Jack Healy

Good News: Nov. Real Consumer Spending Increase Sets 3-Year Record; Biz Press Stays Downbeat

Here are the key numbers (in red) in Uncle Sam's November Personal Income and Outlays report (the July :

BEApersonalIncomeOutlays1108.jpg

Common sense says that the chart's results after adjusting for inflation are more important (identified as "Chained [2000] dollars") than those in current dollars. Consmers' disposable income went up 1.0% in real (after-inflation) terms in November after a 0.7% increase in October.

It took a month for real consumer spending ("Personal consumption expenditures") to catch up to the increased disposable income, but it did so in a big way in November. The 0.6% real increase is the highest in over three years. Both improvements are objectively good news, and are largely due to sharply declining gas prices.

This is pretty fundamental Econ 101 stuff, isn't it? As you can see from the headlines and the treatment of the real spending increase that follow, the business press mostly flunked, and badly: