|
“Exposing & Combating Liberal Media Bias”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
What's Most Responsible For The Recent Oil Price Explosion?Speculation by investors and hedge funds 26% (1218 votes) Increased demand from China, India and elsewhere 18% (869 votes) Lack of supply from OPEC 2% (81 votes) Lack of supply from America 9% (445 votes) Declining value of the US dollar 6% (292 votes) Lack of new refineries 4% (193 votes) World is running out of oil 1% (46 votes) Exploration and development constraints from environmentalists 34% (1606 votes) Total votes: 4750 |
|
|
[ Home | Blogs |
Forum |
About |
Contact
]
| |
Comments Policy
Okay, let's face it. China
May 22, 2008 - 10:26 ET by FoolicanOkay, let's face it. China and India need more oil, and America is steadfast on not wanting to tap its gargantuan oil reserves. Therefore we can only predict that, unless there's a riot or a revolution of sorts, prices are going to continue ballooning, just as gold has in the past centuries.
Not to mention if we drilled our oil and put it on the market, the U.S. dollar would soar in value, but that makes too much sense for Old Man Government.
Clark Howard, of all people, has made the extraordinary prediction that gas prices (national average) will be back to $2.35 by May 1st of next year. I would like to hear his reasoning on it.
St. Barack will wave his
May 22, 2008 - 10:34 ET by taterSt. Barack will wave his magic wand????
"They need to have a course in college called common sense and everyone should take it. Problem is there isn't too many people that could pass or teach it." -my grandfather
Why would the US dollar soar
May 22, 2008 - 10:41 ET by sarcasmoIf there were US drilling? The drilling would be (I hope...) done by oil companies, not by the US government, so it would have little effect on the dollar's fall. And a funny thing happened about gold the other day -- a CFR economist discovered a business that's been in existence for over a decade! Coincidentally -- or not -- Drudge is linking to a guy who says gas may reach $12/gallon, as if inflation's happening and matters.
JMR
The tax & spend drug war looks racist in the real world.
It's got to be China and
May 22, 2008 - 10:29 ET by taterIt's got to be China and India demand...as back in the stone age when they didn't have the technology oil demand was low. But combine that with eco nuts ruining this country by not allowing drilling or new refineries and China and India demanding more oil you get the quagmire we are in.
"They need to have a course in college called common sense and everyone should take it. Problem is there isn't too many people that could pass or teach it." -my grandfather
ENVIRONMENTALISTS
May 22, 2008 - 10:33 ET by mattmENVIRONMENTALISTS
absolutely - the first
May 23, 2008 - 12:00 ET by TruthMongerabsolutely - the first option - the speculation - it wouldn't be happening without the environmentalist-produced shortage in the first place...
It's all of the above except the last one....
May 22, 2008 - 10:33 ET by Missouri Conservative...and the speculators have less of an effect than the others. There has been a moratorium on exploration, production, and refining capacity for the last 30 years. In that same time, demand has skyrocketed. It doesn't take a genius to figure out the consequences. This is a failure of government, pure and simple.
"women and minorities hardest hit"
Right
May 22, 2008 - 10:41 ET by iveseenitallRight on. All but the last one. The "liberals" destroy everything they touch. No drilling,no nukes, no coal, etc. "Liberal" ideology is everything.
NEVER,NEVER trust a "liberal"
Exactly
May 22, 2008 - 10:51 ET by Prester JohnBut that's OK, Harry and Nancy are going to sue OPEC so we'll have plenty of gas at affordable prices in no time flat.
To quote the great philospher, Bugs Bunny, "What a bunch of maroons".
don't forget about Hillary
May 22, 2008 - 16:28 ET by mom_roxIf you can't wait until the actual "court hearing"...
I'm not holding my breath for either.
A government that robs Peter to pay Paul can always depend on the support of Paul.
- George Bernard Shaw, 1944
Environmentalism
May 22, 2008 - 10:52 ET by mbs6I think none of the choices hits the nail on the head. The real answer is: world leaders in Europe and the U.S. have pursued several decades of anti-energy policy which has resulted in an artificially restricted supply. Simply put, the price of gas is high because that's the way the politicians want it.
And then they call in the "Big Oil" executives and lambaste them with unrighteous indignation over the price of oil. This is designed to fool the people into thinking they are actually concerned and doing something about the price of oil when in reality they like the price to be high! It's a trick, and the Big News Media go right along with it. What a disgraceful abdication of responsibility.
I think it is manipulation
May 22, 2008 - 10:41 ET by Dan The Man 2I think it is manipulation by powerful inteests. Partly in the laws regulating the USA companies on USA soils in where they can drill and the number of refineries. Partly the manipulation of teh supply and the market forces in commodities. It is hard to determine the root cause so it is all of the above.
I do know one thing about the rising prices, people will pay them and the powers manipulating them know this.
Soon supply and dmand will even out and for a while we will have some sort of equalibrium. Soon of course is relative as I dont know if it will be months years or decades. But some point of equalibrium will be reached at some point and last for a short time.
Nuke em til they glow then shoot em in the dark.
Root Cause
May 22, 2008 - 10:47 ET by mbs6The root cause is the politicians. Most of them subscribe to the Church of Manmade Global Warming and do not want average Americans consuming "too much" energy. So they artificially restrict supply by not allowing exploration, development, and production and this drives the price up. Demand is constantly on the increase due to population growth and emerging economies, but the supply is not keeping pace and it ain't because there isn't enough oil out there.
Dei Mater!
May 22, 2008 - 10:51 ET by FoolicanWhatever happened to the separation of Goracle and state?
Supply artificially limited
May 22, 2008 - 10:53 ET by ArcherBMarket laws would make it so, unfortunately, supply is kept artificially low by restricting production which is preventing supply and demand from evening out. These restrictions will have to be removed in order for the market to correct itself, and with Democrats in the majority and their predicted increases after November, don't expect to see that happening any time soon.
"To send men to the firing squad, judicial proof is unnecessary." Ernesto "Che" Guevara
Agreed
May 22, 2008 - 10:59 ET by mbs6Sadly, you are right on the mark. What's worse is that even McCain won't stop it. It will only slow down when Americans get really angry at the politicians or if it really starts impacting the economy as a whole. Unfortunately, the politicians and their friends in the Big News Media have done a masterful job of deflecting blame and obfuscating the issue.
The Democrats wouldn't have
May 22, 2008 - 11:11 ET by NL207The Democrats wouldn't have a prayer of being in the majority if 38% of the US population did not believe high gas prices are the product of manipulation and price gouging by the Oil Companies according to a poll of vistors to CNN. Until the voters are inntellectually able to connect Democrat policies to energy woes, nothing is going to change for the better.
CNN viewers
May 22, 2008 - 11:24 ET by ort777I wouldn't be too concerned about the CNN viewers. Most of those pinheads think overpopulation is our biggest environmental problem - (what are they going to do about it?) If you check their polls, they are so far to the left, I have to believe they're just the anti-Fox viewer. From what I've seen, their audience is about half of Fox anyway. I wouldn't be too concerned about what the CNN viewer thinks - mostly people in the tank anyway. Or tanked (Jack Cafferty - okay, low blow, I take it back).
"overpopulation is our
May 22, 2008 - 12:01 ET by NL207"overpopulation is our biggest environmental problem - what are they going to do about it?"
Indiscriminately abort fetuses.
I also think that a great many people in the general population believe the Liberal mantras about evil Big Oil. The level of economic literacy in this country is deplorable.
India and China, quite a
May 22, 2008 - 10:59 ET by general companyIndia and China, quite a few other things as well.
Anyone know if the US consumption is increasing or steady or decreasing? What does anyone think about having our Gov build more refineries then leasing them to the oil Co's. Would this be worth while or would they stand idol? Would a program like this help, or would the Gov and oil Co's make a mess of it? Just wondering what some thoughts are about this.
"Television is a freak show" Bernie Goldberg
Our government could find a way
May 22, 2008 - 11:04 ET by sarcasmoTo lose money in the oil refinery business, even in the present refinery-inhibited environment. Bad idea, IMO. What they need to do is get out of the way.
JMR
The tax & spend drug war looks racist in the real world.
In fact, here's an example
May 23, 2008 - 12:30 ET by sarcasmoTake a look at the following graph: 1st class stamp vs gasoline prices truly says it all about government monopolies.
JMR
The tax & spend drug war looks racist in the real world.
$!.00
May 22, 2008 - 11:21 ET by iveseenitallIt really was not so long ago Americans were shocked at $1.00/gal. It's a game the oil guys, the pols, and others play. They count on human folbles: greed, apathy, etc. Let's face it, Americans will pay anything they ask. It'll go so high that $4-5.00 will look good to most people. When the have what they want, they'll bring it back down for a while. Most of us are just lambs to slaughter. Sad. The only real chance we have is to vote for the boy "savior", Barry H. Obama. He'll "change" everthing! Riiight!
NEVER,NEVER trust a "liberal"
Yeah, Hussein will change
May 23, 2008 - 12:43 ET by RESTLESS 1Yeah, Hussein will change everything. Just like Pelosi and the dem Congress promised to do. They did too, they made everything worse.
Not just one answer
May 22, 2008 - 11:03 ET by MeanderingThere is not just one answer as too why oil prices are so high. China and India is a big one, also the lack of supply from America is another, which really comes down to politicians keeping our oil companies from drilling in Anwr and in offshore places. I don't think it one specific thing but many things rolled into one. However the one group behind all of the many things I believe is liberal politicians. Alaska now wants to sue since polar bears on now on the endangered species list. Where did the common sense go?
All but 7
May 22, 2008 - 11:06 ET by TocanoThe only one that is not really a factor is #7 ("World is running out of oil"). Everything else is contributing to the price. Though I don't believe OPEC isn't really doing anything significantly different than 2-3 years ago, so I would minimize their impact compared to much of the rest.
How about all of the above
May 22, 2008 - 11:32 ET by SGriffisWhile all of the reasons listed, with the exception of "The world is running out of oil", are indeed contributing to the high price of oil, speculation is the worst offender. This is true with all commodities. Speculating in futures affect prices in a way that doesn't reflect reality. The price of a commodity almost always follows the expectations of the majority of speculators.
DRILL, for Pete's
May 22, 2008 - 11:34 ET by wiwfDRILL, for Pete's sake!
The Rocky Mountain Collegian: Illustrating Idiocy
I will be very happy to
May 22, 2008 - 11:44 ET by marpelI will be very happy to adopt and foster a couple of spotted owls in my home if they would just drill and lower my gas prices...
nukes
May 22, 2008 - 11:51 ET by political mavenand more nukes
Head of Shell Oil U.S. Operations
May 22, 2008 - 12:52 ET by BondPlainBondHead of Shell Oil U.S. Operations before the lunatic Judicial Committee yesterday, while they whined about high gas prices:
"In the United States, access to our own oil and gas resources has been limited for the last 30 years, prohibiting companies such as Shell from exploring and developing resources for the benefit of the American people. It is not a free market. According to the Department of the Interior, 62% of all on-shore federal lands are off limits to oil and gas developments, with restrictions applying to 92% of all federal lands. The Argonne National Laboratory did a report in 2004 that identified 40 specific federal policy areas that halt, limit, delay, or restrict natural gas projects. The problem of access can be solved in this country by the same government that has prohibited it. Congress could have chose to lift some or all of the current restrictions on exploration and production of oil and gas. Congress could provide national policy to reverse the persistent decline of domestically secure natural resource development."
...and should set a goal of producing an additional two million to three million barrels a day with additional access, he said.
"If we did this, it would be unnecessary for our national leaders to ask the rulers of other sovereign nations to produce more oil for U.S. consumers and risk the discomfort of an unresponsive reply"
"There is simply no way to keep up -- let alone get ahead of demand -- except by producing more oil and building more refining capacity. That's because of the makeup of the barrel of crude. Only a third to a half of a barrel of crude oil can be used to make these products. We can't use more than half of a barrel of oil to make diesel and aviation fuel. To meet this demand we need more capacity. So we need policies that enable both more crude supply and more refining. Higher taxes would only serve to diminish the expansion capacity of this critical capital investment. I urge you on behalf of American consumers to resist such punitive policies."
* * * * * * *
BINGO!
I've said it before and
May 22, 2008 - 13:42 ET by fitzfongI've said it before and I'll say it again: this is a largely artificial supply-side "crisis". No doubt, worldwide demand has significantly increased in large part due to the further industrialization of China and India. If demand increases and supply stays fixed, the price goes up. Over the years, we've had the opportunity to increase domestic supply, but we've conceded too much authority to the environmental alarmists.
Every time I hear about the eco-parasites gumming up the energy works, I'm reminded of the spoiled UCLA protesters who lie down in masses around the Westwood Federal Building. Anyone who's been stuck trying to navigate around these man-made obstacles on Wilshire or Sepulveda will understand what I'm talking about. They become so committed to their "cause", that they don't care who they inconvenience in the process (in fact they often revel in the chaos they create). The rules of the road say you can't run them over, so you're forced to sit through their massive tantrum and adjust your routine to get around them safely...and only if they choose not to set upon you personally.
Rabid "environmentalists" use the courts, the legislature and PR blackmail to figuratively block traffic. They have their agenda and they don't care who they damage in the process. Meanwhile, we are powerless to provide relief to our own citizens through increased domestic production (exploring, drilling and building new refineries) because we are forced to reckon with a movement whose only concern is to agitate.
"Government's view of the economy could be summed up in a few short phrases: If it moves, tax it. If it keeps moving, regulate it. And if it stops moving, subsidize it." -Ronald Reagan
The only way that the Dem's will fix it is.
May 22, 2008 - 14:43 ET by TjexciteThis is what is scary. Barry and the donkeys (name for a reason) will see the great things that Hugo Chávez and Evo Morales are doing to the local oil production make the 40B+ for the government by socialism. Only the government can control the environmental footprint thus to get any oil from the land in US will be governmental oil monopoly.
And for this reason it will stay in the ground forever
Only the human ego can think It can control something as big as the environment. It was changing before we came and will change after we are all gone.
It's the enemy within
May 22, 2008 - 14:48 ET by QueenMumSpeculation and politics. It's no coincidence that oil and gasoline prices have risen along with the ascension of the Dem. Messiah, Barack Obama. Not to mention the cooperation of the MsM, the confluence of globaloney, and the grandstanding on the Hill with oil executives as the scapegoats. I want to know what George Soros has been up to lately. He must be delighted to see so much cooperation with the Marxist agenda within the Halls of Congress.
Although I'm firmly behind tapping our own resources and the enviroweinies be damned, this so-called "crisis" has nothing to do with diminishing supplies or increased demand. Nor is it a matter of the oil companies making more in profits than they should be.
I am the exotic Queen Mum, and I approved this message.
My Votes
May 22, 2008 - 14:54 ET by Wildcatter1980I see the following of nearly equal importance:
Speculation by investors and hedge funds
Increased demand from China, India and elsewhere
Exploration and development constraints from environmentalists
Lack of supply from America
That's why I voted "inflation"
May 22, 2008 - 14:59 ET by sarcasmoPeople tend to want to ignore it (for political reasons?) even when it's obviously happening.
JMR
The tax & spend drug war looks racist in the real world.
May 22, 2008 - 16:43 ET by radiofitz34I voted lack of new refineries because that's the root of our problem in getting cheaper gas prices. The evironmental wackos have held us hostage in that regard. Suddenly we are poor because we can't reconcile this big problem. Build some more refineries or the good 'ol USA will be stuck in neutral for a long time.
Political Correctness Is a Progressive Disease
The oil companies are the
May 22, 2008 - 18:54 ET by ConservativeRexThe oil companies are the last ones to demand more oil refineries. Why should we? We are running balls out, every refinery that is not down for a turnaround is running every ounce of crude it can run.
Every large oil company has expended capacity for 2 decades. They are getting more products out of more crude then ever thought possible. Squeezing every single ounce, nothing ever gets wasted. We get crude out of some of the most inhospitable places on Earth, either natural or man made.
And because we get crude out of such places it takes specialized technology. This technology requires a great deal of capital. This type of capital requires a great deal of investment per company. This type of investment requires a great deal of cash....
If getting crude out of the ground was cheap everybody would be doing it. Cheap crude went bye-bye a long time ago. It would be nice to be able to drill a little closer to where our refineries are, but until then, it's going to cost.
Happy Motoring!
Who knows?
May 22, 2008 - 18:47 ET by needleIn a separate poll we should ask: Who is there in the media who could or would give an in depth objective answer to the above question that a majority of the public would trust?
My vote: absolutely no-one
Making a state of affairs even sadder.
Impunitas semper ad deteriora invitat.
Oil
May 22, 2008 - 20:36 ET by Noel SheppardNBers,
I wanted to inject my opinion into this discussion. As the question was about the recent price explosion, it seems to me the definitive answer is speculation.
Everything else adds to the longer-term problem. But, if you look at the following monthly chart of trading on the NYMEX, the explosion in volume and open interest clearly are likely the largest factors in oil's "recent run":
Take a look at the volume explosion depicted at the bottom of the chart. In 2001, when oil was trading WELL under $30, monthly volume was under 3 million contracts. Now, it's 11 million! Think that almost 300 percent increase in volume has had anything to do with the price?
More important, as it pertains to the REALLY recent move, the volume has basically doubled from 2006 when oil was as low as $60. Think this is a coincidence? Want to talk supply and demand? Should we be shocked that an asset DOUBLES in price when the demand for futures contracts in that asset DOUBLES?
Long term, there are other issues at play. Short term, the upside pressure on prices created by the amazing explosion in futures buy orders is BY FAR the largest cause for oil heading from $60 in 2006 to today's absurd $133!
Anybody want to debate me on this? Bring it on. However, please be able to address how demand for oil increased by a mere 1 percent in 2007 while the price per barrel almost doubled. Here's the proof: http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/ipsr/t21.xls
Anybody think a 1 percent increase in demand in ANYTHING should result in a 100 percent increase in price for that thing...unless the REAL demand is coming in the form of added demand in FUTURES CONTRACTS on said thing?
Anybody? Bueller? Bueller? ns
Noel... Could the
May 22, 2008 - 20:59 ET by Clear thinkerNoel...
Could the speculators be driven by the Iranians decision to start hoarding oil? Especially if they knew ahead of time what was going to happen?
I'm not a conspiracy kind of guy, but something is starting to stink.
"Abstain from McCain"
Noel... I'm not going to
May 22, 2008 - 21:14 ET by bigtimerNoel...
I'm not going to debate you on this issue...I picked number one and the last one...since I could only pick one I used the longest term cause...anyway it has been said on numerous interesting shows that it is the speculators causing all of this now...I notice if there is a poof of any kind of incidence having to do with oil anywhere in the world the price per barrel immediately rises for the last year or year and half of more...just my two cents.
"Never murder your opponent when he is committing suicide." ~ W. Churchill
Even though inflation's #1 for me
May 23, 2008 - 04:16 ET by sarcasmoI'd be the first to agree that futures markets affect prices. Unlike others, though, I don't think they should be outlawed. I do think that if they're going to be regulated, futures markets should be regulated HONESTLY. Unmanipulated, nonpolitical markets, for one thing, tend to move randomly.
Honest regulation is NOT happening right now in the silver and gold futures markets, as Ted Butler's singlehanded-journalism regarding concentration of shorts has repeatedly shown, and it may not be happening in the oil market either. In the case of gold (a definite media-noncoverage manipulation scandal even if Noel's right about oil being manipulated, just read the link!!) silver, and possibly oil, manipulating the futures markets not only manipulates present prices -- it also allows self-interested political types to manipulate government inflation figures dishonestly. They very much want to manipulate inflation perceptions in order to delay the inevitable political effects of their vast fiscal irresponsibility, which include consequences even more unpleasant than sarcasmo repeatedly saying "I told you so" on NB once-again.
JMR
The tax & spend drug war looks racist in the real world.
Noel: It is my
May 23, 2008 - 10:18 ET by bassndudeNoel:
It is my understanding that the supply and demand are skewered at this point. A one percent increase in demand, in this case, leaves us in a deficit, unless someone out there increases their production. World demand is at some 87 million barrels a day. World supply is some 85 million barrels a day.
True, that speculation has some influence, but not as much as we would think. All it would take to even out and drop oil prices is a 2 million barrel per day increase in production. This is well with in the Saudi power. They could increase production by 2 million barrels. They have that capacity. Or there is ANWAR and off shore dirlling. It may take a few years, but the supply is there. Oil would go down in price.
Save a SeAL, club a liberal!!
Somebody Please Nail the Dems!
May 22, 2008 - 21:05 ET by pbthinkerThis issue, could be the defining issue of this campaign. If the Republicans don't use it, they're just too dumb to be elected. They don't have much else to do so, run on drill, drill, drill, refine,refine, refine. Someone, who can't afford $5.00 gasoline, will vote for you.
Democrats: Stuck on Stupid since 2000.
That would require a leader...
May 22, 2008 - 21:11 ET by Clear thinkerThat would require a leader to step up to the plate, and right now we don't have any..... sigh.
"Abstain from McCain"
Some Reasons & Useful Points
May 22, 2008 - 21:11 ET by bias-fighterIran hoarding oil on supertankers <p> http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2019667/posts <p> Reformulated gas <p> http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2019642/posts <p> Senator Chuck Schumer claims that coercing Saudi Arabia to increase oil production by 1 million barrels a day would drop the per barrel price by $25, saving Americans 62 cent per gallon at the gas pump. Yet, somehow, that same amount of oil coming from Alaska's Arctic National Wildlife Refuge would only ease oil prices by a penny. <p> http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2008/05/how_much_have_the_democrats_co.html <p> Chicago Gas Taxes Total Whopping 20%! <p> www.drudgereport.com <p> Gas taxes v. Profits
.09 v. .42 <p> Ten Simple Truths About Oil <p> http://forthegrandchildren.blogspot.com/2008/05/ten-simple-truths-about-oil-by-alan.html <p> When Bill Clinton took office in January 1993, the average retail price of gasoline was $1.06 per gallon. By the time Clinton ran for re-election in 1996, that average per gallon price had become $1.25 per gallon, a 17.9% increase in less than four years. By the time George W. Bush took office in January 2001, the price of a gallon of gas had become $1.45 – a 36.8% increase in gasoline prices during the first Clinton era. <p>
http://canadafreepress.com/index.php/article/2846
Percentages are one thing,
May 22, 2008 - 21:33 ET by FoolicanPercentages are one thing, but you could have an 18% increase every four years and eventually we would have to breach the level of sanity generally associated with moderately high prices.
"As a 21 year old "youth voter", my one solace is that (fortunately) many of
my misinformed/ignorant peers, as liberally dogmatic as they are, will
neglect to actually vote come November."
- An American Thinker.
how ignorant are newbuster pollers on this
May 22, 2008 - 22:04 ET by lunaticcringeradiothe global price of oil is determined by the global market, global users and suppliers, any other factor is just an appendix. how does local environmental idiots affect the global cost of oil? they don't they are irrelevent. the only answer is the higher demand for oil from developing countries, even the speculators can't affect that much change. they can create artifical inflation temporarily but it's the prolonged desire for oil from china and india that has driven the world market prices up. only a decade ago china was one of the world top ten oil suppliers, and in a short time they turned to the second largest user. a radical swing from a supplier to a demander.
don't give the looney local liberal envoronmentalists the self esteem boost they do not deserve. they are a local pain in the ass and have no global influence.
several ways we can locally make a change is to ignore the loonies, drill our own oil in alaska(a big reason we bought it) and off the cost of florida, i don't care about you asses who don't want to see oil rigs on the horizon, and allow the refineries to start working more productively, something the environmentalists will never allow. and one major step would be to build 300 new state of the art nuke plants then we could just about power the entire country without a chunk of coal or oil. oh but lunatic you would allow a nuke plant in your back yard....YES palo verde is 30 miles from me. get your own and shut up. if we took serious aims to secure our own domestic oil supply, it would shatter china because then they couldn't afford the higher prices that opec would want to bill them with our establishment of independence.
remember environmentalist is just a code word for socialist.
lunaticcringeradio
Ok, lunatic... You have
May 22, 2008 - 22:15 ET by Clear thinkerOk, lunatic...
You have me totally confused. In one line you say the enviros are irrelevant, then in the very next paragraph you admit they will stop us.
It is the enviros that are keeping us from nukes, drilling, and refining. This creates less energy on the market which in turn is driving up prices. Sure some of the blame goes to sneaky conniving countries and speculators, but supply is the key. It is the enviros that are keeping us from our own supplies. No if's, and's, or but's about it!
"Abstain from McCain"
enviros
May 23, 2008 - 06:10 ET by misterbillLunatic, what CT said--makes sense---
"Ok, lunatic...
You have me totally confused. In one line you say the enviros are irrelevant, then in the very next paragraph you admit they will stop us. "
While I agree basically with what you say, you seem to have contradicted yourself a bit.
Oil Is Up Because the Dollar Is Down
May 23, 2008 - 16:52 ET by Giles WinterbourneTitle of WSJ piece:
"Certainly energy prices have risen, regardless of what
currency you use. In Europe, the price of oil has risen by 50 euros in
the past five-and-a-half years. It now stands at about 75 euros per
barrel, three times what it was then. But in the U.S., the price of oil
has risen to over $120 per barrel, and is now almost five times what it
was then.
The sole reason for this enormous difference is the
incredible depreciation of the dollar against the euro. From one for
one at the end of 2002, it now costs nearly $1.60 to buy a euro."