AP Report Claims 'Paychecks Are Barely Keeping Pace With Inflation'; They're Trailing Badly
The establishment press often pays a price in lost credibility when it ignores important economic reports. The original omission is bad enough, of course. But when subsequent business coverage makes assertions which the ignored reports directly refute, it leaves you wondering why you should even try to believe anything they compose.
Such is the case with Martin Crutsinger's report today on the Institute for Supply Management's Non Manufacturing Index (NMI). Following on the heels of Monday's Manufacturing Index, which slipped into contraction (as perceived by surveyed purchasing managers) for the first time in three years, the NMI declined but at least remained in (perceived) expansion mode. In the course of describing current economic conditions, Crutsinger made the following erroneous statement:
Paychecks are barely keeping pace with inflation, making consumers less confident in the economy.Story Continues Below Ad ↓
We should be so lucky.
The fact is that paychecks during calendar 2011 decreased even before considering inflation. Uncle Sam's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported this unsettling truth last week in its County Employment and Wages News Release. This report oddly combines detailed information about weekly earnings in the 922 largest counties with overall information about weekly earnings for the whole country. The latter data point came in at $955 during the fourth quarter of 2011, which was 1.7 percent lower than the fourth quarter of 2010. Again, this is without considering inflation, which from December 2010 through 2011 was 3.0 percent.
BLS noted that "This is one of only five declines in the history of the series which dates back to 1978." There is little if any reason to believe that weekly wages are keeping up with inflation now -- and even if they are, it's virtually impossible that they are on track to make up for the 4.7 percent decline in real terms (1.7% decline plus 3.0% inflation) experienced last year.
How did Crutsinger make such an obvious error? Well, it appears, as John Nolte noted at Breitbart.com on Tuesday, that no one in the press covered the BLS's data release:
NBC, CBS, ABC, The Washington Post, Politico, The New York Times, NPR, CNN... None of them want to talk about the beating the middle class and the unemployed and under-employed are taking in Obama's failed economy.
In days gone by, something which happened for only the fifth time in 33 years would automatically have been considered newsworthy. But not at today's Associated Press, aka the Administration's Press. Perhaps it's hiding somewhere in the bowels of the AP newsmaking machine, but I was unable to find any evidence that the AP covered the BLS report, which would mostly explain why the outlets Nolte listed above didn't either.
If you don't report something, a reporter's colleagues probably won't know about it either. If nobody knows about it, reporters will continue to report what they think they "know." When they erroneously relay falsehood as fact, they lose their credibility, making you wonder if anything they report is consistent with current reality, ultimately leading you to wonder if anything they report can be believed. It's that simple -- and sad.
Cross-posted at BizzyBlog.com.
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Comments
Typical Associated Press Deceit.
Submitted by Ogundipe S.O. on Fri, 07/06/2012 - 5:25am.
Leave it to the AP to ignore factual economic data that could be perceived as detrimental to the Obama's reelection openings. This blatant act of deliberate omission is now a par for the course at AP.
Their Nigeria bureau chief, Jon Gambrell, was a good friend of mine --or was he?-- until he found out I'm an ardent conservative through my Twitter timeline and consequently, he blocked me. When I called him on phone to find out why, he said he wasn't expecting to see an Obama-bashing Nigerian.
The AP has been harboring liberal bias across the world for a long time, yet we still have more conservatives than liberals, can't they just give it up?
If the AP leans right --or even stay neutral-- in their reportage for a year, more than half of liberals today would renounce Liberalism and join the conservative movement, making the world a better place as a result.
Good job, Tom. Your perseverance at forcing the AP to do their job as they advertised themselves is unrivaled.
Wow.
Submitted by motherbelt on Fri, 07/06/2012 - 6:43am.
Well, O, I guess black racists aren't confined to this country! I
I wish Tom COULD force the AP to do their job! But I'll settle for him pointing out their dishonesty on a regular basis.
Thanks ...
Submitted by Tom Blumer on Fri, 07/06/2012 - 9:15am.
... for the nice words, Ogundipe S.O.
O-flation
Submitted by kilrod on Fri, 07/06/2012 - 6:38am.
O-flation HURTS...~~~!
(grins) kilrod "the Birther"
If an unborn child cannot trust you, why should I,??
Actually, its worse then you report
Submitted by zenman1661 on Fri, 07/06/2012 - 7:37am.
the inflation rate for the 4th quarter 2010 was 1.27% and 3.29% for 4th quarter 2011. So inflation increased much higher in a period that payrolls declined
Actually ...
Submitted by Tom Blumer on Fri, 07/06/2012 - 9:14am.
... to get the exact comparable, you would compare the 4Q11 average (226.108) to the 4Q10 average (218.898) at the indicated link. That works out to 3.27%.
Badly big time
Submitted by jon_torlin on Fri, 07/06/2012 - 9:14am.
They are trailing big time, I know people, including myself, have had to dip into their savings in order to make ends meet and that's after finding ways of being frugal, sacrificing/giving up things too. I myself lost about 75% of my savings that I had built up over the years(around 6 years of saving little bit here and there) and it started dwindling and lost that 75% in the last 2 years alone.
The price of everything has outpaced the income for a lot of people.
-Jon
Inflation Calc's
Submitted by GW on Fri, 07/06/2012 - 9:39am.
Hey Tom,
I read in some comments at NB that they changed the way they calculated the inflation rate to NOT include the increased cost of food or gasoline. Is that true, and is there more to the story than trying to hide some bad news?
That was during the FIRST Carter Administration
Submitted by JustAl on Fri, 07/06/2012 - 11:39am.
The Clintonites also changed the formula to make themselves look better.
http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data/inflation-charts
You see, on the one hand the socialist (democrats) want to buy votes with more entitlements, but then they want to control the cost by tying cost of living to artificially (make that ridiculously artificially) low inflation rates.
There is a "clean" overall number ...
Submitted by Tom Blumer on Fri, 07/06/2012 - 3:44pm.
... and another one excluding food and energy. It gives the administration involved some flexibility to spin the number if the overall number is high. It's not necessarily all bad in a framework where F&E fluctuate a lot but don't increase over the long-term. But that obviously isn't the case now.