts the lie to the anti-supplysiders.  All you have to do is look at the revenue growth from 1981 through 1988.  Revenues grew at approximately 7% annually.  The deficit the Libs were pounding Reagan and Bush with was caused by spending growth which was larger.  Regan predicted that if spending growth was slowed down, the budget deficit would be erased, this happened in the 90's - Clinton took credit for it, but it was his predecessors who deserved it.

Also, recall that the

Also, recall that the Republican congress gave Clinton the line-item veto. Without it, there would have been no projected surpluss. Remember, this was just a projected surplus based on the unsustainable internet bubble.  As a nation, we never actually saw dime one.

It doesn't matter how much

It doesn't matter how much proof there is that tax cuts can increase revenues (up to a point, of course), the liberal spin against the practice still marches on.

no matter how you slice it

Kennedy lowered taxes and revenues rose faster than inflation. The Gipper cut taxes and revenue rose faster than inflation. President Bush cut taxes and revenues rose faster than inflation. So that's a bad thing??

If you could just send Congress on a 10 year vacation, the deficit would disappear and we'd have a healthy surplus.

If you could just send

If you could just send Congress on a 10 year vacation, the deficit would disappear and we'd have a healthy surplus.

I think you just hit on something on which all sides can agree. 

Surplus

I don't ever want a surplus in the gov't.  If that happens, that $$ should be given back to those that paid taxes.

We're having the same

We're having the same problem with economic illiterates like Uchitelle here in California.  For the last several years tax revenues to the state treasury have increased annually...they've even outstripped population and inflation.  The problem is that government spending has increased at a higher rate than revenues have increased each year.  Now the economic illiterates in Sacramento and at the LA Times (by the way, why should we take financial opinions of two such colossal business failures as the NYT and LAT seriously at all...unless it's to do opposite of what they say) are demanding tax increases to meet the spending demands of the legislature.  Yeah, there's an intelligent idea...tax businesses out of the state/country...decreased revenues from businesses going elsewhere will certainly close the deficit.  Morons.

Figures don't lie, but....

You know the rest.

By quoting "revenues" instead of "personal income tax revenues," and also by using $1 trillion as the units of base, this toad tries to obfuscate the fact that the personal tax cuts nearly doubled income from personal income taxes. The left can't stand that "supply-side" actually worked, and they've been trying to shoot it down ever since.

The numbers I've heard are around $450 billion revenue pre-Reagan to over $900 billion by 1988.

Then, he adjusts for inflation.... in 2000 dollars. Why? To make it look like less, of course!

And by counting "revenues," he includes ALL revenues, import fees, excise taxes, the works. Did some of those maybe decline?

Nice try, Uchitelle. But it's just smoke-and-mirrors, 20 years after the fact.

Frankly, I don't care which

Frankly, I don't care which method puts more money into the government's pocket, I'm interested in which method puts more money in MY pocket and the pocket of everyone else that actually earned the money in the first place. Tax cuts do that. I don't go to work every day beause of a burning desire to provide revenue to the government. I suspect I'm not alone.

Let me keep what was mine to begin with, and maybe me and others won't have to turn to government to give it back to us in one entitlement or another. 

Liberal magical thinking

Underlying the supply side theory is the fact that taxes can only be raised so much before they begin to be a drag on the economy. Tax revenue drops when rates increase beyond a certain point because the tax burden brings consequences. Maybe businesses will have to shut down. Maybe the cost of taxes, which are passed along in consumer prices, makes goods or services so expensive that sales drop. Maybe businesses look for ways to avoid taxes, like relocating overseas.

Libs seem to think you raise the rates and magically more money appears.

When you put the clowns in charge, don't be surprised when a circus breaks out.

"Maybe the cost of taxes,

"Maybe the cost of taxes, which are passed along in consumer prices,
makes goods or services so expensive that sales drop. Maybe businesses
look for ways to avoid taxes, like relocating overseas."

Bingo. Maybe, just maybe, NAFTA isn't the problem in states like Ohio. Maybe it's because they have, I think, the third highest corporate tax rate in the country.