Pro-Global Warming Study Receives Worldwide Headlines; Discovery of Error in Study Garners Op-Ed in One Paper

Photo of Amy Ridenour.

When University of Washington Professor Eric Steig announced in a news conference and paper published in the January 22 edition of the journal Nature that he and several colleagues removed one of many thorns in the sides of climate alarmists -- in this case, evidence that Antarctica is cooling -- he received extensive worldwide attention in the mainstream press.

But when a noteworthy error was found in Stieg's research less than two weeks after it's publication, of the mainstream press, only an opinion column in the London Telegraph and a blog associated with the Australian Herald Sun carried the news.

The Stieg paper's release was covered by 27 newspapers, including the New York Times, San Francisco Chronicle & Los Angeles Times, by CNN, by the Associated Press, by NPR and quite a few others (see reviews of the coverage at the end of this post).

After independent analyst Steve McIntyre discovered a major error in the data, and released his results on his influential blog Climate Audit beginning on February 1, based on a Nexis search I conducted today, none of these outlets chose to inform their readers.

Here's how the Stieg research showing supposed warming was received by the mainstream press:

NPR covered it twice (a January 21 package by Richard Harris and a January 23 Ira Flatow interview of Steig), with no hard questions either time (Flatow called Steig's paper "probably historic").

A January 22 piece in the Seattle Times by science reporter Sandi Doughton contained this little editorial:

By bringing Antarctica in from the cold, the new study could undermine the small cadre of global-warming skeptics who still argue that the planet is not getting hotter, or that humans are not to blame. Many have used the apparent cooling in Antarctica to attack global climate models and point out perceived weaknesses in the scientific consensus that emissions from automobiles and factories are beginning to change global climate.

A January 22 New York Times piece by Kenneth Chang presented the report along with quotes from scientists who thought it by and large likely accurate.  One scientist was quoted saying, "But the idea of a long-term cooling is pretty clearly debunked."  No one urging caution about Stieg's results was quoted.

CNN.com's report began:

Antarctica is warming in line with the rest of the world, according to a new study on climate change in Antarctica.

Rather than being the last bastion to resist global warming, U.S. research has found that for the past 50 years much of the continent of Antarctica has been getting warmer.

For years common belief among scientists studying climate change was that a large part of Antarctica, the East Antarctic Ice Sheet, has been getting colder while the rest of the world has warmed.

However the new research from the University of Washington has found that warming in West Antarctica exceeded one-tenth of a degree Celsius per decade for the past 50 years, which more than offsets the cooling in East Antarctica...

The CNN.com piece ended with quotes from Stieg.

The AP's Seth Borenstein's January 21 wire report began "Antarctica, the only place that had oddly seemed immune from climate change, is warming after all, according to a new study," and included a quote from global warming activist scientist and study co-author Michael Mann,  saying the study refuted the views of climate "contrarians."  Borenstein did, however, include two quotes from other scientists who raised questions about the study.

The Los Angeles Times' Thomas H. Maugh II began with an editorial:

Scientists have long believed that Antarctica has been bucking the global warming trend, but that is not the case, new research shows.

East Antarctica, as assorted studies have shown, has been cooling recently, but the remainder of the continent is warming at a rate that offsets the cooling, according to satellite and ground data.

Global-warming skeptics have pointed to the presumed cooling of the continent as evidence that researchers' computer projections of climate change are in error, but the new findings reported Thursday appear to refute their criticisms...

Maugh's readers weren't told that any scientists had doubts.

The San Francisco Chronicle went still further into alarmism.  Science editor David Perlman told his readers flatly that "the issue [of Antarctic warming] has apparently been resolved."  The piece was headlined: "All of Antarctica Appears to Be Warming."

The Guardian titled its piece, "Scientists Solve Enigma of Antarctic 'Cooling,'" summarized it by claiming "Research 'kills off' climate skeptic argument by showing average temperature across the continent has risen over the last 50 years."  The Guardian included no alternative points of view.

Co-authors of Stieg's paper included David Schneider of the National Center for Atmospheric Research, Scott Rutherford of Roger Williams University, Michael Mann of Penn State, Josefino Comiso of NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center and Drew Shindell of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies.  Followers of the global warming issue will easily recognize Michael Mann as the proponent of the since-disgraced "hockey stick" global warming graph and an activist global warming activist and the Goddard Institute as run by one of the world's most infamous global warming alarmists, James Hansen.  Stieg himself is a contributor to the ardently pro-alarmist and environmentalist-supported PR blog RealClimate.  Despite this, none of the mainstream press stories I reviewed mentioned the activism activities of authors.

On the other side of the question, here are samples from Andrew Booker's op-ed column in the UK Telegraph critical of Stieg:

...So it predictably made headlines across the world last week when a new study, from a team led by Professor Eric Steig, claimed to prove that the Antarctic has been heating up after all. As on similar occasions in the past, all the usual supporters of the cause were called in to whoop up its historic importance.  The paper was published in Nature and heavily promoted by the BBC. This, crowed journalists such as Newsweek's Sharon Begley, would really be one in the eye for the "deniers" and "contrarians."

and

One of the first to express astonishment [about the Stieg paper] was Dr Kevin Trenberth, a senior scientist with the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and a convinced believer in global warming, who wryly observed "it is hard to make data where none exists." A disbelieving Ross Hayes, an atmospheric scientist who has often visited the Antarctic for NASA, sent Professor Steig a caustic email ending: "with statistics you can make numbers go to any conclusion you want. It saddens me to see members of the scientific community do this for media coverage."

Polls show the American public is continuing to apply critical thinking when it comes to the question of human-caused global warming.  Too bad the same can't be said for much of the mainstream press.


Comments Policy

All comments are owned by whoever posted them and are subject to our terms of use. They should not be assumed to represent the views of NewsBusters.

Viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.

Debunked

When Steig et al was announced they proclaimed that they "devised a statistical technique that uses
data from satellites and from Antarctic weather stations to make a new
estimate of temperature trends". Devised statistical technique + Michael Mann = LMAO.

"New Estimates" = Manufactured Data (lies)

When the empirical evidence (actual temperature measurements) does not give them the results they like, they manufacturer it using bogus math.

Carbon Dioxide (CO2) is Not Pollution

Pop

 
They?  Math? ROTFLMAO!! Shouldn't even be mentioned in the same sentence. They don't know real math do they? Bogus math doesn't count. LOL!  AGW religion, go figure.

 

Gary


Sorry Al, I've used up my allotment of "give a crap!"

Global Warming - The Math Made Crisis

Unfortunately they do know math and they also know the average american is not very good at it, let alone advanced mathematics. They use this ignorance to perpetuate the con. They do this with climate models which are nothing more then complex math equations designed to get the results they want. With enough math you can fool most people and they are doing a good job at it with Global Warming.

All of the most important papers claiming to support the AGW theory include this type of mathematical manipulation. They are literally fabricating the whole thing.

Carbon Dioxide (CO2) is Not Pollution

Its simple liberal math,

Its simple liberal math, like what Obama wants to do with the census data.

Wonderful work, Amy..

Wonderful work, Amy.. This would make for a great script for a spot on say 60 Minutes. What a wake-up call that would be for the viewers. Of course, they'd never do it... now - John Stossel, over at ABC is a possibility.. hint hint! (;~> gary

Additional Info Via Anthony Watts

Anthony Watts, creator of Wattsupwiththat.com, has been compiling data and photographs for several years on all the weather measurement stations in America.

Yesterday, he published photographs and log excerpts from five weather stations in western Antarctica.

Two of the stations are sited within ten feet of dark colored, heated shelters for researchers.

Log books for three other stations reveal that they were completely buried in snow for up to six months over the course of several winters.

Clearly, there is going to be some upward temperature bias in the data from these five stations. 

There's more to this story...

 I actually wrote an email about this to Noel yesterday. There's a LOT more going on behind the scenes between RC and CA.

To sum it all up...Steve McIntyre of ClimateAudit.org, reviewed the paper, then asked the author, Steig, for his datasets and code so he could replicate the study. Steig, as most shoddy alarmist scientists do, pulled a "Mannian denial" on McIntyre, and not only refused to release his data but insulted and mocked Mcintyre as well finishing his reply with, "Please do not communicate futher with me."

McIntyre forged ahead and managed to pull the datasets from the original holders and began an analysis. Within DAYS he bagan finding large (in some cases huge) errors with the paper. On Feb 1st (Superbowl Sunday), McIntyre announces that he has found something SERIOUSLY wrong with a particular dataset coming from a site in Anarctica called "Harry". Harry shows up in Stieg's graphs as one of the major warming areas in Antarctica. McIntyre closes up shop with a final post that afternoon promising to detail the errors in the morning, but that he was now going to spend some time with his family watching the Superbowl...

Enter Gavin Schmidt of RealClimate.com. Dr. Scmidt who has, by the way, claimed that he NEVER reads "Denialist" websites spcifically naming ClimateAudit.org, reads McIntyre's blogs on ClimateAudit and realising he has a LITTLE time, rushes to the Harry data, identifies the error that McIntyre mentions, then reports it to the original holder of the data The British Antarctic Survey in an effort to deny McIntyre credit for the find. He then crows about it to his readers on RealClimate, but instead of telling everyone that he himself turned the error in, he plays a "Who dunnit" game ~WITH HIS OWN READERS~ announcing that some unnamed "independant researcher" turned in the error and therefore should get credit for it, NOT McIntyre. Here's Gavin's quote from RealClimate,

"Gavin:

[Response: No-one should be against better data. It would have been nice had SM actually notified the holders of the data that there was a problem (he didn’t, preferring to play games instead). If he hadn’t left it for others to work out, he might even have got some credit " (Emphasis mine)

He further goes on to say that the "people", and "Sombody" who did it, did it "independantly" from Steve McIntyre. It is apparent in his posts at RC the he had no intention of telling his readers or McIntyre the "others/people/Sombody" was in fact himself. Unfortuneately, the Brits at BAS are a little more ethical than Schmidt, and post on their own website EXACTLY who told them about the error in an effort to give credit where credit was due. This was quickly picked up by the bloggers at ClimateAudit and Gavin was outted as the culprit.

After being outted, Schmidt then denies any wrongdoing and treats his readers to a tortured excuse of what the word "Independant" means. (Apparently, according to Gavin, it means being dependant on someone else. I kid you not.) The whole sordid affair can be read at ClimateAudit.org.

But wait... it gets BETTER (or worse). Roger Pielke, Jr. over at Prometheus blogs about the ethics involved here, and is subsiquently attacked by Gavin Schmidt who, unbeknownst to Pielke, writes his supervisors and threatens them with "Slander" lawsuits and various other "Consequenses" that come with insulting a senior scientist at NASA. Schmidt demands that the blog be taken down (Censored) and a public apology be written by Pielke. The good Professor, of course refuses and says,

"When will these guys learn that bullying and bluster is not going to win them any respect or friends?"

THAT sordid affair can be read about at Prometheus.

So far... not a good week for the Alarmists at RealClimate.com

Doc

2008: The year that the great LIE died.

How we know that they know that they are Lying.

Friedrich Nietzsche summed up how I feel about the MSM in this quote:

"I'm not upset that you lied to me, I'm upset that from now on I can't believe you."

Who knows the impact of this bad data...

Professor Eric Steig refuses to release computer code to recreate his vaunted study, so no one knows what the impact of the bad data (Harry is the name of the temperature station, appropriately, as it was buried under snow).  With Steve McIntyre finding disasterous errors in computer code used by Michael Mann and James Hansen to perpetrate their global warming alarmism, perhaps it is indeed in Steig's best interest to keep his code under wraps. 

 

What an enormous embarassment.  Just imagine if the study purported to disprove global warming in Antarctica.  You had better believe the media would be melting down to report the egregious error.  

I'm glad you said that

Great synopsis Doc_Navy. Well done.

Thanks for posting this

RealClimate provides endless entertainment. I just hope someday they are finally held accountable. I do think we are seeing their implosion and they know it and are doing their damnedest to hold their flock of sheep together.

joe bastardi is my favorite weatherman and

his latest blog is great.  agw sheep, need not apply.

 http://www.accuweather.com/ukie/bastardi-europe-blog.asp

"Here comes the orator! With his flood of words, and his drop of reason"  Ben Franklin

Ecclesiastes 10:2 The heart of the wise inclines to the right, but the heart of the fool to the left

This isn't about global warming

Democrats smell a cash cow, in green energy, and they have the press on their side.  You note that only 2 papers printed articles about Steig being wrong, well both of them were out of the United States.  Australia now has a prime minister who believes in global warming, yet their media are reporting both sides of this issue.

Europeans can read about both sides of this issue, just about everywhere.  What about the United States?  The press here has fallen into lockstep with the Democrats and, after being admonished by the censor-in-chief Al Gore, have chosen not to print anything contrary to his belief. 

If they get their carbon taxes in, watch out for more doom in the economy.  

Election 2008-God's way of showing us that elections count.  

haiku

My haiku to Global Warming

Birds sing and dogs howl

The ice on lake Eire breaks

It's February.

BTW I live in the so-called frozen north (and how bout those wild fires in Austraila ..mandrake:)

mandrake, Arsonists will face murder charges.

That's the deal in Australia..

Ain't no heat waves in South America, or South Africa.

Ever heard of "the urban heat island effect"?

FREEDOM

(D)

 

Ya, I've heard of the urban

Ya, I've heard of the urban heat effect before..in fact I count on it to get my car out the snow sometime in late March. It's just that I've never heard the birds doing they're mating call so early before..maybe they know something we don't!

So I gather you didn't like my haiku..and I worked so hard on it..dang ;-)

Man, maybe those birds are an Invasive Species,

I live near Haiku, and most of those folk rant AGW, still..

I'd like it fine if you placed it in the forum section... kidding.

 

FREEDOM

(D)