Spectacular Fib: How Horrid PBS Health Care Reporting Morphed Into an Organizing For America Embarrassment

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Over the weekend, poor and biased media reporting, dysfunctional politics, blindly ambitious activism, and economic ignorance fed on each other to produce a phenomenally false narrative that went out to hundreds of thousands if not millions of people. The result not only doesn't pass the smell test; it fails the stench test from a mile away.

The first origins of the activist narrative burst forth during Friday's PBS News Hour, when the network's Betty Ann Bowser opened her report on health care costs with two sentences that belong in the Sloppy Statement Hall of Shame (bold is mine):

Health care spending devoured 17 percent of the entire economy last year, about $2.5 trillion. That's the biggest one-year growth since record-keeping began in 1960, according to projections from the Federal Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, or CMS, this week.

Huh?

If you don't mind my asking -- What exactly is the "that" to which Ms. Bowser referred?

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Could she have meant the "biggest one-year growth" in current-dollar health care costs? If so, I found in my review of data downloaded from the relevant link ("NHE Historical and projections, 1965-2019") at this CMS web page that this is a barely true assertion. The 2009 cost increase of $133.461 billion slightly edges out the $133.171 billion seen in 2002. But such a stat is meaningless without some kind of reference to inflation. I found that the dollar amount of cost increases after taking inflation into account were greater in five other years between 2001 and 2008 than they were in 2009.

Did the reporter, whose News Hour work on health care "just so happens" to be part of a "project" funded by the left-leaning Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, mean to refer to the rate at which costs increased during the past year? I hope not, because the 2009 rate of increase of 5.7% was lower than 38 of the other 43 previous years (1966 through 2008) listed in the downloaded file. Ah, but to be consistent, we should also look at the inflation-adjusted rate increases. Doing so is of no help to Ms. Bowser; 36 of the 43 previous years had higher real health care cost growth rates than the 3% the country experienced in 2009 (5.7% minus 2.7%).

Or did she really mean to tell us, as is indeed the case, that the percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) "devoured" by health care (the raw percentage, not its change) was the highest on record? If so, she had a funny way of expressing it.

The final possibility that is factually correct -- and the one I believe the poor woman meant to relay to her audience -- is that the one-year percentage-point increase in GDP taken up by health care "costs" (I would prefer to refer to them as "services provided") was the highest ever. That is a fact, thanks largely to what I have been calling the POR (Pelosi-Obama-Reid) economy since the summer of 2008. During the two years containing what also turned out to the POR recession as normal people define it, health care costs as a percentage of GDP indeed rose:

GDPhealthCostComponent

My review indicates that the 1.14-point increase in health care costs as a percentage of GDP in 2009 is indeed the largest on record. But it is not the biggest percentage increase in the percentage. Expressed in those terms, the 2009 increase of just over 7% (1.14% change divided by 16.20%) is less than 1982, when health care's share of GDP went from 9.39% to 10.17%, a percentage increase of about 8.3% (.88% change divided by 9.39%).

Some of us remember 1982. What it had in common with 2009 is that the economy stunk. The real impact of Ronald Reagan's Democrat-delayed supply-side tax cuts didn't kick in until the next year. In both 1982 and 2009, the health care sector kept GDP from sinking further. In 2009, it was one of the very few areas in the private sector where total employment actually increased. Yet Betty Ann Bowser breathlessly blasted this as a bad thing, when the real culprit is this administration's misguided attempt to revive the rest of the economy through historically disproven spending "stimulus" instead of employing the historically effective steps taken by JFK, Reagan, and Bush 43, i.e., cutting marginal tax rates on labor and invested capital.

In any event, it seems likely that Betty Ann Bowser, who used her opening statement as a launch point for barely disguised statist health care advocacy, knew what she wanted to say. It may be more accurate to assert that the folks at Robert Wood Johnson knew what they wanted her to say. Regardless, the end result is that she said it horribly.

Then the Obamabots at Organizing For America (OFA) went further, serially abusing Bowser's already tortured statement.

The poor souls at OFA are desperate to find some way, any way, to help Dear Leader take over health care while proving, despite clearly declining energy and enthusiasm, that they are still relevant. In less than 24 hours, seemingly without thinking or even blinking, Mitch Stewart of OFA produced an absolute howler of an e-mail that began as follows (bold is in original):

Tom --

An alarming new study shows that health care costs increased last year at the fastest rate in more than a half century.

Health care spending rose to an estimated $2.5 trillion in 2009, or $8,047 per person -- and is now projected to nearly double by 2019. If we don't act, this growing burden will mean more lost jobs, more families pushed into bankruptcy, and more crushing debt for our nation.

The conclusion is clear: This isn't a problem we can kick down the road for another decade -- or even another year. We need to pass health reform now.

Mitch's rich pitch fell firmly into the ditch.

A new "study"? Mitch my man, the info comes from a routine annual government report. Or did you think it really came from your buds at Robert Wood Johnson?

Although I understand how easy it might be to misinterpret Betty Ann Bowser's opening News Hour statement, the people at OFA must be collectively leading incredibly sheltered lives if they can't recall the double-digit percentage increases in annual health care costs that routinely occurred from the mid-1960s until the early 1990s -- increases that make the OFA e-mail's first-sentence claim so obviously absurd. (Hmm .... isn't the mid-1960s when Medicare started? Why yes, it is. What a non-conincidence.)

There's no way an embarrassing sentence like Mitch Stewart's opener should have gotten past an organization allegedly run by informed, educated adults. But it did. And they and their ilk want to be in charge of everyone's health care? Pass the tea.

Cross-posted at BizzyBlog.com.

—Tom Blumer is president of a training and development company in Mason, Ohio, and is a contributing editor to NewsBusters

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The President lies all the time about helath care.

Why shouldn't they?  He has set the standard for truthfullness in government and they are simply adhering to those standards.

 

 

islam is a lie and Truth is killing it.

Should we rename PBS

The "People's Broadcasting Service" or "Propaganda Broadcasting Service"?

"Somehow, I told you so, just doesn't quite say it." Will Smith in 'I, Robot.'

Either works...

Either works in my view. They both explain perfectly what the network is all about. Go ahead and copyright those names. You might make some money if the libs get their way.

-------------------------------------

If You're Tired Of Loudmouth Liberals, You Will Love This:

http://bit.ly/9ZYfDa

Tom: While your attempts to

Tom: While your attempts to clarify what this propagandist was trying to say about healthcare cost increases, as you know, that's only half of the story.  Simple economic analysis reveals that the benefits rose more than the costs, since the healthcare industry was profitable, and so her one-sided reportage must be regarded as pro-govt takeover propaganda, rather than any sort of valid information.

I understand what you're saying ....

.... which is why I threw in the parenthetical about "services provided," which I realize doesn't fully address your point.

More egregious faults

Using such loaded words as "devoured" (quoted above), "spiraling cost of health care every day," "skyrocketing costs," and "sharply disagrees" (transcript on the NPR site) is a more subtle way of reporting with a bias.

Imagine how different the story would have sounded if Bowser had said that healthcare "accounted for" 17% of GDP, that a small businessman had to deal with "constantly increasing cost of health care," that costs "were increasing at a very fast rate," and that an AARP spokesman "disagrees clearly" with a previous assertion by a spokesman for another senior advocacy group.

Reporter's bias shows up far more in such colorful words, which are often preferred because they enliven the "narrative" and help quickly set the tenor of the story, than over preferential treatment of one side or another.

Just curious, but...

are there any data relating to how much of this terrible cost increase is due to government-sponsored health care, i.e. Medicare, Medicaid, and SCHIP?

And if that's where a substantial amount of the increase came from, how is even more of that going to help bring costs down?

HC "costs" absolutely beg for demagogery

The ability of modern medicine to save, extend and improve lives is miraculous.  But everyone wants 2010 care while complaining of paying 1980 prices.

People used to routinely die of heart attacks in their 50's.  Now, they have a $30k operation and live another decade or three receiving social security and medicare, ensuring the ruin of the system in its current form.

The top three most expensive procedures for medicare (cardiac stents, knee and hip replacements) did not exist (on any available scale) when medicare began.

Politicians and the media never acknowledge that with every passing year, the medical care people receive becomes much more advanced, and valuable, and yes, costly.

Re Price Comparison

Yep, it's lke bitching about the increasing cost of a good television from 1960 until today. It's kind of meaningless. If they really wanted to look at price changes they could pick a representative set of procedures and compare over the years, but they don't want to do that.

A comparison I would love to see

I would really like to see the MSM make a comparison between increases in the cost of medical care and the increases in the positive medical effects that care provides. 

With so many treatments available today, ones that didn't even exist just ten years ago, and the increased longevity and personal well-being those treatments provide, wouldn't it be instructive to compare those advances with the increase in costs?  That's called a cost-benefit analysis, something even the corporate owned media uses, yet I have not seen any of this type of analysis offered by the MSM.

That makes me wonder, what are they trying to hide?

The Citizens of each State shall be entitled to all Privileges and Immunities of Citizens in the several States.
The US Constitution

Unless you're a fetus.
The US Supreme Court

Good catch there, Tom.

Last week, Noam Levey - Los Angeles Times' chief advocate for anything Obamacare - jumped on the same story:

Soaring cost of healthcare sets a record

In a stark reminder of growing costs, the government has released a new estimate that healthcare spending grew to a record 17.3% of the U.S. economy last year, marking the largest one-year jump in its share of the economy since the government started keeping such records half a century ago.

Of course if the economy would have grown last year, rather than shrink, then this would not be so - even using their bizarre methodology.

Let me restate yo man Mitch's pitch:

Health care spending rose to an estimated $2.5 trillion in 2009, or $8,047 per person -- and is now projected to nearly double by 2019. If we don't act, this growing burden will mean more lost jobs, more families pushed into bankruptcy, and more crushing debt for our nation.

The conclusion is clear:

Pass a 40% tax on plans that cost $8,500 - as that will lower the cost of health care.

Right?

Wrong!

(;~> gary

THE BASELINE IS PHONEY!!

'Health Care Costs' is not 'medical doctors & hospitals'. It's tampax, contact lenses, gucci eyeglasses, jet helicopter EMS, scooters you see on late night TV etc. ad nauseum. NOBODY mentions this.

Issues of whether health

Issues of whether health care costs are really "costs" aside, your initial complaint seems unfair.

Are you upset that Ms. Bowser's statement was only factually true in two separate ways, and not in the many other ways you chose to tweak it?  What exactly does "barely true" mean, and if that no longer meets our journalistic standard, what does?  Extremely true?  Supertrue?

Ms. Bowser's Statement As It Appears Is NOT True

I gave her two incredibly forgiving lifelines.

She referenced percent GDP

She referenced percent GDP and claimed it was the biggest one year growth since record keeping began.  Your research found that it was indeed the biggest one year growth in health care costs as a percent of GDP ever.  Did I misunderstand something?

How was her statement untrue?

You point out that she wouldn't have been correct if she was talking about the inflation-adjusted dollar increase or rate of dollar increase, but the dollar amount is presented as an aside.  Her statement is about percentage of the economy.  And I'm not even sure why anyone would think she was talking about a percentage of a percentage-- I'm sure you are right that the statement doesn't hold true for that, but I think it is a stretch to argue that anyone would assume that's what she meant.

You could very successfully argue that it is disingenuous or misleading to present a change in percent GDP as a historic rise in costs when much of it is due to a decrease in the size of the economy those costs are a percent of...

but calling it a "fib" if it is factually correct seems... fibby.

 

Zheesh. Follow me here:

The "spectacular fib" is OFA's, which is not true in any possible sense. 

As to Bowser, here is the start of the paragraph:

Health care spending devoured 17 percent of the entire economy last year, about $2.5 trillion. That's the biggest one-year growth since record-keeping began in 1960 ...

There are only two numbers in the sentence which "that" can refer to:
- If it refers to the $2.5 trillion, it's obviously wrong, because $2.5 tril is the one year value of total, not the growth in the one-year value.
- If it refers to the 17%, it's obviously wrong, because 17% is the percentage of GDP taken up by health care, not any kind of one-year growth.

There is no other figure for "that" to refer to, which forced me to try to figure out what the clarity-challenged Ms. Bowser was trying to tell us that might conceivably be correct.

What Ms. Bowser ACTUALLY told us is, as just shown, not true. Since you seem to want to go there, that makes it a fib.

Happy?

So you believe Bowser

So you believe Bowser deliberately distorted the truth when even the strictist and most technical adherence to fact would have served her point just as well?

Jer

Back off, Jer

Since "that" has to refer to something visible, Boswer wrote a sentence that vaguely informed us that:

- Either $2.5 trillion was some kind of record one-year growth.

- Or 17% was some kind of record one-year growth.

Neither statement is true.

Thus, she didn't communicate the truth.

It's not arguable.

You're free to ask Bowser or PBS what their intentions were. I'm just noting the results. 

Stop trying to stuff words into my mouth.  

Tom... You're the one who

Tom...

You're the one who stuffed the word "fib" into your mouth.  Not I.  As such, you were imputing intent, not simply "noting results".

Jer

Nice try, no sale, Jer

Whether or not something is a fib is independent of intent.

Tom, after this post I

Tom, after this post I won't belabor the point further since you are the only one who truly knows what you meant by the use of the word "fib".  However, my understanding is that it generally connotes a degree of deliberateness on the part of the "fibber".

Maybe you were suggesting it was a negligent disregard of the facts, an innocent but clumsy mistake, just plain stupidity, or something else entirely.

But "spectacular fib" seemed a bit excessive considering the circumstances.

Jer

 

The "Spectacular Fib" as stated, is OFA's ....

.... and it IS spectacular.

What Ms. Bowser ACTUALLY

What Ms. Bowser ACTUALLY told us is, as just shown, not true. Since you seem to want to go there, that makes it a fib.

Happy?

She didn't actually tell you that health care costs grew by 17% of GDP last year, nor do I see how you could have interpreted it that way.  She could have made it clearer by giving the figure for growth in the percentage, and obviously since you were confused as to her meaning she should have.  But what you appear to be saying is that she is a liar because several of the ways in which her statement could be misinterpreted turn out not to be true.

I think that is far too strict a definition of "truthful!"  Accuse her of being confusing, by all means, but not a fibber.

See my comment ....

.... to Jer.

I thought it was pretty

I thought it was pretty clear that 17% was the total, not the growth.  Obviously, you didn't think that was clear.

It still seems overly harsh to continue to call her a liar when you look up information, determine the real intent, and find out that the statement is true in the way she most likely meant it!

I called what she wrote a fib ...

... what as I pointed out to Jer, is independent of intent.

I did not call Ms. Bowser a liar, and you can't point to where I did. 

A fib is a small lie.  The

A fib is a small lie.  The statement still has to be untrue, which it isn't unless you misunderstand it.

As already proven ....

.... the paragraph in question is untrue on its face, and can't be made true unless it is rewritten. There is NO way to correctly "understand" it as it was written.

That's not arguable, though you keep pretending that it is. 

            Heal

            Healthcare reform is just a way to screw the baby boomers out of their social security. PBS, is provided by donations from liberal activists, not the public.                                                                                                                                                                                                             

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