A Stunning Report on 'Discretionary Income' Old Media Uses Its Discretion to Ignore

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Someone needs to tell me why this news about discretionary income isn't as significant as I believe it is.

But first, three warnings:
1. I'm not about to spend the $250 needed to read the full report from the Conference Board that backs the story (their "about" page is here).
2. I don't feel totally comfortable with how the statistic is measured -- "Households with discretionary income, as defined by the study, are those whose spendable income exceeds that held by households with similar demographic features."
3. I don't feel totally comfortable that the statistic has been measured consistently.

Now with the disclaimers out of the way, here's the stunning news: More Americans have "money to burn," technically known as "discretionary income," than at any time in the past quarter-century, and perhaps in the country's history.

A lot more. A whole lot more.

So many more that I went as far back as I could for comparable stats.

Here is what I found:

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  • San Francisco Chronicle; December 18, 1985 (from ProQuest library database) -- (Headline) "One-Third of U.S. Households/Americans With 'Extra' Cash." The article doesn't say what year the study by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Conference Board looked at. Let's assume it was 1983.
  • Wall Street Journal; June 1, 1989 (from ProQuest library database) -- "Only about 30% of American households have extra money to spend after paying taxes and buying the necessities, according to a report released by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Conference Board." This report referred to a 1987 Census Bureau/Conference Board report.
  • A reference to an early 2005 Conference Board Report that appears to relate to 2003 and/or 2004, saying, "About 57 million U.S. households now have discretionary income, up from nearly 54 million in 1997-1998, according to a new study released today by The Conference Board. But the percentage of the American population with discretionary income has edged down to 51 percent, compared with 52 percent six years ago."
  • Finally, from the Conference Board earlier this week -- "Between 2002 and 2006, the percentage of U.S. households with discretionary income increased from 52.1 percent (57 million households) to 63.5 percent (73 million households)."

Summarizing, here is the progression of Americans with discretionary income:
-- 1983 - 33%
-- 1987 - 30%
-- 1997/1998 - 52%
-- 2002 - 52.1%
-- 2003/2004 - 51%
-- 2006 - 63.5%

In everyday language, this means that about 12% of the population went from just getting by to having money to spare in a span of two or three years.

Again, someone needs to tell me why this news isn't as significant, or as remarkable, as it appears.

You might think that in the non-stop Old Media hype about how the alleged crises in housing, mortgage lending, currency strength, and who knows what else, that good news like this might be welcome, if only as a change of pace.

As has been the case almost non-stop for almost 7 years, you would be wrong.

It's no longer anything resembling a surprise that there's nothing about this at the New York Times (search is on "conference board"). But here's the result of a Google News search done this morning on ["conference board" discretionary income], typed exactly as indicated:

GoogNewsDiscIncome1107

To be sure, the same search of the web in Google yields a few more results, including this one in the International Herald Tribune. But the half-dozen or so stories on this topic pale in comparison to the over 1,100 found in a Google News Search last night on "recession housing" (not in quotes):

GoogNewsRecessionHousing1107

So if you're wondering how so many people are coming up with the money for all manner of iPods, monthly video game subscriptions, and scalped Hannah Montana tickets, there's probably a very simple answer: They have it.

Old Media would prefer that you not know that.

Cross-posted at BizzyBlog.com.

—Tom Blumer is president of a training and development company in Mason, Ohio, and is a contributing editor to NewsBusters


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Mr. Blumer, thanks for this

Mr. Blumer, thanks for this great post.  I had no idea that descretionary income had gone up so much.  This is truly amazing.  Thanks again!  r

Someone needs to tell me

Someone needs to tell me why this news about discretionary income isn't as significant as I believe it is.

That's a rhetorical question, right?

OK, not a question, but you get the point.

Risking it all on Shrill

Again, someone needs to tell me why this news isn't as significant, or as remarkable, as it appears.

This is a real tricky category but I'm going to go with; 'What is because good US economic news won't help Hillary's coronation' for it all Alec.

Interesting article, but not surprising

I'm hardly surprised by this; just look at what people walk around with every day - cell phones, $3.75 lattes, and that's just the adults. Then stand outside a high school and look at what cars are parked in the lots, how they're dressed, what kinds of designer accessories they have, and then their cell phones and stuff too.  Someone pays for this, and it's not someone trying to stretch a buck.  I take this stuff with a grain of salt.  I wish the Conference Board would do something really meaningful like tearing the various indices apart that the government publishes and validate their calculations for jobs, growth, inflation and the like.  There's not a living soul on this planet that believes, for one second, we have not been hammered by inflation (and I'm not talking oil) the past five years; yet the government insists it has been benign.  Nonsense and the Conference board would be doing us a huge favor destroying this myth.

Bourbeau, don't you realize

Bourbeau, don't you realize that we are getting poorer by the minute, and we're all just one paycheck away from losing our homes?

<sarc off>

Things that used to be luxuries are now common necessities; I am amazed at how many 9 and 10 year olds have cellphones now....my daughter just turned 18, and I swear I can't think of anything to buy her for Xmas, that she doesn't already have...

They have already started with the annual Xmas Retail Blues predictions: Retailers expect poor season, gloomy outlook, stores prepared to fall short of expectations.... and every year it turns around just before Xmas...wow, what a shocker!! People who are supposedly on the edge of a cliff go out and shop for Xmas!!

the Starbucks indicator

as long as Starbucks is around the economy can't be that bad.  If people can afford to pay 5 bucks a day for coffee, (which most can get for free at work or make your own for 5 bucks for 2 weeks) you can not convince me things are dire.

Then again it may be a medical deduction on income taxes!!

 “The way to stop discrimination on the basis of race is to stop discriminating on the basis of race.”   -Chief Justice John Roberts

Hell, I'd have a ton of

Hell, I'd have a ton of discretionary income if I would quit spending it.

And One More Thing . . . .

I'm sure the Conference Board didn't dig down to find out how much of that "discretionary income" is coming from home equity loans and credit cards; I'm sure that would be an eye opener. 

But...

...Isn't the generation of "discretionary income" a personal choice making these statistics a reflection of individual priorities?

I mean, once above a certain level, no one has to spend every penny on house, transportation, food, etc.

Make do with a smaller house, a more fuel-efficient car (with lower insurance premiums), cook more, eat out less, and, voila! Discretionary income! Magic!

Why isn't this "'A Penny Saved' is now the norm in 63.5% of U.S. housholds"?