Open Thread

For general discussion and debate. Possible talking point: Gallup finds GOP behind only two points in a generic ballot poll.

The Democratic Party held a slightly wider, six percentage-point lead on this important indicator of party strength in July, 50% to 44%. However, both 2009 results show a more competitive political environment than Gallup has generally seen since before the Democrats regained control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2006 midterm elections. Closer to elections, Gallup bases its results on "likely voters." Doing so typically improves the Republicans' positioning by several points; thus, when Democrats lead slightly among registered voters, it is possible for Republicans to be ahead among likely voters.

Are these numbers the sign of a Republican comeback in 2010, or simply an early peak by GOP candidates?

NB Staff
NB Staff