The Week's Economic Reports Were Mostly Good; Old Media Spin Was Generally Dismal

Photo of Tom Blumer.

The week had a gusher of economic news, and most of it was favorable:

  • Thursday, 2nd Quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was revised sharply upward to 4.0% from July's initial estimate of 3.4%; the final GDP number for the second quarter comes out in late September.
  • The most comprehensive quarterly housing report issued, from the government's Office for Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO), showed that home prices nationwide increased ever so slightly during the 2nd quarter, and were 3.19% higher than a year earlier. That year-over-year result is greater than inflation during the same period.
  • Factory orders (HT WoMD's Blast) increased 3.7% in July.
  • Consumer spending rose by 0.4 percent in July (HT WoMD's Blast), double the June increase, while incomes rose by 0.5 percent, the best showing in four months.
  • The only really bad news I can think of at the moment: Consumer confidence took a hit in two different reports during the week (here and here).

Well of course consumer confidence was due for a hit. With the press, especially Time Magazine, working overtime to make the housing situation look like the crisis of the century, it's a wonder that anyone's getting out of bed to face the day.

Martin "Yeah, But" Crutsinger of the Associated Press also dished out his usually doses of cold water in his report on consumer spending. Here are examples:

Consumers returned to the malls in July after taking a breather in June, although worries about the future could make the rebound short-lived.

..... However, economists cautioned that the July increases could be temporary given recent weakness in consumer confidence caused by a prolonged slump in housing and the past few weeks of financial market turbulence.

..... The worst slump in housing in 16 years has already slowed economic growth and the worry is that if the fallout becomes severe enough, it could push the country into a recession. Already economists are forecasting that overall growth, which rebounded to a strong 4 percent annual rate in the spring, will slow in the current quarter to around 2 percent and could fall below 2 percent in the final three months of the year.

..... The 0.5 percent increase in incomes in July was the best increase since a 0.8 percent jump in March. But there are worries that the slowing economy could hurt job creation in coming months.

..... The 0.4 percent rise in consumer spending was the best showing since a 0.6 percent gain in May. However, if incomes falter and confidence sags, those gains could quickly evaporate.

It's hard not to think that there's just a little bit of hope for bad times in Crutsinger's prose.

Cross-posted at BizzyBlog.com.

—Tom Blumer is president of a training and development company in Mason, Ohio, and is a contributing editor to NewsBusters


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Our Man George needs more than Mortgage Stop Gaps

The economy is doing well, but the President has got to thwart this Russian Chinese attack on the dollar. President Bush had to print money to stop a worldwide depression after 9 11 and now the "Fed" which is Rockefellers and Rothschilds dumped in a trillion dollars worldwide to bring stability to the stock markets last week.

This entire monetary policy is biting Americans to make them scream and they have not seen the worst of it yet in inflation, because the dollar is correcting by 1/3rd which means Americans have to pay 1/3rd more for goods.

I just purchased a Chicom cast wok for 7 dollars a month ago, already the seller is up to 9 dollars on the same wok.

Yes corn prices and inflation bite American enemies in the long run worse than America, but there are measures which can keep Americans from being hurt and it is time President Bush ushered in the precious metal backed currency for domestic use so that Americans would not be subject to trading market whims nor unjust inflation. If the Rockefellers want to print dollars like toilet paper then let them, but Americans should not be subject to paying interest on their money and enslaved to inflation.

 

*HIC IACET ARTORIVS REX QVONDAM REXQVE FVTVRVS

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I like #1 (Buffett) and #15 (Grant) the best, along with the cartoon -- but pick your own favorite!
JMR

Rally online with fans of Dr. Ron Paul.

Time

 The majority of subscribers to news magazines are Doctors and Dentists. It is a rare occassion when someone steals a Time magazine from a waiting room. If you need a negativity fix just turn on network news.